{"id":34517,"date":"2023-08-22T06:03:57","date_gmt":"2023-08-22T04:03:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=34517"},"modified":"2023-08-22T06:03:57","modified_gmt":"2023-08-22T04:03:57","slug":"jiri-paroubek-negativni-vizitka-ceske-vlady-pokracujici-pokles-porodnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/22\/jiri-paroubek-negativni-vizitka-ceske-vlady-pokracujici-pokles-porodnosti\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Negativn\u00ed vizitka \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy – pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed pokles porodnosti"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokles porodnosti se v \u010cesku projevoval u\u017e v roce 2022, kdy do\u0161lo meziro\u010dn\u011b k jej\u00edmu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed o 12 tis\u00edc \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed. Po \u0159ad\u011b let tedy porodnost nedos\u00e1hla ani 100 tis\u00edc d\u011bt\u00ed (p\u0159esn\u011b 99,8 tis\u00edc d\u011bt\u00ed). Bohu\u017eel, tento trend pokra\u010duje i v roce 2023, kdy jsou \u010d\u00edsla zat\u00edm pouze za I. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V I. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed se narodilo 22 tis\u00edc \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed, kdy\u017e je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed rokem to bylo v I. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 24,7 tis\u00edc \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed. A rok p\u0159edt\u00edm, v I. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2021 to dokonce bylo 27,7 tis\u00edc \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b \u010desk\u00e1 populace se n\u00e1m zmen\u0161uje. D\u00edky imigraci ov\u0161em doch\u00e1z\u00ed k r\u016fstu po\u010dtu obyvatel \u010ceska. D\u00e1 se \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee od roku 2003, s\u00a0malou v\u00fdjimkou poklesu v roce 2013 (byl -3,7 tis\u00edce d\u011bt\u00ed), a\u017e do roku 2020 jen rostla. Celkov\u00e9 kladn\u00e9 saldo mezi po\u010dtem \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed a zem\u0159el\u00fdmi ob\u010dany byl za obdob\u00ed let 2011 \u2013 2020 v\u010detn\u011b, 215 tis\u00edc osob. Tedy, po\u010det obyvatel za minulou dek\u00e1du se v \u010cesku zv\u00fd\u0161il o 2%, na celkov\u00fdch 10,7 milionu osob.<\/p>\n

V dob\u011b covidu v roce 2020 se prakticky zastavila migrace ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed. \u010cesk\u00e9 \u017eeny odkl\u00e1daj\u00ed narozen\u00ed d\u011bt\u00ed do vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u011bku. Z\u00a0d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch 25 \u2013 29 let na sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 30 \u2013 34 let. To je nepochybn\u011b d\u016fsledkem spole\u010densk\u00fdch zm\u011bn, ke kter\u00fdm do\u0161lo ve spole\u010dnosti za posledn\u00edch 33 letech. V roce 2001 m\u011bla pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 \u010desk\u00e1 matka p\u0159i narozen\u00ed prvn\u00edho potomka 27,5 roku. V roce 2020 u\u017e to bylo 30,2 let. Na po\u010d\u00e1tku 90. let (1991) se narodilo mimo man\u017eelstv\u00ed necel\u00fdch 10% d\u011bt\u00ed. V roce 2001 to bylo 28,5% a v letech 2019 \u2013 2020 to ji\u017e bylo mezi 48 \u2013 49%.<\/p>\n

Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee vl\u00e1da nem\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 chuti hovo\u0159it o tom, \u017ee nad\u00e1le pokra\u010duje pokles porodnosti, a to velmi v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem i letos. Nelze to zd\u016fvodnit jen m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed se v\u011bkovou strukturou rodi\u010dek. Prost\u011b mlad\u00e9 \u017eeny z \u0159ady d\u016fvod\u016f, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm soci\u00e1ln\u00edch a kari\u00e9rn\u00edch, ale tak\u00e9 praktick\u00fdch, kdy\u017e mlad\u00e9 rodiny maj\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 probl\u00e9my se zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm sv\u00e9ho bydlen\u00ed, rod\u00ed sv\u00e9 potomky v\u00fdrazn\u011b pozd\u011bji, ne\u017eli tomu bylo v letech b\u00fdval\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee jsem za b\u00fdval\u00e9ho re\u017eimu pat\u0159il mezi mlad\u00e9, v\u00edm, jak bylo tehdy obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 zajistit pro mladou rodinu bydlen\u00ed. Ale ur\u010dit\u00e1 mo\u017enost tu p\u0159eci jen byla. Byly byty podnikov\u00e9, dru\u017estevn\u00ed, st\u00e1tn\u00ed a tyto byty se p\u0159id\u011blovaly ob\u010dan\u016fm. Ne podle politick\u00fdch krit\u00e9ri\u00ed, jak by n\u011bkdo mohl o\u010dek\u00e1vat, ale v\u011bt\u0161inou podle toho, jakou profesi ta kter\u00e1 firma, je\u017e m\u011bla k dispozici pro sv\u00e9 zam\u011bstnance byty, pr\u00e1v\u011b pot\u0159ebovala.<\/p>\n

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Dnes se prakticky v\u016fbec nestav\u00ed komun\u00e1ln\u00ed byty. Ministerstvo pro m\u00edstn\u00ed rozvoj (MMR) rozd\u011bluje rozpo\u010dtov\u011b v z\u00e1sad\u011b tit\u011brn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1stky, kter\u00e9 umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed obc\u00edm stav\u011bt maxim\u00e1ln\u011b v souhrnu stovky byt\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b. Vl\u00e1da nem\u00e1 p\u0159edstavu o tom, jak, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem za\u010d\u00edt stav\u011bt komun\u00e1ln\u00ed byty. V\u00fdstavba formou dru\u017estevn\u00ed je jist\u011b chv\u00e1lyhodn\u00e1 v\u011bc, ale nen\u00ed samospasiteln\u00e1. A nen\u00ed pou\u017eiteln\u00e1 v\u017edy a v\u0161ude. Vl\u00e1da naprosto odm\u00edt\u00e1 pod\u00edvat se nap\u0159. do sousedn\u00edho Rakouska nebo i do vzd\u00e1len\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie anebo prakticky do kter\u00e9hokoliv z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu, jak je organizov\u00e1na a financov\u00e1na v\u00fdstavba komun\u00e1ln\u00edch byt\u016f. Je to jen a jen kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed neschopnost vl\u00e1dy. No, a pokud nejsou byty pro mlad\u00e9 lidi, tak je velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9, aby mlad\u00ed zakl\u00e1dali rodiny a cht\u011bli m\u00edt d\u011bti.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho ji\u017e za covidu vznikla ve spole\u010dnosti obrovsk\u00e1 nejistota, kterou prolonguje u\u017e rok a p\u016fl v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b. Byla to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 rozpoutala neb\u00fdval\u00fd r\u016fst cen, p\u00e1d\u00edc\u00ed inflaci, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledek podstatn\u00fd pokles \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b \u010desk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva. Osobn\u011b odhaduji pokles \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b za l\u00e9ta 2022 a 2023 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v d\u016fsledku p\u00e1d\u00edc\u00ed inflace na nejm\u00e9n\u011b p\u011btinu, sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u0161ak o \u010dtvrtinu.<\/p>\n

Kr\u00e1tce \u0159e\u010deno, \u010desk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo v pr\u016fm\u011bru zchudlo a d\u00e1le chudne. To se t\u00fdk\u00e1 jak p\u0159\u00edjmov\u011b slab\u0161\u00edch, tak ob\u010dan\u016f ze st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy.<\/p>\n

Stra\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lkou je jedno z nejhor\u0161\u00edch protipopula\u010dn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vl\u00e1da mohla pou\u017e\u00edt. Tedy, mlad\u00ed lid\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed perspektivu r byt\u016f, klesaj\u00ed jim re\u00e1ln\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy, co\u017e se t\u00fdk\u00e1 mj. tak\u00e9 vysoko\u0161kol\u00e1k\u016f s \u010derstv\u00fdm univerzitn\u00edm diplomem. Mlad\u00ed lid\u00e9 \u010del\u00ed inflaci rozm\u011br\u016f, kter\u00e1 nebyla v \u010cesku po dv\u011b generace zaznamen\u00e1na a tak je v\u00fdsledek z\u0159ejm\u00fd. Fialova vl\u00e1da se m\u011bn\u00ed na vl\u00e1du n\u00e1rodn\u00edho ne\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed. Jedin\u00e9, co m\u016f\u017ee zabr\u00e1nit vylid\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010ceska je p\u0159\u00edliv slovansk\u00fdch Ukrajinc\u016f, kter\u00fdch je v \u010cesku registrov\u00e1no asi p\u016fl milion\u016f a lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st z nich v \u010cesku tak\u00e9 z\u016fstane. I to by mohlo napomoci nap\u0159. d\u016fchodov\u00e9mu \u00fa\u010dtu, ale tak\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fdb\u011bru dan\u00ed. Nepochybuji ale o tom, \u017ee v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st Ukrajinc\u016f je vyko\u0159is\u0165ov\u00e1na, nebo\u0165 jejich zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 netou\u017e\u00ed po tom, zam\u011bstn\u00e1vat je zam\u011bstn\u00e1vat na trval\u00fd pracovn\u00ed pom\u011br a platit za n\u011b p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek na zdravotn\u00ed a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed. Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed kategorii tvo\u0159\u00ed agenturn\u00ed pracovn\u00edci, kte\u0159\u00ed plat\u00ed sv\u00fdm zprost\u0159edkovatel\u016fm a\u017e polovinu sv\u00e9ho v\u00fdd\u011blku. Tak\u017ee, pokud by m\u011blo doj\u00edt k z\u00e1sadn\u00ed zm\u011bn\u011b v natalit\u011b \u010desk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva, mus\u00ed p\u0159ij\u00edt nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 p\u0159ijde s novou viz\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da P. Fialy je vl\u00e1dou n\u00e1rodn\u00edho ne\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed, co\u017e lze \u0159\u00edci o ka\u017ed\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b, za n\u00ed\u017e se sni\u017euj\u00ed dlouhodob\u011b po\u010dty \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed. Mus\u00ed zkr\u00e1tka p\u0159ij\u00edt nam\u00edsto n\u00ed jin\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 si bude uv\u011bdomovat, \u017ee popula\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst je pro \u010cesko velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00fd faktor a je\u017e bude proto vytv\u00e1\u0159et pro mlad\u00e9 lidi podm\u00ednky, aby m\u011bli d\u011bti a cht\u011bli m\u00edt v\u00edce d\u011bt\u00ed. Takov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da mus\u00ed zajistit, aby se lid\u00e9 c\u00edtili ve sv\u00e9 domovin\u011b bezpe\u010dn\u011b a nebyli ohro\u017eov\u00e1ni v\u00fdpotky vl\u00e1dn\u00edch politik\u016f o hroz\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 katastrof\u011b, kter\u00e1 brzo dopadne i na \u010cesko. Sou\u010dasn\u011b vl\u00e1da mus\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt skute\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u0161it v\u00fdstavbu komun\u00e1ln\u00edch byt\u016f, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pro mlad\u00e9 lidi. A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vl\u00e1da tak\u00e9 mus\u00ed stabilizovat ekonomiku st\u00e1tu a ceny, sn\u00ed\u017eit na co nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enou \u00farove\u0148 inflaci.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

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Pokles porodnosti se v \u010cesku projevoval u\u017e v roce 2022, kdy do\u0161lo meziro\u010dn\u011b k jej\u00edmu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[76,371,2728,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34517"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34517"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34517\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}