{"id":30885,"date":"2023-06-26T01:01:36","date_gmt":"2023-06-25T23:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=30885"},"modified":"2023-06-25T18:47:46","modified_gmt":"2023-06-25T16:47:46","slug":"pokus-o-pseudoprevrat-v-rusku-byl-to-putinuv-vojensky-tah","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/26\/pokus-o-pseudoprevrat-v-rusku-byl-to-putinuv-vojensky-tah\/","title":{"rendered":"Pokus o pseudop\u0159evrat v Rusku: Byl to Putin\u016fv vojensk\u00fd tah?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u201eWagner\u016fv pu\u010d\u201c v Rusku prob\u011bhl stejn\u011b rychle, jako za\u010dal.\u00a0Nen\u00ed zcela jasn\u00e9, zda byli lid\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b zran\u011bni nebo zem\u0159eli, jak se p\u016fvodn\u011b tvrdilo.\u00a0V\u010dera n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i tu\u0161ili, \u017ee by mohlo j\u00edt o tajn\u00fd posun vojsk, do kter\u00e9ho byli zapojeni Wagner, B\u011blorusko a \u010ce\u010densko \u2013 a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b jednotky rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed Wagnerovy soukrom\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v B\u011blorusku by tak\u00e9 mohlo b\u00fdt super trik.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch dvou dnech ud\u00e1losti v Rusku eskalovaly \u2013 a\u017e se zd\u00e1, \u017ee ve vnitrozem\u00ed je op\u011bt absolutn\u00ed klid. Co se tam stalo?\u00a0Krom\u011b alternativn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed existovaly v z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b jen standardn\u00ed texty, standardn\u00ed formulace \u2013 standardn\u00ed n\u00e1zor.\u00a0Krom\u011b propagandy proti Vladimiru Putinovi a jeho zobrazov\u00e1n\u00ed jako neschopn\u00e9ho a slab\u00e9ho ve veden\u00ed se z text\u016f, kter\u00e9 d\u00e1valy smysl, dalo vy\u010d\u00edst jen m\u00e1lo.\u00a0<\/span>Spindokto\u0159i Z\u00e1padu se zd\u00e1li nep\u0159ipraven\u00ed a ohromeni.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b zaslepen\u00fdch koment\u00e1tor\u016f st\u00e1tem koupen\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed si nikdo nebude myslet, \u017ee rusk\u00fd prezident je idiot.\u00a0Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo tak u\u010din\u00ed, by si m\u011bl p\u0159e\u010d\u00edst pouze jeden z jeho projev\u016f \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e na t\u00e9ma ekonomie nebo v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Ten mu\u017e je vysoce inteligentn\u00ed, pln\u011b ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 sv\u00e9 du\u0161evn\u00ed schopnosti – a je to vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed strat\u00e9g a mocensk\u00fd politik.\u00a0<\/span>P\u0159esto by bylo \u0161patn\u00e9 Putina zbo\u017e\u0148ovat a tleskat mu.<\/span><\/strong>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee d\u011bl\u00e1 to, co by m\u011bl d\u011blat dobr\u00fd politik, alespo\u0148 v\u016f\u010di okoln\u00edmu sv\u011btu \u2013 z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed mu na sv\u00e9m n\u00e1rodu a jeho lidech.\u00a0Ale pokud je to jeho prim\u00e1rn\u00ed z\u00e1jem, pak z\u00e1padn\u00ed disidenti nemus\u00ed doufat, \u017ee Putin bude n\u011bjak\u00fdm spasitelem.\u00a0Nen\u00ed a nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt kv\u016fli zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 priorit\u011b.\u00a0A pamatujeme si na\u0161i z\u00e1sadu z prvn\u00edho dne v\u00e1lky: V\u00e1lka je v\u017edy \u0161patn\u00e1.\u00a0Pot\u00e9, co bylo zabito odhadem 350 000 a\u017e 400 000 Ukrajinc\u016f, je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce, jsou to \u010d\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 si ani nechcete p\u0159edstavit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pu\u010d, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m se Wagner \u00fadajn\u011b pokusil dob\u00fdt Moskvu s 25 000 mu\u017ei, skon\u010dil po n\u011bkolika hodin\u00e1ch u jednac\u00edho stolu.\u00a0\u0160\u00e9f Wagnera Prigozhin ode\u0161el \u201edo exilu\u201c do sp\u0159\u00e1telen\u00e9ho B\u011bloruska a ani jeden voj\u00e1k v jeho ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch nebyl pr\u00e1vn\u011b st\u00edh\u00e1n.\u00a0Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed uzav\u0159el s\u00e1m b\u011blorusk\u00fd prezident Alexandr Luka\u0161enko. <\/span>Pokud rusk\u00fd \u00fatok na t\u00e1bor Wagner zabil 100 lid\u00ed, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zkou, zda bude m\u00edt pr\u00e1vn\u00ed n\u00e1sledky<\/span><\/strong>.\u00a0Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee je to sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed dohody – na proprigo\u017einsk\u00fdch kan\u00e1lech o tom existuj\u00ed n\u00e1znaky, ale bez jak\u00fdchkoli d\u016fkaz\u016f.\u00a0Tam bylo ozn\u00e1meno, \u017ee ministr obrany \u0160ojgu by ji\u017e mohl b\u00fdt ve vazb\u011b.\u00a0Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed velitel Valerij Gerasimov byl Prigo\u017einem rovn\u011b\u017e obvin\u011bn z velezrady.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak\u00e9 mo\u017enosti jsou mysliteln\u00e9?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. V\u0161e se stalo, jak n\u00e1m bylo \u0159e\u010deno, a Putin nem\u00e1 sv\u00e9 jednotky pod kontrolou.<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. Rusko cht\u011blo v kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b prov\u00e9st z\u00e1sadn\u00ed restrukturalizaci sv\u00fdch jednotek.\u00a0Zde si lze p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee vojska Ruska, B\u011bloruska, \u010ce\u010denska a Wagnerova PMC ze severu, nap\u0159\u00edklad i z b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, spole\u010dn\u011b postoup\u00ed na Ukrajinu, otev\u0159ou mezeru v obran\u011b a postoup\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo na Kyjev.\u00a0Tato strategie je mo\u017en\u00e1, nikdo v\u0161ak neozn\u00e1mil zah\u00e1jen\u00ed takov\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy.<\/span><\/li>\n
  3. Mo\u017en\u00e1 cht\u011bl Putin zm\u011bnit sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed, kter\u00e9 podle n\u011bj bylo obyvatelstvem a arm\u00e1dou m\u00e1lo milov\u00e1no a pot\u0159ebuje k tomu dobr\u00fd d\u016fvod.\u00a0Fale\u0161n\u00fd pu\u010d a obvin\u011bn\u00ed proti \u0160ojgu a Gerasimovovi mu nyn\u00ed d\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost tyto lidi vym\u011bnit.<\/span><\/li>\n
  4. M\u00edt Wagnerovy jednotky v B\u011blorusku, kter\u00e9 samo je\u0161t\u011b do v\u00e1lky nezas\u00e1hlo, by mohlo m\u00edt velk\u00fd geostrategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam.\u00a0St\u00e1le v\u0161ak nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda bude skupina Wagner zcela p\u0159es\u00eddlena do B\u011bloruska, nebo tam bude muset sv\u00e9 s\u00eddlo p\u0159em\u00edstit pouze v\u016fdce Prigo\u017ein.<\/span><\/li>\n
  5. Cht\u011bli p\u0159edst\u00edrat, \u017ee v obran\u011b rusk\u00e9 frontov\u00e9 linie jsou slabiny a mezery, aby nal\u00e1kali Ukrajinu k \u00fatoku.\u00a0K takov\u00e9mu \u00fatoku pr\u00fd do\u0161lo tak\u00e9 v oblasti Bachmutu \u2013 o pr\u016fb\u011bhu ud\u00e1lost\u00ed nen\u00ed nic zn\u00e1mo, proto\u017ee ob\u011b strany pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b hl\u00e1sit celou pravdu.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Mimochodem, Putin ve v\u010derej\u0161\u00edm projevu o stavu n\u00e1roda, ve kter\u00e9m mluvil o bodnut\u00ed do zad proti Rusku a t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch n\u00e1sledc\u00edch, jmenovit\u011b nezm\u00ednil Prigo\u017eina. Nechal tedy sv\u00e9 mo\u017enosti otev\u0159en\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span>V\u0161ichni, kdo komentovali, \u017ee je nemysliteln\u00e9, aby Rusov\u00e9 bojovali proti Rus\u016fm, by m\u011bli p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee ukrajinsko-rusk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je jen takov\u00e1 bratrovra\u017eedn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Bojuj\u00ed zde z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti stejn\u00ed lid\u00e9 se stejn\u00fdm jazykem \u2013 a\u017e na to, \u017ee na ukrajinsk\u00e9 stran\u011b se o rozd\u011blen\u00ed zaj\u00edmaj\u00ed ciz\u00ed z\u00e1jmy u\u017e p\u0159es 100 let.\u00a0S ohledem na bratrovra\u017eednou v\u00e1lku si lze p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by N\u011bmecko zah\u00e1jilo \u00fatok na Rakousko.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Mimochodem, Putin tak\u00e9 znovu zm\u00ednil, \u017ee m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v ot\u00e1zce Ukrajiny je pro n\u011bj st\u00e1le mysliteln\u00e9.\u00a0Byl by ochoten jednat s NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

    O tom, \u017ee \u201ep\u0159evrat\u201c \u0161lo o inscenaci, sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed i to, \u017ee ve skute\u010dnosti nebyl nikdo skute\u010dn\u011b zran\u011bn.\u00a0<\/span>Nebo si opravdu n\u011bkdo mysl\u00ed, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9, aby se konvoj s 25 000 mu\u017ei a vojenskou technikou mohl neru\u0161en\u011b valit a\u017e 200 km od Moskvy – zcela otev\u0159en\u011b po ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch komunikac\u00edch?\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdst\u0159el, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd leteck\u00fd \u00fatok, nic?\u00a0To se st\u00e1v\u00e1, kdy\u017e to nemysl\u00edte v\u00e1\u017en\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Koment\u00e1\u0159 Williho Hubera<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \u201eWagner\u016fv pu\u010d\u201c v Rusku prob\u011bhl stejn\u011b rychle, jako za\u010dal.\u00a0Nen\u00ed zcela jasn\u00e9, zda byli lid\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18128,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,921,102,22,1894],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30885"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30885"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30885\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}