{"id":29531,"date":"2023-06-06T04:41:42","date_gmt":"2023-06-06T02:41:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=29531"},"modified":"2023-06-06T04:41:42","modified_gmt":"2023-06-06T02:41:42","slug":"lucas-leiroz-na-ukrajine-pribyvaji-vnitrni-spory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/06\/lucas-leiroz-na-ukrajine-pribyvaji-vnitrni-spory\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed spory"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V Kyjev\u011b z\u0159ejm\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 vnit\u0159n\u00ed spory.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i rostouc\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed a katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 kampan\u011b si \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk nen\u00ed zcela jist\u00fd st\u00e1lost\u00ed sv\u00e9ho postaven\u00ed v re\u017eimu.\u00a0\u0160u\u0161k\u00e1 se o v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b samotn\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladimira Zelensk\u00e9ho, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e hlavn\u00edm jm\u00e9nem, \u200b\u200bkter\u00e9 se m\u00e1 st\u00e1t novou hlavou st\u00e1tu, je vrchn\u00ed velitel ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Valeri Zalu\u017enyi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0160patn\u00e1 situace Ukrajiny na boji\u0161ti generuje kolektivn\u00ed nespokojenost s vl\u00e1dn\u00edm t\u00fdmem, vy\u017eaduje zm\u011bny a p\u0159eskupen\u00ed.\u00a0V tomto smyslu byl Zalu\u017enyj \u010dasto vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk, kter\u00fd je mo\u017en\u00e1 kvalifikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e sou\u010dasn\u00fd prezident v \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu. O Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho sou\u010dasnou pozici \u0161\u00e9fa ozbrojen\u00fdch sil se v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 bojuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jednou z mo\u017enost\u00ed, jak Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho nahradit, by byl sou\u010dasn\u00fd vrchn\u00ed velitel pozemn\u00edch sil Alexandr Syrskij, kter\u00fd se mezi \u00fa\u0159ady st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le obl\u00edben\u011bj\u0161\u00ed osobnost\u00ed.\u00a0Syrsk\u00fd je velmi kontroverzn\u00ed osoba. M\u011bl na sv\u011bdom\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Bachmuck\u00fd \u201eml\u00fdnek na maso\u201c. Byl to pr\u00e1v\u011b Syrskij, kdo\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady o domn\u011bl\u00e9 proveditelnosti dr\u017een\u00ed pozic ve m\u011bst\u011b navzdory rusk\u00e9mu postupu, kter\u00fd m\u011bl za n\u00e1sledek (zbyte\u010dnou) smrt tis\u00edc\u016f kyjevsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m je, \u017ee Syrsk\u00e9ho vystoupen\u00ed jaksi pot\u011b\u0161ilo p\u0159edstavitele re\u017eimu, kter\u00fdm, jak zn\u00e1mo, na \u017eivotech Ukrajinc\u016f p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed.\u00a0Boj v Bachmutu sta\u010dil k tomu, aby pozdvihl Syrsk\u00e9ho postaven\u00ed a popularitu a odstartoval ho nejen do z\u00e1vodu o velitele ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, ale tak\u00e9 do vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch pozic.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti to pro Zelensk\u00e9ho nen\u00ed dobr\u00e9.\u00a0Prezident u\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt kritizov\u00e1n uvnit\u0159 i vn\u011b Ukrajiny.\u00a0Jeho ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 dlouh\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>turn\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159i hled\u00e1n\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 podpory, bylo poci\u0165ov\u00e1no jako jak\u00fdsi \u201e\u00fat\u011bk\u201c.\u00a0Jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, skute\u010dnost, \u017ee v\u016fdce nebyl na Ukrajin\u011b v nejt\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00edch dnech konfliktu \u2013 v posledn\u00edch dnech bitvy u Bachmutu \u2013 vyvolalo nespokojenost a zavr\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee pro zemi ve v\u00e1lce je nejhor\u0161\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em, kdy bude n\u00e1rodn\u00ed v\u016fdce pova\u017eov\u00e1n za zbab\u011blce nebo dezert\u00e9ra.\u00a0Tak\u017ee vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Zelenskij svou cestou nedok\u00e1zal z\u00edskat velkou mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed podporu a ani nebyl v Kyjev\u011b, aby\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159iv\u00edtal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a odm\u011bnil sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky po bitv\u011b, \u0161ance, \u017ee z\u016fstane u moci dlouho, se zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt sporn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto ohledu se dlouho spekulovalo,\u00a0<\/span>\u017ee<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Zelensk\u00e9ho nahrad\u00ed Zalu\u017enyi.\u00a0Vojensk\u00fd velitel je vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a schopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce, a to jak pro \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch moment\u016f konfliktu, tak pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 hled\u00e1n\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, pokud neexistuje jin\u00e1 alternativa.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee Zalu\u017enyi nen\u00ed v kl\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno, Alexander Syrskij si mezi ukrajinsk\u00fdmi \u00fa\u0159ady z\u00edskal presti\u017e, tak\u017ee je skute\u010dn\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee je v prezidentsk\u00e9m kl\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 navzdory sv\u00e9 odpov\u011bdnosti za to, co se stalo v Bachmutu.\u00a0Rozhodn\u011b ale nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm soupe\u0159em Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho a Zelensk\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160\u00e9f ukrajinsk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky Kirill Budanov je tak\u00e9 jm\u00e9no, kter\u00e9 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed zasv\u011bcen\u00ed navrhuj\u00ed jako budouc\u00edho prezidenta.\u00a0Jeho funkce mu samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zaji\u0161\u0165uje velmi privilegovan\u00e9 <\/span>postaven\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0mezi st\u00e1tn\u00edmi \u00fa\u0159ady, a proto se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed velk\u00e9 presti\u017ei, kdy\u017e se v z\u00e1vod\u011b objevuje po boku Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho a Syrsk\u00e9ho.\u00a0V zemi ve v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m stavu jsou ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly a zpravodajsk\u00e9 sektory jist\u011b nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159evezmou velen\u00ed, pokud bude civiln\u00ed v\u016fdce odstran\u011bn, tak\u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Budanov m\u00e1 v t\u00e9to v\u00fdzv\u011b \u0161anci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak vid\u00edme, spory p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed.\u00a0Zelenskyj se st\u00e1le v\u00edce zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt ohro\u017eov\u00e1n t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed by m\u011bli b\u00fdt jeho bl\u00edzk\u00fdmi spojenci.\u00a0N\u011bkter\u00e1 m\u00e9dia situaci popisuj\u00ed jako v\u00e1lku\u00a0<\/span>\u201ev\u0161ech proti v\u0161em<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0Favoritem, kter\u00fd nahrad\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Zalu\u017enyi.\u00a0Syrskij, a\u010d je mezi \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edky respektov\u00e1n, je notoricky krut\u00e1 a nespolehliv\u00e1 osobnost, jak se uk\u00e1zalo v Bachmutsk\u00e9m ml\u00fdnku na maso. <\/span>Na druhou stranu Budanov sv\u00fdmi kontroverzn\u00edmi v\u00fdroky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v tisku \u010dasto po\u0161kozuje image samotn\u00e9ho Z\u00e1padu\u00a0, jako p\u0159i ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti, kdy\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159iznal ukrajinskou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00fa\u010dast na vra\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch civilist\u016f. V tomto smyslu zn\u00ed Zalu\u017enyi st\u00e1le jako \u201est\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c a realisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce.\u00a0To by se ale mohlo kdykoli zm\u011bnit v z\u00e1vislosti na z\u00e1jmech z\u00e1padn\u00edch sponzor\u016f p\u0159i v\u00fdb\u011bru n\u00e1hrady.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paraleln\u011b s prezidentsk\u00fdm sporem v\u0161ak st\u00e1le prob\u00edh\u00e1 z\u00e1vod o velen\u00ed ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m.\u00a0Na tuto pozici aspiruje i Syrskij, t\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e, pokud se potvrd\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho n\u00e1stupu do prezidentsk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu.\u00a0Ve stejn\u00e9m duchu, pokud se Budanov nakonec stane prezidentem, bude z\u00e1vodit o veden\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky.\u00a0Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je skute\u010dn\u011b jedn\u00edm z roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdch a nekontrolovan\u00fdch spor\u016f.\u00a0A nezd\u00e1 se, \u017ee by Zelenskyj m\u011bl dost s\u00edly na to, aby ovl\u00e1dl krizi nebo aby zabr\u00e1nil jeho p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9mu sesazen\u00ed od moci.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e se mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia sna\u017e\u00ed vzbudit dojem, \u017ee Moskva je ve vnit\u0159n\u00edch sporech rozd\u011blena, ve skute\u010dn\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b se zd\u00e1, \u017ee je to Kyjev, kter\u00fd je \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u00edce pono\u0159en do v\u00e1lky \u201ev\u0161ech proti v\u0161em\u201c. Rusk\u00e9 jednotky \u010dasto pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed techniky psychologick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, aby uk\u00e1zaly nejednotu, kdy\u017e ve sv\u00fdch strategi\u00edch skute\u010dn\u011b pracuj\u00ed soudr\u017en\u011b.\u00a0Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b se Ukrajina a Z\u00e1pad sna\u017e\u00ed demonstrovat jednotu a soudr\u017enost, i kdy\u017e ve skute\u010dnosti maj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my s vnit\u0159n\u00ed spr\u00e1vou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/strong> novin\u00e1\u0159, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, geopolitick\u00fd konzultant<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0<\/span>Twitteru<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Telegramu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span>InfoBrics<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
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V Kyjev\u011b z\u0159ejm\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 vnit\u0159n\u00ed spory.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i rostouc\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed a katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29532,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[221,122,5075,3084,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29531"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29532"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}