{"id":28387,"date":"2023-05-19T01:17:51","date_gmt":"2023-05-18T23:17:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=28387"},"modified":"2023-05-18T18:34:01","modified_gmt":"2023-05-18T16:34:01","slug":"pres-led-do-asie-ropa-z-baltskych-pristavu-je-presmerovana-na-severni-namorni-cestu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/19\/pres-led-do-asie-ropa-z-baltskych-pristavu-je-presmerovana-na-severni-namorni-cestu\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159es led do Asie: Ropa z baltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f je p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1na na Severn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cestu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Hlavn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9 ropy byly p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1ny do Asie: do Indie a \u010c\u00edny. Rosatom a ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti pracuj\u00ed na p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9 ropy z pobaltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f na Severn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cestu (NSR). Nov\u00e1 cesta pro ruskou ropu do Asie bude ale kamenit\u00e1, varuj\u00ed odborn\u00edci. Ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b baltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ijdou a miliony dolar\u016f do sv\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu za tranzit rusk\u00e9 ropy.\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u201eEmbargo uvalen\u00e9 evropsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi na dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9 ropy a ropn\u00fdch produkt\u016f se nejen stalo v\u00fdzvou, ale tak\u00e9 otev\u0159elo nov\u00e9 okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti pro vznik dal\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1kladn\u00ed z\u00e1kladny na NSR,\u201c\u00a0– \u0159ekl na setk\u00e1n\u00ed s prezidentem v re\u017eimu telekonference gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel Rosatomu\u00a0Alexej Licha\u010dev<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee Rosatom spole\u010dn\u011b s rusk\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi \u0159e\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zku p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ropy z baltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f na Severn\u00ed mo\u0159skou cestu jako nejbezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a nejatraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cestu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

„D\u00edky Severn\u00ed mo\u0159sk\u00e9 cest\u011b bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159ev\u00e9st mnoho dopravn\u00edch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch aktivit ze z\u00e1padu na v\u00fdchod,“ \u0159ekl \u0161\u00e9f st\u00e1tn\u00ed korporace.<\/p>\n

Loni \u010dinil n\u00e1kladn\u00ed tok po Severn\u00ed mo\u0159sk\u00e9 cest\u011b 34 milion\u016f tun a letos je pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n na \u00farovni 36 milion\u016f tun.<\/p>\n

\u201ePrezident z\u00e1rove\u0148 na\u0159\u00eddil zv\u00fd\u0161it tok n\u00e1kladu pod\u00e9l NSR do roku 2024 na 80 milion\u016f tun.\u00a0To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee za rok je nutn\u00e9 n\u011bjak zv\u00fd\u0161it objem provozu v\u00edce ne\u017e dvakr\u00e1t, a\u010dkoli p\u0159edt\u00edm bylo tempo r\u016fstu asi 6-10 % ro\u010dn\u011b,\u201c\u00a0– \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 analytik FG „Finam“\u00a0Alexander Potavin<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem NSR jsou rozvojov\u00e9 zem\u011b Asie, nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed zp\u016fsob, jak informovat o \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed tohoto probl\u00e9mu, je p\u0159esm\u011brovat lod\u011b s ropou z Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e do \u010c\u00edny p\u0159es pol\u00e1rn\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159ky.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Zpo\u010d\u00e1tku m\u011bly hlavn\u00ed objemy zajistit nov\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 a plyn\u00e1rensk\u00e9 projekty v Arktid\u011b.\u00a0Novatek a Rosn\u011bf\u0165 st\u00e1le slibuj\u00ed v\u010dasn\u00e9 spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Arctic LNG-2 a Vostok Oil, ale jak to dopadne, nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mo.<\/p>\n

\u201eP\u0159edn\u00ed arktick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti \u2013 Novatek, Vostok Oil, Gazpromneft, Norilsk Nickel, Baimskaya, Severnaya Zvezda \u2013 se p\u0159ihl\u00e1sily k c\u00edlov\u00e9mu objemu n\u00e1kladu.\u00a0Pouze tyto spole\u010dnosti mus\u00ed v souladu s dohodami dodat do NSR letos minim\u00e1ln\u011b 30 milion\u016f tun, v roce 2024 minim\u00e1ln\u011b 71 milion\u016f tun a v roce 2030 v\u00edce ne\u017e 190 milion\u016f tun,\u201c\u00a0– \u0159ekl\u00a0Alexej \u010cekunkov<\/strong>\u00a0, ministr pro rozvoj D\u00e1ln\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Arktidy, na setk\u00e1n\u00ed s prezidentem .\u00a0Dodal, \u017ee s p\u0159ihl\u00e9dnut\u00edm k severn\u00ed dod\u00e1vce, tranzitn\u00edm tok\u016fm a dal\u0161\u00edmu n\u00e1kladu je \u00fakolem zajistit p\u0159epravn\u00ed kapacitu 100 milion\u016f tun do roku 2026 a 200 milion\u016f do roku 2030.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zkou p\u0159itom nen\u00ed jen dostupnost n\u00e1kladu, ale tak\u00e9 nov\u00e9 ledoborce, kter\u00e9 je p\u0159eprav\u00ed.\u00a0Vedouc\u00ed Rosatomu ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee jich bylo objedn\u00e1no p\u011bt a jsou pot\u0159eba dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i.<\/p>\n

Odborn\u00edci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed ropy z pobaltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f do NSR nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt velk\u00e9, pokud jde pouze o zm\u011bnu trasy tanker\u016f \u2013 zabere zhruba m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed objem z\u00e1silek.<\/p>\n

\u201eDal\u0161\u00ed objemy p\u0159epravy ropy po NSR lze odhadnout na 5-7 milion\u016f tun bez v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 modernizace.\u00a0Proto\u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina n\u00e1kladu jde asijsk\u00fdm sm\u011brem, je p\u0159esun n\u00e1kladu do NSR technicky opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00fd,\u201c\u00a0– \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 nez\u00e1visl\u00fd pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd expert\u00a0Maxim Khudalov<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru takov\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed umo\u017en\u00ed l\u00e9pe otestovat sch\u00e9ma zapojen\u00ed lodi.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Soud\u011b podle d\u00e9lky tras nab\u00eddne Severn\u00ed mo\u0159sk\u00e1 cesta nejkrat\u0161\u00ed cestu pouze do p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed \u010c\u00edny, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se sou\u010dasn\u00e1 trasa zkr\u00e1t\u00ed o 3\u20134 tis\u00edce mil.\u00a0P\u0159itom nap\u0159\u00edklad do Indie je sou\u010dasn\u00e1 trasa z baltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f p\u0159es Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav pohodln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dvakr\u00e1t krat\u0161\u00ed \u2013 7,7 tis\u00edc mil oproti t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 14 tis\u00edc\u016fm mil.<\/p>\n

A to nen\u00ed v\u0161e, \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed odborn\u00edci.<\/p>\n

Rosatom je provozovatelem Severn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cesty.\u00a0Zaj\u00edm\u00e1 se o jej\u00ed rozvoj a ekonomick\u00fd a politick\u00fd v\u00fdznam trasy vzrostl.\u00a0Koncern slibuje celoro\u010dn\u00ed navigaci a je pro n\u011bj d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zajistit, aby bylo co zajistit rozvody.\u00a0Ot\u00e1zkou ale nyn\u00ed je, kdy a do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry je Rosatom p\u0159ipraven poskytnout pomoc p\u0159i l\u00e1m\u00e1n\u00ed ledu a zda to bude celoro\u010dn\u00ed.\u00a0Dnes m\u00e1me letn\u00ed plavbu na Severn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cest\u011b, ale se zimn\u00ed plavbou jsou probl\u00e9my.\u00a0Tak\u00e9, jak\u00e1 bude rychlost,– \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Igor Ju\u0161kov,<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0p\u0159edn\u00ed analytik FNEB a expert na Finan\u010dn\u00ed univerzit\u011b pod vl\u00e1dou Ruska\u00a0.\u00a0Navrhuje, \u017ee zat\u00edmco „Rosatom“ nem\u016f\u017ee poskytnout rychlou elektroinstalaci – dokud nebude postaven ledoborec „Leader“, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee poskytnout komer\u010dn\u00ed rychlost.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Analytik FG „Finam“ Alexander Potavin poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee pro p\u0159epravu po NSR je nutn\u00e9 objednat speci\u00e1ln\u00ed tankery, kter\u00e9 se v Rusku s\u00e9riov\u011b nevyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed.\u00a0Pro celoro\u010dn\u00ed doprovod n\u00e1kladn\u00edch lod\u00ed na v\u00fdchod p\u0159itom nen\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det ledoborc\u016f.<\/p>\n

\u201eV\u00fdvoz ropy z pobaltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f nav\u00edc znamen\u00e1 nutnost proplut\u00ed d\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi pr\u016flivy, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee v budoucnu p\u0159edstavovat hrozbu omezen\u00ed pro tankery s ruskou ropou pod z\u00e1minkou jejich nejistoty nebo chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00edho evropsk\u00e9ho poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Aby se tomuto riziku p\u0159ede\u0161lo, byl zpracov\u00e1n projekt odklon\u011bn\u00ed baltsk\u00e9ho potrubn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu sm\u011brem k B\u00edl\u00e9mu mo\u0159i.\u00a0Rusk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti se v\u0161ak domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee tento projekt nen\u00ed v r\u00e1mci sou\u010dasn\u00fdch investi\u010dn\u00edch program\u016f ekonomicky provediteln\u00fd,\u201c\u00a0– \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 analytik „Finam“.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eTedy, \u010dist\u011b teoreticky, p\u0159es NSR by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159esm\u011brovat do Asie cel\u00fd objem exportu z baltsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f Us\u0165-Luga, Primorsk a Vysock, co\u017e je asi 6 milion\u016f tun ropy m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b.\u00a0Ale v situaci obrovsk\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky, nedostatku pen\u011bz na rozvoj z\u016fstane tento projekt zat\u00edm na pap\u00ed\u0159e a bude zr\u00e1t je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkolik let,\u201c domn\u00edv\u00e1 se Alexander Potavin.<\/p>\n

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Hlavn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9 ropy byly p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1ny do Asie: do Indie a \u010c\u00edny. Rosatom a ropn\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28388,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[760,1149,310,5008],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28387"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28387\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28388"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}