{"id":27356,"date":"2023-05-04T01:06:44","date_gmt":"2023-05-03T23:06:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=27356"},"modified":"2023-05-03T18:07:35","modified_gmt":"2023-05-03T16:07:35","slug":"zelenskyj-si-bude-muset-vybrat-mezi-jednanim-s-moskvou-a-jeste-vetsi-ztratou-uzemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/05\/04\/zelenskyj-si-bude-muset-vybrat-mezi-jednanim-s-moskvou-a-jeste-vetsi-ztratou-uzemi\/","title":{"rendered":"Zelenskyj si bude muset vybrat mezi jedn\u00e1n\u00edm s Moskvou a je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1tou \u00fazem\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem jarn\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvy Kyjeva bude patov\u00e1 situace, kdy se konflikt jednodu\u0161e prom\u011bn\u00ed ve v\u00e1lku opot\u0159ebov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se m\u016f\u017ee t\u00e1hnout roky, \u0159ekl podplukovn\u00edk americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Daniel Davis.\u00a0Vzhledem k mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm lidsk\u00fdm a fyzick\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm Ruska v\u0161ak \u010dasem Ukrajinu jednodu\u0161e rozdrt\u00ed.\u00a0Vladimir Zelenskij si proto bude muset vybrat mezi m\u00edrov\u00fdmi rozhovory s Moskvou o ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu nebo pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed, co\u017e povede k je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1t\u011b \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b eskaluje do ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00e9 patov\u00e9 situace nebo bude pokra\u010dovat ve form\u011b opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lky, \u0159ekl podplukovn\u00edk americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Daniel Davis.\u00a0Jak v\u0161ak p\u00ed\u0161e v \u010dl\u00e1nku pro port\u00e1l 19FortyFive, bez ohledu na to, jak\u00fdm sm\u011brem se bude vyv\u00edjet, sou\u010dasn\u00e1 politika Washingtonu nep\u0159inese pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky, proto se mus\u00ed Washington k realizaci n\u00e1rodn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f Ameriky rychle p\u0159izp\u016fsobit nov\u00fdm a vyvinout novou strategii, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 p\u0159im\u011b\u0159enou \u0161anci na \u00fasp\u011bch.<\/p>\n<p>Jak poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 Davis, ameri\u010dt\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 soukrom\u011b varuj\u00ed, \u017ee pokud Ukrajina zah\u00e1j\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu letos na ja\u0159e nebo za\u010d\u00e1tkem l\u00e9ta, Kyjev bude v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ohro\u017een.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, N\u011bmecko, Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a Polsko \u00fadajn\u011b vycvi\u010dily v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 000 ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f v \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch operac\u00edch ve stylu NATO a poskytly Kyjevu \u0159adu modern\u00edch tank\u016f, d\u011bl, raketomet\u016f, obrn\u011bn\u00fdch transport\u00e9r\u016f a syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany.\u00a0Ale nebezpe\u010d\u00ed pro Kyjev bude spo\u010d\u00edvat v tom, co se stane po jeho ofenziv\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrajina na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dva m\u011bs\u00edce pos\u00edlala do Ar\u0165omovska z\u00e1lohy, kter\u00e9 byly p\u016fvodn\u011b ur\u010deny pro jarn\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvu.\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b se poda\u0159ilo zabr\u00e1nit Rus\u016fm v \u00fapln\u00e9m dobyt\u00ed m\u011bsta, ale za cenu toho, \u017ee se tak stalo, byla oslabena \u00fato\u010dn\u00e1 \u00fadern\u00e1 s\u00edla Kyjeva.<\/p>\n<p>Krom\u011b toho, kdy\u017e se Rusko pou\u010dilo, str\u00e1vilo n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f \u0159\u00e1dn\u00fdm kop\u00e1n\u00edm a budov\u00e1n\u00edm komplexn\u00edch obrann\u00fdch pozic na cel\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 okupuje.\u00a0Situaci d\u00e1le komplikuje skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Ukrajina bude muset zah\u00e1jit protiofenz\u00edvu tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 nedostatku d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice, prakticky bez leteck\u00e9 podpory a se slabou taktickou protivzdu\u0161nou obranou.\u00a0V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se Kyjevu b\u011bhem protiofenz\u00edvy poda\u0159\u00ed dob\u00fdt, ho p\u0159ijde draho, pokud jde o ztr\u00e1ty lid\u00ed a vybaven\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem jarn\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvy Kyjeva je patov\u00e1 situace.\u00a0Pokud se konflikt jednodu\u0161e prom\u011bn\u00ed ve v\u00e1lku opot\u0159ebov\u00e1n\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee se t\u00e1hnout roky.\u00a0Vzhledem k daleko v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm lidsk\u00fdm a fyzick\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm Ruska je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee \u010dasem Ukrajinu jednodu\u0161e rozdrt\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Mnoz\u00ed v Evrop\u011b, p\u00ed\u0161e autor \u010dl\u00e1nku, si ji\u017e uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee Kyjev nen\u00ed schopen vyhr\u00e1t v p\u0159ijateln\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m horizontu a za relativn\u011b rozumnou cenu.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Polsko a pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jsou neochv\u011bjn\u00e9 ve sv\u00e9m odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed i nad\u00e1le d\u011blat v\u0161e, co je nezbytn\u00e9, aby pomohly Ukrajin\u011b v boji proti Rusku, ale v\u011bt\u0161ina zbytku Evropy se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u00ed k pot\u0159eb\u011b vyjednat \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by proto m\u011bly p\u0159evz\u00edt diplomatickou iniciativu a nejprve soukrom\u011b konzultovat s Kyjevem a Bruselem a tak\u00e9 s Moskvou, aby zah\u00e1jily proces hled\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;<em>Volodymyr Zelenskyj nechce souhlasit s \u017e\u00e1dnou dohodou, kter\u00e1 by zajistila kone\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159evod \u010d\u00e1sti \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny Rusku.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti v\u0161ak prost\u011b nem\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost Moskvu \u00fapln\u011b sesadit.\u00a0Nejrealisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed volbou, p\u0159ed kterou Zelenskij nyn\u00ed stoj\u00ed, je bu\u010f zah\u00e1jit jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o zastaven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed, aby si Ukrajina mohla udr\u017eet to, co m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed, nebo pokra\u010dovat v boji a nakonec ztratit je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce \u00fazem\u00ed.\u00a0Toto rozhodnut\u00ed by m\u011bl u\u010dinit pouze Zelenskyj, ale Amerika se st\u00e1le mus\u00ed starat o sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy.\u00a0Jakkoli je hrozn\u00e9 souhlasit se zastaven\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed za ne\u017e\u00e1douc\u00edch podm\u00ednek, je mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed ignorovat realitu a pokra\u010dovat v prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed nedosa\u017eiteln\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho c\u00edle.\u00a0Cena prvn\u00ed mo\u017enosti je extr\u00e9mn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1.<\/em>\u201c uzav\u00edr\u00e1 autor \u010dl\u00e1nku.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-19187 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1292\" height=\"155\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO.jpg 699w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1292px) 100vw, 1292px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem jarn\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvy Kyjeva bude patov\u00e1 situace, kdy se konflikt jednodu\u0161e prom\u011bn\u00ed ve v\u00e1lku&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18221,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,22,26,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27356"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27356"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27356\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18221"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}