{"id":29302,"date":"2023-06-03T01:04:44","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T23:04:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=29302"},"modified":"2023-06-02T16:54:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-02T14:54:41","slug":"boure-pred-bouri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/06\/03\/boure-pred-bouri\/","title":{"rendered":"Bou\u0159e p\u0159ed bou\u0159\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Opravdu nezn\u00e1m nikoho, kdo by \u0159ekl, \u017ee americk\u00e1 ekonomika je pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f ve skv\u011bl\u00e9 kondici.\u00a0Inflace se vymkla kontrole, velk\u00e9 korporace prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed masov\u00e9 propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed po cel\u00e9 zemi, bublina na bydlen\u00ed za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 praskat a v na\u0161ich velk\u00fdch m\u011bstech vznikaj\u00ed t\u00e1bory pro bezdomovce, jak se chudoba \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed jako po\u017e\u00e1r.\u00a0Ale to nen\u00ed hlavn\u00ed ud\u00e1lost.\u00a0\u0158\u00edk\u00e1m tomu \u201ebou\u0159e p\u0159ed bou\u0159\u00ed\u201c, proto\u017ee pravdou je, \u017ee tato nov\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 krize teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1.\u00a0Bohu\u017eel je na cest\u011b mnohem v\u00edce utrpen\u00ed a na\u0161e zem\u011b se s t\u00edm nevypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 se mnou nesouhlas\u00edte.<\/span><\/p>\n

A to je v po\u0159\u00e1dku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikdo se mnou na 100 procent ve v\u0161em nesouhlas\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nepochybn\u011b znepokojiv\u00e9 konstatovat, \u017ee se situace v\u00fdrazn\u011b zhor\u0161uje.\u00a0Podle spole\u010dnosti Challenger, Gray & Christmas se po\u010det ozn\u00e1men\u00fdch propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ze strany zam\u011bstnavatel\u016f v kv\u011btnu 2023 zv\u00fd\u0161il o 287 procent ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se stejn\u00fdm obdob\u00edm lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku.\u00a0Tento v\u00fdvoj je pro trh pr\u00e1ce alarmuj\u00edc\u00edm sign\u00e1lem a vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy o ekonomickou stabilitu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 v USA ozn\u00e1mili v kv\u011btnu 80 089 propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, co\u017e je o 20 % v\u00edce ne\u017e 66 995 v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci.\u00a0To je o 287 % v\u00edce ne\u017e 20 712 propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ozn\u00e1men\u00fdch ve stejn\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci v roce 2022, podle zpr\u00e1vy zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 ve \u010dtvrtek glob\u00e1ln\u00ed outplacementovou, obchodn\u00ed a v\u00fdkonnou kou\u010dovac\u00ed firmou Challenger, Grey & Christmas, Inc.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Jedna v\u011bc by byla, kdyby byl m\u011bs\u00edc kv\u011bten n\u011bjakou statistickou anom\u00e1li\u00ed, ale nebyla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se po\u010det ru\u0161en\u00ed pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst za prvn\u00edch p\u011bt m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f roku 2023 zv\u00fd\u0161il o neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdch 315 procent ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se stejn\u00fdmi p\u011bti m\u011bs\u00edci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ud\u011blejte si p\u00e1r minut na p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161len\u00ed o tomto \u010d\u00edsle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b uzav\u00edrek v roce 2020 jsme nic podobn\u00e9ho nevid\u011bli od roku 2009.<\/span><\/p>\n

A ti na vrcholu ekonomick\u00e9ho potravinov\u00e9ho \u0159et\u011bzce vedou cestu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mimo jin\u00e9 jsme se pr\u00e1v\u011b dozv\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee Goldman Sachs pl\u00e1nuje t\u0159et\u00ed kolo hromadn\u00e9ho propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs pl\u00e1nuje dal\u0161\u00ed kolo propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst \u2013 t\u0159et\u00ed za m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e rok \u2013 proto\u017ee zisky z obchod\u016f nad\u00e1le klesaj\u00ed, \u0159ekly zdroje listu Post Tuesday.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Investi\u010dn\u00ed banka veden\u00e1 Davidem Solomonem propust\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch 250 zam\u011bstnanc\u016f pot\u00e9, co v lednu propustila 3200 zam\u011bstnanc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed byli podle zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch informac\u00ed ozna\u010deni jako \u201eDavid’s Demolition Day\u201c.<\/span><\/cite>Ekonomick\u00e1 aktivita v cel\u00e9 zemi zpomaluje a to se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 projevovat ve zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch o v\u00fdd\u011blc\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve \u010dtvrtek Macy’s uvedl, \u017ee tr\u017eby v posledn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed klesly o 8,7 procenta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve \u010dtvrte\u010dn\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b o v\u00fdd\u011blc\u00edch Macy’s uvedla, \u017ee tr\u017eby v posledn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed klesly o 8,7 procenta, co\u017e donutilo obchodn\u00ed d\u016fm v New Yorku sn\u00ed\u017eit ceny od\u011bv\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edho spot\u0159ebn\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledky Macy ukon\u010dily v\u00fdsledkovou sez\u00f3nu maloobchodu, kter\u00e9 uk\u00e1zaly, jak tvrdo\u0161\u00edjn\u011b vysok\u00e1 inflace, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v potravin\u00e1ch, nut\u00ed nakupuj\u00edc\u00ed d\u00e1le omezovat voln\u00e9 polo\u017eky, jako je oble\u010den\u00ed, aby mohli platit za sv\u00e9 rostouc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dty za potraviny.<\/span><\/cite>Dollar General tak\u00e9 ozn\u00e1mil velmi neuspokojiv\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky, co\u017e vedlo k divok\u00e9mu v\u00fdprodeji akci\u00ed Dollar General.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spole\u010dnost Dollar General, kter\u00e1 se star\u00e1 o z\u00e1kazn\u00edky s n\u00edzk\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edjmy a je nejrychleji rostouc\u00edm americk\u00fdm maloobchodn\u00edm \u0159et\u011bzcem, ve \u010dtvrtek tak\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017eila sv\u00e9 celoro\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhledy tr\u017eeb a zisk\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e akcie spole\u010dnosti klesly o 19,55 procenta.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Pokles o 20 procent za jeden den je velk\u00fd probl\u00e9m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d je tedy Dollar General za o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm?<\/span><\/p>\n

No, gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee st\u00e1l\u00ed z\u00e1kazn\u00edci jsou v tuto chv\u00edli finan\u010dn\u011b velmi napjat\u00ed.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee mnoho z nich \u201emus\u00ed v\u00edce spol\u00e9hat na potravinov\u00e9 banky\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Na\u0161i z\u00e1kazn\u00edci bohu\u017eel \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee se mus\u00ed v\u00edce spol\u00e9hat na banky s potravinami, spo\u0159en\u00ed a kreditn\u00ed karty,“ \u0159ekl gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel Jeff Owen ve \u010dtvrtek na konferen\u010dn\u00edm hovoru s analytiky.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Spole\u010dnost tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jej\u00ed \u201ehlavn\u00ed z\u00e1kazn\u00edci\u201c vyd\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 40 000 dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b.\u00a0Owen tak\u00e9 \u0159ekl, \u017ee v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1kazn\u00edci byli p\u0159ekvapeni sn\u00ed\u017een\u00fdmi vratkami dan\u00ed a sn\u00ed\u017een\u00fdmi v\u00fdhodami SNAP, \u201eco\u017e p\u0159isp\u011blo k infla\u010dn\u00edm tlak\u016fm, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e za\u017e\u00edvali.\u201c<\/span><\/cite><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledky spole\u010dnosti Dollar General odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed v\u00fdsledky konkuren\u010dn\u00edho Dollar Tree, kter\u00fd minul\u00fd t\u00fdden rovn\u011b\u017e zaost\u00e1val za investory a sn\u00ed\u017eil sv\u00e9 odhady zisk\u016f pro tento rok.<\/span><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

V \u010dl\u00e1nku, kter\u00fd jsem publikoval p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny, jsem se zab\u00fdval mimo\u0159\u00e1dnou popt\u00e1vkou, kterou vid\u00edme v potravinov\u00fdch bank\u00e1ch po cel\u00e9 zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Venku je pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f tolik utrpen\u00ed a bude se jen zvy\u0161ovat, a\u017e v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159ijde o pr\u00e1ci v\u00edce Ameri\u010dan\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdyby americk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka nezv\u00fd\u0161ila \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby tak agresivn\u011b, byla by to velk\u00e1 pomoc.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edsto toho se rozhodla za\u00fato\u010dit na americkou ekonomiku kladivem a nyn\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00farokov\u00e1 sazba u hypot\u00e9ky s fixac\u00ed na 30 let vzrostla na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 7 procent.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00darokov\u00e1 sazba u hypot\u00e9ky s fixn\u00ed sazbou na 30 let tento t\u00fdden vzrostla na 6,79 % z 6,57 % v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm t\u00fddnu.\u00a0P\u0159ed rokem to bylo v pr\u016fm\u011bru 5,09 %.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

„Hypote\u010dn\u00ed sazby tento t\u00fdden vysko\u010dily, proto\u017ee dynamick\u00e1 ekonomika p\u0159im\u011bla trh k cen\u00e1m s pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rezervn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu,“ \u0159ekl Sam Khater, hlavn\u00ed ekonom Freddie Mac.\u00a0„P\u0159esto\u017ee existuje st\u00e1l\u00e1 n\u00e1kupn\u00ed popt\u00e1vka, kdy\u017e jsou \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby v rozmez\u00ed od n\u00edzk\u00fdch do st\u0159edn\u00edch 6 %, tato popt\u00e1vka pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b sl\u00e1bne, jakmile se \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed k 7%.“<\/span><\/cite>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee realitn\u00ed bublina nad\u00e1le imploduje, budou to m\u00edt pracovn\u00edci v tomto odv\u011btv\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pravda je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b takov\u00e1, \u017ee n\u00e1s v\u0161echny \u010dekaj\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u010dasy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee ve Washingtonu se na z\u00e1chranu nikdo nehrne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Roky zadlu\u017een\u00ed a plynul\u00e9 \u201esnadn\u00e9 pen\u00edze\u201c skon\u010dily a nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00edme spoust\u011b bolesti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bohu\u017eel v\u011bt\u0161ina Ameri\u010dan\u016f st\u00e1le nech\u00e1pe, \u017ee se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed velk\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 bou\u0159e, a to je velmi ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Opravdu nezn\u00e1m nikoho, kdo by \u0159ekl, \u017ee americk\u00e1 ekonomika je pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f ve skv\u011bl\u00e9 kondici.\u00a0Inflace…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22391,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29302"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29302\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}