{"id":25299,"date":"2023-03-28T04:42:39","date_gmt":"2023-03-28T02:42:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=25299"},"modified":"2023-03-28T04:42:39","modified_gmt":"2023-03-28T02:42:39","slug":"jiri-paroubek-posledni-vylet-nasich-predskokanu-na-tchaj-wan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/03\/28\/jiri-paroubek-posledni-vylet-nasich-predskokanu-na-tchaj-wan\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Posledn\u00ed v\u00fdlet na\u0161ich p\u0159edskokan\u016f na Tchaj-wan?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Pro\u010d posledn\u00ed? To proto, \u017ee za\u010d\u00e1tkem ledna p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku prob\u011bhnou na Tchaj-wanu jak volby prezidentsk\u00e9, tak tak\u00e9 parlamentn\u00ed. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee trendy ve tchaj-wansk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti jsou nastaveny natolik jinak \u2013 soud\u00edm tak podle v\u00fdsledku komun\u00e1ln\u00edch voleb loni na podzim, ve kter\u00fdch s p\u0159evahou vyhr\u00e1la strana Kuomintang (KMT) \u2013 \u017ee velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt ke \u201est\u0159\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed str\u00e1\u017e\u00ed\u201c v \u010dele tohoto ostrova. A to v prezidentsk\u00e9m \u00fa\u0159adu, i pokud jde o strukturu exekutivy Tchaj-wanu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka, te\u010f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jedna z\u00a0posledn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed pro Pekarovou Adamovou, jak nav\u0161t\u00edvit Tchaj-wan. Pokud zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed strana KMT (kter\u00e1 je pro velmi \u00fazkou spolupr\u00e1ci s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou), co\u017e se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, s\u00a0ohledem na posledn\u00ed \u201evelk\u00fd\u201c pr\u016fzkum ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, kter\u00fdm byly na Tchaj-wanu komun\u00e1ln\u00ed volby, u\u017e jen t\u011b\u017eko t\u011b\u017eko pojede na v\u00fdlet na Tchaj-wan Vystr\u010dil \u010di Pekarov\u00e1 Adamov\u00e1 anebo n\u011bkdo jin\u00fd z\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdch \u00fastavn\u00edch \u010dinitel\u016f.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee loutkovodi\u010di prezidenta Pavla sami ji\u017e ch\u00e1pou, \u017ee se prezidentova n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva na Tchaj-wanu jaksi politicky nehod\u00ed…<\/p>\n

A jak\u00fd je vlastn\u011b smysl n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy \u010desk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f na Tchaj-wanu?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Podle m\u011b je to jednoduch\u00e9. \u201eNa\u0161i\u201c cht\u011bj\u00ed vyhov\u011bt na\u0161im americk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ed podzimn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvou nov\u00e9ho \u201ePelosiho\u201c, tedy republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho p\u0159edsedy Sn\u011bmovny reprezentant\u016f USA McCartyho, budou jak\u00fdmsi jeho p\u0159edskokanem. Zat\u00edm to nevypad\u00e1, \u017ee by se do\u00a0Tchaj-pej (hl. m\u011bsto Tchaj-wanu) hrnuly davy p\u0159edstavitel\u016f jin\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f. Naopak. Zejm\u00e9na nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b Z\u00e1padu s\u00a0velmi dobr\u00fdmi hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdmi vazbami na \u010c\u00ednu \u2013 N\u011bmecko, It\u00e1lie, Francie a Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie \u2013 se do podobn\u00e9ho dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed na z\u00e1chranu demokracie nehrnou. N\u011bmci mj. tak\u00e9 proto, \u017ee jejich zahrani\u010dn\u011b-obchodn\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou d\u011blala v\u00a0minul\u00e9m roce t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 300 mld. dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

\u010ce\u0161t\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politici a r\u016fzn\u00e1 proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 sdru\u017een\u00ed, jako je nap\u0159. Sinopsis, zakr\u00fdvaj\u00ed ten fakt, \u017ee v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st z\u00a0hodnoty v\u00fdvozu N\u011bmecka do \u010c\u00edny, zejm\u00e9na automobil\u016f, tvo\u0159\u00ed i sou\u010d\u00e1stky a n\u00e1hradn\u00ed d\u00edly vyroben\u00e9 v\u00a0\u010cesku.<\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se sice vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed ve vztahu k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b chlap\u00e1cky, co\u017e \u010c\u00edna vesm\u011bs ignoruje a jen v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech reaguje ost\u0159e. Ale zahrani\u010dn\u011b-obchodn\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna mezi nimi a \u010c\u00ednou dos\u00e1hla v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce ob\u0159\u00edho objemu 700 mld. dolar\u016f. T\u011b\u017eko si p\u0159edstavit situaci, \u017ee by se jak Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, tak \u010c\u00edna dobrovoln\u011b vzdaly vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho obchodu. Chce to dodat,\u00a0vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9ho<\/strong>\u00a0obchodu.<\/p>\n

Shodou ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed se nepoda\u0159ilo \u010desko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 vztahy pozdvihnout na takovou \u00farove\u0148, jak to sliboval b\u00fdval\u00fd prezident Zeman. T\u011bmi ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00fdmi okolnostmi m\u00edn\u00edm to, \u017ee roli jak\u00e9hosi koordin\u00e1tora \u010d\u00ednsko-\u010desk\u00fdch vztah\u016f na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 stran\u011b p\u0159evzala spole\u010dnost CEFC, jej\u00ed\u017e \u0161\u00e9f se v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b dostal do v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f bu\u010f se z\u00e1konem anebo jinak a z\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho prostoru se n\u00e1sledn\u011b vytratil. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 velk\u00e1 invaze \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch firem – investor\u016f do \u010ceska tak, bohu\u017eel, i p\u0159es smlouvu o strategick\u00e9m partnerstv\u00ed uzav\u0159enou mezi ob\u011bma st\u00e1ty, v\u0161ak nenastala. \u0160koda. Diverzifikace kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f z\u00a0rozd\u00edln\u00fdch zem\u00ed a oblast\u00ed sv\u011bta je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 pro zachov\u00e1n\u00ed na\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed suverenity, je z\u00e1rukou na\u0161\u00ed nez\u00e1vislosti.<\/p>\n

Velmi p\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fdm v\u00fddobytkem oteplen\u00ed \u010desko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch vztah\u016f v letech p\u0159ed covidem bylo rozhodnut\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 strany o postupn\u00e9m vytvo\u0159en\u00ed \u010dty\u0159 leteck\u00fdch linek z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny do Prahy a z\u00a0Prahy do \u010c\u00edny (Peking, \u0160anghaj a \u010cen-tou). V\u00a0roce 2019, tedy v\u00a0posledn\u00edm ucelen\u00e9m roce p\u0159ed covidovou pandemi\u00ed, p\u0159epravily \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti k n\u00e1m sv\u00fdmi letadly s\u00a0velmi slu\u0161n\u00fdmi standardy slu\u017eeb, na palub\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 700 tis\u00edc \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch turist\u016f. Byla to v\u00a0roce 2019 zhruba jedna desetina v\u0161ech \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch turist\u016f v\u00a0Evrop\u011b. A \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed turist\u00e9 velmi slu\u0161n\u011b utr\u00e1celi jak v\u00a0hotel\u00edch, tak v\u00a0obchodn\u00ed s\u00edti. Nakupovali luxusn\u00ed d\u00e1rky, \u010dasto \u010desk\u00e9 sklo, kter\u00e9 je v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nedostupn\u00e9. \u0158ada mlad\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch turist\u016f se cht\u011bla pod\u00edvat na Prahu, kouzeln\u00e9 m\u011bsto, kter\u00e9 znaj\u00ed z\u00a0jihokorejsk\u00fdch romantick\u00fdch seri\u00e1l\u016f, je\u017e b\u011b\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 televizi.<\/p>\n

P\u0159i ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m setk\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm velvyslancem v\u00a0\u010ceskoslovensk\u00e9m \u00fastavu zahrani\u010dn\u00edm jsem se pana velvyslance dot\u00e1zal, kdy a v\u00a0jak\u00e9m rozsahu budou obnoveny leteck\u00e9 linky z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny do Prahy. Jak jsem pochopil, pan velvyslanec toto navrhl, ale ti kdo o tom v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b rozhoduj\u00ed, maj\u00ed s\u00a0ohledem na nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd vztah sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u010desk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 garnitury k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b, na v\u011bc jin\u00fd n\u00e1zor. Budou rad\u011bji \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 turisty distribuovat do m\u011bst a zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou ve vztahu k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b nalad\u011bny pozitivn\u011b \u010di v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 neutralit\u011b. Tak\u017ee to vypad\u00e1, \u017ee voln\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 linky \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch aerolinek povedou z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny do Budape\u0161ti, do V\u00eddn\u011b \u010di do Mnichova a ne u\u017e tolik do Prahy. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru letos nav\u0161t\u00edv\u00ed \u010cesko, prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zbyl\u00e9 jedn\u00e9 linky tak maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 100 tis\u00edc \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch turist\u016f. \u010ce\u0161t\u00ed hoteli\u00e9\u0159i by m\u011bli „pod\u011bkovat“ Pekarov\u00e9 Adamov\u00e9, Vystr\u010dilovi, ale tak\u00e9 b\u00fdval\u00e9mu pra\u017esk\u00e9mu prim\u00e1torovi H\u0159ibovi, kte\u0159\u00ed vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed v \u010desk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti \u010dasto hysterickou proti\u010d\u00ednskou atmosf\u00e9ru. No a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nesm\u00edme zapomenout ani na sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho prezidenta Pavla, kter\u00fd jeden z\u00a0prvn\u00edch telefon\u00e1t\u016f se zahrani\u010dn\u00edmi politiky, kter\u00e9 po sv\u00e9m zvolen\u00ed ud\u011blal, byl ten, kter\u00fdm p\u0159ijal gratulaci tchaj-wansk\u00e9 prezidentky ke sv\u00e9mu zvolen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Vzd\u00e1vat se ob\u0159\u00edho \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho trhu (1,4 mld. konzument\u016f), to je skute\u010dn\u011b n\u011bco, co ned\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd smysl. Je pravdou, \u017ee pokud jde o \u010desk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz, nem\u00e1me toho mnoho co \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u016fm nab\u00eddnout. Ale pokud jde o dovoz, \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 jsou na druh\u00e9 pozici mezi zem\u011bmi s\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvozem do \u010ceska. Dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed kvalitn\u00ed a relativn\u011b levn\u00e9 spot\u0159ebn\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed, co\u017e je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 v\u00a0situaci, kdy podle \u010derstv\u00fdch pr\u016fzkum\u016f 55% \u010desk\u00fdch dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00e1 velk\u00e9, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010di n\u011bjak\u00e9 probl\u00e9my v\u016fbec vyj\u00edt se sv\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edjmy. A ob\u00e1v\u00e1m se, \u017ee se to bude je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161ovat.<\/p>\n

Nerealistick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavy \u0159ady politik\u016f Z\u00e1padu, zejm\u00e9na \u010desk\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch politik\u016f, o tom, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159eru\u0161it globaliza\u010dn\u00ed toky nap\u0159. l\u00e9k\u016f a dovozu \u00fazkoprofilov\u00fdch surovin z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny, vedou Evropu do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky. N\u011bkter\u00e9 kovy, kter\u00fdmi Evropa disponuje jen v\u00a0men\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e a je de facto z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na jejich zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed a dovozu z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny, jsou nezbytn\u00e9 pro Evropskou komis\u00ed tak vz\u00fdvan\u00fd Green Deal. Pokud nebude m\u00edt Evropa dostatek lithia, kobaltu, grafitu \u010di m\u011bdi, kter\u00e9 jsou z\u00a0velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti dov\u00e1\u017eeny pr\u00e1v\u011b z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny, m\u016f\u017ee zapomenout na masov\u011b se roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed elektromobilitu.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b \u010c\u00edna v\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech, p\u0159i realizaci sv\u00e9ho projektu \u201eP\u00e1s a stezka\u201c, nespala. Vytvo\u0159ila si \u0161irokou infrastrukturu spolupracuj\u00edc\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f, zj. v\u00a0Africe a Latinsk\u00e9 Americe, kter\u00e9 j\u00ed dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 suroviny pro jej\u00ed st\u00e1le se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed a rostouc\u00ed pr\u016fmysl.<\/p>\n

Vyhled\u00e1vat proto politikou konfrontaci s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou je neperspektivn\u00ed a hloup\u00e9. Pou\u010dovat ji o lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1vech, nen\u00ed zrovna n\u011bco, o co by \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 m\u011bli z\u00e1jem. \u010ce\u0161t\u00ed vrcholn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 by si m\u011bli vz\u00edt za vzor rozumn\u00fd a vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup ve vztahu k \u010c\u00edn\u011b nap\u0159. N\u011bmecka. Tam \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed politici tchaj-wansk\u00fdm syndromem netrp\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

____________________________<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pro\u010d posledn\u00ed? To proto, \u017ee za\u010d\u00e1tkem ledna p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku prob\u011bhnou na Tchaj-wanu jak volby prezidentsk\u00e9,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19313,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,727,333],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25299"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25299"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25299\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}