{"id":28738,"date":"2023-05-25T01:12:25","date_gmt":"2023-05-24T23:12:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=28738"},"modified":"2023-05-24T18:05:17","modified_gmt":"2023-05-24T16:05:17","slug":"usa-default-apokalypticke-pro-trhy-ale-take-pro-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/25\/usa-default-apokalypticke-pro-trhy-ale-take-pro-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"USA default: apokalyptick\u00e9 pro trhy, ale tak\u00e9 pro Ukrajinu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Republik\u00e1ni a demokrat\u00e9 jsou ve Washingtonu op\u011bt v rozporu ohledn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dluhov\u00e9ho stropu.\u00a0Bankrot USA by byl katastrofou nejen pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m.\u00a0Washington by tak\u00e9 musel zcela p\u0159ehodnotit sv\u00e9 p\u016fsoben\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

USA op\u011bt stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed volbou, zda zv\u00fd\u0161it dluhov\u00fd strop, nebo splatit st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluh ve v\u00fd\u0161i 32 bilion\u016f dolar\u016f.\u00a0Rok co rok \u010del\u00ed Washington stejn\u00e9 krizi a odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 se stejn\u00e9 drama: demokrat\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee cht\u011bj\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it vl\u00e1dn\u00ed v\u00fddaje, a republik\u00e1ni tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee je cht\u011bj\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit.\u00a0Faktem v\u0161ak je, \u017ee ob\u011b strany jsou jen dv\u011b strany t\u00e9\u017ee mince, proto\u017ee na konci ka\u017ed\u00e9 zinscenovan\u00e9 dluhov\u00e9 krize se dluhov\u00fd strop USA zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed a feder\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje USA sp\u00ed\u0161e rostou, ne\u017e klesaj\u00ed.\u00a0Ob\u011b strany tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty sv\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dty v\u017edy plat\u00ed, a \u017ee proto mus\u00ed b\u00fdt zv\u00fd\u0161en dluhov\u00fd strop.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale ve skute\u010dnosti tomu tak v\u016fbec nen\u00ed.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nespl\u00e1cej\u00ed sv\u016fj dluh.\u00a0V podstat\u011b vy\u010derpaj\u00ed svou kreditn\u00ed kartu a pot\u00e9 se rozhodnou zv\u00fd\u0161it kreditn\u00ed limit na t\u00e9to kreditn\u00ed kart\u011b.\u00a0Washington v\u017edy dok\u00e1zal tento p\u0159\u00edstup obej\u00edt, proto\u017ee americk\u00fd dolar je sv\u011btovou rezervn\u00ed m\u011bnou.\u00a0Zjednodu\u0161en\u011b to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da jako emitent americk\u00e9ho dolaru m\u00e1 kapacitu vyv\u00e1\u017eet svou inflaci do cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta.\u00a0Po americk\u00e9m dolaru je popt\u00e1vka po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, proto\u017ee ceny komodit jsou v americk\u00fdch dolarech.\u00a0Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed obchod se tak\u00e9 prov\u00e1d\u00ed v americk\u00fdch dolarech.\u00a0Zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 se cht\u011bj\u00ed zapojit do mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho obchodu, mus\u00ed dr\u017eet zna\u010dn\u00e9 rezervy v americk\u00fdch dolarech, aby tento obchod usnadnily a t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem absorbovaly velkou \u010d\u00e1st americk\u00e9 monet\u00e1rn\u00ed expanze.\u00a0N\u00e1rody, kter\u00e9 necht\u011bj\u00ed m\u00edt nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho s americk\u00fdm dolarem, jsou Washingtonem obt\u011b\u017eov\u00e1ny vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky nebo barevn\u00fdmi revolucemi, aby jim vnutil americk\u00fd dolar.\u00a0Tento bod je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro pochopen\u00ed toho, pro\u010d Washington zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed dluhov\u00fd strop.<\/span><\/p>\n

Letos je v\u0161ak dluhov\u00e1 krize trochu jin\u00e1 ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech a existuje n\u011bkolik faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 to zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed a d\u00e1vaj\u00ed n\u00e1m nahl\u00e9dnout, pro\u010d je Washington navzdory v\u0161\u00ed r\u00e9torice p\u0159ipraven zv\u00fd\u0161it dluhov\u00fd strop.\u00a0Prvn\u00ed a nejv\u00fdmluvn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod, pro\u010d tak ud\u011blaj\u00ed, lze vy\u010d\u00edst z pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Dosavadn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed snahy na Ukrajin\u011b, veden\u00e9 samoz\u0159ejm\u011b Washingtonem, nemaj\u00ed v historii obdoby.\u00a0<\/span>Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty k dne\u0161n\u00edmu dni rozm\u00edstily<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 113 miliard dolar\u016f\u00a0.\u00a0Janet Yellenov\u00e1, b\u00fdval\u00e1 p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rezervn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu USA a sou\u010dasn\u00e1 ministryn\u011b financ\u00ed USA, nyn\u00ed tak\u00e9 tvrdila, \u017ee ministerstvu financ\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>by mohly doch\u00e1zet pen\u00edze ji\u017e 1. \u010dervna.<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0Takov\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla jsou pro b\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho pozorovatele prost\u011b nepochopiteln\u00e1.\u00a0Pro\u010d, div\u00ed se \u010dlov\u011bk?\u00a0Pro\u010d toto bezprecedentn\u00ed utr\u00e1cen\u00ed, sankce a d\u00e9monizace Ruska kv\u016fli Ukrajin\u011b, kdy\u017e st\u00e1tn\u00ed pokladna je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vy\u010derp\u00e1na.\u00a0Jak to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt?<\/span><\/p>\n

Jednodu\u0161e, odpov\u011b\u010f zn\u00ed takto: Rusko je navzdory nekone\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed propagand\u011b n\u00e1rodem, kter\u00fd pod veden\u00edm Vladimira Putina vyrostl vnit\u0159n\u011b i navenek.\u00a0Rusko se rozhodlo zcela zru\u0161it americk\u00fd dolar.\u00a0Zem\u011b je tak\u00e9 schopna chr\u00e1nit a spojovat se s jin\u00fdmi n\u00e1rody, kter\u00e9 necht\u011bj\u00ed m\u00edt nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho s americk\u00fdm dolarem \u2013 S\u00fdrie a \u00cdr\u00e1n jsou dva z nejlep\u0161\u00edch p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f.\u00a0R\u016fst Ruska je organick\u00fd, zat\u00edmco r\u016fst Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f za sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e r\u016fst z\u00e1visl\u00fdch na heroinu, kte\u0159\u00ed pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed d\u00e1vky heroinu, aby si udr\u017eeli vysokou \u00farove\u0148.\u00a0Takto funguje sou\u010dasn\u00fd syst\u00e9m zalo\u017een\u00fd na fiat dolarech.\u00a0Pokud Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nemohou exportovat svou inflaci ve st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm mno\u017estv\u00ed,\u00a0ani nemohou generovat st\u00e1le rostouc\u00ed deficity.\u00a0Pokud nemohou vytv\u00e1\u0159et st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed deficity, vysychaj\u00ed a enormn\u011b se zmen\u0161uj\u00ed.\u00a0Ve\u0161ker\u00e1 moc Washingtonu spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 na tomto um\u011bl\u00e9m mechanismu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lze si za\u010d\u00edt p\u0159edstavovat, \u017ee siln\u00e9 Rusko, organicky rostouc\u00ed a osvobozen\u00e9 od vlivu americk\u00e9ho dolaru, p\u0159edstavuje hrozbu pro schopnost Washingtonu roz\u0161i\u0159ovat svou pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed z\u00e1sobu, proto\u017ee m\u016f\u017ee a rozhodlo se zru\u0161it dolary a m\u016f\u017ee pomoci jin\u00fdm n\u00e1rod\u016fm, kter\u00e9 si p\u0159ej\u00ed ud\u011blat tot\u00e9\u017e.\u00a0Washingtonu tak zb\u00fdv\u00e1 m\u00e9n\u011b zem\u00ed, kam by mohl exportovat svou inflaci, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.\u00a0Pro udr\u017een\u00ed postaven\u00ed americk\u00e9ho dolaru jako sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny, kter\u00e1 je pot\u0159ebn\u00e1 k financov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho st\u00e1le rostouc\u00edch deficit\u016f, nem\u00e1 Washington jinou mo\u017enost, ne\u017e se pokusit Rusko zadr\u017eet.\u00a0Americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da si jako c\u00edl t\u00e9to z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky vybrala Ukrajinu,\u00a0nebo\u0165 na tomto mechanismu spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 cel\u00e1 jeho s\u00edla.\u00a0Pochopen\u00ed t\u00e9to skute\u010dnosti tak\u00e9 pom\u016f\u017ee pochopit, pro\u010d Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nikdy nesplat\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluh a nikdy nezv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed dluhov\u00fd strop.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nespl\u00e1cen\u00ed americk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1dn\u00edho dluhu by okam\u017eit\u011b zru\u0161ilo ve\u0161ker\u00e9 bezprecedentn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed Washingtonu na Ukrajin\u011b omezit Rusko.\u00a0Bankrot USA by zni\u010dil americk\u00fd dolar, jeho\u017e akceptace v posledn\u00edm desetilet\u00ed ji\u017e prudce klesla, a zejm\u00e9na pot\u00e9, co jej USA za\u010daly pou\u017e\u00edvat jako zbra\u0148 proti Rusku a dal\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1rod\u016fm.\u00a0Americk\u00fd dolar by se p\u0159es noc propadl a finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy by se propadly.\u00a0Takov\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost by nejen zni\u010dila mechanismus, kter\u00fdm Washington dos\u00e1hl um\u011bl\u00e9ho, neorganick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu, kter\u00e9ho byly Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty schopny dos\u00e1hnout od sv\u00e9ho odchodu ze zlat\u00e9ho standardu v roce 1971, ale tak\u00e9 by zni\u010dila um\u011blou spole\u010dnost zalo\u017eenou na tomto mechanismu. postaven\u00fd,\u00a0vyt\u00e1hn\u011bte p\u016fdu pod nohama.\u00a0N\u00e1sledky by byly pro Washington katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed a jeho moc by byla zlomena t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u0159es noc.\u00a0Sv\u011bt, jak ho zn\u00e1me, by se drasticky zm\u011bnil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington\u0161t\u00ed politici jsou bl\u00e1zni do um\u011bl\u00e9 s\u00edly, kterou dolarov\u00fd mechanismus p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 by bylo masivn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit americk\u00e9 feder\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje po\u010d\u00ednaje dne\u0161kem a zav\u00e9st pl\u00e1n na postupn\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed americk\u00e9ho feder\u00e1ln\u00edho dluhu b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed generace.\u00a0To v\u0161ak ji\u017e nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9, proto\u017ee spole\u010dnost, kter\u00e1 vyrostla za sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho mechanismu, je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 neschopn\u00e1 realizovat takov\u00e9 dlouhodob\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee tento mechanismus zbavil spole\u010dnost jej\u00ed odpov\u011bdnosti, je naprost\u00e1 neschopnost jedin\u00fdm logick\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158e\u0161en\u00edm Washingtonu je tedy jednodu\u0161e zv\u00fd\u0161it limit na kreditn\u00ed kart\u011b a vytisknout pen\u00edze, aby platby byly mo\u017en\u00e9.\u00a0To je v\u00fdchodisko pro narkomany, kter\u00e9 nakonec stejn\u011b povede k tot\u00e1ln\u00ed destrukci americk\u00e9ho dolaru.\u00a0USA jsou na dobr\u00e9 cest\u011b tam a jsou ji\u017e des\u00edtky let.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed se rychle bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci sv\u00e9 schopnosti expandovat na z\u00e1klad\u011b hegemonie americk\u00e9ho dolaru.\u00a0Jakmile je otev\u0159ena Pando\u0159ina sk\u0159\u00ed\u0148ka financov\u00e1n\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00edch deficit\u016f tiskem pen\u011bz na z\u00e1klad\u011b statutu sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny, prakticky neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd zp\u011btn\u00fd chod.\u00a0Spole\u010dnost v podstat\u011b ch\u00e1tr\u00e1 zevnit\u0159.<\/span><\/p>\n

V kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku jsou washington\u0161t\u00ed politici z\u00e1visl\u00ed na in\u017een\u00fdrsk\u00e9 moci, kterou status americk\u00e9ho dolaru p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0V\u00e1\u017e\u00ed si ho v\u00edc ne\u017e spole\u010dnosti, kterou ni\u010d\u00ed, v\u00edc ne\u017e \u017eivot\u016f ob\u010dan\u016f USA a Ukrajinc\u016f.\u00a0Ud\u011blaj\u00ed proto v\u0161e pro jeho zachov\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Tak\u017ee v\u0161echna dramata a populistick\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z Washingtonu lze ignorovat.\u00a0Dluhov\u00fd strop USA se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed, a\u0165 se stane cokoli, stane se.\u00a0Pokud ne, pak jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropa, jak je zn\u00e1me, v h\u00e1ji.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas J. Penn<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0je Ameri\u010dan a \u0159adu let \u017eije v N\u011bmecku.\u00a0Byl des\u00e1tn\u00edkem p\u011bchoty v americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b.\u00a0Penn vystudoval finance a management a m\u00e1 bohat\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch.\u00a0M\u016f\u017eete ho kontaktovat na Twitteru na\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>@ThomasJPenn<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Republik\u00e1ni a demokrat\u00e9 jsou ve Washingtonu op\u011bt v rozporu ohledn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dluhov\u00e9ho stropu.\u00a0Bankrot USA by…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11353,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[5048,1324,371,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28738"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28738"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28738\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28739,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28738\/revisions\/28739"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11353"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}