{"id":29314,"date":"2023-06-03T01:03:55","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T23:03:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=29314"},"modified":"2023-06-02T17:36:18","modified_gmt":"2023-06-02T15:36:18","slug":"fialova-vlada-je-to-na-rucnik-do-ringu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/03\/fialova-vlada-je-to-na-rucnik-do-ringu\/","title":{"rendered":"Fialova vl\u00e1da: je to na ru\u010dn\u00edk do ringu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed informace o tom, \u017ee se schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu za 5 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f tohoto roku vy\u0161plhal u\u017e na neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdch 271,4 mld. K\u010d, je \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho, kdo se kdy zab\u00fdval st\u00e1tn\u00edmi financemi. V\u00a0kv\u011btnu se zv\u00fd\u0161il kumulovan\u00fd schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu za jedin\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc o dal\u0161\u00edch 71 mld. K\u010d, oproti zhruba 200 mld. K\u010d vyk\u00e1zan\u00fdch jako deficit za prvn\u00ed 4 m\u011bs\u00edce tohoto roku.<\/p>\n

Je to v\u00fdsledek neum\u011btelsk\u00e9 politiky vl\u00e1dy Petra Fialy, v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e nen\u00ed jedin\u00fd kvalifikovan\u00fd ekonom. Ministr financ\u00ed Stanjura s\u00e1m o sob\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee je elektrik\u00e1\u0159. \u00a0Mo\u017en\u00e1 by to byla dobr\u00e1 kvalifikace pro \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 firmy (pokud v\u016fbec), ale pro \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edch financ\u00ed je to naprosto nedostate\u010dn\u00e9. Vl\u00e1da se dlouhodob\u011b pou\u0161t\u00ed do z\u00e1m\u011br\u016f, na kter\u00e9 prost\u011b st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det nem\u00e1 kapacitu. M\u00e1m t\u00edm p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na mysli n\u00e1r\u016fsty zbrojn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f (z roku na rok to bylo dal\u0161\u00edch 30 mld. K\u010d n\u00e1r\u016fstu).<\/p>\n

Syst\u00e9mov\u011b vl\u00e1da t\u00e1pe. U\u017e nejpozd\u011bji p\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem muselo b\u00fdt p\u0159ece jasn\u00e9, \u017ee je pot\u0159eba zas\u00e1hnout. Hospoda\u0159en\u00ed leto\u0161n\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu bez z\u00e1sah\u016f v\u00a0jednotliv\u00fdch kapitol\u00e1ch st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu, nap\u0159. v\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00edm 10 procent provozn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f v\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9 kapitole (tak jak se to d\u011blo v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch letech v\u00a0minulosti), je neudr\u017eiteln\u00e9. Fiala, Stanjura a spol. se v\u0161ak nejprve pustili do hospoda\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku a dal\u0161\u00edch let se sv\u00fdm slavn\u00fdm tzv. konsolida\u010dn\u00edm bal\u00ed\u010dkem. Tento rok jako kdyby nebyl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m. Zkr\u00e1tka, nejprve m\u011bla p\u0159ij\u00edt opat\u0159en\u00ed na zmrazen\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f st\u00e1tu v\u00a0tomto roce a pak m\u011bla vl\u00e1da p\u0159ij\u00edt s\u00a0konsolida\u010dn\u00edm bal\u00ed\u010dkem pro p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed obdob\u00ed. To, \u017ee sama sebe zahnala do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky a ne\u0159e\u0161ila v\u011bci v\u010das, zejm\u00e9na kv\u016fli prezidentsk\u00e9 volb\u011b, aby neohrozila zvolen\u00ed sv\u00e9ho kandid\u00e1ta, vl\u00e1du te\u010f trest\u00e1. Vl\u00e1da je de facto na konci pololet\u00ed a slo\u017eit\u00fd mechanismus st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu, pokud se do n\u011bj zas\u00e1hne, pak to p\u0159inese efekty a\u017e po \u0159ad\u011b m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Je tedy ot\u00e1zka, co vlastn\u011b vl\u00e1da m\u016f\u017ee d\u011blat. Nablbl\u00e9 n\u00e1pady n\u011bkter\u00fdch quaziekonom\u016f nap\u0159. na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed plat\u016f ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f nebo zmrazen\u00ed d\u016fchod\u016f jsou \u00fapln\u011b mimo m\u00edsu. Prost\u011b tyto v\u00fddaje se daj\u00ed zm\u011bnit jenom zm\u011bnou p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f. A k tomu vl\u00e1da nem\u00e1 pot\u0159ebn\u00fd \u010das. Mus\u00ed tedy tnout do \u017eiv\u00e9ho v\u00a0jednotliv\u00fdch resortech a potla\u010dit n\u011bkter\u00e9 provozn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, nap\u0159. jak jsem v\u00fd\u0161e uvedl, v\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00edm jejich \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed do konce roku. P\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem jsem ve sv\u00fdch koment\u00e1\u0159\u00edch varoval, \u017ee schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu za tento rok m\u016f\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout nikoliv 295 mld. K\u010d, co\u017e je sama o sob\u011b d\u011bsupln\u00e1 v\u00fd\u0161e schodku st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu, ale jeho skute\u010dn\u00e1 v\u00fd\u0161e se bude pohybovat n\u011bkde mezi 250 a\u017e 400 mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n

Ministr financ\u00ed se op\u00e1j\u00ed my\u0161lenkou, \u017ee se schodek v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm obdob\u00ed, tedy ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed p\u0159\u00edvalem \u201en\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu\u201c. Stanjura o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee nap\u0159. banky zaplat\u00ed ve windfall tax 33 mld. K\u010d. Banky si sice namastily kapsy, proto\u017ee v\u00a0souhrnu jejich zisky za minul\u00fd rok \u010dinily p\u0159es 100 mld. K\u010d, ale s\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm rokem u\u017e si, pokud jde o zisky resp., jejich redukc\u00ed n\u011bjak porad\u00ed. Zkr\u00e1tka, Stanjurovi p\u0159iplyne do st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edjmov\u00e9m titulu jen n\u011bkolik m\u00e1lo miliard korun. To co je re\u00e1ln\u00e9, je dividenda od \u010cEZu a pen\u00edze z\u00a0evropsk\u00fdch fond\u016f, ale nic v\u00edc.<\/p>\n

Hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed st\u00e1tu stagnuje a vl\u00e1da ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic, aby povzbudila r\u016fst ekonomiky. Tlum\u00ed spot\u0159ebu obyvatelstva a sv\u00fdmi z\u00e1m\u011bry, kter\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u011b deklaruje, vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v\u0161eobecn\u011b \u201eblbou n\u00e1ladu\u201c, tak\u017ee lid\u00e9 odkl\u00e1daj\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy do budoucna. Tedy alespo\u0148 pokud jde o spot\u0159ebn\u00ed p\u0159edm\u011bty a p\u0159edm\u011bty dlouhodob\u00e9 spot\u0159eby. Koup\u011bschopnou popt\u00e1vku pochopiteln\u011b dus\u00ed vysok\u00e9 ceny zbo\u017e\u00ed ka\u017edodenn\u00ed spot\u0159eby, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm potravin. Probl\u00e9my v\u0161ak nejsou jenom v klesaj\u00edc\u00ed spot\u0159eb\u011b obyvatelstva, ale tak\u00e9 v\u00a0poklesu investic. Kles\u00e1 tak\u00e9 export, co\u017e se zat\u00edm neprom\u00edt\u00e1 negativn\u011b do HDP jen d\u00edky tomu, \u017ee se sn\u00ed\u017eil dovoz zbo\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0d\u016fsledku klesaj\u00edc\u00ed koup\u011bschopnosti obyvatelstva.<\/p>\n

Je to prost\u011b za\u010darovan\u00fd kruh \u201enehod\u201c a p\u0159ehmat\u016f, kter\u00e9mu vl\u00e1da nejen, \u017ee ne\u010del\u00ed, ale ona je vlastn\u011b svou \u010dinnost\u00ed nebo naopak ne\u010dinnost\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Ji\u017e loni na podzim \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka je\u0161t\u011b pod veden\u00edm J. Rusnoka nastavila z\u00e1kladn\u00ed sazbu \u00farok\u016f na 7 procent, \u010d\u00edm\u017e vlastn\u011b utlumila investi\u010dn\u00ed \u010dinnost mal\u00fdch a st\u0159edn\u00edch (zejm\u00e9na opravdu \u010desk\u00fdch) firem. A nejen to, t\u00edm, \u017ee utlumila investi\u010dn\u00ed \u010dinnost, vlastn\u011b zastavila modernizaci pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed zem\u011b. \u017d\u00e1douc\u00ed robotizace, automatice a digitalizace m\u016f\u017ee prob\u00edhat jen ve velk\u00fdch firm\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy v\u00a0eurech a m\u016f\u017eou si p\u016fj\u010dovat pen\u00edze od bank v\u00a0eurech.<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0m\u00e1la makroekonomick\u00fdch ukazatel\u016f, kter\u00fdm se vl\u00e1da chlub\u00ed, je n\u00edzk\u00e1 m\u00edra nezam\u011bstnanosti. Nelze se ale zbavit dojmu, \u017ee vysok\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka po pracovn\u00edch sil\u00e1ch v\u00a0pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00edch je zp\u016fsobena zpomalen\u00edm modernizace t\u011bchto odv\u011btv\u00ed. Tomu napomohla tato vl\u00e1da a zejm\u00e9na b\u00fdval\u00e9 veden\u00ed \u010cNB, kter\u00e9 politick\u00e9 s\u00edly spojen\u00e9 s\u00a0touto vl\u00e1dou a vl\u00e1da samotn\u00e1 v podstat\u011b adoruje. Prost\u011b neum\u011btelstv\u00ed nad neum\u011btelstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ekonomika st\u00e1tu snad od po\u010d\u00e1tku \u0161edes\u00e1t\u00fdch let nebyla nikdy v\u00a0rukou takov\u00fdch diletant\u016f jako nyn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

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V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed informace o tom, \u017ee se schodek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu za 5 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f tohoto roku vy\u0161plhal…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19566,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[3568,59,29,371,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29314"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29314"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29314\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19566"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29314"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}