{"id":32879,"date":"2023-07-27T01:02:32","date_gmt":"2023-07-26T23:02:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=32879"},"modified":"2023-07-26T15:56:09","modified_gmt":"2023-07-26T13:56:09","slug":"bourkove-mraky-nad-cernym-morem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/07\/27\/bourkove-mraky-nad-cernym-morem\/","title":{"rendered":"Bou\u0159kov\u00e9 mraky nad \u010cern\u00fdm mo\u0159em"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Summit NATO ve Vilniusu (11.\/12. \u010dervence) jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nebudou prob\u00edhat \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rozhovory o urovn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0V\u00e1lka jen zes\u00edl\u00ed, proto\u017ee USA a jejich spojenci v\u017edy doufaj\u00ed, \u017ee ud\u011blaj\u00ed Rusku vojenskou por\u00e1\u017eku, kdy\u017e je zjevn\u011b mimo jejich mo\u017enosti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

14. \u010dervence gener\u00e1l Mark Milley, p\u0159edseda Sboru n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk\u016f \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f USA, prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva byla \u201edaleko od selh\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c, ale \u017ee bitva bude \u201edlouh\u00e1\u201c a \u201ekrvav\u00e1\u201c.\u00a0Milley je zn\u00e1m\u00fd t\u00edm, \u017ee \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, co chce B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm sly\u0161et, bez ohledu na jeho profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fasudek.<\/span><\/p>\n

A ano, Bidenova administrativa ozn\u00e1mila 19. \u010dervence dodate\u010dnou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pomoc Ukrajin\u011b ve v\u00fd\u0161i 1,3 miliardy dolar\u016f.\u00a0Pentagon v prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed uvedl, \u017ee ozn\u00e1men\u00ed \u201ep\u0159edstavuje za\u010d\u00e1tek kontrakta\u010dn\u00edho procesu, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b poskytnout dal\u0161\u00ed prioritn\u00ed schopnosti\u201c.\u00a0To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee USA vyu\u017eij\u00ed prost\u0159edky ze sv\u00e9ho programu Ukrajinsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed asistence, kter\u00fd vl\u00e1d\u011b umo\u017e\u0148uje nakupovat zbran\u011b od pr\u016fmyslu, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e je br\u00e1t z americk\u00fdch arzen\u00e1l\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle Pentagonu obsahuje nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dek \u010dty\u0159i n\u00e1rodn\u00ed pokro\u010dil\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my Surface-to-Air (NASAMS) a munici, 152mm d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 gran\u00e1ty, minolovky a drony.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Zelenskij ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee zaslal ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed dopisy gener\u00e1ln\u00edmu tajemn\u00edkovi OSN Antoniu Guterresovi a tureck\u00e9mu prezidentovi Tayyipu Erdoganovi, v n\u011bm\u017e navrhuje, aby obchod s obil\u00edm pokra\u010doval bez rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti \u2013 co\u017e je hroziv\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, proto\u017ee Rusko upustilo od obchodu s obil\u00edm vyjednan\u00e9ho Organizac\u00ed spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f. vypr\u0161\u00ed 17. \u010dervence.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Hned n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den Kyjev nav\u00e1zal ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm dopisem Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed organizaci OSN, v n\u011bm\u017e popisuje nov\u00fd n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed koridor p\u0159es rumunsk\u00e9 v\u00fdsostn\u00e9 vody a v\u00fdlu\u010dnou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ekonomickou z\u00f3nu (EEZ) v severoz\u00e1padn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/span>
\nKyjev z\u0159ejm\u011b jednal v tajn\u00e9 dohod\u011b s Rumunskem (\u010dlensk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem NATO, kde s\u00eddl\u00ed 101. v\u00fdsadkov\u00e1 divize americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy).\u00a0USA a NATO o tom pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v\u011bd\u00ed, zat\u00edmco OSN d\u00e1v\u00e1 souhlas.\u00a0Je samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee NATO ji\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu pracuje na nov\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trase v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, proto\u017ee se zd\u00e1, \u017ee to n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem p\u0159edznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fatok NATO na ruskou nadvl\u00e1du v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i.\u00a0Komunik\u00e9 ze summitu NATO ve Vilniusu (11. \u010dervence) p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011blo, \u017ee aliance se p\u0159ipravuje na v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161enou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v oblasti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, kter\u00e1 je historicky ruskou dom\u00e9nou a kde m\u00e1 Rusko d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fd odstavec komunik\u00e9 NATO uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201e\u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e1 oblast m\u00e1 pro Alianci strategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam.\u00a0To je je\u0161t\u011b jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u00edky rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Zd\u016fraz\u0148ujeme, \u017ee budeme i nad\u00e1le podporovat region\u00e1ln\u00ed spojeneck\u00e9 snahy o udr\u017een\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, stability a svobody plavby v oblasti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, a to i prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u00famluvy z Montreux z roku 1936, pokud to bude vhodn\u00e9. Budeme i nad\u00e1le sledovat v\u00fdvoj v regionu a vyhodnocovat a zlep\u0161ovat na\u0161e situa\u010dn\u00ed pov\u011bdom\u00ed se zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm zejm\u00e9na na hrozby pro na\u0161i bezpe\u010dnost a tam, kde je to vhodn\u00e9, na potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti pro u\u017e\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci s na\u0161imi partnery v regionu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Zde je t\u0159eba poznamenat \u010dty\u0159i v\u011bci:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nejprve byl jako kontext ozna\u010den ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt;\u00a0d\u016fraz je kladen na Krym;<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, \u201esvoboda plavby\u201c znamen\u00e1 asertivn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva;\u00a0odkaz na \u00famluvu z Montreux z roku 1936 poukazuje na \u00falohu Turecka jako \u010dlena NATO i jako str\u00e1\u017ece Dardanel a Bosporu;<\/span><\/p>\n

Za t\u0159et\u00ed, NATO prohla\u0161uje sv\u016fj z\u00e1m\u011br zlep\u0161it sv\u00e9 \u201esitua\u010dn\u00ed pov\u011bdom\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00e9 jako vojensk\u00fd term\u00edn zahrnuje \u010dty\u0159i f\u00e1ze: pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed, orientaci, rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed a akci.\u00a0Situa\u010dn\u00ed uv\u011bdom\u011bn\u00ed se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 ze dvou hlavn\u00edch prvk\u016f, a to z vlastn\u00ed znalosti situace a za druh\u00e9 ze znalosti toho, co d\u011blaj\u00ed a mohou d\u011blat ostatn\u00ed, pokud se situace ur\u010dit\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem zm\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno: Dozor NATO nad rusk\u00fdmi aktivitami v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i se zintenziv\u0148uje;<\/span><\/p>\n

Za \u010dtvrt\u00e9, NATO usiluje o u\u017e\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci s \u201ena\u0161imi partnery v regionu\u201c (my\u0161leno Ukrajinou).<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasa na severoz\u00e1pad\u011b a z\u00e1pad\u011b \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e pod\u00e9l Rumunska, Bulharska a Turecka (v\u0161echny \u010dlensk\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO) by jist\u011b od\u0159\u00edzla ruskou pos\u00e1dku v Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed (Moldavsko) a pos\u00edlila schopnost Kyjeva za\u00fato\u010dit na Krym.\u00a0Zapojen\u00ed NATO by tak\u00e9 zkomplikovalo budouc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 operace k osvobozen\u00ed Od\u011bsy, historicky rusk\u00e9ho m\u011bsta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b velk\u00e9ho kulturn\u00edho a historick\u00e9ho d\u011bdictv\u00ed je Od\u011bsa tak\u00e9 p\u0159ekladi\u0161t\u011bm pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f z Ruska a Ukrajiny.\u00a0\u010cpavkov\u00fd plynovod Togliatti-Odessa (ned\u00e1vno vyhozen\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fdmi sabot\u00e9ry) je jedn\u00edm z nejlep\u0161\u00edch p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f.\u00a0Ropovod o d\u00e9lce 2 471 km, nejdel\u0161\u00ed \u010dpavkov\u00fd ropovod na sv\u011bt\u011b, propojil nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho v\u00fdrobce \u010dpavku Togliatti-Azot v Samarsk\u00e9 oblasti v Rusku s p\u0159\u00edstavem Od\u011bsa.<\/span><\/p>\n

Strategicky, bez kontroly Od\u011bsy, NATO nem\u016f\u017ee prov\u00e1d\u011bt projekci vojsk v oblasti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, ani doufat, \u017ee o\u017eiv\u00ed Ukrajinu jako protiruskou z\u00e1kladnu.\u00a0NATO tak\u00e9 nem\u016f\u017ee postupovat sm\u011brem k Zakavkazsku, Kaspick\u00e9mu mo\u0159i (hrani\u010d\u00edc\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem) a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, ani\u017e by ovl\u00e1dlo oblast \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

A ze stejn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f si Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit postoupit \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00fd region NATO.\u00a0Od\u011bsa je \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm \u010dl\u00e1nkem pozemn\u00edho mostu pod\u00e9l pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, kter\u00fd spojuje rusk\u00e9 vnitrozem\u00ed s jeho pos\u00e1dkou v Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed (Moldavsko) (kter\u00e9 USA sleduj\u00ed jako potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho \u010dlena NATO), a bezpe\u010dnost Krymu by byla ohro\u017eena, pokud by se nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 s\u00edly propletly. zalo\u017eit v Od\u011bse.\u00a0(\u00datok na Ker\u010dsk\u00fd most v \u0159\u00edjnu 2022 byl zinscenov\u00e1n z Od\u011bsy.)<\/span><\/p>\n

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Je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee cel\u00fd americk\u00fd projekt nov\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cesty m\u00e1 za c\u00edl zabr\u00e1nit Rusku z\u00edskat kontrolu nad Od\u011bsou.\u00a0Po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s vysokou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed, \u017ee vzhledem k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu ukrajinsk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy m\u016f\u017ee Rusko brzy zah\u00e1jit protiofenz\u00edvu sm\u011brem k Od\u011bse.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z rusk\u00e9ho pohledu se to st\u00e1v\u00e1 existenci\u00e1ln\u00edm momentem.\u00a0NATO fakticky obkl\u00ed\u010dilo rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo v Severn\u00edm a Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i (s p\u0159id\u00e1n\u00edm \u0160v\u00e9dska a Finska jako \u010dlen\u016f).\u00a0Svoboda plavby Baltsk\u00e9 flotily a dominance v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i jsou proto o to d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro voln\u00fd celoro\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup Ruska na sv\u011btov\u00fd trh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva zareagovala ost\u0159e.\u00a0Dne 19. \u010dervence rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany uvedlo, \u017ee \u201ev\u0161echny lod\u011b vplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed do ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f ve vod\u00e1ch \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159epravce vojensk\u00e9ho n\u00e1kladu.\u00a0V souladu s t\u00edm jsou zem\u011b t\u011bchto lod\u00ed pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edky ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu na stran\u011b kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko tak\u00e9 ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee \u201eseveroz\u00e1padn\u00ed a jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vod \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e byly do\u010dasn\u011b prohl\u00e1\u0161eny za nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 pro plavbu\u201c.\u00a0Podle posledn\u00edch zpr\u00e1v v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily nacvi\u010duj\u00ed postup pro nalod\u011bn\u00ed na ciz\u00ed lod\u011b vplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed do ukrajinsk\u00fdch vod.\u00a0Rusko fakticky uvaluje na Ukrajinu n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

V rozhovoru pro noviny Izvestija rusk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd expert Vasilij Dandykin \u0159ekl, \u017ee p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko nyn\u00ed zastav\u00ed a zkontroluje v\u0161echny lod\u011b vplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed do ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f.\u00a0\u201eTato praxe je norm\u00e1ln\u00ed: je tam v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 z\u00f3na a posledn\u00ed dva dny tam byly prov\u00e1d\u011bny raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky.\u00a0Uvid\u00edme, jak se to osv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed v praxi a jestli se najde n\u011bkdo ochotn\u00fd poslat lod\u011b do t\u011bchto vod, proto\u017ee situace je velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm obvinil Rusko z kladen\u00ed min za \u00fa\u010delem blok\u00e1dy ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f.\u00a0Washington samoz\u0159ejm\u011b douf\u00e1, \u017ee vstup NATO jako garanta obiln\u00edho koridoru m\u00edsto Ruska by rezonoval s glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihem.\u00a0Z\u00e1padn\u00ed propaganda karikuje Rusko jako p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho nedostatku potravin.\u00a0Faktem v\u0161ak je, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad nedodr\u017eel sv\u016fj konec dohody o povolen\u00ed v\u00fdvozu rusk\u00e9 p\u0161enice a hnojiv, jak uznala OSN a Turecko.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uvid\u00edme, zda se krom\u011b zu\u0159\u00edc\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky n\u011bkter\u00e1 zem\u011b NATO odv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed napadnout ruskou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du.\u00a0\u0160ance jsou miziv\u00e9, nehled\u011b na skli\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed nasazen\u00ed 101. v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9 divize v sousedn\u00edm Rumunsku.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Summit NATO ve Vilniusu (11.\/12. \u010dervence) jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nebudou prob\u00edhat \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22129,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[569,628,39,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32879"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32879"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32879\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22129"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32879"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32879"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32879"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}