{"id":28112,"date":"2023-05-15T10:26:39","date_gmt":"2023-05-15T08:26:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=28112"},"modified":"2023-05-15T10:26:39","modified_gmt":"2023-05-15T08:26:39","slug":"mainstreamova-media-priznavaji-britove-umiraji-po-desitkach-tisic-a-my-nevime-proc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/15\/mainstreamova-media-priznavaji-britove-umiraji-po-desitkach-tisic-a-my-nevime-proc\/","title":{"rendered":"Mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed: \u201eBritov\u00e9 um\u00edraj\u00ed po des\u00edtk\u00e1ch tis\u00edc \u2013 a my nev\u00edme pro\u010d\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Od kv\u011btna do prosince 2022 zem\u0159elo o des\u00edtky tis\u00edc Brit\u016f v\u00edce ne\u017e obvykle, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jako p\u0159\u00ed\u010dina smrti byl vylou\u010den Covid.\u00a0To vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky, pro\u010d jich tolik zem\u0159elo?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Desetitis\u00edce Brit\u016f zem\u0159ely v\u00edce, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, a odborn\u00edci si nejsou p\u0159esn\u011b jisti pro\u010d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od kv\u011btna do prosince lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku do\u0161lo v Anglii a Walesu k 32 441 nadm\u011brn\u00fdm \u00famrt\u00edm, co\u017e nezahrnuje \u00famrt\u00ed zp\u016fsoben\u00e1 Covidem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po\u010det nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed je definov\u00e1n jako po\u010det lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed zem\u0159eli nad p\u011btilet\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem, s v\u00fdjimkou roku 2020, proto\u017ee tento rok byl zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b vysok\u00fd v po\u010dtu \u00famrt\u00ed na Covid.<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee podle \u00fadaj\u016f \u00da\u0159adu pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed statistiku (ONS) m\u011blo b\u00fdt v\u00edce ne\u017e 32 000 Brit\u016f na\u017eivu, ale v t\u00e9 dob\u011b zem\u0159elo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed \u010d\u00edsla vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u0159adu d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek o tom, co se d\u011bje s obyvatelstvem zem\u011b, jak se m\u011bn\u00ed a pro\u010d tolik um\u00edr\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od pandemie Covid po\u010det nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed z m\u011bs\u00edce na m\u011bs\u00edc prudce kol\u00eds\u00e1, bu\u010f hluboko pod, nebo v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad p\u011btilet\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1r\u016fsty nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed lze p\u0159ipsat mnoha p\u0159\u00ed\u010din\u00e1m, ale nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, co je zp\u016fsobuje nebo spou\u0161t\u00ed tyto poklesy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2022 byl po\u010det nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b pod pr\u016fm\u011brem a skupina odborn\u00edk\u016f spekulovala pro Mirror, \u017ee \u201eefekt posunu \u00famrtnosti\u201c by mohl vysv\u011btlit, pro\u010d se tolik \u00famrt\u00ed hromad\u00ed b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a p\u0159en\u00e1\u0161\u00ed se z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Profesor David Coleman, emeritn\u00ed profesor demografie na Oxfordsk\u00e9 univerzit\u011b, \u0159ekl Mirror, \u017ee nikdo s jistotou nev\u00ed, co zp\u016fsobilo mnoho \u00famrt\u00ed za posledn\u00ed rok.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee populace Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed po Covidu se zm\u011bnila a v\u00fdznamn\u00fd pod\u00edl star\u0161\u00edch lid\u00ed na virus um\u00edr\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vysv\u011btlil: „Jakmile tito chud\u00ed lid\u00e9 odejdou, zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed populace by m\u011bla b\u00fdt zdrav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a m\u011blo by nastat obdob\u00ed, kdy bude \u00famrt\u00ed ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e obvykle, ale to se nestalo.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Pouk\u00e1zal v\u0161ak na dva hlavn\u00ed d\u016fvody, kter\u00e9 by mohly p\u0159isp\u011bt ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 \u00famrtnosti: skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Britov\u00e9 st\u00e1rnou a maj\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd index t\u011blesn\u00e9 hmotnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePopulace st\u00e1rne a nav\u00edc populace Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed je nejtlust\u0161\u00ed v Evrop\u011b a docela n\u00e1chyln\u00e1 k nemocem, zejm\u00e9na srde\u010dn\u00edm chorob\u00e1m a cukrovce;\u00a0N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddali, bez souvislosti s Covidem, \u017ee \u00famrtnost bude st\u00e1le stoupat, proto\u017ee zem\u011b je tak nezdrav\u00e1,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jednou z identifikovan\u00fdch p\u0159\u00ed\u010din \u0159ady \u00famrt\u00ed je ischemick\u00e1 choroba srde\u010dn\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e je v souladu s profesorov\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm o tlust\u0161\u00ed populaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podobn\u00e1 situace je s hlavn\u00edmi p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinami \u00famrt\u00ed v roce 2022: demence a Alzheimerova choroba \u2013 co\u017e d\u00e1le podporuje teorii o st\u00e1le \u0161ediv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a um\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed populaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Demence a Alzheimerova choroba \u010dasto nejsou hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed.\u00a0Kdy\u017e jsou tato data k dispozici, \u010d\u00edsla ONS \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee se \u010dasto jedn\u00e1 o zimn\u00ed z\u00e1pal plic a ch\u0159ipku nebo symptomy, p\u0159\u00edznaky a \u0161patn\u011b definovan\u00e9 nemoci jinde v roce.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Pokud se pod\u00edv\u00e1te na detaily a d\u016fvody na \u00famrtn\u00edch listech, je to trochu neuspokojiv\u00e9, proto\u017ee symptomy, p\u0159\u00edznaky a nejasn\u00e1 onemocn\u011bn\u00ed jsou jednou z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed t\u011bchto nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed, a to je opravdu n\u011bco, co souvis\u00ed s v\u011bkem,“ \u0159ekl profesor Coleman. zrcadlo.<\/span><\/p>\n

To vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m: mnoho Brit\u016f um\u00edr\u00e1, ale ne nutn\u011b z konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e rychle st\u00e1rnouc\u00ed populace m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt dal\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem, nevysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d od kv\u011btna do prosince lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku zem\u0159elo o 30 000 v\u00edce ne\u017e obvykle.<\/span><\/p>\n

V b\u0159eznu a \u00fanoru leto\u0161n\u00edho roku byly hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed symptomy, p\u0159\u00edznaky a nejasnosti, p\u0159edt\u00edm v lednu to byly ch\u0159ipky a z\u00e1paly plic.<\/span><\/p>\n

A jak rok postupuje, dramaticky se objevuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny jako hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dina nadm\u011brn\u00e9ho \u00famrt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zejm\u00e9na teplo se v l\u00e9t\u011b v\u017edy vrac\u00ed a bude i nad\u00e1le p\u0159edstavovat smrtelnou hrozbu tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 klimatick\u00fdm zm\u011bn\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

V nej\u017ehav\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dnech zem\u011b nadm\u011brn\u00fd po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed nevyhnuteln\u011b stoup\u00e1, proto\u017ee ob\u011bt\u00ed se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed tis\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak bylo uvedeno v\u00fd\u0161e, nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrt\u00ed se m\u011b\u0159\u00ed pomoc\u00ed p\u011btilet\u00e9ho pr\u016fm\u011bru \u00famrt\u00ed – od roku 2016 do roku 2019 a do roku 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161ak bylo kritizov\u00e1no za to, \u017ee nebere v \u00favahu zm\u011bny v populaci v pr\u016fb\u011bhu obdob\u00ed, pokud jde o v\u011bk, v\u00fd\u0161ku a dal\u0161\u00ed faktory.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, populace v roce 2016 je jin\u00e1 ne\u017e v roce 2023 a profesor Kevin McConway, emeritn\u00ed profesor aplikovan\u00e9 statistiky na Open University, je jedn\u00edm z mnoha, kte\u0159\u00ed na to pouk\u00e1zali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pou\u017eit\u00ed v\u011bkov\u011b standardizovan\u00e9 m\u00edry \u00famrtnosti (ASMR) odpov\u00edd\u00e1 za tyto zm\u011bny a m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 vysv\u011btlit vysok\u00fd po\u010det \u00famrt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ud\u00e1v\u00e1 procento, o kter\u00e9 je dan\u00e9 obdob\u00ed nad nebo pod p\u011btilet\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro prosinec 2022 je po\u010det nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed 5 900, co\u017e je 13,5 procenta nad p\u011btilet\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem.<\/span><\/p>\n

ASMR je v\u0161ak pouze 5,8 % nad p\u011btilet\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem.\u00a0To vysv\u011btluje, \u017ee mo\u017en\u00e1 n\u011bkter\u00e9 z desetitis\u00edc\u016f \u00famrt\u00ed se m\u011bly o\u010dek\u00e1vat d\u0159\u00edve, ale st\u00e1le to pln\u011b nevysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d k nim v\u016fbec do\u0161lo.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159i pohledu do roku 2022 ASMR obvykle ud\u00e1v\u00e1 ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed procento ne\u017e \u010dist\u00e9 procento p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed, ale ne dost na to, aby eliminovalo \u00famrt\u00ed nebo je pln\u011b vysv\u011btlilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak v\u0161ak upozornil profesor McConway, ASMR m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed probl\u00e9my.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158ekl: \u201eK v\u00fdpo\u010dtu ASMR je t\u0159eba zn\u00e1t velikost populace v ka\u017ed\u00e9 v\u011bkov\u00e9 skupin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eONS nemohl (zat\u00edm) pou\u017e\u00edt odhady zalo\u017een\u00e9 na v\u00fdsledc\u00edch s\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed v roce 2021, proto\u017ee ty je\u0161t\u011b nejsou k dispozici pro relevantn\u00ed data, a proto pou\u017eil projekce zalo\u017een\u00e9 na odhadech populace v roce 2018.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Ty v sou\u010dasnosti nezohled\u0148uj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vlivy, jako je pandemie Covid, kter\u00e1 by ovlivnila velikost populace a v\u011bkovou strukturu.“<\/span><\/p>\n

To st\u00e1le ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 des\u00edtky tis\u00edc mrtv\u00fdch Brit\u016f bez jasn\u00e9ho vysv\u011btlen\u00ed, jak zem\u0159eli.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Od kv\u011btna do prosince 2022 zem\u0159elo o des\u00edtky tis\u00edc Brit\u016f v\u00edce ne\u017e obvykle, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jako…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3484,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[61,523,21],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28112"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28112"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28112\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}