{"id":33451,"date":"2023-08-03T02:56:05","date_gmt":"2023-08-03T00:56:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=33451"},"modified":"2023-08-03T02:56:05","modified_gmt":"2023-08-03T00:56:05","slug":"jiri-paroubek-nebezpecna-naivita-predsedy-vlady","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/03\/jiri-paroubek-nebezpecna-naivita-predsedy-vlady\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 naivita p\u0159edsedy vl\u00e1dy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V ekonomice, a je v z\u00e1sad\u011b jedno, zda je to v podniku anebo na \u00farovni st\u00e1tu, je nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 se odd\u00e1vat iluz\u00edm.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Premi\u00e9r Fiala ve v\u00edkendov\u00e9m rozhovoru \u201eOt\u00e1zky a odpov\u011bdi z\u00a0Kram\u00e1\u0159ovy vily\u201c vyslovil n\u011bkolik tvrzen\u00ed, z\u00a0nich\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina je opravdu velmi diskutabiln\u00ed. T\u00fdkaj\u00ed se p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvoje \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky v\u00a0tomto roce. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1m premi\u00e9r Fiala sd\u011blil, \u017ee vl\u00e1da ud\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e pro to, aby dodr\u017eela pro tento rok stanoven\u00fd schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu 295 mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n

V\u00fd\u0161e tohoto schodku je sice ji\u017e tak ostudn\u00e1, tak\u017ee by se m\u011blo samo sebou rozum\u011bt, \u017ee vl\u00e1da bude schopna tento obludn\u011b vysok\u00fd schodek dodr\u017eet, ale tak samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9 to zase nen\u00ed. Na \u00farovni st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu pochopiteln\u011b nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m zadr\u017eet platby pro n\u011bkter\u00e1 ministerstva a \u201ezregulovat\u201c tak v\u00fd\u0161i schodku st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu na pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo. Probl\u00e9m je, \u017ee letos zmrazen\u00e9 v\u00fddaje se projev\u00ed v\u00a0n\u00e1r\u016fstu v\u00fddaj\u016f p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku. Tak\u017ee to \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 velk\u00e1 v\u00fdhra vlastn\u011b nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0tomto roce vl\u00e1da p\u0159es v\u0161echny svalnat\u00e9 \u0159e\u010di provl\u00e1dn\u00edch ekonom\u016f \u2013 \u010dinitel\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy v\u00a0tomto vcelku rozumn\u011b ml\u010d\u00ed \u2013 nebude schopna zajistit nic v\u00edc ne\u017eli nulov\u00fd r\u016fst ekonomiky. A to v\u00a0nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b. Pokud p\u0159ej\u00edm\u00e1m tento optimismus provl\u00e1dn\u00edch ekonom\u016f, i tak mus\u00edm \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee to je velmi b\u00eddn\u00e9 p\u0159edstaven\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Spot\u0159eba obyvatelstva meziro\u010dn\u011b kles\u00e1 k\u00a010%, co\u017e je logick\u00e9. Projevuje se cenov\u00e1 pru\u017enost s ohledem na vysokou inflaci a lid\u00e9 \u0159adu v\u00fddaj\u016f prost\u011b odkl\u00e1daj\u00ed. Spot\u0159eba obyvatelstva je p\u0159itom v\u00fdznamnou slo\u017ekou tvorby HDP.<\/p>\n

Ale vra\u0165me se k\u00a0fisk\u00e1ln\u00edm pl\u00e1n\u016fm vl\u00e1dy. Ministr Stanjura, vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00edm elektrik\u00e1\u0159, j\u00e1s\u00e1 nad t\u00edm, \u017ee se\u00a0poda\u0159ilo sn\u00ed\u017eit schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu za \u010dervenec mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b o 1,2 mld. K\u010d na cca 214 mld. K\u010d a p\u0159i\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 to jak\u00e9musi p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9mu obratu, ke kter\u00e9mu v\u00a0hospoda\u0159en\u00ed st\u00e1tu doch\u00e1z\u00ed. S t\u00edm, \u017ee pak nebude probl\u00e9m naj\u00edt n\u011bjak\u00fdch dvacet miliard, o kter\u00e9 \u201efal\u00edruje\u201c schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu oproti pl\u00e1nu. P\u0159edn\u011b si nemysl\u00edm, \u017ee probl\u00e9m je jen ve dvaceti miliard\u00e1ch korun, kter\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b nen\u00ed velk\u00fd probl\u00e9m v\u00a0rozpo\u010dtu naj\u00edt. Ale ob\u00e1v\u00e1m se, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edjmy a v\u00fddaje st\u00e1tu v\u00a0tomto roce maj\u00ed mnohem v\u00edce probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/p>\n

Premi\u00e9r Fiala tak\u00e9 z\u00a0Kram\u00e1\u0159ovy vily lidu velmi optimisticky sd\u011blil, \u017ee u\u017e p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok budeme plnit kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 krit\u00e9rium 3% schodku st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu v\u016f\u010di HDP. Tedy jedno z n\u011bkolika maastrichtsk\u00fdch krit\u00e9ri\u00ed. Je to mo\u017en\u00e1 opravdu d\u016fvodem k\u00a0d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed oslav\u011b p\u0159edsedy vl\u00e1dy a ministra financ\u00ed, ale nic v\u00edc. Krit\u00e9rium t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se inflace rozhodn\u011b dodr\u017eeno nebude. A nad\u0161en\u00e9 fantazie premi\u00e9ra o 2% inflaci ji\u017e v\u00a0kr\u00e1tk\u00e9m \u010dase jsou prost\u011b jen fantazie, kter\u00e9 vypl\u00fdvaj\u00ed z\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9 nekvalifikovanosti jeho, ministra financ\u00ed a jejich poradc\u016f.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, i kdy\u017e dojde ke spln\u011bn\u00ed onoho krit\u00e9ria 3% schodku v\u016f\u010di HDP, po\u0159\u00e1d zde bude schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu ve v\u00fd\u0161i nejm\u00e9n\u011b 200 mld. K\u010d. Tak\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd d\u016fvod k\u00a0oslav\u00e1m nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Premi\u00e9r se uch\u00fdlil k\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed agitce, \u017ee pr\u00fd ceny potravin jdou dol\u016f d\u00edky systematick\u00e9mu tlaku vl\u00e1dy. Ka\u017ed\u00fd z n\u00e1s dob\u0159e v\u00ed, \u017ee to nen\u00ed pravda. Vl\u00e1da ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic. Ani to m\u00e1lo, co by d\u011blat mohla, jako nap\u0159. v\u00a0sousedn\u00edm Polsku. Tedy kup\u0159\u00edkladu zru\u0161en\u00ed \u010di podstatn\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed procentn\u00ed sazby DPH u potravin. Prost\u011b nic.<\/p>\n

A \u201ekonsolida\u010dn\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dek\u201c, jen\u017e vl\u00e1da p\u0159ipravuje pro p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok a kter\u00fd mo\u017en\u00e1 bude m\u00edt v\u00a0kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b brat\u0159\u00ed\u010dka \u010di brat\u0159\u00ed\u010dky, d\u00e1l zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed inflaci. Je to trapn\u00e9 opakov\u00e1n\u00ed, ale v\u00a0tomto a v\u00a0minul\u00e9m roce v\u00a0souhrnu dojde k\u00a0poklesu re\u00e1ln\u00fdch mezd a d\u016fchod\u016f v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru o 20 \u2013 25%. M\u016f\u017eeme tedy \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 obyvatelstva se takto radik\u00e1ln\u011b sni\u017euje a je\u0161t\u011b se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b velmi diferencovan\u011b podle jednotliv\u00fdch vrstev a skupin obyvatelstva. Nejv\u00edce toto sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f zas\u00e1hne n\u00edzko- a st\u0159edn\u011bp\u0159\u00edjmov\u00e9 skupiny obyvatel. To je realita a ne p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed, fantazie a blouzn\u011bn\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Fialy.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

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V ekonomice, a je v z\u00e1sad\u011b jedno, zda je to v podniku anebo na \u00farovni…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":24068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,2145,29,535],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33451"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33451"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33451\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33451"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}