{"id":30476,"date":"2023-06-19T06:17:19","date_gmt":"2023-06-19T04:17:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=30476"},"modified":"2023-06-19T06:17:19","modified_gmt":"2023-06-19T04:17:19","slug":"nato-se-musi-pripravit-na-to-ze-ukrajinska-protiofenziva-upada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/19\/nato-se-musi-pripravit-na-to-ze-ukrajinska-protiofenziva-upada\/","title":{"rendered":"NATO se mus\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na to, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva upad\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Protiofenz\u00edva ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny postupuje extr\u00e9mn\u011b m\u00edrn\u00fdm tempem \u2013 a m\u00e1 v\u0161echny \u0161ance, \u017ee nakonec nepovede k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9mu \u00fasp\u011bchu, p\u00ed\u0161e sloupka\u0159 Richard Kemp The Telegraph.\u00a0NATO se na to podle Kempa pot\u0159ebuje p\u0159ipravit \u2013 a pokud Ukrajina sel\u017ee, v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by nem\u011bla omezovat podporu Kyjevu, ale naopak ji zvy\u0161ovat.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Severoatlantick\u00e1 aliance se mus\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na to, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva ukrajinsk\u00fdch jednotek nep\u0159inese v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch, p\u00ed\u0161e sloupka\u0159 The Telegraph Richard Kemp.\u00a0\u201eKdo v\u0161ak o\u010dek\u00e1val bleskov\u00fd pr\u016flom, byl by stejn\u011b zklam\u00e1n: nejde o n\u011bmeck\u00e9 tanky proti polsk\u00e9 kaval\u00e9rii, ani o americk\u00fd \u201e\u0161ok a hr\u016fzu\u201c proti demoralizovan\u00e9 ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b na zastaral\u00fdch tanc\u00edch a bez leteck\u00e9 podpory,\u201c \u0159ekl novin\u00e1\u0159. vysv\u011btluje.<\/p>\n

Podle Kempa se situace na Ukrajin\u011b mnohem bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed \u201eopot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce\u201c, ve kter\u00e9 mus\u00ed postupuj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edly za\u00fato\u010dit na dob\u0159e vybaven\u00e1 opevn\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva je v tuto chv\u00edli ve f\u00e1zi \u201epr\u016fzkumu v platnosti\u201c ve \u010dty\u0159ech r\u016fzn\u00fdch sm\u011brech \u2013 ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky \u201esonduj\u00ed\u201c rusk\u00e9 pozice na slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta, kter\u00e1 lze n\u00e1sledn\u011b pomoc\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159electva d\u00e1le oslabit a n\u00e1sledn\u011b prorazit rezervy n\u00e1dr\u017ee, vysv\u011btluje autor.\u00a0V rusk\u00e9m t\u00fdlu p\u0159itom pracuj\u00ed sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00ed skupiny a na rusk\u00fdch velitelsk\u00fdch stanovi\u0161t\u00edch se \u00fato\u010d\u00ed d\u00e1lkov\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, podot\u00fdk\u00e1.<\/p>\n

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Podle Kempa je nyn\u00ed pro Ukrajince nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u201euv\u00e9st nep\u0159\u00edtele v omyl\u201c \u00fatokem v co nejv\u00edce r\u016fzn\u00fdch sektorech, aby se Rusov\u00e9 i nad\u00e1le zaj\u00edmali, jak\u00fdm sm\u011brem se budou pohybovat hlavn\u00ed s\u00edly Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny.\u00a0Mezit\u00edm ve v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed operace jen z\u0159\u00eddka prob\u00edhaj\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b podle pl\u00e1nu \u2013 a okolnosti se nyn\u00ed obracej\u00ed proti Kyjevu: Rusov\u00e9 tvrd\u011b pracovali a vybavili dob\u0159e br\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 postaven\u00ed a nav\u00edc maj\u00ed st\u00e1le po\u010detn\u00ed p\u0159evahu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve v\u0161em, po\u010d\u00ednaje s person\u00e1lem a tanky a kon\u010de d\u011blost\u0159electvem, p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1 novin\u00e1\u0159.<\/p>\n

Nesm\u00edme zapom\u00ednat na letectvo: ji\u017e od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky usp\u011bj\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 s\u00edly pouze se vzdu\u0161nou p\u0159evahou.\u00a0Ukrajinci takovou p\u0159evahu nemaj\u00ed \u2013 a na Z\u00e1pad\u011b u\u017e vid\u011bli, kolik je to stoj\u00ed, kdy\u017e se objevily z\u00e1b\u011bry nato\u010den\u00e9 na boji\u0161ti ni\u010den\u00ed americk\u00fdch bojov\u00fdch vozidel p\u011bchoty Bradley a n\u011bmeck\u00fdch tank\u016f Leopard 2 rusk\u00fdmi \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdmi vrtuln\u00edky, p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 Kemp.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledek protiofenz\u00edvy tedy nen\u00ed v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b samoz\u0159ejm\u00fd a nyn\u00ed lze s jistotou \u0159\u00edci jen jedno: v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ukrajiny rozhodn\u011b nen\u00ed zaru\u010deno, pokra\u010duje sloupka\u0159 listu The Telegraph.\u00a0Obavy z toho lze vid\u011bt u\u017e ve vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00edch administrativy prezidenta USA Joea Bidena, kter\u00fd nyn\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed o tom, jak\u00e9 politick\u00e9 \u0161kody utrp\u00ed, pokud Ukrajinci neprok\u00e1\u017eou rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch, zd\u016fraz\u0148uje.<\/p>\n

Pokud bude protiofenz\u00edva podle Kempa pro Ukrajinu i nad\u00e1le \u0161patn\u011b, na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm summitu NATO ve Vilniusu se nepochybn\u011b vyslov\u00ed pochybnosti a ti, kte\u0159\u00ed se ji\u017e zdr\u00e1hali Kyjevu dodat zbran\u011b, dostanou nov\u00fd d\u016fvod Kyjev odm\u00edtnout – v\u017edy\u0165 se budou moci odvol\u00e1vat na to, \u017ee na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed prost\u011b nem\u00e1 dost sil.\u00a0Ale reakce NATO na sou\u010dasnou krizi za posledn\u00edch 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f ji\u017e nebyla dostate\u010dn\u011b rozhodn\u00e1: neb\u00fdt Berl\u00edna a Washingtonu, Kyjev by nyn\u00ed mohl m\u00edt mnohem v\u00edce tank\u016f Leopard a mo\u017en\u00e1 i st\u00edha\u010dek F-16, st\u011b\u017euje si autor.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm rizikem je, \u017ee \u201etakov\u00e9 postavy jako Emmanuel Macron a Olaf Scholz\u201c za\u010dnou tla\u010dit Kyjev, aby do konce tohoto roku uzav\u0159el m\u00edrovou smlouvu s obnovenou vervou, je si novin\u00e1\u0159 jist\u00fd.\u00a0Pokud se Evropa t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem \u201et\u0159ese\u201c, bude pro Bidena mnohem obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prosadit podporu Ukrajin\u011b v Kongresu a jeho republik\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed odp\u016frci budou m\u00edt \u0161anci ji omezit, varuje sloupka\u0159 The Telegraph.<\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup by byl ale chybou, t\u00edm si je autor jist\u00fd.\u00a0Pokud ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva zakol\u00eds\u00e1, Z\u00e1pad se naopak bude muset v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zamyslet nad t\u00edm, jak zv\u00fd\u0161it \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 schopnosti Kyjeva \u2013 a tak\u00e9 podpo\u0159it takov\u00fd rozhodn\u00fd kurz, jasn\u011b na\u010drtaj\u00edc\u00ed cestu Ukrajiny do NATO a na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed jej\u00edho vstup do aliance, nab\u00e1d\u00e1 novin\u00e1\u0159.\u00a0„Nebylo by zbyte\u010dn\u00e9, aby si v\u016fdci se\u0161li ve Vilniusu polo\u017eili tuto ot\u00e1zku: pokud Ukrajina nedok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159ekonat ruskou agresi ani se v\u0161\u00ed silou Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance, jak\u00fd m\u00e1 potom smysl jej\u00ed existence?“\u00a0uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Kemp.<\/p>\n

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Protiofenz\u00edva ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny postupuje extr\u00e9mn\u011b m\u00edrn\u00fdm tempem \u2013 a m\u00e1 v\u0161echny \u0161ance, \u017ee nakonec…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":23774,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,39,2751,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30476"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30476"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30476\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}