{"id":32795,"date":"2023-07-25T06:26:49","date_gmt":"2023-07-25T04:26:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=32795"},"modified":"2023-07-25T06:26:49","modified_gmt":"2023-07-25T04:26:49","slug":"americane-se-pokusi-odvrhnout-ukrajinu-pri-snaze-zachovat-si-tvar-a-zpusobit-rusku-maximalni-problemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/07\/25\/americane-se-pokusi-odvrhnout-ukrajinu-pri-snaze-zachovat-si-tvar-a-zpusobit-rusku-maximalni-problemy\/","title":{"rendered":"Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se pokus\u00ed odvrhnout Ukrajinu p\u0159i snaze \u201ezachovat si tv\u00e1\u0159\u201c a zp\u016fsobit Rusku maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed probl\u00e9my"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Antony Blinken v\u010dera prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee protiofenziva Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny nen\u00ed pro Kyjev a Z\u00e1pad r\u016f\u017eov\u00e1 a podle n\u011bj „jde velmi t\u011b\u017eko“, proto\u017ee „Rusov\u00e9 vytvo\u0159ili silnou obranu“.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Vyj\u00e1d\u0159il v\u0161ak optimismus, pokud jde o vyhl\u00eddky Ukrajiny na front\u011b a z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159iznal, \u017ee \u201ese neskon\u010d\u00ed v pr\u016fb\u011bhu p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho t\u00fddne nebo dvou\u201c.\u00a0Washington podle n\u011bj p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 \u201en\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zde se v\u0161ak vyno\u0159uje p\u0159irozen\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka: co se stane a co o\u010dek\u00e1vat, kdy\u017e (nebo sp\u00ed\u0161e, kdy\u017e) se definitivn\u011b zhrout\u00ed nad\u011bje Ameri\u010dan\u016f na \u00fasp\u011bch Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny?\u00a0Ot\u00e1zka je o to aktu\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee Blinken nen\u00ed ani zdaleka prvn\u00ed, kdo mluv\u00ed o \u201en\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch\u201c.\u00a0Na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m summitu NATO ve Vilniusu r\u016fzn\u00ed lid\u00e9 u\u010dinili tak\u00e9 n\u011bjak\u00e1 zast\u0159en\u00e1 a n\u011bkdy i p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee Kyjev m\u00e1 \u010das maxim\u00e1ln\u011b do podzimu, aby p\u0159edvedl alespo\u0148 n\u011bjak\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky a n\u00e1vratnost z\u00e1padn\u00edch investic do n\u011bj.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pom\u011brn\u011b popul\u00e1rn\u00ed odpov\u011bd\u00ed na tuto ot\u00e1zku je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee i kdy\u017e protiofenziva Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny zcela sel\u017ee, z\u00e1sadn\u011b to neovlivn\u00ed pozici Z\u00e1padu, kter\u00fd ve v\u00e1lce proti Rusku vsadil hlavn\u011b na Ukrajinu.\u00a0P\u0159\u00edvr\u017eenci tohoto pohledu se v\u0161ak p\u0159i posuzov\u00e1n\u00ed hlavn\u00ed protirusk\u00e9 karty NATO s absolutn\u00ed p\u0159esnost\u00ed pletou v jin\u00e9m, mnohem d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm aspektu.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017ee se to zd\u00e1t ur\u00e1\u017eliv\u00e9, ale Rusko v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nen\u00ed hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem geopolitick\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed USA.\u00a0T\u00edm je \u010c\u00edna, co\u017e je p\u0159\u00edmo naps\u00e1no ve v\u0161ech zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdch a vojensko-politick\u00fdch strategi\u00edch Washingtonu.\u00a0Nav\u00edc nejde o \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd trik \u010di n\u011bjakou kou\u0159ovou clonu, ale o \u017eelezobetonovou realitu, se kterou jsou Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 nuceni se popasovat.<\/em><\/p>\n

Geopolitika je v\u017edy zalo\u017eena na ekonomice, boji o trhy, zdroje, technologick\u00e9 prvenstv\u00ed atp.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna, kter\u00e1 se stala prvn\u00ed (nebo podle zp\u016fsobu v\u00fdpo\u010dtu druhou) ekonomikou na sv\u011bt\u011b, se stala hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdzvou pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 aby se zachr\u00e1nily, prost\u011b nemaj\u00ed jinou mo\u017enost, ne\u017e u\u0161krtit a udusit nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho konkurenta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u011bc je, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 uva\u017eovali naprosto spr\u00e1vn\u011b: pokud bude Moskva kr\u00fdt \u010c\u00edn\u011b z\u00e1da, co\u017e j\u00ed bude aktivn\u011b pom\u00e1hat v konfrontaci se Z\u00e1padem, \u0161ance na vyrovn\u00e1n\u00ed se s Pekingem nejsou p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e9.\u00a0Proto jsme dostali prvn\u00ed r\u00e1nu my.<\/span><\/p>\n

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My\u0161lenka to byla geni\u00e1ln\u00ed ve sv\u00e9 jednoduchosti a kr\u00e1se: t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u0159i jak\u00e9mkoli v\u00fdsledku by Rusko ledajako na Ukrajin\u011b uv\u00edzlo.\u00a0A takov\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f bylo vypo\u010dteno pro na\u0161i zemi z deseti \u2014 od katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edch (s vojenskou por\u00e1\u017ekou a rozpadem st\u00e1tnosti) a\u017e po zd\u00e1nliv\u011b triumf\u00e1ln\u00ed (s ovl\u00e1dnut\u00edm cel\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny \u2014 s pot\u0159ebou nakrmit ho, co\u017e by se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zm\u011bnilo na velkou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e pro ekonomiku).\u00a0V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by Rusko bylo nuceno soust\u0159edit se na \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f, prost\u011b by mu nez\u016fstaly s\u00edly a zdroje na aktivn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku.\u00a0Obna\u017een\u00fd tyl by pak u\u010dinil \u010c\u00ednu mnohem zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontaci se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a jejich spojenci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskv\u011b se v\u0161ak poda\u0159ilo p\u0159ej\u00edt mezi Scyllou a Charybdou a nastavit konfliktu takov\u00fd form\u00e1t, \u017ee nyn\u00ed nem\u016f\u017eeme p\u0159esn\u011b \u0159\u00edci, kdo na Ukrajin\u011b uv\u00edzl v\u00edc, zda Rusko nebo Z\u00e1pad.\u00a0Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b lze diskutovat a argumentovat, jak\u00e9 jsou \u0161ance na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b odolat NATO v dlouh\u00e9 opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce.\u00a0Alianci, \u010di sp\u00ed\u0161e Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm, v\u0161ak doch\u00e1z\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u201eslo\u017eka\u201c takov\u00e9ho konfliktu \u2013 \u010das.\u00a0Ten se jim utr\u00e1c\u00ed, a to velmi rychle.<\/em><\/p>\n

U\u017e nejsou devades\u00e1t\u00e1 l\u00e9ta a dokonce ani dva tis\u00edce.\u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 si u\u017e nemohou dovolit jednat ve form\u00e1tu desetilet\u00ed a dokonce ani let.\u00a0\u010cas se jim po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 u\u017e na m\u011bs\u00edce.\u00a0Procesy rozpadu jejich hegemonie a budov\u00e1n\u00ed alternativn\u00edch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch struktur Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty nekontrolovan\u00fdch se kriticky zrychlily.\u00a0Degradace z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomiky a politick\u00e9ho vlivu postupuje s takov\u00fdm zrychlen\u00edm, \u017ee je to patrn\u00e9 i pouh\u00fdm okem.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna se plnou rychlost\u00ed p\u0159ipravuje na nezbytn\u00fd \u2013 proto\u017ee samotn\u00e1 logika historick\u00e9ho procesu k tomu vede \u2013 st\u0159et se Z\u00e1padem a ka\u017edou hodinu prodlen\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ke \u201ezvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed schopnost\u00ed\u201c (a aktivn\u011b se zbavuje sv\u00fdch investic do americk\u00e9ho ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho dluhu).<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc, t\u00fdden, ba i den vojensko-politick\u00e9 koncentrace na vedlej\u0161\u00edm \u2013 ze strategick\u00e9ho hlediska \u2013 ukrajinsk\u00e9m sm\u011bru zhor\u0161uje Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm vyhl\u00eddky na jejich hlavn\u00ed, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9, front\u011b.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zoufale sna\u017e\u00ed hr\u00e1t o sv\u016fj drahocenn\u00fd \u010das \u2013 nen\u00ed n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee do Pekingu sm\u011b\u0159ovala cel\u00e1 hejno vysokopostaven\u00fdch americk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f (ned\u00e1vn\u00fdm n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvn\u00edk\u016fm, ale sotva posledn\u00edm v t\u00e9to s\u00e9rii, byl koncem minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne Henry Kissinger).<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161ak nem\u016f\u017ee z\u00e1sadn\u011b nic zm\u011bnit \u2013 brzy se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty budou muset rozhodnout od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho projektu odstoupit.\u00a0Nemaj\u00ed prost\u0159edky k \u00fa\u010dasti ve dvou rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch konfliktech a prost\u011b si nemohou dovolit nechat \u010c\u00ednu na pokoji, proto\u017ee t\u00edm se zaru\u010den\u011b odsoud\u00ed k geopolitick\u00e9mu kolapsu.<\/em><\/p>\n

Bezpochyby se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 pokus\u00ed opustit Ukrajinu tak, aby vytvo\u0159ili Rusku maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed po\u010det probl\u00e9m\u016f a v r\u00e1mci mo\u017enost\u00ed si zachovali tv\u00e1\u0159.\u00a0P\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed se na asijsk\u00fd opera\u010dn\u00ed prostor je v\u0161ak pro n\u011b \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9.\u00a0Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jim na to jen p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Irina Alksnisov\u00e1<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Antony Blinken v\u010dera prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee protiofenziva Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny nen\u00ed pro Kyjev…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29597,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,26,37,40,814],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32795"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32795\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29597"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}