{"id":34643,"date":"2023-08-24T06:07:01","date_gmt":"2023-08-24T04:07:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=34643"},"modified":"2023-08-24T06:07:01","modified_gmt":"2023-08-24T04:07:01","slug":"jiri-paroubek-cervencovy-pruzkum-medianu-je-plny-paradoxu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/24\/jiri-paroubek-cervencovy-pruzkum-medianu-je-plny-paradoxu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: \u010cervencov\u00fd pr\u016fzkum Medianu je pln\u00fd paradox\u016f\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Zpr\u00e1va agentury Median k v\u00fdsledk\u016fm pr\u016fzkumu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed za \u010dervenec p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed n\u011bkolik kontroverzn\u00edch informac\u00ed. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm, podle \u010dervencov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu kles\u00e1 volebn\u00ed podpora obou parlamentn\u00edch opozi\u010dn\u00edch stran \u2013 hnut\u00ed ANO a SPD. To vid\u00edm sice jako krajn\u011b nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, ale budi\u017e.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V situaci, kdy vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice plod\u00ed chybu za chybou, volebn\u00ed preference vlastn\u011b v\u0161em stran\u00e1m vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed rostou. To je opravdu velmi zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed a m\u00e1lo pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Jako bartovinu vid\u00edm odhadovan\u00fd volebn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek SOCDEM. Tento person\u00e1ln\u011b, programov\u011b, ak\u010dn\u011b st\u00edn kdysi nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 strany, soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokracie, v z\u00e1sad\u011b ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic. Dokonce v n\u011bkter\u00fdch sm\u011brech podporuje vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politiku. Pokud jde o p\u0159\u00edstup k NATO, je zcela nekritick\u00fd, co\u017e je d\u00e1no z\u0159ejm\u00e9 t\u00edm, \u017ee strana se nech\u00e1 vl\u00e1\u010det v\u00fdvody a z\u00e1jmy \u010desk\u00e9ho z\u00e1stupce v NATO, b\u00fdval\u00e9ho funkcion\u00e1\u0159e soc. dem. Landovsk\u00e9ho, za kter\u00e9 by se nemusela styd\u011bt ani p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b TOP 09 Pekarov\u00e1 Adamov\u00e1. A tato strana trvale vys\u00edl\u00e1 sign\u00e1ly voli\u010d\u016fm, \u017ee chce pat\u0159it k t\u011bm tzv. lep\u0161olidem z pravice. Chcete d\u016fkaz.<\/p>\n<p>N\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed \u010deln\u00e1 funkcion\u00e1\u0159ka soc. dem. Buzkov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed vehementn\u011b zasazuje o spojenectv\u00ed se sponzorem Bartou, si ned\u00e1vno v naprosto nesmysln\u00e9m rozhovoru notovala se zn\u00e1mou nep\u0159\u00edtelkyn\u00ed levicov\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f Pekarovou Adamovou. Dokonce to do\u0161lo tak daleko, \u017ee jedna bl\u00e1bolila o tom, kterak zimu p\u0159e\u017eila, aby to nandala Putinovi ve dvou svetrech, a ta druh\u00e1 si s n\u00ed notovala, \u017ee upletla na zimu siln\u00e9 pono\u017eky. Aby to nandala Putinovi, jak jinak.<\/p>\n<p>Prost\u011b politick\u00fd a lidsk\u00fd debakl lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 u\u017e ani sami sebe necharakterizuj\u00ed jako levi\u010d\u00e1ky. SOCDEM pln\u011b podporuje nap\u0159. novou Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed koncepci \u010cR s nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm postojem v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b\u2026 Prost\u011b pro levicov\u00e9ho voli\u010de je \u0159ada d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d tuto pidistranu nevolit a pro\u010d 5% preference podle Medianu, by\u0165 s velk\u00fdmi v\u00fdhradami samotn\u00e9ho Medianu k validit\u011b tohoto \u010d\u00edsla, lze pova\u017eovat za siln\u011b p\u0159ehnan\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Median vykonstruoval, \u017ee podle \u010dervencov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu by vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany m\u011bly jen 92 mand\u00e1t\u016f. A k tomu m\u016f\u017eeme p\u0159ipo\u010d\u00edtat je\u0161t\u011b protibabi\u0161ovskou SOCDEM a u\u017e jsme na 106 mand\u00e1tech&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>Prost\u011b lid\u00e9 by nem\u011bli tyto pr\u016fzkumy, zejm\u00e9na o pr\u00e1zdnin\u00e1ch br\u00e1t v\u016fbec v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. A pou\u017e\u00edt selsk\u00fd rozum k tomu, zda je mo\u017en\u00e9, aby v\u0161em vl\u00e1dn\u00edm stran\u00e1m najednou rostly volebn\u00ed preference, aby Babi\u0161ovi s Okamurou naopak klesaly. A aby krotk\u00e1, provl\u00e1dn\u00ed \u0160mardova SOCDEM byla voliteln\u00e1 na \u00farovni 5%.<\/p>\n<p>Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed kartelu agentur jsou jen sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed provl\u00e1dn\u00edho marketingu a tak je t\u0159eba je ch\u00e1pat.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/2595\/tabulka_median_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"643\" height=\"371\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/clanky\/cervencovy-pruzkum-medianu-je-plny-paradoxu\">Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2342\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek-300x208.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek-300x208.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek.jpg 318w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-33819 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-300x157.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1349\" height=\"706\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-768x402.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1349px) 100vw, 1349px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1358\" height=\"163\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1358px) 100vw, 1358px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zpr\u00e1va agentury Median k v\u00fdsledk\u016fm pr\u016fzkumu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed za \u010dervenec p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed n\u011bkolik kontroverzn\u00edch informac\u00ed. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,29,5045,2526],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34643"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34643"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34643\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34643"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34643"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34643"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}