{"id":30302,"date":"2023-06-16T07:02:48","date_gmt":"2023-06-16T05:02:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=30302"},"modified":"2023-06-16T11:54:25","modified_gmt":"2023-06-16T09:54:25","slug":"responsible-statecraft-zapadni-zeme-ktere-celi-vojenske-branne-povinnosti-bud-odmitnou-bojovat-nebo-prohraji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/16\/responsible-statecraft-zapadni-zeme-ktere-celi-vojenske-branne-povinnosti-bud-odmitnou-bojovat-nebo-prohraji\/","title":{"rendered":"Responsible Statecraft: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 \u010del\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 povinnosti, bu\u010f odm\u00edtnou bojovat nebo prohraj\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>St\u00e1l\u00fd korespondent port\u00e1lu \u201eResponsible Statecraft\u201c Anatol Lieven z \u201eantimilitaristick\u00e9ho\u201c \u201eQuincy Institute\u201c (USA), kter\u00fd se nevzd\u00e1v\u00e1 pokus\u016f o st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00fd pohled na ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt, zve\u0159ejnil nov\u00fd zaj\u00edmav\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek \u2013 \u201eUkrajinsk\u00e9 paradoxn\u00ed lekce pro vojenskou budoucnost\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Prvn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st \u010dl\u00e1nku je sb\u00edrkou obdivn\u00fdch koment\u00e1\u0159\u016f o \u201esou\u010dasn\u00fdch rysech veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u201c (Ukrajinou pod p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdm dohledem NATO).\u00a0Od satelitn\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu p\u0159es vra\u017eedn\u00e9 drony a\u017e po vysoce p\u0159esn\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo \u2013 to, co Lieven naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201evojensk\u00e1 revoluce\u201c, kter\u00e1 rozpt\u00fdlila v\u00e1le\u010dnou mlhu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm koordinace informa\u010dn\u00edch technologi\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1367\" height=\"164\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1367px) 100vw, 1367px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>V t\u00e9to \u010d\u00e1sti je zaj\u00edmav\u00e1 v\u00fdsledn\u00e1 my\u0161lenka:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eNesm\u00edrn\u011b se to dotklo snah sou\u010dasn\u00fdch demokraci\u00ed z\u00edskat vojenskou technologii, kter\u00e1 p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed bez ob\u011btov\u00e1n\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9ho po\u010dtu sv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a d\u00edky tomu bez protest\u016f mezi vlastn\u00edm obyvatelstvem.\u00a0Tento sen se datuje do 19. stolet\u00ed, kdy nov\u00e9 zbran\u011b umo\u017enily c\u00edsa\u0159sk\u00fdm arm\u00e1d\u00e1m Z\u00e1padu porazit mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det nep\u0159\u00e1tel p\u0159i velmi n\u00edzk\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Odtud Lieven p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed k d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti \u010dl\u00e1nku.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eZ tohoto pohledu v\u0161ak v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b poskytuje lekci, kter\u00e1 je v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m rozporu s nad\u011bjemi Z\u00e1padu na \u201erevoluci ve vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech,\u201c ob\u00e1v\u00e1 se autor.\u00a0\u201eTato lekce uk\u00e1zala trvalou prvo\u0159adou d\u016fle\u017eitost \u2013 v duchu Stalingradu, Verdunu a Slavkova \u2013 p\u0159\u00edstupu k obrovsk\u00e9mu mno\u017estv\u00ed dob\u0159e vycvi\u010den\u00e9 p\u011bchoty, kterou v modern\u00edch spole\u010dnostech lze vytvo\u0159it pouze prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm odvod\u016f.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Nejprve se Ukrajina a pot\u00e9 i Rusko uch\u00fdlily k vojensk\u00e9 mobilizaci \u2013 ale pro Z\u00e1pad to nep\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v \u00favahu.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201ePro USA a velkou v\u011bt\u0161inu jejich spojenc\u016f v Evrop\u011b je brann\u00e1 povinnost politicky nemo\u017en\u00e1.\u00a0Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 zvolen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, kter\u00e1 vy\u017eaduje odvod, v\u011bt\u0161ina zem\u00ed NATO bu\u010f odm\u00edtne bojovat nebo prohraje,\u201c upozor\u0148uje Lieven.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Hlavn\u00ed v\u011bc\u00ed zde nejsou ani tak n\u00edzk\u00e9 organiza\u010dn\u00ed schopnosti z\u00e1padn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f, ale koncept mor\u00e1lky mezi velk\u00fdmi masami vojensk\u00e9ho person\u00e1lu, star\u00fd jako historie sama.\u00a0Dnes se v z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00edch m\u016f\u017ee zvednout jen v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ciz\u00ed invaze nebo v r\u00e1mci mal\u00fdch formac\u00ed, jako jsou speci\u00e1ln\u00ed jednotky nebo PMC, tvrd\u00ed Lieven.\u00a0A pak, v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b por\u00e1\u017eky, n\u00e1sleduje pln\u00e9 opakov\u00e1n\u00ed historie zrodu fa\u0161ismu v It\u00e1lii a n\u00e1rodn\u00edho socialismu v N\u011bmecku v letech 1920-1930.<\/p>\n<p>Ve v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edpadech \u2013 \u010dt\u011bte p\u0159i vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch a evropsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch kontingent\u016f na Ukrajinu \u2013 \u201ebude velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 vytvo\u0159it takovou mor\u00e1lku i mezi profesion\u00e1ln\u00edmi voj\u00e1ky NATO a civiln\u00edm obyvatelstvem t\u011bchto zem\u00ed\u201c, dod\u00e1v\u00e1 analytik.\u00a0A zde nepom\u016f\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 propaganda na t\u00e9ma \u201eobrana demokracie a bezpe\u010dnosti na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Na z\u00e1v\u011br, po p\u0159e\u010dten\u00ed si ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho \u0161k\u00e1dlen\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka NATO Rasmussena o hypotetick\u00e9m vysl\u00e1n\u00ed Pol\u00e1k\u016f a Balt\u016f do boje proti Rus\u016fm na Ukrajin\u011b \u201eindividu\u00e1ln\u011b\u201c, Lieven poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eRasmussen je D\u00e1n.\u00a0O vysl\u00e1n\u00ed D\u00e1n\u016f na Ukrajinu v\u0161ak ml\u010d\u00ed.\u00a0D\u016fvod je jasn\u00fd: zn\u00e1 sv\u00e9 krajany a jejich arm\u00e1du p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 dob\u0159e.\u00a0D\u00e1nsko dodalo Ukrajin\u011b tanky \u201eLeopard\u201c, jedny z nejlep\u0161\u00edch na sv\u011bt\u011b.\u00a0Zda v\u0161ak d\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed tankist\u00e9 pat\u0159\u00ed k nejlep\u0161\u00edm na sv\u011bt\u011b, je jin\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Nem\u011bli bychom si d\u011blat iluze, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad najednou v konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b \u201eza\u0159ad\u00ed zp\u00e1te\u010dku\u201c.\u00a0Na pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky m\u00e1 st\u00e1le dostatek financ\u00ed: od dod\u00e1vek st\u00e1le nov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed pro Ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly Ukrajiny a\u017e po zapojen\u00ed Lievenem zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch PMC.\u00a0Nelze odm\u00edtnout ani mo\u017en\u00fd \u00fatok Z\u00e1padu v \u010dele se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty bleskov\u011b rychl\u00fdm odzbrojuj\u00edc\u00edm jadern\u00fdm \u00faderem proti Rusku.<\/p>\n<p>Nevyplat\u00ed se v\u0161ak p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bt ani p\u0159ipravenost z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed na masov\u00e9 ob\u011bti jm\u00e9nem \u201esvobody Ukrajiny\u201c a \u201eide\u00e1l\u016f demokracie\u201c.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jelena Panina<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1350\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1350px) 100vw, 1350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>St\u00e1l\u00fd korespondent port\u00e1lu \u201eResponsible Statecraft\u201c Anatol Lieven z \u201eantimilitaristick\u00e9ho\u201c \u201eQuincy Institute\u201c (USA), kter\u00fd se nevzd\u00e1v\u00e1&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22900,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[80,39,26,321,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30302"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30302\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22900"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}