{"id":25745,"date":"2023-04-07T05:02:27","date_gmt":"2023-04-07T03:02:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=25745"},"modified":"2023-04-07T06:15:19","modified_gmt":"2023-04-07T04:15:19","slug":"andrew-korybko-zelenskeho-posledni-cesta-do-polska-byla-mimoradne-vyznamna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/04\/07\/andrew-korybko-zelenskeho-posledni-cesta-do-polska-byla-mimoradne-vyznamna\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Zelensk\u00e9ho posledn\u00ed cesta do Polska byla mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Zelensk\u00e9ho n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva m\u00e1 utv\u00e1\u0159et pr\u016fb\u011bh z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky NATO-Rusko b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f p\u0159ed summitem bloku na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dervence.\u00a0Role Var\u0161avy v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch ud\u00e1lostech siln\u011b ovlivn\u00ed to, co Kyjev ud\u011bl\u00e1 b\u011bhem tohoto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho okam\u017eiku tohoto konfliktu, a proto se ukrajinsk\u00fd v\u016fdce rozhodl sej\u00edt se sv\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem.\u00a0Proto\u017ee Zelenskyj v\u0161e pe\u010dliv\u011b pl\u00e1nuje, i tak se mu mo\u017en\u00e1 nepoda\u0159\u00ed zvr\u00e1tit osudy sv\u00e9 strany.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Symbolismus a l\u00e1tka<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Zelenskyho prvn\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed cesta do Polska od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed rusk\u00e9\u00a0Zelensky\u2019s first state trip to Poland since the start of Russia\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/20-constructive-critiques-about-russias\" rel=\"\">speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace\u00a0special operation<\/a>v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce se uskute\u010dnila za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne a b\u011bhem t\u00e9to doby byl ocen\u011bn nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm civiln\u00edm vyznamen\u00e1n\u00edm sv\u00e9 hostitelsk\u00e9 zem\u011b, \u0158\u00e1dem b\u00edl\u00e9ho orla.\u00a0K jeho n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b do\u0161lo v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9m okam\u017eiku \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/ukraine-humiliated-western-propagandists\" rel=\"\">z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/astutenews.com\/2022\/03\/russia-is-waging-an-existential-struggle-in-defense-of-its-independence-sovereignty\/\" rel=\"\">NATO-Rusko <\/a>, kter\u00e1 k n\u00ed p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 prvek intrik, stejn\u011b jako jej\u00ed symbolika. Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek tedy bude analyzovat v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9, aby l\u00e9pe porozum\u011bl d\u016fle\u017eitosti Zelensk\u00e9ho posledn\u00ed cesty.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vojensko-strategick\u00e1 dynamika<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Pro za\u010d\u00e1tek \u0161\u00e9f NATO v polovin\u011b \u00fanora prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee jeho blok je v takzvan\u00e9 \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/natos-self-declared-race-of-logistics\" rel=\"\">\u201ez\u00e1vod\u011b logistiky\u201c\/\u201eopot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce\u201c <\/a>s Ruskem, kterou Moskva vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1, jak dokazuje jej\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 odolnost a Zelensk\u00e9ho pozn\u00e1mka. koncem minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce o \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/zelensky-admitted-that-ukraine-already\" rel=\"\">vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed munice <\/a>.\u00a0Zakladatel Wagnera Prigozhin tak\u00e9\u00a0. Wagner founder Prigozhin also\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/574048-bakhmut-captured\/\" rel=\"\">ned\u00e1vno prohl\u00e1sil v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed <\/a>v bitv\u011b o \u201cBachmut\u201d pot\u00e9, co jeho skupina dobyla administrativn\u00ed centrum tohoto m\u011bsta, co\u017e vedlo k obr\u00e1cen\u00ed politiky ze strany ukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce.<\/p>\n<p>Koncem \u00fanora \u0159ekl, \u017ee jeho s\u00edly \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/analyzing-zelenskys-admission-that\" rel=\"\">mohou <\/a>tuto oblast opustit, pokud se jejich ztr\u00e1ty tam stanou nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00fdmi, ale pak minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc \u0159ekl \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/03\/07\/europe\/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-cnn-interview-bakhmut-intl\/index.html\" rel=\"\">CNN <\/a>, \u017ee ztr\u00e1ta tohoto m\u011bsta by mohla v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee Rusko p\u0159ev\u00e1lcuje zbytek Donbasu.\u00a0Zelenskyj pak na t\u00e9to p\u0159edpov\u011bdi stav\u011bl a varoval jen n\u011bco m\u00e1lo p\u0159ed t\u00fddnem, \u017ee bude doma i v zahrani\u010d\u00ed vyv\u00edjen tlak na \u00a0\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-11914389\/Zelensky-admits-pressure-compromise-Putin-Russian-forces-Bakhmut.html\" rel=\"\">kompromis <\/a>\u201c s Moskvou, pokud k tomu dojde, ale nyn\u00ed se vr\u00e1til do sv\u00e9 p\u0159edchoz\u00ed pozice pot\u00e9, co p\u0159ipravil ve\u0159ejnost, aby o\u010dek\u00e1vala\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/face-threat-encirclement-bigger-losses-122409299.html?guccounter=1&amp;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9tYWlsLmdvb2dsZS5jb20v&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAKV7jT268_YD0RGtkFtxnMCTFQE8vygWI9sBiTcLCoZ1RChibdDWBcMQZFDpFgoH2okJkx3bPONJFcUgk6_uRlgy23IGAST8XT4rnFvyEe7a8_dRtGjFfNsKOuKW79GvyHac3RkUhDTRcZh1NzGX8GHVtqmnDPk1ZVM-hT2UtsTa\" rel=\"\">mo\u017en\u00fd v\u00fdb\u011br<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Co se nakonec stane, se teprve uvid\u00ed, ale nen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee vojensko-strategick\u00e1 dynamika d\u00e1v\u00e1 Rusku p\u0159ednost.\u00a0Ani to nen\u00ed \u00a0zalo\u017eeno na usv\u011bd\u010duj\u00edc\u00edch detailech obsa\u017een\u00fdch ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-washington-post-finally-told\" rel=\"\">Washington Post <\/a>z poloviny minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce o tom, jak \u0161patn\u011b se da\u0159\u00ed kyjevsk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m.\u00a0S ohledem na tento \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed kontext je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho posledn\u00ed cesta do Polska se skute\u010dn\u011b odehr\u00e1la v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9m okam\u017eiku tohoto konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>De Facto Polsko-ukrajinsk\u00e1 konfederace<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Pokud jde o symboliku, Polsko pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejlep\u0161\u00ed spojence Ukrajiny, a to natolik, \u017ee tito dva loni v kv\u011btnu b\u011bhem tehdej\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy prezidenta Dudy v Kyjev\u011b deklarovali vz\u00e1jemn\u00fd z\u00e1m\u011br odstranit v\u0161echny hranice mezi nimi.\u00a0To vedlo k jejich <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/during%20President%20Duda%E2%80%99s%20trip%20to%20Kiev%20at%20the%20time\" rel=\"\">postupn\u00e9mu slou\u010den\u00ed ve faktickou konfederaci<\/a>, kter\u00e1 posouv\u00e1\u00a0, <a href=\"https:\/\/astutenews.com\/2022\/09\/polands-hyping-up-the-german-threat-to-central-europe-to-consolidate-its-regional-influence\/\" rel=\"\">geopolitick\u00fd projekt Polska <\/a>na obnovu ztracen\u00e9ho spole\u010denstv\u00ed ve snaze dos\u00e1hnout sv\u00e9ho velk\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho c\u00edle st\u00e1t se op\u011bt velmoc\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Zelensk\u00e9ho <a href=\"https:\/\/www.president.gov.ua\/en\/news\/u-varshavi-andzhej-duda-vruchiv-volodimiru-zelenskomu-najvis-82097\" rel=\"\">op\u011btovn\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed jejich vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho z\u00e1m\u011bru <\/a>odstranit v\u0161echny hranice mezi nimi b\u011bhem jeho posledn\u00ed cesty do Polska zvy\u0161uje d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost tohoto hodnocen\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako tlak neokonzervativn\u00edho lobbisty na tento geopolitick\u00fd projekt v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku pro vlivn\u00fd \u010dasopis <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2023\/03\/26\/its-time-to-bring-back-the-polish-lithuanian-union\/\" rel=\"\">Policy\u00a0Foreign<\/a>.\u00a0S c\u00edlem legitimizovat status Ukrajiny jako de facto protektor\u00e1tu sv\u00e9 zem\u011b Duda prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Var\u0161ava hled\u00e1 pro sv\u00e9ho souseda \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/notesfrompoland.com\/2023\/04\/05\/poland-calls-for-nato-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantees-as-zelensky-makes-first-warsaw-visit-during-war\/\" rel=\"\">dodate\u010dn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky <\/a>p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm summitem NATO v l\u00e9t\u011b.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Polsko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 probl\u00e9my<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Jakkoli cht\u011bj\u00ed tito dva sv\u00e9 zem\u011b postupn\u011b slou\u010dit do de facto konfederace, st\u00e1le jim v cest\u011b stoj\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00e9 velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky.\u00a0Pro za\u010d\u00e1tek je tu samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ot\u00e1zka financov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto geopolitick\u00e9ho projektu, kter\u00fd si Polsko nem\u016f\u017ee\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/poland-suddenly-realized-that-it\" rel=\"\">dovolit<\/a>.\u00a0Za druh\u00e9\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/poland-ukraine-history-war-bandera-tensions-d6a4743ca945dc3144886d9232ed795d\" rel=\"\">Pol\u00e1ci jsou znechuceni <\/a>ukrajinskou glorifikac\u00ed <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/all-americans-should-condemn-public\" rel=\"\">Hitlerova fa\u0161istick\u00e9ho genocidn\u00edho kolaboranta<\/a>Bandery.\u00a0\u010c\u00edm v\u00edce to polsk\u00fd st\u00e1t toleruje navzdory sv\u00e9 politice, t\u00edm v\u00edce jsou Pol\u00e1ci na\u0161tvan\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>V n\u00e1vaznosti na v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed je t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00fdzvou tohoto geopolitick\u00e9ho projektu \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/pay-attention-to-rising-anti-establishment\" rel=\"\">vzr\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed anti-sentiment\u00a0<\/a>v Polsku, co\u017e by mohlo v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee strana Konfederace z\u00edsk\u00e1 b\u011bhem leto\u0161n\u00edch podzimn\u00edch voleb dostatek hlas\u016f, tak\u017ee s nimi bude vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed strana nucena vytvo\u0159it vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalici.\u00a0Tento v\u00fdsledek by mohl v t\u011bchto pl\u00e1nech vrhnout kl\u00ed\u010dek, a t\u00edm na neur\u010dito odd\u00e1lit jejich realizaci, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud Konfederace najde zp\u016fsob, jak zablokovat pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 financov\u00e1n\u00ed a\/nebo bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Vyhl\u00eddky polsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 intervence<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Do p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch voleb se toho v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee je\u0161t\u011b hodn\u011b st\u00e1t, v\u010detn\u011b polsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 intervence na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Jej\u00ed velvyslanec ve Francii koncem minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/notesfrompoland.com\/2023\/03\/20\/paris-embassy-clarifies-ambassadors-claim-poland-could-enter-conflict-in-ukraine\/\" rel=\"\">h\u0159\u00edmal<\/a>, \u017ee \u201ePokud Ukrajina nedok\u00e1\u017ee br\u00e1nit svou nez\u00e1vislost, nebudeme m\u00edt jinou mo\u017enost, ne\u017e vstoupit do konfliktu.\u00a0Na\u0161e z\u00e1kladn\u00ed hodnoty, kter\u00e9 jsou z\u00e1kladn\u00edm kamenem na\u0161\u00ed civilizace, na\u0161e kultura budou v z\u00e1sadn\u00edm ohro\u017een\u00ed, tak\u017ee nem\u00e1me na v\u00fdb\u011br.\u201c\u00a0P\u0159esto\u017ee ambas\u00e1da uvedla, \u017ee jeho slova byla zbavena kontextu, z\u00e1m\u011br byl jasn\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Rusko \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/astutenews.com\/2022\/05\/is-it-really-in-polands-best-interests-to-reportedly-plot-western-ukraines-annexation\/\" rel=\"\">p\u0159ed t\u00edmto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em varovalo <\/a>ji\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu, co\u017e by mohlo p\u0159edstavovat bezprecedentn\u00ed eskalaci z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky NATO proti n\u011bmu, proto\u017ee Polsko je ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm \u010dlenem tohoto bloku, jeho\u017e zem\u011b maj\u00ed v\u016f\u010di sob\u011b vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky.\u00a0Polsk\u00e1 intervence by tedy mohla poslou\u017eit jako lanko pro tuto protiruskou alianci k formalizaci jej\u00ed role v tomto konfliktu, zejm\u00e9na v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee Polsko ozn\u00e1m\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u201esjednocen\u00ed\u201c s Ukrajinou a zast\u0159e\u0161\u00ed ji.<\/p>\n<p>I kdy\u017e tento sled ud\u00e1lost\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 spekulativn\u00ed, je nicm\u00e9n\u011b zalo\u017een na faktech, jak bylo v tomto d\u00edle dosud vysv\u011btleno, zejm\u00e9na s ohledem na nev\u00fdhodnou vojensko-strategickou dynamiku, kter\u00e1 vrhla mrak na Zelensk\u00e9ho posledn\u00ed cestu do Polska.\u00a0Vr\u00e1t\u00edme-li se k nim a m\u00e1me na pam\u011bti slova polsk\u00e9ho velvyslance ve Francii a tak\u00e9 v\u016fdc\u016f t\u011bchto dvou zem\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed znovu potvrzuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed odstranit v\u0161echny hranice mezi nimi, pozorovatel\u00e9 by nem\u011bli podce\u0148ovat mo\u017enost, \u017ee se to stane.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Prom\u011bnn\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ve skute\u010dnosti by se to mohlo velmi dob\u0159e rozvinout p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edmi volbami na podzim, pokud by rusk\u00e9 obsazen\u00ed Ar\u0165omovska vedlo k tomu, \u017ee by se provalil zbytkem Donbasu, jak Zelenskyj d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159edpov\u00eddal, \u017ee by mohlo doj\u00edt, co\u017e by mohlo p\u0159im\u011bt Polsko, aby zas\u00e1hlo v souladu s podm\u00ednkami, kter\u00e9 jeho velvyslanec do Francie stanoveno.\u00a0Jedin\u00fdmi prom\u011bnn\u00fdmi, kter\u00e9 by mohly tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 v\u011brohodn\u011b vyv\u00e1\u017eit, jsou, \u017ee Rusko pokra\u010duje v postupn\u00e9m pokroku na m\u00edst\u011b nebo Kyjev souhlas\u00ed s p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm s Moskvou p\u0159ed obnoven\u00edm m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160ance prvn\u00edho by mohly b\u00fdt pos\u00edleny p\u0159\u00edvalem modern\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch zbran\u00ed na Ukrajinu, zat\u00edmco ty druh\u00e9 by mohlo b\u00fdt sn\u00ed\u017eeno t\u00edm, \u017ee Polsko p\u0159isl\u00edb\u00ed jakoukoli podporu, kterou Kyjev po\u017eaduje, aby se nec\u00edtil nucen okolnostmi vyjedn\u00e1vat s Ruskem.\u00a0V tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd \u00fa\u010del Zelensk\u00e9ho posledn\u00ed cesty do Polska, toti\u017e prozkoumat, co p\u0159esn\u011b by mohla Var\u0161ava v tomto ohledu poskytnout, aby bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 l\u00e9pe posoudit, zda stoj\u00ed za to v\u00e1\u017en\u011b uva\u017eovat v tomto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9m okam\u017eiku konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>P\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed Dudova po\u017eadavku na NATO<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Duda b\u011bhem rozhovoru pro <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/reading-between-the-lines-of-the\" rel=\"\">Le Figaro <\/a>na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u00fanora nazna\u010dil, \u017ee se ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee by se Francie mohla pokusit zprost\u0159edkovat p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, jeho\u017e sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by mohla podpo\u0159it \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tass.com\/world\/1600393\" rel=\"\">prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed cesta <\/a>do \u010c\u00edny, jej\u00ed\u017e \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/kiev-should-agree-to-the-ceasefire\" rel=\"\">12bodov\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n \u00a0<\/a>ocenil \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/573366-putin-xi-kremlin-talks\/\" rel=\"\">prezident Putin <\/a>b\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy sv\u00e9ho \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho\u00a0prot\u011bj\u0161ku\u00a0minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/president-xis-trip-to-moscow-solidifies\" rel=\"\">v Moskv\u011b. \u00a0<\/a>Politick\u00e1 dynamika tohoto konfliktu je proto ze sd\u00edlen\u00e9 perspektivy Kyjeva a Var\u0161avy stejn\u011b nev\u00fdhodn\u00e1 jako ta vojensko-strategick\u00e1, proto\u017ee ob\u011b ukazuj\u00ed na bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Toto pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed kontext k Dudov\u011b po\u017eadavku, aby NATO poskytlo Ukrajin\u011b v\u00edce bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk.\u00a0Jeho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed lze nyn\u00ed interpretovat bu\u010f jako nar\u00e1\u017eku na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed polskou vojenskou intervenci (bez ohledu na to, zda tomu p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed formalizace jejich konfederace), nebo jako nazna\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee by tyto mohly b\u00fdt brzy roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159eny, aby se Kyjev ubezpe\u010dil o trval\u00e9 podpo\u0159e tohoto bloku v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee bude vynucen\u00fd okolnost\u00ed k souhlasu s p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm s Ruskem (bez ohledu na to, kdo by to mohl zprost\u0159edkovat).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed protiofenz\u00edva Ukrajiny<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Dudova touha, aby se tak stalo n\u011bkdy v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u010dervence summitu NATO, klade na jeho po\u017eadavek konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed term\u00edn, kter\u00fd se shoduje s o\u010dek\u00e1vanou protiofenz\u00edvou Kyjeva.\u00a0D\u0159\u00edve citovan\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Washington Post o tom zm\u00edrnila o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ohledn\u011b jeho \u00fasp\u011bchu, stejn\u011b jako nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hodnocen\u00ed od b\u00fdval\u00e9ho velitele polsk\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch sil.\u00a0Waldemar Skrzypczak p\u0159edn\u00edm polsk\u00fdm m\u00e9di\u00edm\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/574223-zelensky-poland-offensive-unjustified\/\" rel=\"\">\u0159ekl<\/a>, \u017ee Ukrajina na to \u201enen\u00ed p\u0159ipravena\u201c a \u017ee \u201eNyn\u00ed je \u010das na politiky\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Cynik\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed by mohli tvrdit, \u017ee tento penzionovan\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk nem\u00e1 p\u0159esn\u00e9 informace o vojensko-strategick\u00e9 dynamice konfliktu, by se m\u011blo p\u0159ipomenout, co koncem ledna\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/polands-top-military-official-confirmed?utm_source=profile&amp;utm_medium=reader2\" rel=\"\">\u0159ekl <\/a>ve\u0159ejn\u011b financovan\u00fdm m\u00e9di\u00edm \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu polsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil gener\u00e1l Rajmund Andrzejczak.\u00a0Varoval, \u017ee \u010das se kr\u00e1t\u00ed pro Kyjev, potvrdil, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla je st\u00e1le impozantn\u00ed, a vyj\u00e1d\u0159il v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 obavy, \u017ee Ukrajina m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nakonec pora\u017eena.<\/p>\n<p>Navzdory t\u00e9to hrozn\u00e9 anal\u00fdze od nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho polsk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho p\u0159edstavitele, kter\u00fd je nepochybn\u011b v pozici, kdy m\u016f\u017ee dost\u00e1vat nejaktu\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed utajovan\u00e9 informace o proxy v\u00e1lce NATO-Rusko na Ukrajin\u011b, se Kyjev pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159esto pokus\u00ed o pl\u00e1novanou \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/04\/06\/europe\/ukraine-strike-back-offensive-russia-intl\/index.html\" rel=\"\">protiofenz\u00edvu<\/a>.\u00a0To zase ovlivn\u00ed, zda Polsko formalizuje svou faktickou konfederaci a\/nebo vojensky zas\u00e1hne na jej\u00ed podporu, p\u0159esn\u011b jak\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky by NATO mohlo poskytnout Kyjevu a zda bude p\u0159ed letn\u00edm summitem bloku dosa\u017eeno p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 my\u0161lenky<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Tento pohled vede k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho posledn\u00ed cesta do Polska byla mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e1, proto\u017ee m\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch utv\u00e1\u0159et pr\u016fb\u011bh z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky NATO-Rusko.\u00a0Role Var\u0161avy v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch ud\u00e1lostech siln\u011b ovlivn\u00ed to, co Kyjev ud\u011bl\u00e1 b\u011bhem tohoto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho okam\u017eiku tohoto konfliktu, a proto se ukrajinsk\u00fd v\u016fdce rozhodl sej\u00edt se sv\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem.\u00a0Proto\u017ee Zelenskyj v\u0161e pe\u010dliv\u011b pl\u00e1nuje, i tak se mu mo\u017en\u00e1 nepoda\u0159\u00ed zvr\u00e1tit osudy sv\u00e9 strany.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/zelenskys-latest-trip-to-poland-was\">Andrew Korybko<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>_________________________________________<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-19187 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1208\" height=\"145\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO.jpg 699w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1208px) 100vw, 1208px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-24737 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cesko_proti_bide2-239x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"735\" height=\"923\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cesko_proti_bide2-239x300.png 239w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cesko_proti_bide2-816x1024.png 816w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cesko_proti_bide2-768x964.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cesko_proti_bide2.png 846w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 735px) 100vw, 735px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zelensk\u00e9ho n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva m\u00e1 utv\u00e1\u0159et pr\u016fb\u011bh z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky NATO-Rusko b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f p\u0159ed summitem bloku&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":25746,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1267,31,26,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25745"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25745"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25745\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25746"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}