{"id":28252,"date":"2023-05-17T07:06:27","date_gmt":"2023-05-17T05:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=28252"},"modified":"2023-05-17T07:06:27","modified_gmt":"2023-05-17T05:06:27","slug":"jiri-paroubek-novatorska-metoda-anebo-manipulace-s-verejnym-minenim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/17\/jiri-paroubek-novatorska-metoda-anebo-manipulace-s-verejnym-minenim\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Nov\u00e1torsk\u00e1 metoda anebo manipulace s ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm m\u00edn\u011bn\u00edm?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Port\u00e1l Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy p\u0159i\u0161el, podle vlastn\u00edho n\u00e1zoru s \u201e\u2026unik\u00e1tn\u00edm volebn\u00edm modelem, ze kter\u00e9ho se \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i budou pravideln\u011b dozv\u00eddat, kdo m\u00e1 nejbl\u00ed\u017ee k v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch sn\u011bmovn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n

To, \u017ee se objevuj\u00ed v denn\u00edm tisku v\u00edce nebo m\u00e9n\u011b podobn\u00e9 modely volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed skupiny agentur pro v\u00fdzkum ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, jako je CVVM, Median, Kantar, Stem, Ipsos a Data Collect (co\u017e je ov\u0161em de facto br\u00e1\u0161ka agentury Kantar CZ), m\u011b nep\u0159ekvapuje. Vypad\u00e1 to, jako kdyby se p\u00e1nov\u00e9 z t\u011bchto agentur domluvili na jak\u00e9msi kartelu, kter\u00fd ur\u010duje, a je ot\u00e1zka, na z\u00e1klad\u011b \u010deho, v\u00fdsledky v\u00fdzkum\u016f ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed politick\u00fdch stran.<\/p>\n

Jin\u00e9 agentury, jako je nap\u0159. SANEP \u010di Phoenix research do tohoto modelu \u2013 kartelu nezapadaj\u00ed, a proto se ani nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s vyu\u017eit\u00edm jejich \u010d\u00edsel… Metoda tohoto \u201eunik\u00e1tn\u00edho modelu\u201c je opravdu sv\u00e9r\u00e1zn\u00e1. Vezme se t\u011bch n\u011bkolik \u201erenomovan\u00fdch\u201c agentur, jejich\u017e v\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkum\u016f se podobaj\u00ed jako vejce vejci a jak\u00fdmsi v\u00edce nebo m\u00e9n\u011b zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem se zpr\u016fm\u011bruj\u00ed a m\u00e1me tady \u201eunik\u00e1tn\u00ed model\u201c. Kdyby to nebylo smutn\u00e9, bylo by to sp\u00ed\u0161e pr8o legraci. V z\u00e1sad\u011b tyto postupy vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed dojem, \u017ee<\/p>\n

1) Neexistuje nic mimo vybran\u00e9 politick\u00e9 strany parlamentn\u00ed a \u0160mardovu \u010cSSD. Strana PRO, kter\u00e1 se objevuje v n\u011bkter\u00fdch jin\u00fdch pr\u016fzkumech ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v tomto unik\u00e1tn\u00edm, grandi\u00f3zn\u00edm \u201epr\u016fzkumu\u201c jako by neexistovala. Je to jako vzkaz ve\u0159ejn\u00e9mu m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, tuto stranu nevolte\u2026<\/p>\n

2) Podle unik\u00e1tn\u00edho modelu by sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany m\u011bly v souhrnu 43% hlas\u016f respondent\u016f a dv\u011b opozi\u010dn\u00ed parlamentn\u00ed strany (hnut\u00ed Ano a SPD) by dohromady m\u011bly 40% hlas\u016f.<\/p>\n

To je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci, s\u00edl\u00edc\u00edch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch p\u0159ehmat\u016f z posledn\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f v\u010detn\u011b vysok\u00e9 inflace, kritick\u00e9ho nedostatku l\u00e9k\u016f opravdu zar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed sk\u00f3re. \u0158ekl bych, \u017ee je to sk\u00f3re velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

3) Jako \u201ejaz\u00fd\u010dek na vah\u00e1ch\u201c se v pr\u016fzkumu objevuje tak\u00e9 neparlamentn\u00ed \u010cSSD s 5% pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed. Parlamentn\u00ed zastoupen\u00ed by tak mohla z\u00edskat strana, kter\u00e1 i podle vlastn\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f ned\u011bl\u00e1 vlastn\u011b nic. V zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice diskutuje rusof\u00f3bn\u011b a prakticky ji nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 rozeznat od vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran. O m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b nemluv\u00ed, o bal\u00ed\u010dku vl\u00e1dn\u00edch deforem, nep\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed s vlastn\u00ed kritickou argumentac\u00ed a odvol\u00e1v\u00e1 se pouze na St\u0159edulova krotk\u00e1 vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e1, \u017ee v politice tu a tam plat\u00ed, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm hloup\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sedl\u00e1k, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed brambory, ale sko\u010dit vlastn\u011b z n\u011bjak\u00fdch 2 \u2013 3% volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed najednou na 5% je pon\u011bkud podivn\u00e9. Posledn\u00ed pr\u016fzkumy Phoenix research a SANEP ukazuj\u00ed jin\u00fd obraz \u010cSSD s preferencemi kolem 2%.<\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee se jen projevuje snaha ur\u010dit\u00fdch z\u00e1jmov\u00fdch skupin, abych p\u0159\u00edmo jmenoval, Bartovu skupinu, aby \u010cSSD byla jak\u00fdmsi \u201ejaz\u00fd\u010dkem na vah\u00e1ch mezi pravic\u00ed a duem obou opozi\u010dn\u00edch parlamentn\u00edch stran. Dodejme, \u017ee antibabi\u0161ovsk\u00fdm subjektem.<\/p>\n

Bartova z\u00e1jmov\u00e1 skupina, pr\u00fd pracuj\u00edc\u00ed s americk\u00fdmi pen\u011bzi (t\u00edm ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o Soro\u0161ovy pen\u00edze) n\u00e1m u\u017e upletla prezidenta s IQ 107, jak s\u00e1m doznal na sv\u00fdch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka tito \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00ed chlapci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee si vytvo\u0159\u00ed ocho\u010denou stranu \u201emodern\u00ed levice\u201c, kter\u00e1 bude v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nutnosti a jist\u011b nerada ochotna ke spolupr\u00e1ci se stranami pravice.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b to z\u00e1kladn\u00ed posl\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to Bartou a spol. vysn\u011bn\u00e9 strany je v z\u00e1sad\u011b protibabi\u0161ovsk\u00e9. Je pot\u0159eba, aby ka\u017ed\u00fd ch\u00e1pal, o co tady jde.<\/p>\n

Osobn\u011b si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee tyto konstrukce \u201evolebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed\u201c se za\u010dnou p\u0159ibli\u017eovat realit\u011b tak dva m\u011bs\u00edce p\u0159ed skute\u010dn\u00fdmi volbami tak, aby nedo\u0161lo k velk\u00e9 blam\u00e1\u017ei zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch agentur. P\u0159ipomenu, \u017ee pom\u011brn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edjemnou blam\u00e1\u017e zaznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed agentury pro v\u00fdzkum ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v Turecku, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddaly vesm\u011bs v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00edho kandid\u00e1ta v\u016f\u010di prezidentu Erdoganovi ve v\u00edkendov\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 volb\u011b. A ono to dopadlo pon\u011bkud jinak. Kandid\u00e1t, kter\u00fd se profiloval pro americky a protirusky prohr\u00e1l. A vyhr\u00e1l ten, kdo vsadil na pon\u011bkud protiamerick\u00e9 uva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny tureck\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti, kde se rusk\u00fd prezident t\u011b\u0161\u00ed neb\u00fdval\u00e9 podpo\u0159e cca 70% obyvatel zem\u011b (podobn\u011b jako v Indii a v \u010c\u00edn\u011b).<\/p>\n

Pro zaj\u00edmavost uv\u00e1d\u00edme v p\u0159\u00edloze \u010d\u00edsla z tohoto \u201eunik\u00e1tn\u00edho volebn\u00edho modelu\u201c, podle kter\u00e9ho k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b ve ve\u0159ejn\u00e9m m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch sou\u010dasn\u00e9 parlamentn\u00ed a skute\u010dn\u00e9 neparlamentn\u00ed opozice nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

_______________________________<\/p>\n

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Port\u00e1l Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy p\u0159i\u0161el, podle vlastn\u00edho n\u00e1zoru s \u201e\u2026unik\u00e1tn\u00edm volebn\u00edm modelem, ze kter\u00e9ho se \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1062,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,28,1087,4716],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28252"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28252"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28252\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1062"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}