{"id":28261,"date":"2023-05-18T01:01:24","date_gmt":"2023-05-17T23:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=28261"},"modified":"2023-05-17T15:17:18","modified_gmt":"2023-05-17T13:17:18","slug":"usa-planuji-hybridni-valku-proti-wagnerovi-v-africe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/18\/usa-planuji-hybridni-valku-proti-wagnerovi-v-africe\/","title":{"rendered":"USA pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti Wagnerovi v Africe"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Politico v ned\u011bli publikovalo velmi obs\u00e1hl\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek na t\u00e9ma \u201e\u00a0Aby \u010delil Rusku v Africe, Biden uplat\u0148uje up\u0159ednost\u0148ovanou strategii<\/a>\u00a0\u201c, kde cituje \u010dty\u0159i nejmenovan\u00e9 americk\u00e9 p\u0159edstavitele, kte\u0159\u00ed znaj\u00ed pl\u00e1n sv\u00e9 zem\u011b v\u00e9st\u00a0hybridn\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0v\u00e1lku proti\u00a0Wagnerovi<\/a>\u00a0v Africe.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako francouzsk\u00e1 strategie, o kter\u00e9 Axios referoval loni v \u0159\u00edjnu a kterou zde analyzoval, i americk\u00e1 strategie siln\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spole\u010dn\u011b dokazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 v \u00famyslu u\u010dinit\u00a0z Afriky kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>boji\u0161t\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v nov\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Podle zdroj\u016f Politico je \u201eC\u00edlem (ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed) objasnit africk\u00fdm p\u0159edstavitel\u016fm, jak je spolupr\u00e1ce s Wagnerem z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska, navzdory jeho slib\u016fm p\u0159in\u00e9st m\u00edr a bezpe\u010dnost zem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 \u010del\u00ed politick\u00fdm nepokoj\u016fm a n\u00e1sil\u00ed.\u201c zas\u00edt chaos…to podtrhuje, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry se Bidenova administrativa domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee Wagner \u2013 a Kreml \u2013 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed dlouhodobou hrozbu pro z\u00e1jmy USA na kontinentu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, stav\u00ed na francouzsk\u00e9m stra\u0161en\u00ed o Wagnerov\u00fdch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch \u201eDemokratick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti\u201c (taktiky a strategie proti hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lce, o kter\u00fdch jsme ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve hovo\u0159ili\u00a0<\/span>zde<\/span><\/a>\u00a0), ale otev\u0159en\u011b p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee tyto narativy sleduj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy USA, aby se \u0161\u00ed\u0159ily.\u00a0Toto up\u0159\u00edmn\u00e9 p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed ne\u00famysln\u011b diskredituje tvrzen\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edka, \u017ee \u201evytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed v\u00edce terorist\u016f, ne\u017e ve skute\u010dnosti zlikviduj\u00ed\u201c, co\u017e CAR a Mali v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee je nepravdiv\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedin\u00ed terorist\u00e9 \u201evytvo\u0159en\u00ed\u201c v t\u011bchto zem\u00edch po spolupr\u00e1ci s Wagnerem jsou ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou tajn\u011b vyzbrojeni Amerikou a Franci\u00ed pod z\u00e1minkou, \u017ee jsou \u201ebojovn\u00edci za svobodu\u201c, ale ve skute\u010dnosti p\u016fsob\u00ed jako protiru\u0161t\u00ed z\u00e1stupci Z\u00e1padu.\u00a0Znovu, st\u0159edoafrick\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady to jist\u011b v\u011bd\u00ed, tak\u017ee se \u010dlov\u011bk mus\u00ed divit, pro\u010d USA ztr\u00e1c\u00ed \u010das a krm\u00ed je t\u00edmto p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhem o informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lce, jak uv\u00e1d\u00ed Politico, \u017ee se o to ji\u017e pokusilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato podivn\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka je zodpov\u011bzena, kdy\u017e se pozd\u011bji v \u010dl\u00e1nku odhal\u00ed, \u017ee \u201emy\u0161lenkou je, \u017ee pokud bude Wagner vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako naru\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed tok obchodu a investic, mohlo by to vrazit kl\u00edn mezi Peking, dlouhodob\u00fd investor v Africe, a Moskva \u2013 aliance, kter\u00e1 v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch jen pos\u00edlila a nad\u00e1le znepokojuje Washington.\u201c Je p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9, \u017ee koncem b\u0159ezna Z\u00e1pad u\u010dinil sm\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Wagner \u00fadajn\u011b zab\u00edjel \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 horn\u00edky ve St\u0159edoafrick\u00e9 republice, kte\u0159\u00ed sem dorazili ihned pot\u00e9, co bylo analyzov\u00e1no jejich\u00a0<\/span>\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. .<\/span><\/p>\n

To p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed kontext k hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lce USA proti Wagnerovi v Africe, proto\u017ee ukazuje spol\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed se na dezinformace v zoufal\u00e9 snaze rozd\u011blit \u010d\u00ednsko-ruskou dohodu.\u00a0To je zbo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed, pokud existuje, proto\u017ee \u00fasil\u00ed t\u011bchto dvou zem\u00ed na kontinentu se vz\u00e1jemn\u011b dopl\u0148uj\u00ed: p\u0159elomov\u00e9 investice \u010c\u00edny v r\u00e1mci iniciativy Belt & Road Initiative mohou b\u00fdt chr\u00e1n\u011bny p\u0159ed hrozbami kontinentu hybridn\u00edmi slu\u017ebami \u201edemokratick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti\u201c poskytovan\u00fdmi rusk\u00fdm Wagnerem. v\u00e1lky vych\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed ze Z\u00e1padu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b, na kter\u00e9 se tato propagandistick\u00e1 kampa\u0148 zam\u011b\u0159uje, jsou Burkina Faso, \u010cad, Demokratick\u00e1 republika Kongo (DRC) a Rwanda, z nich\u017e v\u0161echny pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nevezmou n\u00e1vnadu Z\u00e1padu.\u00a0V \u010cadu do\u010dasn\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f minul\u00fd t\u00fdden prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee jeho zem\u011b je ve \u201estrategick\u00e9 alianci\u201c s Ruskem, zat\u00edmco ve Rwand\u011b byl po\u010d\u00e1tkem minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce n\u011bmeck\u00fd velvyslanec vyho\u0161t\u011bn za vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edsto rusk\u00e9ho velvyslance pot\u00e9, co USA nepravdiv\u011b tvrdily, \u017ee Wagner jednu pl\u00e1noval. tam st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159evrat<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o KDR a Rwandu, tyto dv\u011b zem\u011b v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b vedou svou vlastn\u00ed hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti sob\u011b o v\u00fdchodn\u00ed region KDR bohat\u00fd na zdroje, jeho\u017e rebely \u00fadajn\u011b podporuje KDR, a za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 konstatovat, \u017ee Francie byla zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu pro \u00fa\u010dely rozd\u011blen\u00ed a nadvl\u00e1dy.\u00a0Krom\u011b toho rusko-kon\u017esk\u00e9 vztahy v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch pouze pos\u00edlily, a to navzdory zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m o tom, \u017ee USA prosakovaly dezinformace proti Wagnerovi, zat\u00edmco Rusko a Rwanda br\u00e1nily hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto St\u0159edoafrick\u00e9 republiky koncem roku 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli Politico neuvedlo, \u017ee by takov\u00e9 nepravdy byly sd\u00edleny se S\u00fad\u00e1nem, \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho \u010dl\u00e1nku p\u0159esto v\u011bnovali diskuzi o \u00fadajn\u00fdch Wagnerov\u00fdch aktivit\u00e1ch tam, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem bylo podn\u00edtit ned\u00e1vnou americkou kampa\u0148 fale\u0161n\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v, kter\u00e1 se sna\u017eila svalit vinu za pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed konflikt na Rusko.\u00a0D\u016fvod pro to byl ned\u00e1vno vysv\u011btlen zde, kde z\u00e1m\u011brem bylo p\u0159im\u011bt S\u00fad\u00e1n, aby od\u0159\u00edzl Rusko\/Wagnera od St\u0159edoafrick\u00e9 republiky a vytvo\u0159il proti nim region\u00e1ln\u00ed koalici.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed motivace USA bylo pr\u00e1v\u011b potvrzeno v p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku Politico pot\u00e9, co p\u0159ipustilo, \u017ee \u201eameri\u010dt\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci unikali zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace specifick\u00e9 pro Wagnerovy operace v [CAR] nejen m\u00edstn\u00edm \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016fm, ale tak\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016fm ze sousedn\u00edch zem\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem na odstran\u011bn\u00ed Wagnera z regionu.\u201c Vzhledem k vojensk\u00e9mu kontextu a p\u0159edchoz\u00ed dezinforma\u010dn\u00ed provokaci je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem t\u00e9to operace vlivu je \u010cad.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e1 role \u010cada jako p\u0159edvoje hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky Z\u00e1padu proti Wagnerovi v Africe byla analyzov\u00e1na v hypertextov\u00e9m odkazu sd\u00edlen\u00e9m o n\u011bkolik odstavc\u016f v\u00fd\u0161e v souvislosti s vyho\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho velvyslance ne\u017e rusk\u00e9ho velvyslance z t\u00e9to zem\u011b pot\u00e9, co USA nepravdiv\u011b tvrdily, \u017ee Wagner pl\u00e1noval p\u0159evrat. d’etat tam.\u00a0Neohro\u017een\u00ed \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i by si m\u011bli \u010dl\u00e1nek prohl\u00e9dnout, pokud maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem, proto\u017ee opakov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch bod\u016f v tomto \u010dl\u00e1nku by bylo zbyte\u010dn\u00e9, ale b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i posta\u010d\u00ed v\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee jde o c\u00edl USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b, zat\u00edmco USA zintenziv\u0148uj\u00ed operace proti Wagnerov\u011b rostouc\u00ed popularit\u011b v Africe, postr\u00e1daj\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost k dosa\u017een\u00ed sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle pouze prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, jako jsou v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 ne\u00fasp\u011bchy v Burkin\u011b Faso, St\u0159edoafrick\u00e9 republice, \u010cadu, Demokratick\u00e9 republice P\u0159ehl\u00eddka Konga, Rwandy a S\u00fad\u00e1nu.\u00a0Toto pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed siln\u011b nazna\u010duje, \u017ee se proto bude st\u00e1le v\u00edce uchylovat ke kinetick\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm, jako je vyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed teroristick\u00fdch skupin pod z\u00e1minkou, \u017ee jde o \u201ebojovn\u00edky za svobodu\u201c, co\u017e by mohlo dokonce v\u00e9st k \u00fatoku pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou proti \u010cadu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost je prim\u00e1rn\u00edm c\u00edlem \u00fasil\u00ed USA, proto\u017ee USA zoufale pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed n\u011bkoho na kontinentu, kter\u00fd by slou\u017eil jako p\u0159edvoj jejich kampan\u011b.\u00a0Ale \u010cadovo vyho\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho velvyslance v Rusku pot\u00e9, co USA tvrdily, \u017ee Wagner tam pl\u00e1nuje p\u0159evrat, ukazuje, \u017ee N’Djamena nev\u011b\u0159\u00ed ani slovu, kter\u00e9 Washington \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 o Rusku.\u00a0V zoufal\u00e9 posledn\u00ed snaze p\u0159im\u011bt Chada, aby p\u0159evzal tuto roli z\u00e1stupce, mohla N’Djamena zah\u00e1jit \u00fatok pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou z CAR proti Chadovi.<\/span><\/p>\n

To by tak\u00e9 nebylo p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti t\u00e9to zem\u011b jsou st\u00e1le mimo kontrolu \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f podporovan\u00fdch Ruskem a tyto bezz\u00e1konn\u00e9 regiony jsou dom\u00e9nou terorist\u016f podporovan\u00fdch Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Francouzi, kte\u0159\u00ed se vyd\u00e1vaj\u00ed za rebely.\u00a0Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee ve\u0159ejnost ji\u017e byla podn\u011bcov\u00e1na hoaxem, kter\u00fd USA d\u0159\u00edve \u0161\u00ed\u0159ily, a p\u0159ipomn\u011bla v p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku Politico, \u017ee lze od CAR o\u010dek\u00e1vat \u00fadajn\u011b Wagnerem veden\u00fd pu\u010d proti \u010cadu, nelze tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 vylou\u010dit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby bylo jasno, neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee se to definitivn\u011b stane, ani \u017ee by \u010cad t\u00e9to provokaci propadl.\u00a0Existuje v\u0161ak mo\u017enost, \u017ee k tomuto sledu ud\u00e1lost\u00ed dojde.\u00a0V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by byla tato region\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 moc zmanipulov\u00e1na, aby slou\u017eila jako p\u0159edvoj USA v jejich hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lce proti Wagnerovi v Africe.\u00a0To by mohlo m\u00edt podobu z\u00e1sahu \u010cadu ve St\u0159edoafrick\u00e9 republice a\/nebo proti sil\u00e1m rychl\u00e9ho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed \u00fadajn\u011b spojen\u00fdm s Wagnerem v s\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u201edeep state war\u201c, z nich\u017e ob\u011b by byly vysoce destabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozorovatel\u00e9 by proto m\u011bli bedliv\u011b sledovat tuto posledn\u00ed frontu Nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, zda nenazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee by se ud\u00e1losti mohly ub\u00edrat t\u00edmto sm\u011brem, zat\u00edmco ru\u0161t\u00ed a \u010dad\u0161t\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 by m\u011bli okam\u017eit\u011b nav\u00e1zat \u00fazk\u00e9 vztahy, aby preventivn\u011b pou\u017eili protiopat\u0159en\u00ed USA k odvr\u00e1cen\u00ed. spiknut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vytvo\u0159ili, aby rozd\u011blili a dobyli.\u00a0Bylo by oboustrann\u011b nev\u00fdhodn\u00e9, kdyby p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 provokace usp\u011bla, co\u017e by mohlo uvrhnout tu \u010d\u00e1st Afriky do vlekl\u00e9ho konfliktu, kter\u00fd riskuje zma\u0159en\u00ed multipol\u00e1rn\u00edch zisk\u016f z minul\u00e9ho roku.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Politico v ned\u011bli publikovalo velmi obs\u00e1hl\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek na t\u00e9ma \u201e\u00a0Aby \u010delil Rusku v Africe, Biden…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28262,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1271,37,40,3894],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28261"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28261"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28261\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28263,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28261\/revisions\/28263"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28261"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28261"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28261"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}