{"id":34336,"date":"2023-08-19T09:26:47","date_gmt":"2023-08-19T07:26:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=34336"},"modified":"2023-08-19T09:26:47","modified_gmt":"2023-08-19T07:26:47","slug":"svetova-deklarace-o-klimatu-klimaticka-nouze-neexistuje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/19\/svetova-deklarace-o-klimatu-klimaticka-nouze-neexistuje\/","title":{"rendered":"Sv\u011btov\u00e1 deklarace o klimatu: Klimatick\u00e1 nouze neexistuje"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u011bda o klimatu by m\u011bla b\u00fdt m\u00e9n\u011b politick\u00e1, zat\u00edmco klimatick\u00e9 politiky by m\u011bly b\u00fdt v\u00edce v\u011bdeck\u00e9. V\u011bdci by m\u011bli zejm\u00e9na zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee jejich modelov\u00e9 v\u00fdstupy nejsou v\u00fdsledkem magie: po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00e9 modely jsou d\u00edlem \u010dlov\u011bka. To, co z nich vych\u00e1z\u00ed, pln\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, co do nich vlo\u017eili teoretici a program\u00e1to\u0159i: hypot\u00e9zy, p\u0159edpoklady, vztahy, parametrizace, omezen\u00ed stability atd. Bohu\u017eel v hlavn\u00edm proudu klimatologie je v\u011bt\u0161ina t\u011bchto vstup\u016f nedeklarovan\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
V\u011b\u0159it v\u00fdsledku klimatick\u00e9ho modelu znamen\u00e1 v\u011b\u0159it tomu, co do n\u011bj tv\u016frci modelu vlo\u017eili. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to je probl\u00e9m dne\u0161n\u00ed diskuse o klimatu, pro kterou jsou klimatick\u00e9 modely kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9. Klimatick\u00e1 v\u011bda se zvrhla v diskusi zalo\u017eenou na p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, nikoli na solidn\u00ed sebekritick\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011b. M\u011bli bychom se oprostit od naivn\u00ed v\u00edry v nezral\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 modely. V\u00fdzkum klimatu mus\u00ed v budoucnu kl\u00e1st podstatn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed d\u016fraz na empirickou v\u011bdu.<\/p>\n

Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 klimatick\u00e1 nouze<\/h2>\n

Celosv\u011btov\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 v\u00edce ne\u017e 1609 v\u011bdc\u016f a odborn\u00edk\u016f p\u0159ipravila toto nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 poselstv\u00ed. V\u011bda o klimatu by m\u011bla b\u00fdt m\u00e9n\u011b politick\u00e1, zat\u00edmco klimatick\u00e1 politika by m\u011bla b\u00fdt v\u00edce v\u011bdeck\u00e1. V\u011bdci by se m\u011bli otev\u0159en\u011b zab\u00fdvat nejistotami a p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00edm v p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00edch glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed, zat\u00edmco politici by m\u011bli nezaujat\u011b po\u010d\u00edtat skute\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady i domn\u011bl\u00e9 p\u0159\u00ednosy sv\u00fdch politick\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed i antropogenn\u00ed faktory<\/h2>\n

Geologick\u00fd archiv ukazuje, \u017ee zemsk\u00e9 klima se m\u011bn\u00ed po celou dobu existence planety a \u017ee se na n\u00ed vyskytuj\u00ed p\u0159irozen\u00e9 chladn\u00e9 a tepl\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. Mal\u00e1 doba ledov\u00e1 skon\u010dila teprve v roce 1850. Proto nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm, \u017ee nyn\u00ed za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me obdob\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed je mnohem pomalej\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo<\/h2>\n

Sv\u011bt se otepluje podstatn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b, ne\u017e p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 IPCC na z\u00e1klad\u011b modelovan\u00fdch antropogenn\u00edch vliv\u016f. Rozd\u00edl mezi skute\u010dn\u00fdm a modelovan\u00fdm sv\u011btem n\u00e1m \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee klimatick\u00fdm zm\u011bn\u00e1m zdaleka nerozum\u00edme.<\/p>\n

Politika v oblasti klimatu se op\u00edr\u00e1 o nedostate\u010dn\u00e9 modely<\/h2>\n

Klimatick\u00e9 modely maj\u00ed mnoho nedostatk\u016f a jako n\u00e1stroje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky nejsou ani zdaleka v\u011brohodn\u00e9. Zvy\u0161uj\u00ed vliv sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f, jako je CO\u2082. Nav\u00edc ignoruj\u00ed skute\u010dnost, \u017ee obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed atmosf\u00e9ry o CO\u2082 je prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9.<\/p>\n

CO\u2082 je potravou rostlin, z\u00e1kladem ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho \u017eivota na Zemi<\/h2>\n

CO\u2082 nen\u00ed zne\u010di\u0161\u0165uj\u00edc\u00ed l\u00e1tka. Je nezbytn\u00fd pro ve\u0161ker\u00fd \u017eivot na Zemi. Fotosynt\u00e9za je po\u017eehn\u00e1n\u00edm. V\u00edce CO\u2082 je pro p\u0159\u00edrodu prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9, zazelen\u00e1 Zemi: dodate\u010dn\u00fd CO\u2082 v ovzdu\u0161\u00ed podpo\u0159il r\u016fst glob\u00e1ln\u00ed biomasy rostlin. Je tak\u00e9 prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd pro zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed, proto\u017ee zvy\u0161uje v\u00fdnosy plodin na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed nezv\u00fd\u0161ilo po\u010det p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch katastrof<\/h2>\n

Neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 statistick\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed vedlo k zes\u00edlen\u00ed hurik\u00e1n\u016f, povodn\u00ed, sucha a podobn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch katastrof nebo k jejich \u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu v\u00fdskytu. Existuje v\u0161ak dostatek d\u016fkaz\u016f o tom, \u017ee opat\u0159en\u00ed na zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed emis\u00ed CO\u2082 jsou stejn\u011b \u0161kodliv\u00e1 jako n\u00e1kladn\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Politika v oblasti klimatu mus\u00ed respektovat v\u011bdeckou a ekonomickou realitu<\/h2>\n

Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 klimatick\u00e1 nouze. Proto nen\u00ed d\u016fvod k panice a poplachu. D\u016frazn\u011b odm\u00edt\u00e1me \u0161kodlivou a nerealistickou politiku nulov\u00fdch \u010dist\u00fdch emis\u00ed CO\u2082 navrhovanou pro rok 2050. Pokud se objev\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupy, a ty se jist\u011b objev\u00ed, m\u00e1me dostatek \u010dasu na to, abychom se zamysleli a p\u0159izp\u016fsobili. C\u00edlem glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky by m\u011bla b\u00fdt \u201eprosperita pro v\u0161echny\u201c, a to prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed spolehliv\u00e9 a cenov\u011b dostupn\u00e9 energie za v\u0161ech okolnost\u00ed. V prosperuj\u00edc\u00ed spole\u010dnosti jsou mu\u017ei a \u017eeny dob\u0159e vzd\u011blan\u00ed, porodnost je n\u00edzk\u00e1 a lid\u00e9 se staraj\u00ed o sv\u00e9 \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Epilog<\/h2>\n

Na Sv\u011btov\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 deklaraci (WCD) se se\u0161lo velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed kompetentn\u00edch v\u011bdc\u016f z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta*. Zna\u010dn\u00e9 znalosti a zku\u0161enosti t\u00e9to skupiny jsou nepostradateln\u00e9 pro dosa\u017een\u00ed vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9ho, nezaujat\u00e9ho a kompetentn\u00edho pohledu na zm\u011bnu klimatu.<\/p>\n

Od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka bude skupina fungovat pod n\u00e1zvem \u201eGlobal Climate Intelligence Group\u201c. Skupina CLINTEL bude poskytovat vy\u017e\u00e1dan\u00e9 i nevy\u017e\u00e1dan\u00e9 poradenstv\u00ed v oblasti zm\u011bny klimatu a energetick\u00e9 transformace vl\u00e1d\u00e1m a spole\u010dnostem na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/p>\n

*Nen\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd po\u010det odborn\u00edk\u016f, ale kvalita argument\u016f<\/i>.<\/p>\n

Kliknut\u00edm sem si m\u016f\u017eete p\u0159e\u010d\u00edst\u00a0Sv\u011btovou klimatickou deklaraci a v\u0161echny signat\u00e1\u0159e<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Chcete podepsat? Vypl\u0148te pros\u00edm tento\u00a0formul\u00e1\u0159<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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World Climate Declaration: There Is No Climate Emergency<\/a>\u00a0vy\u0161el na str\u00e1nkach skupiny CLINTEL.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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V\u011bda o klimatu by m\u011bla b\u00fdt m\u00e9n\u011b politick\u00e1, zat\u00edmco klimatick\u00e9 politiky by m\u011bly b\u00fdt v\u00edce…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[873,851,497,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34336"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34336\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}