{"id":32455,"date":"2023-07-20T06:56:42","date_gmt":"2023-07-20T04:56:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=32455"},"modified":"2023-07-20T06:56:33","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T04:56:33","slug":"jaroslav-doubrava-zhodnoceni-situace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/07\/20\/jaroslav-doubrava-zhodnoceni-situace\/","title":{"rendered":"Jaroslav Doubrava: Zhodnocen\u00ed situace!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kdy\u017e Rusko vpadlo na Ukrajinu a z na\u0161eho mainstreamu se za\u010daly sypat ty informace, jak Rusov\u00e9 prohr\u00e1vaj\u00ed, jak jim Ukrajinci d\u00e1vaj\u00ed na prdel a k tomu byly ty obr\u00e1zky Javelin\u016f, zni\u010den\u00e9 techniky, ukraden\u00fdch tank\u016f apod., tak se mi tomu necht\u011blo moc v\u011b\u0159it. M\u011bl jsem informace z\u00a0obou stran a\u00a0v\u00a0podstat\u011b jsem v\u011b\u0159il i\u00a0nev\u011b\u0159il.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Celou dobu mne toti\u017e dr\u00e1\u017edily ty detaily.<\/p>\n

Jednak jsem po\u0159\u00e1d nemohl uv\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee Putin, kter\u00e9mu posledn\u00edch deset let vych\u00e1zelo ausgerechnet \u00fapln\u011b v\u0161echno, kter\u00fd byl schopen velmi sofistikovan\u00fdch a\u00a0slo\u017eit\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch \u00favah, kter\u00fd zachr\u00e1nil Asada v\u00a0S\u00fdrii, s\u00a0Turky se od sest\u0159elen\u00e9ho Suchoje dopracoval k\u00a0Turkisch Streamu, zachr\u00e1nil Tokajeva b\u011bhem jednoho dne, zachr\u00e1nil Arm\u00e9ny a\u00a0p\u0159itom nenasral Azery, dopracoval se ke strategick\u00e9mu partnerstv\u00ed s\u00a0velmi slo\u017eitou konfuci\u00e1nskou \u010c\u00ednou, umetl si cesti\u010dku do Afriky, v\u00a0Mali za rok vy\u0159e\u0161il to, co Francouzi nezvl\u00e1dli ani s\u00a0\u010deskou pomoc\u00ed za deset let, tak ten stejn\u00fd Putin najednou \u0161l\u00e1pne vedle, vypne mozek, vypne tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby, vypne arm\u00e1du, vypne inform\u00e1tory i\u00a0dezinform\u00e1tory, p\u0159estane z\u00a0ni\u010deho nic poslouchat lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed mu deset let rad\u00ed dob\u0159e a\u00a0ud\u011bl\u00e1 takhle VELKOU chybu\u2026?!?<\/p>\n

D\u00e1l mi pak vadily ty star\u00e9 obrn\u011bn\u00e9 \u0161roty. V\u0161echno tanky T-72 nebo hor\u0161\u00ed. Co to sakra dovezli p\u0159ed ten Kyjev?
\nK\u00a0tomu star\u00e9 transport\u00e9ry, star\u00e1 letadla a\u00a0vlastn\u011b i\u00a0star\u00e9 vrtuln\u00edky. Nemusel bych zrovna vid\u011bt Armaty, ale kur\u0148a, Rusko m\u00e1 fakt hodn\u011b tank\u016f T-90.
\nStejn\u011b tak se kolem Kyjeva motali jac\u00edsi z\u00e1lo\u017e\u00e1ci nebo jednoro\u010d\u00e1ci, kte\u0159\u00ed fanfaronsky vj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bli do ukrajinsk\u00fdch past\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V t\u00e9 stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b ale na jihu postupovaly rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy p\u0159\u00edmo uk\u00e1zkov\u011b.
\nCherson dobyly z\u00a0chodu, skok do Melitopolu, pak skok do Ber\u010fansku, pak skok do Mariupolu.<\/p>\n

B\u011bhem prvn\u00edho t\u00fddne byla Ukrajina od\u0159\u00edznut\u00e1 od \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 propaganda mluvila dokole\u010dka dokola o\u00a0Kyjev\u011b a\u00a0ta rusk\u00e1 zase o\u00a0Donbasu a\u00a0Mariupolu.
\nStejn\u011b tak nikoho v\u00a0Rusku ne\u0161tvala funk\u010dn\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165, p\u0159iv\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 z\u00e1silky techniky a\u00a0Javelin\u016f.
\nNevadily jim rafin\u00e9rie, sklady, n\u00e1dra\u017e\u00ed a\u00a0vlastn\u011b ani kas\u00e1rna.
\nV\u00a0prvn\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci v\u00e1lky Rusov\u00e9 zni\u010dili plo\u0161n\u011b vlastn\u011b jen radary a\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00e9 komunika\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky.<\/p>\n

Rusko pr\u00fd p\u0159ecenilo sv\u00e9 s\u00edly, Ukrajina m\u00e1 \u0161anci vyhr\u00e1t, sta\u010d\u00ed dodat t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 zbran\u011b, Rusko vlastn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dnou modern\u00ed techniku nem\u00e1, za chv\u00edli jim dojde j\u00eddlo, n\u00e1boje, rozpadne se jim m\u011bna, sv\u011bt je jednotn\u00fd a\u00a0na na\u0161\u00ed stran\u011b.<\/p>\n

A pak to postupn\u011b p\u0159ich\u00e1zelo \u2013 Rusov\u00e9 byli schopni zni\u010dit hypersonickou st\u0159elou Kin\u017e\u00e1l i\u00a0podzemn\u00ed bunkr, kter\u00fd m\u011bl odolat jadern\u00e9mu v\u00fdbuchu.
\nK\u00a0tomu za\u010dali \u201ekalibrovat\u201c r\u016fzn\u00e1 kas\u00e1rna se zahrani\u010dn\u00edmi \u017eoldn\u00e9\u0159i, celkem bez probl\u00e9m\u016f eliminovali v\u011bt\u0161inu z\u00a0t\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 pomoci, sotva se Javeliny dostaly do z\u00e1kop\u016f, rusk\u00e9 tanky zmizely a\u00a0nastoupilo rusk\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo.
\nPutin na p\u0159ehl\u00eddce nevyhl\u00e1sil mobilizaci, stejn\u011b tak nevyhl\u00e1sil Ukrajin\u011b v\u00e1lku. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku dote\u010f vlastn\u011b vys\u00edl\u00e1 sign\u00e1ly, \u017ee Ukrajina je jen mal\u00e1 lap\u00e1lie na hranic\u00edch, kv\u016fli kter\u00e9 nestoj\u00ed za to, d\u011blat v\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n

Bylo od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku vid\u011bt, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 v\u00e1l\u010d\u00ed na p\u016fl plynu.
\nPak u\u017e za\u010dalo b\u00fdt z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee tam maj\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b voj\u00e1k\u016f ne\u017e Ukrajina a\u00a0stejn\u011b postupuj\u00ed.
\nJen to d\u011blali \u201edivn\u011b\u201c.
\nStra\u0161n\u011b pomalu\u2026<\/p>\n

\u0160afrovo f\u00f3rum po\u00a0celou dobu d\u00e1v\u00e1 ty nejoptimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy, jak Z\u00e1pad s\u00a0Ukrajinou slavn\u011b v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed\u2026<\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm v\u0161ak zjist\u00edte, \u017ee rubl st\u00e1le posiluje, tamn\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka sni\u017euje \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby a\u00a0\u017ee Gazprom vyplat\u00ed dividendu, jakou sv\u011bt nevid\u011bl.
\nA\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed f\u00f3r je, \u017ee se mezit\u00edm z\u00a0Gazpromu st\u00e1hli v\u0161ichni zahrani\u010dn\u00ed pod\u00edln\u00edci, jejich\u017e akcie koupil tak\u0159ka zadarmo rusk\u00fd st\u00e1t.
\nTak\u017ee nejenom\u017ee Gazprom vyd\u011blal neskute\u010dn\u00fd bal\u00edk pen\u011bz, ale je\u0161t\u011b z\u00a0toho Putinovi zbude mnohem, mnohem v\u00edc.<\/p>\n

Trvalo vlastn\u011b dva m\u011bs\u00edce, ne\u017e si v\u0161ichni ti z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici v\u0161imli, \u017ee od\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed Ukrajiny od \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e vlastn\u011b splnilo Rusku ty nejbl\u00e1zniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sny.
\nNejen\u017ee m\u00e1 poh\u00e1dkov\u00e9 zisky z\u00a0prodeje ropy a\u00a0zemn\u00edho plynu, ale bude m\u00edt i\u00a0poh\u00e1dkov\u00e9 zisky z\u00a0prodeje obil\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pr\u00fd letos oseli o\u00a0milion hektar\u016f v\u00edc ne\u017e loni.
\nP\u0159ipo\u010d\u00edtejte si, \u017ee u\u017e zabran\u00e9 oblasti na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159idaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch deset milion\u016f tun do rusk\u00e9 bilance a\u00a0zjist\u00edte, \u017ee Putin je schopen nakrmit Afriku a\u00a0Afrika je schopn\u00e1 zatla\u010dit na Evropu, aby s\u00a0t\u011bmi sankcemi p\u0159estali.<\/p>\n

Pak se do\u010dtete, jak Gazprom platil v\u0161echny ty Gr\u00e9ty a\u00a0gr\u00fdnd\u00fdly\u2026 a\u00a0u\u017eite\u010dn\u00ed idioti ni\u010dili na\u0161i energetiku ze v\u0161ech pozic a\u00a0kdy\u017e jsme n\u011bco nam\u00edtali, nad\u00e1vali n\u00e1m do konspir\u00e1tor\u016f a\u00a0rusk\u00fdch \u0161v\u00e1b\u016f.
\nNejlep\u0161\u00ed agent je ten, kter\u00fd ani nev\u00ed, \u017ee slou\u017e\u00ed Putinovi.
\nJak\u00e9 to asi je, kdy\u017e v\u0161ichni ti Burs\u00edci, Kate\u0159inky \u017dak, Magdaleny \u0160ipky, i\u00a0ti energeti\u010dt\u00ed zmocn\u011bnci Bartu\u0161kov\u00e9 zjist\u00ed, \u017ee pracovali z\u00a0pln\u00fdch sil pro Rusko?<\/p>\n

A s\u00a0nimi v\u0161echny ty u\u010ditelky, co d\u011btem vysv\u011btlovaly ekologii, ty biomatky, kter\u00e9 podepisovaly petice proti dostavb\u011b Temel\u00edna a\u00a0vybudov\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00e9ho \u00falo\u017ei\u0161t\u011b\u2026
\n\u2026A\u00a0jako nejlep\u0161\u00ed f\u00f3r je to, \u017ee z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u00e1lku financujeme i\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b, aby vytrvala v\u00a0odporu co nejd\u00e9le a\u00a0t\u00edm co nejd\u00e9le udr\u017eela bezprecedentn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 zisky.
\nOn ten Kyril ka\u017ed\u00fd den slou\u017e\u00ed m\u0161e, abychom z\u016fstali takhle blb\u00ed a\u00a0udr\u017eeli co nejd\u00e9le v\u00a0chodu tu ma\u0161inu na pen\u00edze\u2026.<\/p>\n

\u2026Najednou \u010c\u00edna kupuje ruskou ropu se slevou, Indie kupuje osto\u0161est, Sa\u00fadov\u00e9 si klidn\u011b dovol\u00ed nebrat Bidenovi telefon.
\nPak sly\u0161\u00edte, \u017ee se p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 NATO neform\u00e1ln\u011b dohodli, \u017ee rad\u011bji n\u011bkter\u00e9 zbran\u011b na Ukrajinu dod\u00e1vat nebudou.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho Ukrajinc\u016fm nedodali ty skute\u010dn\u011b modern\u00ed vychyt\u00e1vky, v\u00a0podstat\u011b jim dali stejn\u00e9 zbran\u011b, jako u\u017e maj\u00ed, jen v\u00a0jin\u00e9 r\u00e1\u017ei, aby to d\u011blalo logistick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my.
\nA\u00a0najednou to rusk\u00e9 nekon\u00e1n\u00ed d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl\u2026<\/p>\n

V\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 cenzura n\u00e1m ty nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u011bci toti\u017e ne\u0159ekne.
\nN\u011bkde v\u00a0centr\u00e1le NATO a\u00a0v\u00a0B\u00edl\u00e9 ch\u00fd\u0161i sed\u00ed ti, kte\u0159\u00ed tohle v\u0161echno spunktovali.
\nVrazili do toho des\u00edtky miliard dolar\u016f, spojili s\u00a0t\u00edm sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 kari\u00e9ry, vyhrotili situaci skute\u010dn\u011b na hranu atomov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.
\nA\u00a0v\u0161ude vyh\u0159ez\u00e1vaj\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Hroz\u00ed jim nov\u00fd Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n.
\nHroz\u00ed jim, \u017ee v\u0161echny ty ob\u011bti, kter\u00e9 \u017e\u00e1dali po\u00a0sv\u00fdch voli\u010d\u00edch, byly zbyte\u010dn\u00e9.
\nHroz\u00ed jim pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 d\u016fsledky.
\nTe\u010f se tam n\u011bkde v\u00a0Bruselu rozhoduje, jestli n\u00e1s do t\u00e9 v\u00e1lky zat\u00e1hnou doopravdy, proto\u017ee jim za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 doch\u00e1zet ten pr\u016fser.<\/p>\n

Te\u010f se tam perou dv\u011b \u00favahy.
\nVycouvat z\u00a0toho pomalu ven a\u00a0nechat Ukrajinu, a\u0165 si to vy\u017eere sama a\u00a0nebo do toho j\u00edt se v\u0161\u00edm v\u0161udy.<\/p>\n

Te\u010f pr\u00e1v\u011b se tam rozhoduj\u00ed, jestli Rusov\u00e9 brzy ud\u011blaj\u00ed stra\u0161n\u00fd chemick\u00fd \u00fatok, proto\u017ee tohle Putin d\u011bl\u00e1 v\u017edycky \u2013 t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm pust\u00ed plyn na bezbrann\u00e9 \u017eeny a\u00a0d\u011bti.
\nRozhoduj\u00ed se, jestli se n\u00e1s v\u0161echny pokus\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b jednou oblbnout a\u00a0zat\u00e1hnout n\u00e1s do opravdov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se v\u0161emi t\u011bmi dobry d\u00e1lkov\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, poprav za zbab\u011blost a\u00a0pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1n\u00ed nepohodln\u00fdch n\u00e1zor\u016f.
\nTe\u010f se teprve opravdu rozhoduje o\u00a0na\u0161em osudu a\u00a0m\u00e1me jen dv\u011b \u0161patn\u00e9 varianty.
\nBu\u010f sn\u00e1\u0161et skute\u010dnou v\u00e1lku a\u00a0nebo sn\u00e1\u0161et ten pr\u016fser, kter\u00fd n\u00e1m n\u00e1\u0161 Volodymir Fialkovskij nadrobil.<\/p>\n

Ten, kdo pojede jednat za Putinem o\u00a0plyn a\u00a0ropu, ten tam pojede jako pora\u017een\u00fd.
\nZa v\u0161ech okolnost\u00ed.
\nProto bych se p\u0159imlouval Fialu nesvrhnout, ale minim\u00e1ln\u011b ho tam do Moskvy je\u0161t\u011b poslat, a\u0165 si sype popel na svoji politologickou hlavi\u010dku.
\nTo si u\u017eiju.<\/p>\n

Ale a\u0165 tak \u010di\u00a0onak, Z\u00e1padu se to nakonec poda\u0159ilo.
\nUd\u011blali z\u00a0region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnosti op\u011bt velmoc prvn\u00ed kategorie.
\nDali Rusku zadarmo v\u0161echno to, co tam za t\u0159icet let vybudovali. Automobilky, plynovody, ropovody, vrty, doly, farmy, tov\u00e1rny, vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 prvky, v\u0161echno.
\nK\u00a0tomu zbavili Putina konkurence, semknuli kolem n\u011bj rusk\u00fd lid a\u00a0zru\u0161ili vliv Z\u00e1padn\u00edk\u016f.
\nZa\u0159\u00eddili mu skv\u011bl\u00e9 ceny pro jeho suroviny, dali mu Afriku i\u00a0Ar\u00e1bii. Za\u0159\u00eddili, \u017ee Rusko nemus\u00ed dodr\u017eovat pravidla WTO\u2026<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e si to tak vezmu, Putin s\u00e1m tomu v\u0161emu p\u0159idal jen drobnost \u2013 n\u011bkolik p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f v\u00a0\u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i, trochu t\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u010dernozem\u011b a\u00a0p\u00e1r dal\u0161\u00edch, pon\u011bkud rozst\u0159\u00edlen\u00fdch, tov\u00e1ren.<\/p>\n

Autor:\u00a0Jaroslav Doubrava<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 b\u00fdval\u00fd sen\u00e1tor ze Severo\u010dechy<\/em><\/p>\n

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Kdy\u017e Rusko vpadlo na Ukrajinu a z na\u0161eho mainstreamu se za\u010daly sypat ty informace, jak…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26292,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,29,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32455"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32455"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32455\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}