{"id":24716,"date":"2023-03-19T01:05:49","date_gmt":"2023-03-19T00:05:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=24716"},"modified":"2023-03-18T18:30:01","modified_gmt":"2023-03-18T17:30:01","slug":"alexej-zotjev-era-dedolarizace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/03\/19\/alexej-zotjev-era-dedolarizace\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexej Zotjev: \u00c9ra dedolarizace"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Americk\u00e1 politika vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKrize americk\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu nejv\u00edce ovlivn\u00ed ty, kte\u0159\u00ed se zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed pouze na ni.\u00a0Ob\u011bt\u00ed ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch bankrot\u016f se ji\u017e stali b\u011b\u017en\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 jin\u00fdch zem\u00ed.\u00a0Mluv\u00edme o penzijn\u00edch fondech \u0160v\u00e9dska, Norska, Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreje atd. Pen\u00edze jim nikdo nevr\u00e1t\u00ed.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty budou i nad\u00e1le \u017e\u00edt na \u00fakor ostatn\u00edch.\u00a0Probl\u00e9my budou nar\u016fstat a p\u0159esahovat hranice Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f,\u201c\u00a0<\/i>\u00a0popsal ud\u00e1losti odehr\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed se ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech Vja\u010deslav Volodin, p\u0159edseda St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy Rusk\u00e9 federace.<\/p>\n

Situace je paradoxn\u00ed.\u00a0Navzdory v\u0161em o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm a z\u0159ejm\u00fdm logick\u00fdm z\u00e1v\u011br\u016fm vyk\u00e1zalo Rusko, kter\u00e9 je pod jhem nejp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch ekonomick\u00fdch sankc\u00ed, na konci roku 2022 pokles HDP pouze o 2,1 %, co\u017e je v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e pokles, kter\u00fd byl pozorov\u00e1n b\u011bhem pandemick\u00fd.\u00a0Takov\u00e9 statistiky n\u00e1m umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee Rusko t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 bezbolestn\u011b p\u0159e\u017eilo reorientaci trh\u016f, odchod zahrani\u010dn\u00edch korporac\u00ed, uzav\u0159en\u00ed hranic pro \u0159adu dom\u00e1c\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed a \u00fatok na n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bankovn\u00ed sektor.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b paradoxn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee dob\u0159e napl\u00e1novan\u00e1 a dob\u0159e nastaven\u00e1 m\u011b\u0159\u00edtka ekonomick\u00e9ho a politick\u00e9ho vlivu na Rusko zas\u00e1hla p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ty, kdo je \u201evytvo\u0159ili a uvedli do provozu\u201c.\u00a0Dnes je zcela z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee \u00fatokem byly nejen ekonomiky zem\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 unie, ale i ekonomika USA, kter\u00e1 se v\u0161em zd\u00e1la b\u00fdt maxim\u00e1ln\u011b chr\u00e1n\u011bna p\u0159ed v\u0161emo\u017en\u00fdmi \u201estresy a ot\u0159esy\u201c.<\/p>\n

Zcela ne\u010dekan\u011b propukla krize americk\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, o kter\u00e9 Via\u010deslav Volodin mluv\u00ed.\u00a0Propuklo na pozad\u00ed naprost\u00e9 chv\u00e1ly \u0159ady \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f a st\u00e1tn\u00edk\u016f, kdy\u017e prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee St\u00e1ty Ukrajin\u011b pomohou, jak bude pot\u0159eba, a nebude to pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed velk\u00e1 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e.<\/p>\n

P\u00e1d Silicon Valley Bank, po kter\u00e9m n\u00e1sledoval p\u00e1d dal\u0161\u00edch dvou americk\u00fdch bank, Signature a Silvergate, byl druh\u00fdm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm bankovn\u00edm selh\u00e1n\u00edm v americk\u00e9 historii.\u00a0N\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho jsme vid\u011bli v roce 2008, b\u011bhem nejhor\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krize pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt.\u00a0B\u011bhem celosv\u011btov\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krize v roce 2008 byla kombinovan\u00e1 aktiva bank, kter\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eily bankrot, odhadov\u00e1na na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 375 miliard USD, zat\u00edmco celkov\u00e1 aktiva Silicon Valley Bank k 31. prosinci 2022 \u010dinila p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 209 miliard USD, Signature Bank p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 110,4 miliard USD a banka Silvergate na \u00farovni 11 mld. USD Situace je pom\u011brn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1, co\u017e ji\u017e zas\u00e1hlo ekonomiky \u0159ady zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed \u00fazk\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 vazby se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty americk\u00fdmi.\u00a0A to nen\u00ed zdaleka jedin\u00fd odkaz na historii minul\u00fdch let,<\/p>\n

Situace, kter\u00e1 se vyvinula v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm energetick\u00e9m sektoru, op\u011bt vinou Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 se rozhodly drasticky a radik\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159etvo\u0159it trh s uhlovod\u00edky, velmi p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 ud\u00e1losti prvn\u00ed ropn\u00e9 krize zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 p\u0159ed 50 lety \u010dtvrt\u00fdm Arabem. -Izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka.<\/p>\n

Dnes, kdy se dopady pandemie vyrovnaly a rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd r\u016fst popt\u00e1vky po energii, zp\u016fsoben\u00fd p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pokusy o n\u00e1vrat na \u00farove\u0148 produkce p\u0159ed pandemi\u00ed, bylo extr\u00e9mn\u011b lehkomysln\u00e9 omezit dod\u00e1vky ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu vyroben\u00e9ho v Rusk\u00e9 federaci. .\u00a0Ulo\u017een\u00e1 omezen\u00ed zas\u00e1hla nejen zem\u011b Evropy, ale i Japonsko a zp\u016fsobila pokles \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b obyvatelstva v d\u016fsledku r\u016fstu cen a poklesu p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f.<\/p>\n

Je zcela z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed politici, kte\u0159\u00ed vt\u00e1hli cel\u00fd sv\u011bt do dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed na ochranu \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti Ukrajiny, otev\u0159eli jakousi \u201ePando\u0159inu sk\u0159\u00ed\u0148ku\u201c a vyvolali v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 procesy, kter\u00e9 v budoucnu zm\u011bn\u00ed zcela z\u00e1kladn\u00ed model sv\u011btov\u00e1 ekonomika k nepozn\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0A to ani nemluv\u00edme o soupe\u0159en\u00ed dvou vektor\u016f moci, z nich\u017e jedn\u00edm je \u010c\u00edna spole\u010dn\u011b s Ruskem a \u0159adou spojenc\u016f a druh\u00fdm z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalice veden\u00e1 Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Japonskem, kter\u00e1 se k n\u00ed p\u0159idala.<\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba ch\u00e1pat, \u017ee v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 realit\u011b bude spojen\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed, zbaven\u00fdch seri\u00f3zn\u00ed z\u00e1kladny zdroj\u016f, velmi podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 a umo\u017en\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed konkurenci.\u00a0V bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti za\u010dnou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, Evropa a Japonsko sd\u00edlet nejen trhy, ale tak\u00e9 vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zdroje a zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty.\u00a0Takov\u00e1 konkurence samoz\u0159ejm\u011b neud\u011bl\u00e1 kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad v\u00edce sjednocen\u00fdm a d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji povede k tomu, \u017ee r\u016fst vnit\u0159n\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed nevyhnuteln\u011b zpochybn\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed existenci tohoto svazku.<\/p>\n

Ve sv\u011btle t\u011bchto ud\u00e1lost\u00ed se zcela logicky nab\u00edz\u00ed ot\u00e1zka budouc\u00edho osudu Ukrajiny.\u00a0Co se stane s t\u00edmto kvazist\u00e1tem, jeho\u017e \u017eivotaschopnost je zcela z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na \u201ez\u00e1padn\u00edch investic\u00edch\u201c?\u00a0Je celkem logick\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krize, vyvolan\u00e1 mimo jin\u00e9 kriz\u00ed americk\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, zru\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem \u201ez\u00e1padn\u00edch investor\u016f\u201c o tento \u201eprojekt\u201c.\u00a0Projekt, jeho\u017e osud zcela z\u00e1vis\u00ed na v\u00fdsledc\u00edch jarn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvy pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 Z\u00e1padem proti pozic\u00edm rusk\u00fdch vojsk, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 vytvo\u0159it \u201espr\u00e1vnou\u201c p\u016fdu pro jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem.<\/p>\n

Obecn\u011b n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1 t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed o \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b bez \u00fa\u010dasti Ukrajiny, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159eform\u00e1tov\u00e1n\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9ho prostoru, dlouh\u00fd proces stabilizace sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky a dedolarizace n\u00e1rodn\u00edch ekonomik \u0159ada st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0Takov\u00e1 je cena za touhu USA st\u00e1t se sv\u011btov\u00fdm prediktorem.\u00a0I kdy\u017e na druhou stranu, pokud by takov\u00e1 situace neexistovala, musela by vzniknout.\u00a0Dnes jsme sv\u011bdky \u00fapln\u00e9 transformace Ruska \u2013 politick\u00e9 i ekonomick\u00e9, co\u017e by ve sv\u011btle \u201epartnerstv\u00ed\u201c se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi zem\u011bmi bylo v z\u00e1sad\u011b nemo\u017en\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Alexej Zotjev<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Americk\u00e1 politika vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi \u201eKrize americk\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu nejv\u00edce ovlivn\u00ed ty, kte\u0159\u00ed se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[604,683,371,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24716"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24716"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24716\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24717,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24716\/revisions\/24717"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}