{"id":28801,"date":"2023-05-26T05:36:57","date_gmt":"2023-05-26T03:36:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=28801"},"modified":"2023-05-26T05:36:57","modified_gmt":"2023-05-26T03:36:57","slug":"andrew-korybko-bidenovo-znovuzvoleni-zavisi-na-uspechu-kyjevske-protiofenzivy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/26\/andrew-korybko-bidenovo-znovuzvoleni-zavisi-na-uspechu-kyjevske-protiofenzivy\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Bidenovo znovuzvolen\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed na \u00fasp\u011bchu kyjevsk\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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A\u0165 u\u017e to bude hr\u00e1t jakkoli, je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nulov\u00e1 \u0161ance, \u017ee protiofenz\u00edva Kyjeva spln\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnosti bez n\u011bjak\u00e9 akce s \u010dernou labut\u00ed, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Biden se bude uch\u00e1zet o znovuzvolen\u00ed se dv\u011bma prohrami v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 daj\u00ed jemu a jeho t\u00fdmu dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i roky v \u00fa\u0159adu pot\u00e9, co tak krut\u011b pon\u00ed\u017eili USA, ale dal\u0161\u00ed des\u00edtky tis\u00edc mohou zem\u0159\u00edt, ne\u017e budou tito v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di odstaveni od moci. \u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Vysok\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd prezidentsk\u00fd poradce Michail Podoljak\u00a0<\/span>italsk\u00fdm m\u00e9di\u00edm \u0159ekl, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><\/a>tolik medializovan\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva\u00a0<\/a><\/span>jeho zem\u011b\u00a0<\/span>ji\u017e za\u010dala p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny, co\u017e je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed, proto\u017ee tento \u010dasov\u00fd r\u00e1mec se shoduje s jej\u00ed z\u00e1stupnou invaz\u00ed do rusk\u00e9ho regionu Belgorod, kter\u00e1 byla jen\u00a0kopi\u00ed za odklon\u00a0<\/a>od\u00a0ztr\u00e1ty Ar\u0165omovska\u00a0<\/a>.\u00a0Tento medi\u00e1ln\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fd trik ohromn\u011b nedok\u00e1zal dos\u00e1hnout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch hmatateln\u00fdch zisk\u016f, co\u017e v\u0161ak vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce ot\u00e1zek ne\u017e kdy p\u0159edt\u00edm, zda bude protiofenz\u00edva v\u016fbec \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

The\u00a0<\/span>Washington Post\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v b\u0159eznu zv\u00fd\u0161il pov\u011bdom\u00ed o tom, jak \u0161patn\u011b si kyjev\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci vedou ve\u00a0<\/span>v\u00e1lce\u00a0<\/a><\/span>mezi NATO a Ruskem\u00a0<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/a>po kter\u00e9 o m\u011bs\u00edc pozd\u011bji\u00a0Politico\u00a0<\/a>citovalo nejmenovan\u00e9 p\u0159edstavitele Bidenovy administrativy, kte\u0159\u00ed se ob\u00e1vali d\u016fsledk\u016f toho, \u017ee nespln\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ve\u0159ejnosti.\u00a0B\u00fdval\u00fd rusk\u00fd \u0161achov\u00fd \u0161ampion Garry Kasparov pot\u00e9\u00a0vymyslel konspira\u010dn\u00ed teorii,\u00a0<\/a>kter\u00e1 divoce spekulovala o tom, \u017ee agenti Kremlu infiltrovali B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm a sabotovali protiofenz\u00edvu je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e v\u016fbec za\u010dala.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1lo se, \u017ee tato obl\u00edben\u00e1 prokyjevsk\u00e1 postava byla vyd\u011b\u0161ena p\u0159edsedou zahrani\u010dn\u00edho v\u00fdboru Sn\u011bmovny reprezentant\u016f Michaelem McCaulem, kdy\u017e\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl Bloombergu,\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u017ee \u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee s touto protiofenz\u00edvou bude hodn\u011b jezdit na front\u011b.\u00a0Pokud bude Ukrajina \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1 v o\u010d\u00edch americk\u00e9ho lidu a sv\u011bta, mysl\u00edm, \u017ee to zm\u011bn\u00ed hru, pokud jde o pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed podporu.\u00a0Pokud nejsou, bude to m\u00edt tak\u00e9 negativn\u00ed dopad.“\u00a0Jin\u00fdmi slovy, jeho selh\u00e1n\u00ed by mohlo v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee USA v\u00e1\u017en\u011b omez\u00ed pomoc Kyjevu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tom tkv\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fd d\u016fvod, pro\u010d protiofenz\u00edva st\u00e1le pokra\u010duje i p\u0159es ohromn\u00e9 \u200b\u200b\u0161ance na jej\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch, kter\u00e9 byly v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch podrobn\u011b pops\u00e1ny Washington Post a Politico.\u00a0Bidenovo znovuzvolen\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed na \u00fasp\u011bchu t\u00e9to kampan\u011b pot\u00e9, co NATO ji\u017e poslalo\u00a0<\/span>Kyjevu\u00a0<\/span>v\u00edce ne\u017e 165 miliard dolar\u016f na pomoc poskytovanou da\u0148ov\u00fdmi poplatn\u00edky, z nich\u017e velk\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina poch\u00e1zela z USA.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Pot\u0159ebuje cokoliv, co by jeho mana\u017ee\u0159i vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed dok\u00e1zali vyhr\u00e1t jako v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, aby to ospravedlnili p\u0159ed volbami v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed to jen kv\u016fli usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00fdch poplatn\u00edk\u016f v tomto st\u00e1le v\u00edce stranick\u00e9m konfliktu, kter\u00fd je sv\u011bdkem rostouc\u00edho po\u010dtu republik\u00e1n\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed volaj\u00ed po v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm pragmatismu a zdr\u017eenlivosti oproti sv\u00fdm demokratick\u00fdm rival\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed ned\u016fv\u011b\u0159iv\u00ed v tom, jak dlouho to bude t\u0159eba.\u00a0Biden p\u0159edsedal nejpotupn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1t\u011b USA v historii po\u00a0<\/span>chaotick\u00e9 evakuaci\u00a0<\/span><\/a>z Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu v srpnu 2021, kter\u00e1 neslavn\u011b vy\u00fastila v zanech\u00e1n\u00ed velk\u00e9ho po\u010dtu Ameri\u010dan\u016f a m\u00edstn\u00edch spojenc\u016f nezn\u00e1m\u00e9mu osudu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jemu a jeho t\u00fdmu je jedno, kolik des\u00edtek tis\u00edc Ukrajinc\u016f mus\u00ed b\u00fdt v tomto konfliktu ob\u011btov\u00e1no, pokud dok\u00e1\u017eou dos\u00e1hnout n\u011b\u010deho, co mohou demokrat\u00e9 p\u0159ekroutit tak, \u017ee vytvo\u0159ili geostrategicky nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed konflikt od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00fd stoj\u00ed za to\u00a0<\/span>vyprovokovat\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0Ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd n\u00e1let do Ruska a\u00a0<\/span>ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd pokus o atent\u00e1t\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na prezidenta Putina v\u011bt\u0161ina Ameri\u010dan\u016f nepova\u017euje za cenu za riziko t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky podle \u0161patn\u00e9ho odhadu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po 15 m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch boj\u016f se Kyjevu poda\u0159ilo dob\u00fdt zp\u011bt pouze \u010d\u00e1st \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si n\u00e1rokuje jako sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed, co\u017e je nev\u00fdrazn\u00e9, kdy\u017e vezmeme v \u00favahu, \u017ee m\u00e1 plnou podporu toho, co USA vykresluj\u00ed jako \u00fadajn\u011b nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vojenskou alianci sv\u011bta v historii. .\u00a0Samozvan\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>\u201erasa logistiky\u201c\/\u201eopot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lka\u201c \u0161\u00e9fa NATO\u00a0<\/span><\/a>s Ruskem, kterou prohl\u00e1sil v \u00fanoru, bezd\u011b\u010dn\u011b dok\u00e1zala, \u017ee rusk\u00fd vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex m\u016f\u017ee konkurovat cel\u00e9mu Z\u00e1padu.<\/span><\/p>\n

To byla ne\u00famysln\u00e1 r\u00e1na, kterou si tento de facto nov\u00fd blok studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky zasadil jako vojensk\u00e1 supervelmoc, a tak\u00e9 zdiskreditoval jejich p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh o informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lce, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 ekonomika se hrout\u00ed.\u00a0Na konci ledna New York Times p\u0159iznaly, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>sankce Z\u00e1padu selhaly\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, a pak koncem \u00fanora po dramatick\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u0161\u00e9fa NATO p\u0159iznaly, \u017ee se jim\u00a0<\/span>nepoda\u0159ilo izolovat\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ani Rusko.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e1 fakta zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed, \u017ee Biden vypad\u00e1 jako bl\u00e1zen, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>vyprovokoval tento konflikt\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, co\u017e jen prok\u00e1zalo,\u00a0<\/span>jak omezen\u00fd se vliv a moc USA\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v posledn\u00edch letech staly, ale v \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm pohledu vypad\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b h\u016f\u0159.\u00a0N\u011bmeck\u00fd kancl\u00e9\u0159\u00a0<\/span>Olaf Scholz\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, b\u00fdval\u00e1 \u010dlenka Rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti USA\u00a0<\/span>Fiona Hillov\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a prezident pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti Goldman Sachs\u00a0<\/span>Jared Cohen\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve v kv\u011btnu uznali, \u017ee multipolarita je nyn\u00ed v d\u016fsledku tohoto konfliktu geopolitickou realitou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to pouze Bidenova administrativa a\u00a0<\/span>spojene\u010dt\u00ed propagandist\u00e9 \u200b\u200bv zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kte\u0159\u00ed to st\u00e1le pop\u00edraj\u00ed, co\u017e vyv\u00edj\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tlak na sv\u00e9 z\u00e1stupce v Kyjev\u011b, aby v pr\u016fb\u011bhu sv\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy dos\u00e1hli n\u011b\u010deho hmatateln\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bco pak mohou oto\u010dit, jako by st\u00e1lo za to tento konflikt vyprovokovat.\u00a0Hodiny tak\u00e9 tikaj\u00ed, proto\u017ee na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b panuje rostouc\u00ed shoda, \u017ee toto je \u201eposledn\u00ed hur\u00e1\u201c jejich strany p\u0159ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdm\u00a0<\/span>zah\u00e1jen\u00edm rozhovor\u016f o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a m\u00edru\u00a0<\/span><\/a>do konce roku nebo nejpozd\u011bji za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 krize Z\u00e1padu nevyhnuteln\u011b omez\u00ed tempo, rozsah a rozsah ozbrojen\u00e9 pomoci Kyjevu, nemluv\u011b o p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b v USA, kdy se tento konflikt bezprecedentn\u011b zpolitizuje.\u00a0Nam\u00edsto toho, aby st\u0159\u00edzliv\u011b p\u0159iznal nedostatky sv\u00e9 strany a proaktivn\u011b se sna\u017eil dos\u00e1hnout n\u011bjak\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody, kter\u00e1 by pak mohla b\u00fdt zneu\u017eita jako z\u00e1minka k tomu, aby z\u00edskal Nobelovu cenu za m\u00edr, a t\u00edm pos\u00edlil sv\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky na znovuzvolen\u00ed, hraje Biden proti p\u0159esile, \u017ee protiofenz\u00edva usp\u011bje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dokonce i p\u0159edseda Sboru n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk\u016f \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f Mark Milley\u00a0<\/span>koncem ledna p\u0159edv\u00eddal\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee pro Kyjev pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude mo\u017en\u00e9 do leto\u0161n\u00edho roku odstranit Rusko ze v\u0161ech \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 si prohla\u0161uje za sv\u00e9, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee se Biden a jeho t\u00fdm sna\u017e\u00ed dok\u00e1zat, \u017ee se nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel USA m\u00fdl\u00ed.\u00a0To zase potvrzuje, \u017ee up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed politiku p\u0159ed vojensk\u00fdmi radami, \u010d\u00edm\u017e roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost k tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee tato protiofenz\u00edva je cel\u00e1 o Bidenov\u011b znovuzvolen\u00ed a ne o zatla\u010den\u00ed Ruska zp\u011bt na jeho hranice p\u0159ed rokem 2014.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se mu nepoda\u0159\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout tohoto maxim\u00e1ln\u00edho c\u00edle, jak o\u010dek\u00e1vala Milley a d\u0159\u00edve citovan\u00e1 americk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, pak se republik\u00e1ni opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u011b vrhnou na Bidena a obvin\u00ed ho z p\u0159\u00edpravy nejhor\u0161\u00edho konfliktu od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v zoufal\u00e9 snaze vyhr\u00e1t znovuzvolen\u00ed do odklonit se od sv\u00e9 poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu.\u00a0Kdy\u017e je z\u00e1dy op\u0159en\u00fd o ze\u010f, nelze vylou\u010dit, \u017ee mu jeho t\u00fdm porad\u00ed, aby eskaloval na nemysliteln\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b, a\u010dkoli\u00a0<\/span>rusk\u00e9 hypersonick\u00e9 st\u0159ely\u00a0<\/span><\/a>mu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zabr\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit kone\u010dnou \u010dervenou \u010d\u00e1ru.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 u\u017e to bude hr\u00e1t jakkoli, je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nulov\u00e1 \u0161ance, \u017ee protiofenz\u00edva Kyjeva spln\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnosti bez n\u011bjak\u00e9 akce s \u010dernou labut\u00ed, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Biden se bude uch\u00e1zet o znovuzvolen\u00ed se dv\u011bma prohrami v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 daj\u00ed jemu a jeho t\u00fdmu dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i roky v \u00fa\u0159adu pot\u00e9, co tak krut\u011b pon\u00ed\u017eili USA, ale dal\u0161\u00ed des\u00edtky tis\u00edc mohou zem\u0159\u00edt, ne\u017e budou tito v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di odstaveni od moci. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko<\/a><\/div>\n
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A\u0165 u\u017e to bude hr\u00e1t jakkoli, je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nulov\u00e1 \u0161ance, \u017ee protiofenz\u00edva Kyjeva spln\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28802,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,72,26,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28801"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28801"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28801\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28802"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}