{"id":3087,"date":"2021-07-05T04:56:11","date_gmt":"2021-07-05T02:56:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=3087"},"modified":"2021-07-05T05:10:52","modified_gmt":"2021-07-05T03:10:52","slug":"iranska-politika-prezidenta-bidena-ve-slepe-ulicce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/07\/05\/iranska-politika-prezidenta-bidena-ve-slepe-ulicce\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 politika prezidenta Bidena ve slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v ned\u011bli bombardovaly t\u0159i pozice ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch Lidov\u00fdch mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch sil na syrsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 hranici.<\/p>\n

Na tohle v\u0161ak USA nem\u011bly pr\u00e1vo. Pr\u00e1vn\u00ed zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed, kter\u00fdm Bidenova administrativa \u00fatok vysv\u011btlila,\u00a0je nesmysl<\/a>. Stejn\u011b jako jejich zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed \u201eodstra\u0161en\u00ed\u201c p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00edmi \u00fatoky na americk\u00e9 jednotky ze strany t\u00e9 \u010di on\u00e9 ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 milice. Posledn\u00ed \u00fatok v t\u00e9to oblasti, k\u00a0n\u011bmu\u017e do\u0161lo v\u00a0\u00fanoru, m\u011bl splnit stejn\u00fd \u00fa\u010del odstra\u0161en\u00ed, ale zjevn\u011b se tak nestalo. Po ned\u011bln\u00edm \u00faderu okam\u017eit\u011b n\u00e1sledovala odezva, byly vyp\u00e1leny rakety na americkou pozici v S\u00fdrii. Dal\u0161\u00ed takov\u00e9 incidenty budou jen p\u0159ib\u00fdvat.<\/p>\n

\u00datok\u00a0zp\u016fsobil nesn\u00e1ze<\/a> ir\u00e1ck\u00e9mu premi\u00e9rovi Mustafovi al-Kadh\u00edm\u00edmu:<\/p>\n

Pokud jde o tento leteck\u00fd \u00fatok, nejv\u00edce zar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed je jeho na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 p\u0159i\u0161lo pouh\u00fd den pot\u00e9, co se ir\u00e1ck\u00fd premi\u00e9r Mustafa al-Kadh\u00edm\u00ed\u00a0z\u00fa\u010dastnil oslavy<\/a>\u00a0sedm\u00e9ho v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed vzniku Lidov\u00fdch mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch sil (PMF). Oslava se konala v\u00a0t\u00e1bo\u0159e A\u0161raf, b\u00fdval\u00e9m velitelstv\u00ed proti\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 teroristick\u00e9 skupiny Lidov\u00ed mud\u017e\u00e1hed\u00edni, je\u017e se nach\u00e1z\u00ed asi 100 km severov\u00fdchodn\u011b od Bagd\u00e1du. PMF zde p\u0159edvedly tis\u00edce sv\u00fdch bojovn\u00edk\u016f, tanky, raketomety a bezpilotn\u00ed letouny p\u0159ed p\u0159ehl\u00eddkovou tribunou, na n\u00ed\u017e byli krom\u011b Kadh\u00edm\u00edho p\u0159\u00edtomni i ministr obrany Juma Inad, ministr vnitra Othman Ghanmi, n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy gener\u00e1lporu\u010d\u00edk Abdul Amir Jarallah a n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk \u0161t\u00e1bu PMF Abdul Aziz al-Mohammadawi.D\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e seznam \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f je v\u0161ak to, co Kadh\u00edm\u00ed \u0159ekl o PMF. V\u00a0tweetu, zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9m b\u011bhem p\u0159ehl\u00eddky, premi\u00e9r poznamenal: \u201eZ\u00fa\u010dastnili jsme se p\u0159ehl\u00eddky na\u0161\u00ed hrdinn\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy 6. prosince (2020), stejn\u011b jako p\u0159ehl\u00eddky state\u010dn\u00e9 policie, a dnes jsme se z\u00fa\u010dastnili p\u0159ehl\u00eddky na\u0161ich syn\u016f z Lidov\u00fdch mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch sil. Prohla\u0161ujeme, \u017ee na\u0161e pr\u00e1ce je ve jm\u00e9nu Ir\u00e1ku, a \u017ee ochrana t\u00e9to zem\u011b a lidu je na\u0161\u00ed povinnost\u00ed. Ano pro Ir\u00e1k! Ano pro Ir\u00e1k, silnou a schopnou zemi.\u201c Kadh\u00edm\u00ed d\u00e1le vyzdvihl skute\u010dnost, \u017ee PMF jsou st\u00e1tn\u00ed slu\u017ebou, a ocenil jejich roli v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm boji proti Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu.P\u0159ipome\u0148me si, \u017ee den pot\u00e9, co ir\u00e1ck\u00fd premi\u00e9r v doprovodu sv\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho a n\u00e1rodn\u00edho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho t\u00fdmu prohl\u00e1sil PMF za nepostradatelnou sou\u010d\u00e1st bezpe\u010dnosti st\u00e1tu, USA bombardovaly pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto s\u00edly v S\u00fdrii a Ir\u00e1ku, a to na m\u00edstech, odkud PMF prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed operace proti IS, kter\u00e9 ir\u00e1ck\u00fd premi\u00e9r tak vychvaloval – a USA tak u\u010dinily, ani\u017e by o tom p\u0159edem informovaly ir\u00e1ckou vl\u00e1du nebo si vy\u017e\u00e1daly jej\u00ed souhlas.<\/em><\/p>\n

V reakci na to Kadh\u00edm\u00ed\u00a0svolal mimo\u0159\u00e1dnou sch\u016fzku<\/a>\u00a0n\u00e1rodn\u00edho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu a ost\u0159e odsoudil americk\u00e9 \u00fadery jako jasn\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 suverenity, co\u017e p\u0159im\u011bje vl\u00e1du k\u00a0tomu, aby zkoumala ve\u0161ker\u00e9 leg\u00e1ln\u00ed mo\u017enosti reakce.<\/em><\/p>\n

Tento \u00fatok oslabil pozici USA v Ir\u00e1ku a pos\u00edlil pozici \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici\u00a0prohl\u00e1sili<\/a>, \u017ee \u00fatok byl zpr\u00e1vou pro \u00cdr\u00e1n v souvislosti s prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edmi rozhovory o jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b. Co by v\u0161ak tento vzkaz \u0159\u00edkal? \u017de USA mohou bombardovat n\u011bkter\u00e9 m\u00e9n\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 c\u00edle? Co je na tom nov\u00e9ho?<\/p>\n

Vra\u0165me se k \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu pohledu.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem Bidenovy administrativy je soust\u0159edit ve\u0161ker\u00e9 s\u00edly na soupe\u0159en\u00ed s \u010c\u00ednou. Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem si napl\u00e1novala, \u017ee do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry opust\u00ed St\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00fdchod – m\u00edsto, kde USA po v\u00edce ne\u017e dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed pl\u00fdtvaly sv\u00fdmi zdroji.<\/p>\n

Aby USA opustily St\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00fdchod, mus\u00ed naj\u00edt n\u011bjakou formu sm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Bidenova administrativa se proto rozhodla znovu uzav\u0159\u00edt jadernou dohodu, ale aby toho dos\u00e1hla, mus\u00ed zru\u0161it sankce, kter\u00e9 Trump uvalil na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Potom ale do\u0161lo k \u201emission creep\u201c (postupn\u00e9 roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed mise nad jej\u00ed p\u016fvodn\u00ed rozsah). Nam\u00edsto pouh\u00e9ho zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n dodr\u017e\u00ed limity jadern\u00e9 dohody, Bidenova administrativa po\u017eadovala v\u00edce \u00fastupk\u016f ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e nab\u00eddla men\u0161\u00ed \u00falevy od sankc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n dal sv\u016fj postoj jasn\u011b najevo. Pokud USA zru\u0161\u00ed V\u0160ECHNY sankce, uvalen\u00e9 Trumpem, bude se jejich jadern\u00fd program op\u011bt \u0159\u00eddit omezen\u00edmi jadern\u00e9 dohody. Pokud USA nezru\u0161\u00ed V\u0160ECHNY sankce, bude \u00cdr\u00e1n tyto limity nad\u00e1le p\u0159ekra\u010dovat a rozp\u011bt\u00ed st\u00e1le poroste.<\/p>\n

Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Anthony Blinken alias \u201edruh\u00fd Pompeo\u201c si d\u011bl\u00e1 iluze, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159inutit k jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b a p\u0159itom zachovat podstatn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed zaveden\u00fdch sankc\u00ed. S\u00a0jejich pomoc\u00ed\u00a0chce Blinken tla\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/a>, aby omezil raketov\u00e9 s\u00edly a ukon\u010dil podporu sv\u00fdch spojenc\u016f na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b:<\/p>\n

Vysoce postaven\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Bidenovy administrativy, po\u010d\u00ednaje Blinkenem, p\u0159ipustili, \u017ee jedn\u00edm z nedostatk\u016f star\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 dohody je, \u017ee mus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u201edlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a d\u016frazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c a mus\u00ed \u0159e\u0161it \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd program v\u00fdvoje raket a podporu terorismu.<\/em><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed se zd\u00e1, \u017ee se tato \u0161t\u011brbina je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce roz\u0161i\u0159uje: Je st\u00e1le jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli komplexn\u00ed dohoda, kter\u00e1 by \u0159e\u0161ila \u010detn\u00e9 st\u00ed\u017enosti USA ohledn\u011b chov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu, se mus\u00ed tak\u00e9 vztahovat na \u0161irokou \u0161k\u00e1lu nov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, s nimi\u017e \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159ed \u0161esti lety teprve za\u010d\u00ednaly.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se neodzbroj\u00ed. T\u011bchto c\u00edl\u016f\u00a0nelze dos\u00e1hnout<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Blinken ji\u017e sd\u011blil, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 americk\u00e9 sankce z\u016fstanou zachov\u00e1ny a budou zru\u0161eny tehdy – teprve tehdy – a\u017e Teher\u00e1n \u201ezm\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c. V\u0161imn\u011bte si nen\u00e1padn\u00e9 zm\u011bny. Blinken zde nehovo\u0159\u00ed o regula\u010dn\u00edm jadern\u00e9m r\u00e1mci, ale jde na to \u201emanicheisticky\u201c. Tak\u017ee v t\u00e9to metrice (napravuj\u00edc\u00ed \u0161patn\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed) nejde o to, kolik jednotliv\u00fdch sankc\u00ed bude nad\u00e1le platit, ale o povahu t\u011bch zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee povaha t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed, mus\u00ed znamenat velkou bolest, pokud maj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b vynutit zm\u011bnu strategick\u00e9ho kurzu na nenapraviteln\u011b \u201e\u0161patn\u00e9m\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1nu. (Je to dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad toho, jak paradigma dobra a zla zmrazuje politiku.)<\/em><\/p>\n

Biden\u016fv t\u00fdm v\u00ed, a otev\u0159en\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Trump\u016fv maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1tlak nezm\u011bnil chov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu. P\u0159esto Blinken zast\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1zor, aby USA opakovaly to, co pr\u00e1v\u011b selhalo. Trump ve skute\u010dnosti p\u0159im\u011bl \u00cdr\u00e1n k tomu, aby za \u00fa\u010delem odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vyvinul inteligentn\u00ed raketov\u00fd dron, kv\u016fli n\u011bmu\u017e jsou zbran\u011b v\u00a0r\u00e1mci strategie \u201eU\u010di\u0148te Ameriku znovu velkou\u201c irelevantn\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n d\u00edky tomu z\u00edskal strategickou v\u00fdhodu.<\/em><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto si Blinken st\u00e1le pohr\u00e1v\u00e1 s\u00a0my\u0161lenkou, \u017ee\u00a0se nevr\u00e1t\u00ed<\/a> k jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b:<\/p>\n

\u201ePokud to bude pokra\u010dovat, pokud budou vym\u00fd\u0161let sofistikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed centrifugy na st\u00e1le vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovni, dostaneme se do bodu, kdy bude z praktick\u00e9ho hlediska velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9\u201c vr\u00e1tit se k parametr\u016fm p\u016fvodn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 dohody, \u0159ekl.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eNem\u016f\u017eu stanovit datum,\u201c \u0159ekl Blinken o dni, kdy by Bidenova administrativa mohla odstoupit od jadern\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f, ale ta doba \u201ese bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

A co potom?<\/p>\n

Pokud se USA v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nevr\u00e1t\u00ed k jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b, \u00cdr\u00e1n ji zcela opust\u00ed. Odhaduji, \u017ee se tak stane do konce leto\u0161n\u00edho roku. To by \u00cdr\u00e1nu zcela uvolnilo ruce, aby v jadern\u00e9 oblasti d\u011blal cokoli, co bude cht\u00edt. \u00cdr\u00e1n tak\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed podporu z\u00e1stupn\u00fdch sil, kter\u00e9 jsou schopny u\u0161kodit americk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m a americk\u00fdm spojenc\u016fm na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u0158ada st\u00e1le se stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edch \u00fader\u016f – ho\u0159\u00edc\u00ed sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 tankery, vybuchuj\u00edc\u00ed rafinerie, dronov\u00e9 \u00fatoky na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny – bude vy\u017eadovat, aby se USA nad\u00e1le anga\u017eovaly.<\/p>\n

USA nemohou j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Zem\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt okupov\u00e1na, a na jak\u00e9koliv bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed by \u00cdr\u00e1n reagoval raketov\u00fdmi a dronov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky na naprosto ka\u017edou z\u00e1kladnu USA a jejich spojenc\u016f v regionu, v\u010detn\u011b Izraele.<\/p>\n

Udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed odstupu nebo n\u00edzk\u00e1 m\u00edra konfliktu by tak mohly pokra\u010dovat je\u0161t\u011b dlouho. Vy\u017e\u00e1dalo by si to dal\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 zdroje a organizaci \u010dasu. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento \u010das m\u016f\u017ee \u010c\u00edna neru\u0161en\u011b pou\u017e\u00edt k dal\u0161\u00edmu rozvoji sv\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed. T\u00edm, \u017ee Bidenova administrativa st\u00e1le p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed po\u017eadavky ohledn\u011b zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, sabotuje sv\u016fj hlavn\u00ed strategick\u00fd c\u00edl, kter\u00fdm je soupe\u0159en\u00ed s \u010c\u00ednou.<\/p>\n

Tohle je velmi kr\u00e1tkozrak\u00e1 politika. \u00cdr\u00e1n se nezalekne a necouvne. Snaha vyv\u00edjet n\u00e1tlak na \u00cdr\u00e1n zabit\u00edm n\u011bkolika ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch domobranc\u016f je absurdn\u00ed nesmysl. Tyto snahy Bidenovy administrativy jen poukazuj\u00ed na to, \u017ee se samotn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da USA dostala do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky, a p\u0159itom nen\u00ed ochotn\u00e1 za\u0159adit zp\u00e1te\u010dku.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00fd tedy bude jejich dal\u0161\u00ed krok?<\/p>\n

Moon Of Alabama<\/p>\n

\n

Biden’s Iran Policy Is Already At A Dead End<\/a> vy\u0161el 30.6.2021 na ICH. P\u0159eklad\u00a0 Zv\u011bdavec.<\/p>\n

Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v ned\u011bli bombardovaly t\u0159i pozice ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch Lidov\u00fdch mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch sil na syrsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 hranici. Na…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3088,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[72,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3087"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3087\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}