{"id":33509,"date":"2023-08-04T04:08:11","date_gmt":"2023-08-04T02:08:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=33509"},"modified":"2023-08-04T04:08:11","modified_gmt":"2023-08-04T02:08:11","slug":"nepohodlna-pravda-o-pricinach-valky-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/04\/nepohodlna-pravda-o-pricinach-valky-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Nepohodln\u00e1 pravda o p\u0159\u00ed\u010din\u00e1ch v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>Plukovn\u00edk Jacques Baud\u00a0<em>pracoval pro \u0161v\u00fdcarskou strategickou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017ebu, byl vedouc\u00edm mise OSN a byl \u010dlenem delegace NATO, kter\u00e1 monitorovala situaci na Ukrajin\u011b po roce 2014.\u00a0N\u00ed\u017ee je jeho chronologick\u00e1 dokumentace p\u0159\u00ed\u010din v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b (od referend o autonomii v\u011bt\u0161inov\u00fdch ruskojazy\u010dn\u00fdch region\u016f, \u00fatok\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na tyto regiony, nerespektov\u00e1n\u00ed dvou minsk\u00fdch dohod a manipulace Ruska, kter\u00e1 po\u017eadovala respektov\u00e1n\u00ed obou dohod), kterou sepsal loni v b\u0159eznu, m\u011bs\u00edc po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky.\u00a0A jak uvid\u00edte, tato pravda je zna\u010dn\u011b nepohodln\u00e1 jak pro ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady, tak pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 podporovaly ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady v potla\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00edch lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v rusk\u00e9 men\u0161iny.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Pravda a fakta u\u017e bohu\u017eel t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nikoho nezaj\u00edmaj\u00ed a jednotlivci se zcela podd\u00e1vaj\u00ed jednostrann\u00e9 propagand\u011b pod\u00e1van\u00e9 m\u00e9dii.\u00a0Pravda a fakta jsou st\u00e1le d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, pokud chceme pochopit, pro\u010d k v\u00e1lce do\u0161lo a jak\u00e1 mus\u00ed obsahovat dlouhodob\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed pro m\u00edr v oblasti.<\/p>\n<p>_____________<\/p>\n<h1 id=\"p_1_15\"><strong>\u010c\u00e1st prvn\u00ed:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Cesta k v\u00e1lce<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p id=\"p_1_16\"><em>Po l\u00e9ta, od Mali po Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n, jsem pracoval pro m\u00edr a riskoval pro n\u011bj sv\u016fj \u017eivot.\u00a0Nejde tedy o ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ale o pochopen\u00ed toho, co n\u00e1s k n\u00ed vedlo.\u00a0[\u2026.]<\/em><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_17\"><em>Pokusme se prozkoumat ko\u0159eny [ukrajinsk\u00e9ho] konfliktu.\u00a0Za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rts.ch\/info\/monde\/6772950-les-separatistes-auraient-renforce-leurs-capacites-dattaque-en-ukraine.html\">t\u011bmi<\/a>\u00a0, kte\u0159\u00ed posledn\u00edch osm let mluv\u00ed o \u201eseparatistech\u201c nebo \u201enez\u00e1visl\u00fdch\u201c z Donbasu.\u00a0Toto je nespr\u00e1vn\u00e9 ozna\u010den\u00ed.\u00a0Referenda, kter\u00e1 v kv\u011btnu 2014 provedly dv\u011b samozvan\u00e9 republiky Don\u011bck a Lugansk, nebyla\u00a0<strong>referendy<\/strong>\u00a0o \u201enez\u00e1vislosti\u201c (\u043d\u0435\u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c), jak\u00a0tvrdili\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rts.ch\/info\/monde\/5839879-pres-de-90-de-oui-a-lindependance-a-donetsk-selon-les-prorusses.html\">n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed bezohledn\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i , ale\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/4\/4d\/Decree_on_holding_the_Donetsk_status_referendum.png\">referendem<\/a>\u00a0o \u201esebeur\u010den\u00ed\u201c nebo \u201eautonomii\u00a0\u201c ).\u00a0Kvalifik\u00e1tor \u201eprorusk\u00fd\u201c nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Rusko bylo stranou konfliktu, co\u017e nebyl tento p\u0159\u00edpad, a v\u00fdraz \u201erusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed\u201c by byl up\u0159\u00edmn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Nav\u00edc tato referenda byla vedena proti rad\u011b Vladim\u00edra Putina.<\/em><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_18\">Ve skute\u010dnosti se tyto republiky nesna\u017eily odd\u011blit se od Ukrajiny, ale z\u00edskat status autonomie, kter\u00fd jim zaru\u010doval pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho jazyka jako \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edho jazyka \u2013 proto\u017ee prvn\u00ed legislativn\u00ed akt nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy vznikl\u00fd v d\u016fsledku svr\u017een\u00ed podporovan\u00e9ho Ameri\u010dany. [demokraticky zvolen\u00e9ho] prezidenta Janukovy\u010de, bylo dne 23. \u00fanora 2014 zru\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1kona Kivalov-Kolesni\u010denko z roku 2012, kter\u00fd u\u010dinil ru\u0161tinu ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm jazykem na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Trochu jako kdyby se n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed pu\u010dist\u00e9 rozhodli, \u017ee francouz\u0161tina a ital\u0161tina u\u017e nebudou ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edmi jazyky.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_19\">Toto rozhodnut\u00ed vyvolalo bou\u0159i v rusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed populaci.\u00a0V\u00fdsledkem byly tvrd\u00e9 represe v\u016f\u010di rusky mluv\u00edc\u00edm region\u016fm (Od\u011bsa, Dn\u011bpropetrovsk, Charkov, Lugansk a Don\u011bck), kter\u00e9 byly provedeny od \u00fanora 2014 a vedly k militarizaci situace a n\u011bkolika stra\u0161liv\u00fdm masakr\u016fm rusk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva (v Od\u011bse a Mariupol, nejpozoruhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed).<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_20\">V t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi, p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 rigidn\u00ed a zaujat\u00fd doktrin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstupem k operac\u00edm, ukrajinsk\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b poko\u0159il nep\u0159\u00edtele, ani\u017e by se mu v\u0161ak poda\u0159ilo skute\u010dn\u011b zv\u00edt\u011bzit.\u00a0V\u00e1lka veden\u00e1 autonomisty [sest\u00e1vala v].\u2026 vysoce mobiln\u00ed operace veden\u00e9 lehk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky.\u00a0S flexibiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a m\u00e9n\u011b doktrin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstupem byli rebelov\u00e9 schopni vyu\u017e\u00edt setrva\u010dnosti ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil k jejich opakovan\u00e9mu \u201elapen\u00ed\u201c.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_21\">V roce 2014, kdy\u017e jsem byl v NATO, jsem byl zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za boj proti \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed ru\u010dn\u00edch paln\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a sna\u017eili jsme se odhalit dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed rebel\u016fm, abychom zjistili, zda je do toho zapojena Moskva.\u00a0Informace, kter\u00e9 jsme tehdy obdr\u017eeli, poch\u00e1zely t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u011b od polsk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a \u201enesedly\u201c s informacemi poch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edmi z OBSE [Organizace pro bezpe\u010dnost a spolupr\u00e1ci v Evrop\u011b] \u2013 a navzdory pon\u011bkud hrub\u00fdm obvin\u011bn\u00edm nedo\u0161lo k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm dod\u00e1vk\u00e1m\u00a0<strong>zbran\u00ed<\/strong>\u00a0a vojensk\u00e9 vybaven\u00ed z Ruska.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_22\">Rebelov\u00e9 byli vyzbrojeni\u00a0<strong>d\u00edky zb\u011bhnut\u00ed ruskojazy\u010dn\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch jednotek<\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00e9 p\u0159e\u0161ly na stranu rebel\u016f.\u00a0Jak ukrajinsk\u00e9 ne\u00fasp\u011bchy pokra\u010dovaly, tankov\u00e9, d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 a protiletadlov\u00e9 prapory rostly v \u0159ad\u00e1ch autonomist\u016f.\u00a0To je to, co p\u0159im\u011blo Ukrajince, aby se zav\u00e1zali k Minsk\u00fdm dohod\u00e1m.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_23\">Ale t\u011bsn\u011b po podeps\u00e1n\u00ed dohod Minsk 1 zah\u00e1jil ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Petro Poro\u0161enko masivn\u00ed \u201eprotiteroristickou operaci\u201c (ATO\/\u0410\u043d\u0442\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0430 \u043e\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f) proti Donbasu.\u00a0Ukrajinci se \u0161patnou radou d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f NATO utrp\u011bli zdrcuj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku v Debalcevu, kter\u00e1 je p\u0159inutila zapojit se do dohod Minsk 2.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_24\">Zde je nutn\u00e9 p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee dohody Minsk 1 (z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2014) a Minsk 2 (\u00fanor 2015)\u00a0<strong>nestanovily<\/strong>\u00a0odd\u011blen\u00ed nebo nez\u00e1vislost republik, ale jejich autonomii v r\u00e1mci Ukrajiny.\u00a0Ti, kte\u0159\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.securitycouncilreport.org\/atf\/cf\/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D\/s_res_2202.pdf\">si Dohody p\u0159e\u010detli<\/a>\u00a0(je jich velmi m\u00e1lo, kte\u0159\u00ed je skute\u010dn\u011b maj\u00ed), si v\u0161imnou, \u017ee je naps\u00e1no, \u017ee o statutu republik se m\u011blo jednat mezi Kyjevem a z\u00e1stupci republik, pro vnit\u0159n\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v r\u00e1mci Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_25\">Rusko proto od roku 2014 systematicky po\u017eadovalo pln\u011bn\u00ed Minsk\u00fdch dohod a z\u00e1rove\u0148 odm\u00edtalo b\u00fdt stranou jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee \u0161lo o vnit\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost Ukrajiny.\u00a0Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b se Z\u00e1pad \u2013 v \u010dele s Franci\u00ed \u2013 systematicky sna\u017eil nahradit Minsk\u00e9 dohody \u201eform\u00e1tem Normandie\u201c, kter\u00fd postavil Rusy a Ukrajince tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159.\u00a0Pamatujme v\u0161ak, \u017ee p\u0159ed 23. a 24. \u00fanorem 2022 na Donbasu nikdy \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 jednotky nebyly. Nav\u00edc\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2018\/10\/25\/counting-the-dead-in-europes-forgotten-war-ukraine-conflict-donbass-osce\/\">pozorovatel\u00e9 OBSE nikdy<\/a>\u00a0p\u0159edt\u00edm nezpozorovali sebemen\u0161\u00ed stopu rusk\u00fdch jednotek p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00edch na Donbasu.\u00a0Nap\u0159\u00edklad americk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 mapa zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national-security\/russia-ukraine-invasion\/2021\/12\/03\/98a3760e-546b-11ec-8769-2f4ecdf7a2ad_story.html\"><em>Washington Post<\/em><\/a>\u00a03. prosince 2021 nezobrazuje rusk\u00e9 jednotky na Donbasu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1350\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1350px) 100vw, 1350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_26\">V \u0159\u00edjnu 2015 Vasyl Hrytsak, \u0159editel ukrajinsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017eby (SBU),\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kyivpost.com\/article\/content\/war-against-ukraine\/sbu-registers-involvement-of-56-russian-in-military-actions-against-ukraine-since-military-conflict-in-eastern-ukraien-unfolded-399718.htmlhttps:\/www.kyivpost.com\/article\/content\/war-against-ukraine\/sbu-registers-involvement-of-56-russian-in-military-actions-against-ukraine-since-military-conflict-in-eastern-ukraien-unfolded-399718.html\">p\u0159iznal<\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee na Donbasu bylo pozorov\u00e1no pouze 56 rusk\u00fdch bojovn\u00edk\u016f.\u00a0To bylo p\u0159esn\u011b srovnateln\u00e9 se \u0160v\u00fdcary, kte\u0159\u00ed jezdili bojovat o v\u00edkendech do Bosny, v 90. letech, nebo Francouzi, kte\u0159\u00ed dnes jezd\u00ed bojovat na Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_27\">Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da byla tehdy v \u017ealostn\u00e9m stavu.\u00a0V \u0159\u00edjnu 2018, po \u010dty\u0159ech letech v\u00e1lky, hlavn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd prokur\u00e1tor Anatolij Matios\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/vesti.ua\/strana\/309880-nazvany-neboevye-poteri-vsu-na-donbasse\">uvedl, \u017ee<\/a>\u00a0Ukrajina ztratila na Donbasu 2700 mu\u017e\u016f: 891 v d\u016fsledku nemoc\u00ed, 318 v d\u016fsledku dopravn\u00edch nehod, 177 v d\u016fsledku jin\u00fdch nehod, 175 v d\u016fsledku otrav (alkohol, drogy), 172 z neopatrn\u00e9 manipulace se zbran\u00ed, 101 z poru\u0161en\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch p\u0159edpis\u016f, 228 z vra\u017ed a 615 ze sebevra\u017ed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_28\">Ve skute\u010dnosti byla ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da podkop\u00e1na korupc\u00ed jej\u00edch k\u00e1dr\u016f a u\u017e se net\u011b\u0161ila podpo\u0159e obyvatelstva.\u00a0Podle\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.justice.gov\/eoir\/page\/file\/1008261\/download\">zpr\u00e1vy britsk\u00e9ho ministerstva vnitra<\/a>\u00a0se p\u0159i odvol\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f v b\u0159eznu\/dubnu 2014 70 procent nedostavilo na prvn\u00ed zased\u00e1n\u00ed, 80 procent na druh\u00e9, 90 procent na t\u0159et\u00ed a 95 procent na \u010dtvrt\u00e9.\u00a0V \u0159\u00edjnu\/listopadu 2017 se\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ipress.ua\/ru\/news\/v_vsu_zayavyly_o_70_neyavky_vo_vremya_osennego_pryziva_237367.html\">70 % branc\u016f<\/a>\u00a0nedostavilo na svol\u00e1vac\u00ed kampa\u0148 \u201ePodzim 2017\u201c.\u00a0To nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/observer.com\/2017\/06\/ukraine-war-soldiers-suicide\/\">sebevra\u017edy<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.refworld.org\/docid\/593a581b4.html\">dezerce<\/a>(\u010dasto p\u0159es autonomisty), kter\u00e9 dosahovaly a\u017e 30 procent pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly v oblasti ATO.\u00a0Mlad\u00ed Ukrajinci odm\u00edtli j\u00edt bojovat na Donbas a dali p\u0159ednost emigraci, co\u017e tak\u00e9 alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b vysv\u011btluje demografick\u00fd deficit zem\u011b.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_29\">Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany se pot\u00e9 obr\u00e1tilo na NATO, aby pomohlo u\u010dinit sv\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly \u201eatraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi\u201c.\u00a0Pot\u00e9, co jsem ji\u017e pracoval na podobn\u00fdch projektech v r\u00e1mci Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f, byl jsem po\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1n NATO, abych se z\u00fa\u010dastnil programu obnovy image ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.\u00a0To je ale dlouhodob\u00fd proces a Ukrajinci cht\u011bli postupovat rychle.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_30\">Tak\u017ee, aby kompenzovala nedostatek voj\u00e1k\u016f, ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se uch\u00fdlila k polovojensk\u00fdm milic\u00edm\u2026.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/RUSSIA-UKRAINE\/dwpkrkwkgvm\/\">V roce 2020 tvo\u0159ili podle Reuters<\/a>\u00a0asi 40 procent ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil a \u010d\u00edtali asi 102 000 mu\u017e\u016f\u00a0.\u00a0Byli vyzbrojeni, financov\u00e1ni a vycvi\u010deni Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed, Kanadou a Franci\u00ed.\u00a0Bylo tam v\u00edce ne\u017e 19 n\u00e1rodnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_31\">Tyto milice p\u016fsobily na Donbasu od roku 2014 se z\u00e1padn\u00ed podporou.\u00a0I kdy\u017e lze polemizovat o term\u00ednu \u201enacista\u201c, faktem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee tyto milice jsou n\u00e1siln\u00e9, vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed odpornou ideologii a jsou prudce antisemitsk\u00e9\u2026[a] jsou slo\u017eeny z fanatick\u00fdch a brut\u00e1ln\u00edch jedinc\u016f.\u00a0Nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z nich je pluk Azov, jeho\u017e znak p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 2. \u0159\u00ed\u0161skou tankovou divizi SS, kter\u00e1 je na Ukrajin\u011b uct\u00edv\u00e1na za osvobozen\u00ed Charkova od Sov\u011bt\u016f v roce 1943, p\u0159ed proveden\u00edm masakru v Oradour-sur-Glane v roce 1944. Francie.\u00a0[\u2026.]<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_32\">Charakterizace ukrajinsk\u00fdch polovojensk\u00fdch jednotek jako \u201enacist\u016f\u201c nebo \u201eneonacist\u016f\u201c je\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/international\/live\/2021\/05\/28\/avion-detourne-par-la-bielorussie-sanctions-de-l-union-europeenne-posez-vos-questions_6081892_3210.html\">pova\u017eov\u00e1na za ruskou propagandu<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Ale to nen\u00ed n\u00e1zor Times\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/hundreds-march-in-ukraine-in-annual-tribute-to-nazi-collaborator\/\"><em>of Israel<\/em><\/a>\u00a0nebo\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ctc.usma.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/CTC-SENTINEL-042020.pdf\">Centra pro boj proti terorismu West Point Academy<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0V roce 2014 se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee je\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/evidence-war-crimes-committed-ukrainian-nationalist-volunteers-grows-269604\">\u010dasopis\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/evidence-war-crimes-committed-ukrainian-nationalist-volunteers-grows-269604\"><em>Newsweek<\/em><\/a>\u00a0spojoval sp\u00ed\u0161e s\u2026 Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem.\u00a0Vyberte si!<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_33\">Tak\u017ee Z\u00e1pad podporoval a pokra\u010doval ve vyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed milic\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se od roku 2014 dopustily mnoha\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.osce.org\/files\/f\/documents\/e\/7\/233896.pdf\">zlo\u010din\u016f proti civiln\u00edmu obyvatelstvu<\/a>\u00a0: zn\u00e1sil\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed, mu\u010den\u00ed a masakry\u2026.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_34\">Integrace t\u011bchto polovojensk\u00fdch sil do Ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed gardy nebyla v\u016fbec doprov\u00e1zena \u201edenacifikac\u00ed\u201c,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rts.ch\/info\/monde\/12928403-podcast-ukrainerussie-cest-quoi-cette-histoire-de-nazis.html\">jak n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed tvrd\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<p>Mezi mnoha p\u0159\u00edklady insignie pluku Azov je pou\u010dn\u00fd:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.unz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/BoydAzov.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.unz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/BoydAzov.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"763\" height=\"356\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<p><strong>V roce 2022, velmi schematicky, byly ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly bojuj\u00edc\u00ed proti rusk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edv\u011b organizov\u00e1ny jako:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>arm\u00e1da, pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 ministerstvu obrany.\u00a0Je organizov\u00e1n do 3 arm\u00e1dn\u00edch sbor\u016f a skl\u00e1d\u00e1 se z man\u00e9vrov\u00fdch formac\u00ed (tanky, t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo, rakety atd.).<\/li>\n<li>N\u00e1rodn\u00ed garda, kter\u00e1 z\u00e1vis\u00ed na ministerstvu vnitra a je organizov\u00e1na do 5 \u00fazemn\u00edch velitelstv\u00ed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p id=\"p_1_37\">N\u00e1rodn\u00ed garda je tedy jednotka \u00fazemn\u00ed obrany, kter\u00e1 nen\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.\u00a0Zahrnuje polovojensk\u00e9 milice, naz\u00fdvan\u00e9 \u201edobrovolnick\u00e9 prapory\u201c (\u0434\u043e\u0431\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0447\u0456 \u0431\u0430\u0442\u0430\u043b\u044c\u0439\u043e\u043d\u0456), zn\u00e1m\u00e9 tak\u00e9 pod evokuj\u00edc\u00edm n\u00e1zvem \u201eodvetn\u00e9 prapory\u201c a slo\u017een\u00e9 z p\u011bchoty.\u00a0Vycvi\u010deni p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pro m\u011bstsk\u00fd boj, nyn\u00ed br\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bsta jako Charkov, Mariupol, Od\u011bsa, Kyjev atd.<\/p>\n<h1 id=\"p_1_38\"><strong>\u010c\u00e1st druh\u00e1: V\u00e1lka<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p id=\"p_1_39\">Jako b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f anal\u00fdzy sil Var\u0161avsk\u00e9 smlouvy ve \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eb\u011b se smutkem \u2013 ale ne \u00fadivem \u2013 pozoruji, \u017ee na\u0161e slu\u017eby ji\u017e nejsou schopny ch\u00e1pat vojenskou situaci na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Samozvan\u00ed \u201eexperti\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed defiluj\u00ed na na\u0161ich televizn\u00edch obrazovk\u00e1ch, ne\u00fanavn\u011b p\u0159ed\u00e1vaj\u00ed tyt\u00e9\u017e informace modulovan\u00e9 tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee Rusko \u2013 a Vladimir Putin \u2013 jsou iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u00a0Ud\u011blejme krok zp\u011bt.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Vypuknut\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p id=\"p_1_40\">Od listopadu 2021 Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 neust\u00e1le vyhro\u017euj\u00ed ruskou invaz\u00ed na Ukrajinu.\u00a0Ukrajinci s t\u00edm ale zpo\u010d\u00e1tku jakoby nesouhlasili.\u00a0Pro\u010d ne?<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_41\">Mus\u00edme se vr\u00e1tit do 24. b\u0159ezna 2021. Toho dne\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.president.gov.ua\/documents\/1172021-37533\">vydal Volodymyr Zelenskyj dekret<\/a>\u00a0o\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.president.gov.ua\/news\/prezident-zatverdiv-strategiyu-deokupaciyi-ta-reintegraciyi-67321\">znovudobyt\u00ed Krymu<\/a>\u00a0a za\u010dal rozmis\u0165ovat sv\u00e9 s\u00edly na jih zem\u011b.\u00a0Sou\u010dasn\u011b prob\u011bhlo n\u011bkolik cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO mezi \u010cern\u00fdm mo\u0159em a Baltsk\u00fdm mo\u0159em, doprov\u00e1zen\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.janes.com\/defence-news\/news-detail\/us-uk-surge-surveillance-flights-over-ukraine-and-black-sea\">n\u00e1r\u016fstem pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch let\u016f<\/a>\u00a0pod\u00e9l rusk\u00fdch hranic.\u00a0Rusko pot\u00e9 provedlo n\u011bkolik cvi\u010den\u00ed, aby otestovalo opera\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159ipravenost sv\u00fdch jednotek a uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee sleduje v\u00fdvoj situace.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_42\">V\u011bci se uklidnily a\u017e do \u0159\u00edjna a listopadu ukon\u010den\u00edm cvi\u010den\u00ed ZAPAD 21, jeho\u017e p\u0159esuny vojsk byly interpretov\u00e1ny jako posila pro ofenz\u00edvu proti Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0I ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady v\u0161ak my\u0161lenku rusk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edprav na v\u00e1lku vyvr\u00e1tily a ukrajinsk\u00fd ministr obrany Oleksij Reznikov uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee\u00a0na jej\u00ed hranici od jara\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/hot-topic\/defense-minister-downplays-russias-threat-says-its-similar-to-that-of-spring-2021\/\">nedo\u0161lo k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b .<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_43\">Ukrajina v rozporu s Minsk\u00fdmi dohodami prov\u00e1d\u011bla leteck\u00e9 operace na Donbasu pomoc\u00ed dron\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nationalinterest.org\/feature\/ukraine%E2%80%99s-recent-drone-strike-reignites-tensions-donbass-195709\">nejm\u00e9n\u011b jednoho \u00faderu<\/a>\u00a0proti skladu paliva v Don\u011bcku v \u0159\u00edjnu 2021. Americk\u00fd tisk si toho v\u0161iml, ale ne Evropan;\u00a0a nikdo tato poru\u0161en\u00ed neodsoudil.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_44\">V \u00fanoru 2022 ud\u00e1losti vyvrcholily.\u00a07. \u00fanora, b\u011bhem sv\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy v Moskv\u011b, Emmanuel Macron\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=QHDAYz7g4u4\">znovu potvrdil<\/a>\u00a0Vladimiru Putinovi sv\u016fj z\u00e1vazek v\u016f\u010di Minsk\u00fdm dohod\u00e1m, z\u00e1vazek,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=InrDN7jYVOs\">kter\u00fd zopakuje<\/a>\u00a0po setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Volodymyrem Zelensk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed den.\u00a0Ale 11. \u00fanora v Berl\u00edn\u011b, po dev\u00edti hodin\u00e1ch pr\u00e1ce, skon\u010dila sch\u016fzka politick\u00fdch poradc\u016f v\u016fdc\u016f \u201eform\u00e1tu Normandie\u201c bez konkr\u00e9tn\u00edho v\u00fdsledku: Ukrajinci st\u00e1le odm\u00edtali\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/europe\/normandy-format-talks-in-berlin-end-without-tangible-results\/2499568\">uplat\u0148ovat Minsk\u00e9 dohody<\/a>\u00a0, zjevn\u011b pod tlakem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0Vladimir Putin poznamenal, \u017ee Macron dal pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 sliby a \u017ee Z\u00e1pad nen\u00ed p\u0159ipraven prosazovat dohody, stejn\u00fd odpor v\u016f\u010di urovn\u00e1n\u00ed, jak\u00fd projevoval osm let.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1350\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1350px) 100vw, 1350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_45\">Ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpravy v kontaktn\u00ed z\u00f3n\u011b pokra\u010dovaly.\u00a0Rusk\u00fd parlament se znepokojil;\u00a0a 15. \u00fanora po\u017e\u00e1dala Vladimira Putina, aby uznal nez\u00e1vislost republik, co\u017e zpo\u010d\u00e1tku odm\u00edtl.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_46\">Dne 17. \u00fanora prezident Joe Biden\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2022\/02\/17\/politics\/joe-biden-russia\/index.html\">ozn\u00e1mil<\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Rusko v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dnech za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Ukrajinu.\u00a0Jak to v\u011bd\u011bl?\u00a0Je to z\u00e1hada.\u00a0Ale od 16. se d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed obyvatel Donbasu dramaticky zv\u00fd\u0161ilo, jak ukazuj\u00ed denn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy pozorovatel\u016f OBSE.\u00a0P\u0159irozen\u011b nereagovala ani nezas\u00e1hla ani m\u00e9dia, ani Evropsk\u00e1 unie, ani NATO, ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1da.\u00a0Pozd\u011bji by se \u0159eklo, \u017ee to byla rusk\u00e1 dezinformace.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti to vypad\u00e1, \u017ee Evropsk\u00e1 unie a n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b ml\u010d\u00ed o masakru obyvatel Donbasu s v\u011bdom\u00edm, \u017ee by to vyvolalo ruskou intervenci.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_47\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se objevily zpr\u00e1vy o sabot\u00e1\u017e\u00edch na Donbasu.\u00a0Dne 18. ledna zadr\u017eeli bojovn\u00edci Donbasu sabot\u00e9ry, kte\u0159\u00ed mluvili polsky a byli vybaveni z\u00e1padn\u00edm vybaven\u00edm a sna\u017eili se vytvo\u0159it\u00a0<strong>chemick\u00e9 incidenty<\/strong>\u00a0v\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sprotyv.info\/news\/okkupanty-minirujut-mesta-hraneniya-ammiaka-na-zavode-stirol-dannye-gruppy-is\">Gorlivce<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Mohli to b\u00fdt\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/cia-trained-ukrainian-paramilitaries-may-take-central-role-if-russia-invades-185258008.html\">\u017eold\u00e1ci CIA<\/a>\u00a0, veden\u00ed nebo \u201edoporu\u010den\u00ed\u201c Ameri\u010dany a slo\u017een\u00e9 z ukrajinsk\u00fdch nebo evropsk\u00fdch bojovn\u00edk\u016f, aby prov\u00e1d\u011bli sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00ed akce v republik\u00e1ch Donbass.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_48\">Ve skute\u010dnosti u\u017e 16. \u00fanora Joe Biden v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee Ukrajinci za\u010dali intenzivn\u011b ost\u0159elovat civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo Donbasu, co\u017e donutilo Vladimira Putina k t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 volb\u011b: vojensky pomoci Donbasu a vytvo\u0159it mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed probl\u00e9m, nebo st\u00e1t opod\u00e1l a p\u0159ihl\u00ed\u017eet rusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed lid Donbasu je rozdrcen.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_49\">Pokud by se rozhodl zas\u00e1hnout, mohl by Putin uplatnit mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1vazek \u201eOdpov\u011bdnost chr\u00e1nit\u201c (R2P).\u00a0V\u011bd\u011bl v\u0161ak, \u017ee bez ohledu na jeho povahu nebo rozsah by z\u00e1sah vyvolal smr\u0161\u0165 sankc\u00ed.\u00a0Proto, a\u0165 u\u017e by se rusk\u00e1 intervence omezila na Donbas, nebo by \u0161la d\u00e1le a tla\u010dila na Z\u00e1pad ohledn\u011b statusu Ukrajiny, cena, kterou je t\u0159eba zaplatit, by byla stejn\u00e1.\u00a0To vysv\u011btlil ve sv\u00e9m projevu 21. \u00fanora. Toho dne souhlasil s \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed Dumy a uznal nez\u00e1vislost obou donbassk\u00fdch republik a z\u00e1rove\u0148 s nimi podepsal smlouvy o p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed a pomoci.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_50\">Ukrajinsk\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed obyvatel Donbasu pokra\u010dovalo a 23. \u00fanora ob\u011b republiky po\u017e\u00e1daly o vojenskou pomoc Rusko.\u00a0Dne 24. \u00fanora se Vladimir Putin odvolal na \u010dl\u00e1nek 51 Charty Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f, kter\u00fd stanov\u00ed vz\u00e1jemnou vojenskou pomoc v r\u00e1mci obrann\u00e9 aliance.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_51\">Aby se rusk\u00e1 intervence jevila v o\u010d\u00edch ve\u0159ejnosti jako naprosto nez\u00e1konn\u00e1, z\u00e1padn\u00ed mocnosti z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b zatajily skute\u010dnost, \u017ee v\u00e1lka skute\u010dn\u011b za\u010dala 16. \u00fanora. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se p\u0159ipravovala k \u00fatoku na Donbas u\u017e v roce 2021, proto\u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ru\u0161t\u00ed a Evropsk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby si byly dob\u0159e v\u011bdomy.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_52\">Ve sv\u00e9m projevu z 24. \u00fanora Vladimir Putin uvedl dva c\u00edle sv\u00e9 operace: \u201edemilitarizovat\u201c a \u201edenacizovat\u201c Ukrajinu.\u00a0Ne\u0161lo tedy o ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed Ukrajiny, dokonce ani, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b, o jej\u00ed okupaci;\u00a0a rozhodn\u011b ne o jeho zni\u010den\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_53\">Od t\u00e9 doby jsou na\u0161e znalosti o pr\u016fb\u011bhu operace omezen\u00e9: Rusov\u00e9 maj\u00ed vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed zabezpe\u010den\u00ed sv\u00fdch operac\u00ed (OPSEC) a detaily jejich pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed nejsou zn\u00e1my.\u00a0Ale pom\u011brn\u011b rychle n\u00e1m pr\u016fb\u011bh operace umo\u017e\u0148uje pochopit, jak byly strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle p\u0159evedeny na opera\u010dn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"p_1_54\"><strong>Demilitarizace:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>pozemn\u00ed ni\u010den\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho letectva, syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f;<\/li>\n<li>neutralizace velitelsk\u00fdch a zpravodajsk\u00fdch struktur (C3I), jako\u017e i hlavn\u00edch logistick\u00fdch tras v hloubce \u00fazem\u00ed;<\/li>\n<li>obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 na jihov\u00fdchod\u011b zem\u011b.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"p_1_55\"><strong>Denacifikace:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>zni\u010den\u00ed nebo neutralizace dobrovolnick\u00fdch prapor\u016f p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00edch ve m\u011bstech Od\u011bsa, Charkov a Mariupol, jako\u017e i v r\u016fzn\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edch na \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li><strong>Demilitarizace<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p id=\"p_1_56\">Rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva byla provedena velmi \u201eklasick\u00fdm\u201c zp\u016fsobem.\u00a0Zpo\u010d\u00e1tku \u2013 jako to ud\u011blali Izraelci v roce 1967 \u2013 se zni\u010den\u00edm letectva na zemi hned v prvn\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch.\u00a0Pot\u00e9 jsme byli sv\u011bdky sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho postupu po n\u011bkolika os\u00e1ch podle principu \u201etekouc\u00ed vody\u201c: postupovat v\u0161ude tam, kde byl slab\u00fd odpor a\u00a0<strong>m\u011bsta<\/strong>\u00a0(velmi n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 na voj\u00e1ky) nechat na pozd\u011bji.\u00a0Na severu byla okam\u017eit\u011b obsazena \u010dernobylsk\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo sabot\u00e1\u017e\u00edm.\u00a0Sn\u00edmky ukrajinsk\u00fdch a rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/intelslava\/20722\">spole\u010dn\u011b st\u0159e\u017e\u00ed elektr\u00e1rnu,<\/a>\u00a0samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nejsou zobrazeny.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_57\">My\u0161lenka, \u017ee Rusko se sna\u017e\u00ed ovl\u00e1dnout Kyjev, hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto, aby zlikvidovalo Zelensk\u00e9ho, poch\u00e1z\u00ed typicky ze Z\u00e1padu\u2026\u00a0Ale Vladimir Putin nikdy nem\u011bl v \u00famyslu Zelensk\u00e9ho zast\u0159elit nebo svrhnout.\u00a0M\u00edsto toho se ho Rusko sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet u moci t\u00edm, \u017ee ho tla\u010d\u00ed k vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00edm Kyjeva.\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed z\u00edskat neutralitu Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_58\">Mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch koment\u00e1tor\u016f bylo p\u0159ekvapeno, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159i prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed nad\u00e1le hledali vyjednan\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0Vysv\u011btlen\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v rusk\u00e9m strategick\u00e9m v\u00fdhledu od sov\u011btsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry.\u00a0Pro Z\u00e1pad v\u00e1lka za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1, kdy\u017e politika kon\u010d\u00ed.\u00a0Rusk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup se v\u0161ak \u0159\u00edd\u00ed Clausewitzovskou inspirac\u00ed: v\u00e1lka je kontinuitou politiky a \u010dlov\u011bk se m\u016f\u017ee plynule pohybovat z jedn\u00e9 do druh\u00e9, dokonce i b\u011bhem boje.\u00a0To umo\u017e\u0148uje vytv\u00e1\u0159et tlak na protivn\u00edka a tla\u010dit ho k vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_59\">Z opera\u010dn\u00edho hlediska byla rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva p\u0159\u00edkladem p\u0159edchoz\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 akce a pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed: Rusov\u00e9 za \u0161est dn\u00ed obsadili \u00fazem\u00ed velk\u00e9 jako Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed s rychlost\u00ed postupu v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jak\u00e9 dos\u00e1hl Wehrmacht v roce 1940. .<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_60\">Velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy byla nasazena na jihu zem\u011b v r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edpravy na velkou operaci proti Donbasu.\u00a0Rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly ji proto mohly od za\u010d\u00e1tku b\u0159ezna obkl\u00ed\u010dit v \u201ekotli\u201c mezi Slavjanskem, Kramatorskem a Severodon\u011bckem s n\u00e1porem z v\u00fdchodu p\u0159es Charkov a dal\u0161\u00edm z jihu z Krymu.\u00a0Vojska z Don\u011bck\u00e9 (DPR) a Lugansk\u00e9 (LPR) republiky dopl\u0148uj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly tlakem z v\u00fdchodu.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_61\">V t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly pomalu utahuj\u00ed smy\u010dku, ale ji\u017e nejsou pod \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm \u010dasov\u00fdm tlakem ani harmonogramem.\u00a0Jejich demilitariza\u010dn\u00ed c\u00edl je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 spln\u011bn a zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly ji\u017e nemaj\u00ed opera\u010dn\u00ed a strategickou velitelskou strukturu.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_62\">\u201eZpomalen\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00e9 na\u0161i \u201eexperti\u201c p\u0159ipisuj\u00ed \u0161patn\u00e9 logistice, je pouze d\u016fsledkem dosa\u017een\u00ed jejich c\u00edl\u016f.\u00a0Rusko se nechce zapojit do okupace cel\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko se sna\u017e\u00ed omezit sv\u016fj postup na jazykovou hranici zem\u011b.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_63\">Na\u0161e m\u00e9dia hovo\u0159\u00ed o nevyb\u00edrav\u00e9m bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed civiln\u00edho obyvatelstva, zejm\u00e9na v Charkov\u011b, a d\u011bsiv\u00e9 obr\u00e1zky jsou \u0161iroce vys\u00edl\u00e1ny.\u00a0Gonzalo Lira, latinskoamerick\u00fd zpravodaj, kter\u00fd tam \u017eije, n\u00e1m v\u0161ak\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Uecv6AX8P3Q\">10.<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=b8RNhQjjn-4&amp;feature=youtu.be\">11.<\/a>\u00a0b\u0159ezna p\u0159edstavuje klidn\u00e9 m\u011bsto .\u00a0Je pravda, \u017ee je to velk\u00e9 m\u011bsto a nevid\u00edme v\u0161echno \u2013 ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee to nazna\u010duje, \u017ee nejsme v tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce, kterou n\u00e1m nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b serv\u00edruj\u00ed na\u0161e televizn\u00ed obrazovky.\u00a0Pokud jde o Donbassk\u00e9 republiky, ty \u201eosvobodily\u201c sv\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed a bojuj\u00ed ve m\u011bst\u011b Mariupol.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li><strong>Denacifikace<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p id=\"p_1_64\">Ve m\u011bstech jako Charkov, Mariupol a Od\u011bsa zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed ukrajinskou obranu polovojensk\u00e9 milice.\u00a0V\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee c\u00edl \u201edenacifikace\u201c je zam\u011b\u0159en p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na n\u011b.\u00a0Pro \u00fato\u010dn\u00edka v urbanizovan\u00e9 oblasti jsou civilist\u00e9 probl\u00e9mem.\u00a0To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d Rusko usiluje o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00edch koridor\u016f, kter\u00e9 by vypr\u00e1zdnily m\u011bsta od civilist\u016f a ponechaly pouze milice, aby s nimi snadn\u011bji bojovalo.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_65\">Tyto milice se naopak sna\u017e\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit evakuaci civilist\u016f ve m\u011bstech, aby odradily ruskou arm\u00e1du od tamn\u00edch boj\u016f.\u00a0To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d se zdr\u00e1haj\u00ed zav\u00e9st tyto koridory a d\u011blaj\u00ed v\u0161e pro to, aby zajistily, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 snahy budou ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 \u2013 pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo jako \u201elidsk\u00e9 \u0161t\u00edty\u201c.\u00a0Videa ukazuj\u00edc\u00ed civilisty pokou\u0161ej\u00edc\u00ed se opustit Mariupol a zbit\u00e9 bojovn\u00edky pluku Azov jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b pe\u010dliv\u011b cenzurov\u00e1ny z\u00e1padn\u00edmi m\u00e9dii.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_66\">Na Facebooku byla skupina Azov pova\u017eov\u00e1na ve stejn\u00e9 kategorii jako Isl\u00e1msk\u00fd st\u00e1t [ISIS] a podl\u00e9hala \u201epolitice platformy v\u016f\u010di nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm jednotlivc\u016fm a organizac\u00edm\u201c.\u00a0Bylo proto zak\u00e1z\u00e1no glorifikovat jej\u00ed \u010dinnost a systematicky byly zakazov\u00e1ny \u201ep\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky\u201c, kter\u00e9 j\u00ed byly naklon\u011bny.\u00a0Ale 24. \u00fanora Facebook zm\u011bnil svou politiku a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2022\/02\/24\/ukraine-facebook-azov-battalion-russia\/\">povolil p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 pro milice<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Ve stejn\u00e9m duchu platforma v b\u0159eznu schv\u00e1lila v b\u00fdval\u00fdch v\u00fdchodn\u00edch zem\u00edch v\u00fdzvy k\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2022\/mar\/11\/facebook-and-instagram-let-users-call-for-death-to-russian-soldiers-over-ukraine\">vra\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a v\u016fdc\u016f<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Tolik k hodnot\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 inspiruj\u00ed na\u0161e v\u016fdce.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_67\">Na\u0161e m\u00e9dia propaguj\u00ed romantick\u00fd obraz lidov\u00e9ho odporu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho lidu.\u00a0Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento obraz vedl Evropskou unii k financov\u00e1n\u00ed distribuce zbran\u00ed civiln\u00edmu obyvatelstvu.\u00a0Ve sv\u00e9 funkci vedouc\u00edho m\u00edrov\u00fdch operac\u00ed v OSN jsem pracoval na ot\u00e1zce ochrany civilist\u016f.\u00a0Zjistili jsme, \u017ee k n\u00e1sil\u00ed proti civilist\u016fm doch\u00e1zelo ve velmi specifick\u00fdch kontextech.\u00a0Zejm\u00e9na, kdy\u017e je dostatek zbran\u00ed a neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 velitelsk\u00e9 struktury.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1350\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1350px) 100vw, 1350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_68\">Tyto velitelsk\u00e9 struktury jsou podstatou arm\u00e1d: jejich funkc\u00ed je sm\u011brovat pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly k c\u00edli.\u00a0T\u00edm, \u017ee EU vyzbrojuje ob\u010dany nahodil\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak je tomu v sou\u010dasnosti, z nich d\u011bl\u00e1 bojovn\u00edky, co\u017e m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledek, \u017ee se z nich st\u00e1vaj\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed c\u00edle.\u00a0Nav\u00edc bez velen\u00ed, bez opera\u010dn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f vede rozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed zbran\u00ed nevyhnuteln\u011b k vy\u0159izov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fa\u010dt\u016f, bandit\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed a akc\u00edm, kter\u00e9 jsou sp\u00ed\u0161e smrt\u00edc\u00ed ne\u017e \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9.\u00a0V\u00e1lka se st\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed emoc\u00ed.\u00a0S\u00edla se st\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1sil\u00edm.\u00a0To se stalo v Tawarze (Libye) od 11. do 13. srpna 2011, kde bylo zmasakrov\u00e1no 30 000 \u010dern\u00fdch Afri\u010dan\u016f zbran\u011bmi, kter\u00e9 (ileg\u00e1ln\u011b) Francie zmasakrovala.\u00a0Mimochodem, Britsk\u00fd kr\u00e1lovsk\u00fd institut pro strategick\u00e1 studia (RUSI)\u00a0v t\u011bchto dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch zbran\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rusi.org\/explore-our-research\/publications\/commentary\/what-do-uk-weapons-deliveries-add-ukraines-armed-forces\">nevid\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou p\u0159idanou hodnotu .<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_69\">Nav\u00edc dod\u00e1n\u00edm zbran\u00ed do zem\u011b ve v\u00e1lce se \u010dlov\u011bk vystavuje tomu, \u017ee je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edho.\u00a0Rusk\u00e9 \u00fadery z 13. b\u0159ezna 2022 proti leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b Mykolajev n\u00e1sleduj\u00ed po\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2022\/3\/12\/russia-says-it-could-target-western-arms-supplies-to-ukraine\">rusk\u00fdch varov\u00e1n\u00edch<\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee se z\u00e1silkami zbran\u00ed bude zach\u00e1zeno jako s nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdmi c\u00edli.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_70\">EU opakuje katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed zku\u0161enost T\u0159et\u00ed \u0159\u00ed\u0161e v posledn\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch bitvy o Berl\u00edn.\u00a0V\u00e1lka mus\u00ed b\u00fdt ponech\u00e1na arm\u00e1d\u011b, a kdy\u017e jedna strana prohraje, je t\u0159eba to p\u0159iznat.\u00a0A pokud m\u00e1 existovat odpor, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt veden a strukturov\u00e1n.\u00a0My ale d\u011bl\u00e1me prav\u00fd opak \u2013 tla\u010d\u00edme ob\u010dany, aby \u0161li bojovat, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 Facebook povoluje v\u00fdzvy k vra\u017ed\u011b rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a v\u016fdc\u016f.\u00a0Tolik k hodnot\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1s inspiruj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_71\">N\u011bkter\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby vid\u00ed toto nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed jako zp\u016fsob, jak vyu\u017e\u00edt ukrajinsk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo jako potravu pro d\u011bla v boji proti Rusku Vladimira Putina\u2026.\u00a0Ne\u017e p\u0159il\u00e9vat olej do ohn\u011b, bylo by lep\u0161\u00ed zapojit se do jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a z\u00edskat tak z\u00e1ruky pro civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo.\u00a0Je snadn\u00e9 bojovat s krv\u00ed ostatn\u00edch.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"4\">\n<li><strong>Porodnice v Mariupolu<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p id=\"p_1_72\">P\u0159edem je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pochopit, \u017ee Mariupol nebr\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, ale milice Azov, slo\u017een\u00e9 ze zahrani\u010dn\u00edch \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_73\">Ve sv\u00e9m shrnut\u00ed situace ze 7. b\u0159ezna 2022\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/russiaun.ru\/en\/news\/070322n\">rusk\u00e1 mise OSN<\/a>\u00a0v New Yorku uvedla, \u017ee \u201eObyvatel\u00e9 hl\u00e1s\u00ed, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly vyhnaly person\u00e1l z m\u011bstsk\u00e9 porodnice \u010d. 1 v Mariupolu a z\u0159\u00eddily palebn\u00e9 stanovi\u0161t\u011b uvnit\u0159 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.\u201c\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lenta.ru\/articles\/2022\/03\/08\/mariupol\/\">Nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 m\u00e9dium Lenta.ru<\/a>\u00a0zve\u0159ejnilo 8. b\u0159ezna\u00a0sv\u011bdectv\u00ed civilist\u016f z Mariupolu, kte\u0159\u00ed uvedli, \u017ee porodnici p\u0159evzala milice pluku Azov a kte\u0159\u00ed civiln\u00ed okupanty vyhro\u017eovali sv\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi.\u00a0P\u00e1r hodin p\u0159edt\u00edm potvrdili vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho velvyslance.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_74\">Nemocnice v Mariupolu zauj\u00edm\u00e1 dominantn\u00ed postaven\u00ed, dokonale se hod\u00ed pro instalaci protitankov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a pro pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Dne 9. b\u0159ezna rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly zas\u00e1hly budovu.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2022\/03\/09\/europe\/russia-invasion-ukraine-evacuations-03-09-intl\/index.html\">Podle CNN<\/a>\u00a0bylo zran\u011bno 17 lid\u00ed, ale sn\u00edmky neukazuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ob\u011bti v budov\u011b a neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd d\u016fkaz, \u017ee by zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 ob\u011bti souvisely s t\u00edmto \u00faderem.\u00a0Mluv\u00ed se o d\u011btech, ale ve skute\u010dnosti nic.\u00a0To nebr\u00e1n\u00ed vedouc\u00edm p\u0159edstavitel\u016fm EU v tom, aby\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/eu-condemns-russian-bombing-of-mariupol-maternity-hospital-as-a-war-crime\/\">to vid\u011bli jako v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd zlo\u010din<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0A to umo\u017e\u0148uje Zelensk\u00e9mu volat po bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b nad Ukrajinou.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_75\">Ve skute\u010dnosti p\u0159esn\u011b nev\u00edme, co se stalo.\u00a0Ale sled ud\u00e1lost\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e potvrzuje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly zas\u00e1hly pozici pluku Azov a \u017ee porodnice byla tehdy bez civilist\u016f.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_76\">Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee polovojensk\u00e9 milice, kter\u00e9 br\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bsta, jsou povzbuzov\u00e1ny mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm spole\u010denstv\u00edm, aby nerespektovaly pravidla v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Ukrajinci p\u0159ehr\u00e1li\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=LmfVs3WaE9Y\">sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 porodnice v Kuwait City<\/a>\u00a0z roku 1990, kterou tot\u00e1ln\u011b zinscenovala firma Hill &amp; Knowlton za 10,7 milionu dolar\u016f, aby p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dila Radu bezpe\u010dnosti OSN, aby zas\u00e1hla v Ir\u00e1ku kv\u016fli operaci Desert Shield\/Storm. .<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_77\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici akceptovali civiln\u00ed \u00fadery na Donbasu po dobu osmi let, ani\u017e by p\u0159ijali jak\u00e9koli sankce proti ukrajinsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b.\u00a0Ji\u017e d\u00e1vno jsme vstoupili do dynamiky, kdy z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici souhlasili s ob\u011btov\u00e1n\u00edm mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va ve prosp\u011bch sv\u00e9ho\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rand.org\/content\/dam\/rand\/pubs\/research_reports\/RR3000\/RR3063\/RAND_RR3063.pdf\">c\u00edle oslabit Rusko<\/a>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<h1 id=\"p_1_78\"><strong>\u010c\u00e1st t\u0159et\u00ed: Z\u00e1v\u011bry<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p id=\"p_1_79\">Jako b\u00fdval\u00e9ho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho profesion\u00e1la m\u011b prvn\u00ed v\u011bc, kter\u00e1 m\u011b napad\u00e1, je naprost\u00e1 absence z\u00e1padn\u00edch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb v p\u0159esn\u00e9m zn\u00e1zorn\u011bn\u00ed situace za posledn\u00ed rok\u2026.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti se zd\u00e1, \u017ee v cel\u00e9m z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b byly zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby politiky p\u0159emo\u017eeny.\u00a0Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee rozhoduj\u00ed politici \u2013 nejlep\u0161\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba na sv\u011bt\u011b je k ni\u010demu, pokud ten, kdo rozhoduje, neposlouch\u00e1.\u00a0To se stalo b\u011bhem t\u00e9to krize.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_80\">To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee zat\u00edmco n\u011bkolik zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb m\u011blo velmi p\u0159esn\u00fd a racion\u00e1ln\u00ed obr\u00e1zek o situaci, jin\u00e9 m\u011bly zjevn\u011b stejn\u00fd obr\u00e1zek, jak\u00fd propaguj\u00ed na\u0161e m\u00e9dia\u2026 Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee ze zku\u0161enosti jsem zjistil, \u017ee jsou na tom velmi \u0161patn\u011b. analytick\u00e9 \u00farovni \u2013 doktrin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9, postr\u00e1daj\u00ed intelektu\u00e1ln\u00ed a politickou nez\u00e1vislost nezbytnou k posouzen\u00ed situace s vojenskou \u201ekvalitou\u201c.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_81\">Zadruh\u00e9, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee v n\u011bkter\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch politici na situaci z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b zareagovali ideologicky.\u00a0Proto je tato krize od po\u010d\u00e1tku iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u00a0Nutno podotknout, \u017ee v\u0161echny dokumenty, kter\u00e9 byly b\u011bhem t\u00e9to krize ve\u0159ejnosti prezentov\u00e1ny, byly prezentov\u00e1ny politiky na z\u00e1klad\u011b komer\u010dn\u00edch zdroj\u016f.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_82\">N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici zjevn\u011b\u00a0<strong>cht\u011bli,<\/strong>\u00a0aby do\u0161lo ke konfliktu.\u00a0Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech byly sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e \u00fatoku, kter\u00e9 Anthony Blinken p\u0159edlo\u017eil Rad\u011b bezpe\u010dnosti OSN, pouze v\u00fdplodem fantazie tyg\u0159\u00edho t\u00fdmu, kter\u00fd\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national-security\/2022\/02\/14\/white-house-prepares-russian-invasion\/\">pro<\/a>\u00a0n\u011bj pracoval \u2013 ud\u011blal to p\u0159esn\u011b jako Donald Rumsfeld v roce 2002, kter\u00fd \u201eobe\u0161el\u201c CIA a dal\u0161\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby, kter\u00e9 byly mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b asertivn\u00ed ohledn\u011b ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch chemick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_83\">Dramatick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, kter\u00e9ho jsme dnes sv\u011bdky, m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny, o kter\u00fdch jsme v\u011bd\u011bli, ale odm\u00edtali je vid\u011bt:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>na strategick\u00e9 \u00farovni roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO (kter\u00e9 jsme zde ne\u0159e\u0161ili);<\/li>\n<li>na politick\u00e9 \u00farovni odm\u00edtnut\u00ed Z\u00e1padu prov\u00e1d\u011bt Minsk\u00e9 dohody;<\/li>\n<li>a operativn\u011b nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9 a opakovan\u00e9 \u00fatoky na civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo Donbasu v posledn\u00edch letech a dramatick\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst koncem \u00fanora 2022.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p id=\"p_1_84\">Jin\u00fdmi slovy, rusk\u00fd \u00fatok m\u016f\u017eeme p\u0159irozen\u011b odsoudit a odsoudit.\u00a0Ale MY (tedy: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, Francie a Evropsk\u00e1 unie v \u010dele) jsme vytvo\u0159ili podm\u00ednky pro vypuknut\u00ed konfliktu.\u00a0Projevujeme soucit s ukrajinsk\u00fdm lidem a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/data2.unhcr.org\/en\/situations\/ukraine\">dv\u011bma miliony uprchl\u00edk\u016f<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0To je v po\u0159\u00e1dku.\u00a0Ale kdybychom m\u011bli \u0161petku soucitu se stejn\u00fdm po\u010dtem\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/reliefweb.int\/report\/ukraine\/ukraine-humanitarian-response-plan-2022-february-2022-enuk?utm_source=pocket_mylist\">uprchl\u00edk\u016f z ukrajinsk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva<\/a>\u00a0Donbasu zmasakrovan\u00e9ho vlastn\u00ed vl\u00e1dou, kte\u0159\u00ed osm let hledali \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b v Rusku, nic z toho by se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nestalo.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_85\">[\u2026.]<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_86\">Otev\u0159enou ot\u00e1zkou je, zda se term\u00edn \u201egenocida\u201c vztahuje na zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed lid\u00ed na Donbasu.\u00a0Term\u00edn je obecn\u011b vyhrazen pro p\u0159\u00edpady v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho rozsahu (holocaust atd.).\u00a0Ale definice uveden\u00e1 v\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ohchr.org\/fr\/instruments-mechanisms\/instruments\/convention-prevention-and-punishment-crime-genocide\">\u00damluv\u011b o genocid\u011b<\/a>\u00a0je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b dostate\u010dn\u011b \u0161irok\u00e1, aby se na tento p\u0159\u00edpad vztahovala.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_87\">Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee tento konflikt n\u00e1s p\u0159ivedl k hysterii.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee sankce se staly preferovan\u00fdm n\u00e1strojem na\u0161\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky.\u00a0Kdybychom trvali na tom, aby Ukrajina dodr\u017eovala Minsk\u00e9 dohody, kter\u00e9 jsme vyjednali a schv\u00e1lili, nic z toho by se nestalo.\u00a0Odsouzen\u00ed Vladimira Putina je tak\u00e9 na\u0161e.\u00a0Nem\u00e1 smysl potom f\u0148ukat \u2013 m\u011bli jsme jednat d\u0159\u00edve.\u00a0Emmanuel Macron (jako garant a \u010dlen Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN), Olaf Scholz ani Volodymyr Zelenskij v\u0161ak sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky nerespektovali.\u00a0Skute\u010dnou por\u00e1\u017ekou je nakonec por\u00e1\u017eka t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd hlas.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_88\">Evropsk\u00e1 unie nebyla schopna prosazovat prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed minsk\u00fdch dohod \u2013 naopak nereagovala, kdy\u017e Ukrajina bombardovala vlastn\u00ed obyvatelstvo na Donbasu.\u00a0Kdyby tak u\u010dinil, Vladimir Putin by nemusel reagovat.\u00a0EU, kter\u00e1 chyb\u011bla v diplomatick\u00e9 f\u00e1zi, se vyznamenala t\u00edm, \u017ee p\u0159i\u017eivovala konflikt.\u00a027. \u00fanora ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/news\/world\/ukraine-president-kyiv-kharkiv-foreign-fighters-join-russia-putin-rcna17844\">souhlasila se zah\u00e1jen\u00edm jedn\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0s Ruskem.\u00a0O n\u011bkolik hodin pozd\u011bji v\u0161ak Evropsk\u00e1 unie odhlasovala\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-02-27\/eu-approves-450-million-euros-in-lethal-military-aid-for-ukraine\">rozpo\u010det 450 milion\u016f eur<\/a>\u00a0na dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b, \u010d\u00edm\u017e p\u0159ilila olej do ohn\u011b.\u00a0Od t\u00e9 doby m\u011bli Ukrajinci pocit, \u017ee se nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed dohodnout.\u00a0Odpor azovsk\u00e9 milice v Mariupolu dokonce vedl k pos\u00edlen\u00ed\u00a0zbran\u00ed o\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rferl.org\/a\/european-union-sanctions-russia-ukraine-borrell\/31748462.html\">500 milion\u016f eur .<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_89\">Na Ukrajin\u011b byli s po\u017eehn\u00e1n\u00edm z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed odstran\u011bni ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou pro jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0To je p\u0159\u00edpad Denise Kirejeva, jednoho z ukrajinsk\u00fdch vyjednava\u010d\u016f,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/ukraine-reports-claim-negotiator-shot-for-treason-officials-say-he-died-in-intel-op\/\">zavra\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9ho 5. b\u0159ezna<\/a>\u00a0ukrajinskou tajnou slu\u017ebou (SBU), proto\u017ee byl Rusku p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 naklon\u011bn a byl pova\u017eov\u00e1n za zr\u00e1dce.\u00a0Stejn\u00fd osud potkal Dmitrije Demjanenka, b\u00fdval\u00e9ho z\u00e1stupce \u0161\u00e9fa hlavn\u00edho \u0159editelstv\u00ed SBU pro Kyjev a jeho oblast, kter\u00fd byl 10. b\u0159ezna zavra\u017ed\u011bn, proto\u017ee byl p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 naklon\u011bn dohod\u011b s Ruskem \u2013 byl zast\u0159elen milic\u00ed Mirotvorec (\u201ePeacemaker\u201c). .\u00a0Tato domobrana je spojena s webem Mirotvorets,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mirror.co.uk\/news\/world-news\/dark-website-lists-russian-spies-26051893\">kter\u00fd uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/a>\u201enep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 Ukrajiny\u201c s jejich osobn\u00edmi \u00fadaji, adresami a telefonn\u00edmi \u010d\u00edsly, aby mohli b\u00fdt obt\u011b\u017eov\u00e1ni nebo dokonce eliminov\u00e1ni;\u00a0praxe, kter\u00e1 je trestn\u00e1 v mnoha zem\u00edch, ale ne na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0OSN a n\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b po\u017eadovaly uzav\u0159en\u00ed tohoto m\u00edsta \u2013 ale tento po\u017eadavek Rada [ukrajinsk\u00fd parlament] odm\u00edtla.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_90\">Cena bude nakonec vysok\u00e1, ale Vladimir Putin pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b dos\u00e1hne c\u00edl\u016f, kter\u00e9 si stanovil.\u00a0Zatla\u010dili jsme ho do n\u00e1ru\u010de \u010c\u00edny.\u00a0Jeho vztahy s Pekingem se upevnily.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna se ukazuje jako prost\u0159edn\u00edk v konfliktu\u2026.\u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 mus\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1dat Venezuelu a \u00cdr\u00e1n o ropu, aby se dostali z energetick\u00e9 slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky, do kter\u00e9 se dostali \u2013 a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mus\u00ed \u017ealostn\u011b ustoupit od sankc\u00ed uvalen\u00fdch na jejich nep\u0159\u00e1tele.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_91\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed minist\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Ntzacqlm-Ac\">zhroutit ruskou ekonomiku<\/a>\u00a0a p\u0159im\u011bt\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=n9BGOE_eVQc\">rusk\u00fd lid str\u00e1dat<\/a>\u00a0, nebo dokonce vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed k\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lequotidien.lu\/politique-societe\/jean-asselborn-eliminer-physiquement-vladimir-poutine\/\">zavra\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0Putina, ukazuj\u00ed (i kdy\u017e \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b obr\u00e1tili formu sv\u00fdch slov, ale ne podstatu!), \u017ee na\u0161i v\u016fdci nejsou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed. lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ti, kter\u00e9 nen\u00e1vid\u00edme \u2013 sankcionov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch sportovc\u016f na paralympijsk\u00fdch hr\u00e1ch nebo rusk\u00fdch um\u011blc\u016f nem\u00e1 nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho s bojem proti Putinovi.\u00a0[\u2026.]<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_92\">Co d\u011bl\u00e1 konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b vinn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e na\u0161e v\u00e1lky v Ir\u00e1ku, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu nebo Libyi?\u00a0Jak\u00e9 sankce jsme p\u0159ijali proti t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed \u00famysln\u011b lhali mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu spole\u010denstv\u00ed, aby vedli nespravedliv\u00e9, neopodstatn\u011bn\u00e9 a vra\u017eedn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky?\u2026P\u0159ijali jsme jednotnou sankci proti zem\u00edm, spole\u010dnostem nebo politik\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed zbran\u011b do konfliktu v Jemenu? pova\u017eov\u00e1na za \u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/press\/fr\/2018\/cs13586.doc.htm\">nejhor\u0161\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed katastrofu na sv\u011bt\u011b<\/a>\u00a0?\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"p_1_93\">Polo\u017eit ot\u00e1zku znamen\u00e1 odpov\u011bd\u011bt na ni\u2026 a odpov\u011b\u010f nen\u00ed hezk\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>____________<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Jacques Baud<\/strong>je b\u00fdval\u00fd plukovn\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu, b\u00fdval\u00fd \u010dlen \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky, specialista na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed zem\u011b.\u00a0Byl vycvi\u010den v americk\u00fdch a britsk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch.\u00a0P\u016fsobil jako politick\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f pro m\u00edrov\u00e9 operace OSN.\u00a0Jako expert OSN na pr\u00e1vn\u00ed st\u00e1t a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed instituce navrhl a vedl prvn\u00ed multidimenzion\u00e1ln\u00ed zpravodajskou jednotku OSN v S\u00fad\u00e1nu.\u00a0Pracoval pro Africkou unii a byl 5 let odpov\u011bdn\u00fd za boj v NATO proti \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed ru\u010dn\u00edch paln\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.\u00a0Byl zapojen do diskus\u00ed s nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi rusk\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi a zpravodajsk\u00fdmi p\u0159edstaviteli t\u011bsn\u011b po p\u00e1du SSSR.\u00a0V r\u00e1mci NATO sledoval ukrajinskou krizi v roce 2014 a pozd\u011bji se \u00fa\u010dastnil program\u016f na pomoc Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Je autorem n\u011bkolika knih o zpravodajstv\u00ed, v\u00e1lce a terorismu,\u00a0zejm\u00e9na Le D\u00e9tournement nakladatelstv\u00ed SIGEST, Vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm fale\u0161n\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v, Af\u00e9ra Navaln\u00e9ho.\u00a0Jeho posledn\u00ed knihou je Poutine, mistr hry?\u00a0vydal Max Milo.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.ca\/author\/jacques-baud\">Jacques Baud<\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0Global Research<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pokec24.cz\/blog\/nepohodlna-pravda-o-pricinach-valky-na-ukrajine\/\">Pokec24<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1350\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1350px) 100vw, 1350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plukovn\u00edk Jacques Baud\u00a0pracoval pro \u0161v\u00fdcarskou strategickou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017ebu, byl vedouc\u00edm mise OSN a byl \u010dlenem&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9738,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,26,40,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33509"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33509"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33509\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}