{"id":33817,"date":"2023-08-10T01:01:12","date_gmt":"2023-08-09T23:01:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=33817"},"modified":"2023-08-10T05:57:26","modified_gmt":"2023-08-10T03:57:26","slug":"jiri-paroubek-ukrajinska-protiofenziva-v-koncich","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/10\/jiri-paroubek-ukrajinska-protiofenziva-v-koncich\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenziva v konc\u00edch?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vypad\u00e1 to tak. Zdrojem t\u00e9to informace nejsou \u201eprokremelsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia\u201c, ale liber\u00e1ln\u00ed listy z v\u00fdchodn\u00edho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a americk\u00e1 televizn\u00ed stanice CNN.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d se ukrajinsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed vydalo cestou protiofenzivy, byla p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm nere\u00e1ln\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu v\u00a0ukrajinsko-rusk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Te\u010f u\u017e se sice evropsk\u00e1 mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, ba ani \u010desk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, nehem\u017e\u00ed perlami o neschopnosti rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy a jej\u00edch velitel\u016f, ale tak jaksi samoz\u0159ejm\u011b se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, \u017ee se rusk\u00e1 obrana na jihu a v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny zhrout\u00ed. Z\u00e1pad zjevn\u011b p\u0159ecenil potenci\u00e1l ukrajinsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch sil, kter\u00e9 nemohou dos\u00e1hnout na v\u00edce ne\u017e tis\u00edc kilometr\u016f dlouh\u00e9 front\u011b po\u010detn\u00edho p\u0159e\u010d\u00edslen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch jednotek. Bylo by to snad mo\u017en\u00e9 n\u011bjak\u00fdmi man\u00e9vry a n\u00e1hl\u00fdm soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00edm sil v\u00a0ur\u010dit\u00e9m bod\u011b fronty, ale to p\u0159i dne\u0161n\u00edch mo\u017enostech sledov\u00e1n\u00ed pohybu protivn\u00edka satelity a drony, lze jen teoreticky. Prost\u011b, ka\u017ed\u00fd v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pohyb vojsk protivn\u00edka je vid\u011bt na satelitn\u00edch sn\u00edmc\u00edch a protivn\u00edk m\u016f\u017ee okam\u017eit\u011b reagovat masivn\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159eleckou palbou \u010di z\u00e1sahem raket. Krom\u011b toho Z\u00e1pad sice poslal na Ukrajinu modern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbran\u011b (m\u00e1m v\u00a0tuto chv\u00edli na mysli tanky Leopard a Abrams), ale ty v\u00a0minov\u00fdch pol\u00edch a po c\u00edlen\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 palb\u011b rusk\u00fdch vojsk ho\u0159\u00ed jako fagule.<\/p>\n

Odhaduje se, \u017ee v\u00a0prvn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch protiofenzivy (a op\u011bt jsou to odhady ze Z\u00e1padu) byla zni\u010dena zhruba t\u0159etina Z\u00e1padem dodan\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Tak\u00e9 p\u0159e\u0161kolov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, alespo\u0148 podle americk\u00e9 CNN, na kombinovan\u00e9 mechanizovan\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 s\u00edly podle doktr\u00edny NATO, neprob\u00edh\u00e1 dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle. A je v\u016fbec ot\u00e1zka, zda je tato zm\u011bna na ukrajinsk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti vlastn\u011b k\u00a0n\u011b\u010demu dobr\u00e1. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci, kte\u0159\u00ed se \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed v\u00fdcviku veden\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edmi, hlavn\u011b americk\u00fdmi instruktory, se d\u00e1vaj\u00ed sly\u0161et, \u017ee tento druh v\u00fdcviku snad byl dobr\u00fd v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu nebo v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku, ale proti rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b je ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd. Podle CNN ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da utrp\u011bla v\u00a0boj\u00edch v\u00a0posledn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch (doslova p\u0159episuji) \u201eohromuj\u00edc\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty\u201c.<\/p>\n

Rusov\u00e9 maj\u00ed na jihu a v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u011bt propracovan\u00fdch lini\u00ed obrany, p\u0159ed kter\u00fdmi byly polo\u017eeny des\u00edtky tis\u00edc min, a v\u00a0r\u00e1mci v\u00edcevrstv\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch lini\u00ed je mnoha set kilometrov\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 z\u00e1kop\u016f. Podle z\u00e1padn\u00edch pozorovatel\u016f neprolomila ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je\u0161t\u011b ani prvn\u00ed linii rusk\u00e9 obrany. Prost\u011b, zat\u00edm to vypad\u00e1 na fiasko, kter\u00e9 z\u0159ejm\u011b nedok\u00e1\u017eou zm\u011bnit ani dal\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed a zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch komplex\u016f ze Z\u00e1padu.<\/p>\n

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P\u0159ipome\u0148me si, \u017ee jen americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 pomoc Ukrajin\u011b ji\u017e dos\u00e1hla sumy 43 mld. dolar\u016f. Mimochodem, z\u00a0\u010ceska byla podle ofici\u00e1ln\u011b vy\u010d\u00edslen\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f odesl\u00e1na pomoc Ukrajin\u011b za cca 45 mld. K\u010d. A z\u0159ejm\u011b des\u00edtky miliard korun \u0161ly z\u00a0\u010ceska, \u0159ekn\u011bme, nikoliv p\u0159es evidenci st\u00e1tu a st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou prakticky \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9 protiofenzivy nen\u00ed mal\u00e1 state\u010dnost ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Mo\u017en\u00e1 snad jedin\u011b jejich ur\u010dit\u00e1 nezku\u0161enost, pokud jde o nov\u00e9 rekruty v\u00a0bojov\u00fdch svazc\u00edch, kter\u00e9 byly cvi\u010deny na Z\u00e1pad\u011b. D\u016fvodem nejsou ani mal\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed ze Z\u00e1padu, ale prost\u011b to, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zvolila dobr\u00fd koncept obrany a m\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 zbran\u011b i motivovan\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky a bojem ji\u017e pou\u010den\u00e9 velitele. \u010c\u00edm d\u0159\u00edve si to Z\u00e1pad uv\u011bdom\u00ed, t\u00edm l\u00e9pe pro Z\u00e1pad i pro Ukrajinu. Na Ukrajin\u011b zbyte\u010dn\u011b um\u00edraj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed lid\u00e9, tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f a tak\u00e9 civilist\u00e9. Jsou ni\u010deny nezm\u011brn\u00e9 hodnoty. Jeden\u00e1ct kol ekonomick\u00fdch a dal\u0161\u00edch sankc\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00ednos, pokud jde o oslaben\u00ed Ruska, nem\u011blo.<\/p>\n

A tak se nutn\u011b vkr\u00e1d\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, kterou si nepolo\u017eil ani Napoleon, ani Hitler, kdy\u017e napadli Rusko (Hitler dokonce hovo\u0159il o tom, \u017ee sta\u010d\u00ed jen rozkopnout dve\u0159e a cel\u00e1 ta stavba Ruska se z\u0159\u00edt\u00ed k\u00a0zemi. Ale nestalo se tak.) Ale tuto ot\u00e1zku bychom si m\u011bli v\u011bcn\u011b polo\u017eit my: Je mo\u017en\u00e9 porazit zemi, kter\u00e1 disponuje prakticky v\u0161\u00edm mo\u017en\u00fdm nerostn\u00fdm a jin\u00fdm bohatstv\u00edm, po\u010d\u00ednaje potravinami p\u0159es pohonn\u00e9 hmoty a plyn a\u017e k pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdm kov\u016f? A m\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my? A nezapome\u0148me na to nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, disponuje tak\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem raket s\u00a0jadern\u00fdmi n\u00e1lo\u017eemi na sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad by m\u011bl hledat v\u00fdchodisko v\u00a0m\u00edrov\u00e9m jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0Ruskem. Pod\u00edvat se pravd\u011b do o\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159edstavy o bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 kapitulaci Ruska se prost\u011b nenapln\u00ed. Rusko neopust\u00ed ani Krym, ani ruskojazy\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a ji\u017en\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti Ukrajiny. Je to pro n\u011bj ot\u00e1zka \u017eivota a smrti.<\/p>\n

Nalh\u00e1vat si, \u017ee na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed cca 40 zem\u00ed v\u00a0D\u017eidd\u011b do\u0161lo k\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00e9mu pr\u016flomu ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny, nem\u00e1 smysl. Ani \u010c\u00edna ani Indie nezm\u011bnily sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor na konflikt. Jsou p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 \u00fazce spjaty s\u00a0Ruskem v\u00a0r\u00e1mci sdru\u017een\u00ed zem\u00ed BRICS, \u017ee lze t\u011b\u017eko o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee podpo\u0159\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho maximalistick\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy. Prost\u011b v\u00e1lka vytvo\u0159ila ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b novou realitu. Nem\u00e1 smysl se ani stra\u0161it t\u00edm, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 z\u00e1lusk na dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed z\u00e1bory ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a st\u0159edn\u00ed Evrop\u011b. Na to prost\u011b nem\u00e1 s\u00edlu. Ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla o vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u00edch Ruska za\u00a0minul\u00fd rok, kter\u00e9 \u010din\u00ed pr\u00fd 2 biliony korun (tedy cca 90 miliard dolar\u016f), mohou ohromit jen nezasv\u011bcen\u00e9. Jen americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje v\u00a0b\u011b\u017en\u00e9m roce jsou desetkr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Akce na povzbuzen\u00ed mor\u00e1lky Z\u00e1padu<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mal\u00e9 pokroky ukrajinsk\u00e9 protiofenzivy jsou z\u0159ejm\u011b d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da p\u0159ikro\u010dila k\u00a0\u00fatok\u016fm zejm\u00e9na bezpilotn\u00edmi letouny a drony na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed. S\u00a0ohledem na obrovsk\u00e9 rozm\u011bry Ruska nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m uk\u00e1zat ruskou zranitelnost. I kdy\u017e naprost\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina bezpilotn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f, kter\u00e9 Ukrajina pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1, kon\u010d\u00ed v\u00a0trosk\u00e1ch po \u00faderech rusk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b pro marketing je hezk\u00e9 uk\u00e1zat ruskou zranitelnost, kdy\u017e ne na v\u00fdchod\u011b a jihu Ukrajiny, tak tedy v\u00a0t\u011bchto de facto nev\u00fdznamn\u00fdch individu\u00e1ln\u00edch \u00fatoc\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

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Vypad\u00e1 to tak. Zdrojem t\u00e9to informace nejsou \u201eprokremelsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia\u201c, ale liber\u00e1ln\u00ed listy z v\u00fdchodn\u00edho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":20279,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,2751,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33817"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33817"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33817\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33821,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33817\/revisions\/33821"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}