{"id":30576,"date":"2023-06-21T01:01:12","date_gmt":"2023-06-20T23:01:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=30576"},"modified":"2023-06-20T19:05:26","modified_gmt":"2023-06-20T17:05:26","slug":"kontrola-faktu-odstranuje-paniku-hlavniho-proudu-ne-nase-oceany-se-neprehrivaji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/21\/kontrola-faktu-odstranuje-paniku-hlavniho-proudu-ne-nase-oceany-se-neprehrivaji\/","title":{"rendered":"Kontrola fakt\u016f odstra\u0148uje paniku hlavn\u00edho proudu: Ne, na\u0161e oce\u00e1ny se nep\u0159eh\u0159\u00edvaj\u00ed!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Slune\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed hraje ve vztahu ke glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu klimatu nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee si to alespo\u0148 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed.\u00a0K pochopen\u00ed toho, co se d\u011bje, by m\u011bla sta\u010dit trocha z\u00e1kladn\u00edch znalost\u00ed fyziky.\u00a0Ale skute\u010dn\u011b se oce\u00e1ny p\u0159eh\u0159\u00edvaj\u00ed, nebo n\u00e1s (op\u011bt) unesou klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici z mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Z glob\u00e1ln\u00edho hlediska hraj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed vzorce po\u010das\u00ed La Ni\u00f1a (chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, su\u0161\u0161\u00ed) a El Ni\u00f1o (teplej\u0161\u00ed, vlh\u010d\u00ed) v tropick\u00e9m Tich\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu d\u016fle\u017eitou roli, pokud jde o teploty mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho povrchu.\u00a0Sou\u010dasn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edchod El Ni\u00f1a, v\u010detn\u011b teplej\u0161\u00ed povrchov\u00e9 vody oce\u00e1n\u016f, nyn\u00ed vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 hororov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy v mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch.\u00a0Ale co s t\u00edm?\u00a0Ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed fakt\u016f.<\/p>\n

M\u00e9dia tvrd\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

Podle aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch zpr\u00e1v jsou oce\u00e1ny (alespo\u0148 jejich povrchy) aktu\u00e1ln\u011b teplej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e obvykle.\u00a0R\u016fzn\u00e1 m\u00e9dia v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b koluj\u00ed mapy, kter\u00e9 byly \u00fahledn\u011b zbarveny oran\u017eov\u011b a \u010derven\u011b, aby vytvo\u0159ily dramatick\u00fd vizu\u00e1ln\u00ed efekt.\u00a0Stejn\u011b tak americk\u00e1 MSNBC odno\u017e KSN z Kansasu.\u00a0Pt\u00e1 se: \u201e\u00a0P\u0159ekro\u010dili jsme klimatick\u00fd bod zlomu?\u00a0<\/a>A jak u\u017e to u klimatolog\u016f b\u00fdv\u00e1, obvi\u0148uje z tohoto v\u00fdvoje lidi.<\/p>\n

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Naproti tomu Springer\u016fv list \u201e\u00a0Bild<\/a>\u00a0\u201c umo\u017e\u0148uje takzvan\u00e9mu klimatick\u00e9mu expertovi Dr.\u00a0Martin Stendel z D\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho meteorologick\u00e9ho institutu (DMI), kter\u00fd za oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed vin\u00ed pokles zne\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ovzdu\u0161\u00ed z lod\u00ed.\u00a0Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee lodn\u00ed paliva mohou od roku 2020 obsahovat pouze 0,5 procenta s\u00edry nam\u00edsto 3,5 procenta, tyto \u010d\u00e1stice se m\u00e9n\u011b odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed zp\u011bt do vesm\u00edru.\u00a0\u010c\u00e1stice s\u00edry (n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho zn\u00e1me ze sope\u010dn\u00fdch erupc\u00ed) tedy maj\u00ed blokovac\u00ed funkci, stejn\u011b jako je tomu u mrak\u016f.\u00a0Mluv\u00edme zde tedy o klasick\u00fdch fyzik\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1konech.\u00a0Abyste z\u00edskali data, museli byste tak\u00e9 zohlednit sope\u010dnou aktivitu a pr\u016fm\u011brnou obla\u010dnost.<\/p>\n

V\u011bdeck\u00e1 fakta<\/span><\/h3>\n

Ale: Zjevn\u011b se pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed zkreslen\u00e9 datov\u00e9 soubory.\u00a0Alespo\u0148 to ukazuje ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 kritick\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va, kter\u00e1 vyvrac\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159enou grafiku jako stra\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0Po\u00a0komplexn\u00ed anal\u00fdze \u00fadaj\u016f o teplot\u00e1ch mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho povrchu\u00a0<\/a>(kter\u00e9 se podle \u00fadaj\u016f ve skute\u010dnosti celkov\u011b zvy\u0161uj\u00ed \u2013 v pr\u016fm\u011bru ze 17,9 na 18,6 stupn\u011b Celsia za 42 let)<\/strong>\u00a0je jasn\u00e1 jedna v\u011bc: aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed vrchol El Ni\u00f1o m\u00e1 pouze 0,04 stupn\u011b. Celsia nad vrcholem 2016\/2017 (p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd\u00a0odkaz na graf je zde<\/a>\u00a0).\u00a0Celkov\u011b vzato je povrchov\u00e1 teplota mo\u0159e konstantn\u00ed nahoru a dol\u016f.<\/p>\n

Autor se tak\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b v\u011bnuje \u00fadaj\u016fm pro severn\u00ed Atlantik.\u00a0Pokud jste vid\u011bli obr\u00e1zky v \u010dl\u00e1nku KSN (v\u0161e oran\u017eov\u011b a \u010derven\u011b) a pot\u00e9 se pod\u00edvali na ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fadaje o teplot\u011b (zde je dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd odkaz na p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fd graf<\/a>\u00a0), m\u016f\u017eete zcela jasn\u011b vid\u011bt, \u017ee klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici v mainstreamu m\u00e9dia evidentn\u011b reaguj\u00ed p\u0159ehnan\u011b.\u00a0Proto\u017ee zhruba od roku 2010 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed povrchov\u00e9 teploty severn\u00edho Atlantiku do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry stabiln\u00ed.\u00a0<\/strong>Je to d\u00e1no i t\u00edm, \u017ee severn\u00ed Atlantik nen\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b ovlivn\u011bn La Ni\u00f1ou nebo El Ni\u00f1em.<\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b jedn\u00edm faktem (abych se vr\u00e1til k \u010dl\u00e1nku v Bildu) ohledn\u011b \u010dist\u0161\u00edho ovzdu\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed zne\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ovzdu\u0161\u00ed v Evrop\u011b a Severn\u00ed Americe vede k n\u00e1r\u016fstu\u00a0atlantick\u00fdch hurik\u00e1n\u016f<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Sou\u010dasn\u011b rostouc\u00ed zne\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ovzdu\u0161\u00ed v jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii a tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 oblasti evidentn\u011b vede k\u00a0poklesu po\u010dtu tajfun\u016f<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Takov\u00e9 tropick\u00e9 cykl\u00f3ny se vyskytuj\u00ed \u010dast\u011bji, kdy\u017e siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed slune\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed vede k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu mno\u017estv\u00ed vodn\u00ed p\u00e1ry v atmosf\u00e9\u0159e.\u00a0Zlov\u011bstn\u00e1 zm\u011bna klimatu hraje v tomto ohledu men\u0161\u00ed roli ne\u017e zne\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ovzdu\u0161\u00ed (a\u0165 u\u017e p\u0159irozen\u00e9 ze sopek nebo um\u011bl\u00e9) a obecn\u00e1 obla\u010dnost.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/h3>\n

Celkov\u011b povrchov\u00e1 teplota oce\u00e1n\u016f po desetilet\u00ed m\u00edrn\u011b stoup\u00e1, co\u017e je zjevn\u011b d\u00e1no i glob\u00e1ln\u00ed snahou o \u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed vzduchu.\u00a0<\/strong>Mohl k tomu p\u0159isp\u011bt zejm\u00e9na pokles oxidu si\u0159i\u010dit\u00e9ho (pamatujete na boj proti \u201ekysel\u00fdm de\u0161\u0165\u016fm\u201c s ods\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm paliva a topn\u00fdch paliv?).\u00a0M\u00e9n\u011b slune\u010dn\u00edho sv\u011btla se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zp\u011bt do vesm\u00edru, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje dopad slune\u010dn\u00ed energie na oce\u00e1ny.\u00a0Jednoduch\u00e1 fyzick\u00e1 realita.<\/p>\n

B\u011bhem posledn\u00edch milion\u016f let doch\u00e1zelo st\u00e1le znovu k velk\u00fdm v\u00fdkyv\u016fm teplot, a to i bez lidsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1sahu.\u00a0Mo\u017en\u00e1 to te\u010f trochu ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed lid\u00e9, ale budete se muset rozhodnout, zda je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010dist\u0161\u00ed vzduch nebo chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mo\u0159sk\u00e9 povrchy.\u00a0A alespo\u0148 co se t\u00fd\u010de Atlantiku, v\u0161e se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt v norm\u00e1ln\u00edm rozmez\u00ed…<\/p>\n

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Slune\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed hraje ve vztahu ke glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu klimatu nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee si to alespo\u0148…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10703,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[873,5267,1100],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30576"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30576"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30576\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30577,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30576\/revisions\/30577"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10703"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30576"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30576"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30576"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}