{"id":2341,"date":"2021-06-08T06:19:11","date_gmt":"2021-06-08T04:19:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=2341"},"modified":"2021-06-08T06:19:11","modified_gmt":"2021-06-08T04:19:11","slug":"jiri-paroubek-pokus-ct-o-politicke-inzenyrstvi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/06\/08\/jiri-paroubek-pokus-ct-o-politicke-inzenyrstvi\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Pokus \u010cT o politick\u00e9 in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Ji\u017e podruh\u00e9 v kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b za sebou se zab\u00fdv\u00e1m pr\u016fzkumy \u00fa\u010delov\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fdmi pro \u010cT, speci\u00e1ln\u011b pro po\u0159ad V\u00e1clava Moravce, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fdmi agenturami najmut\u00fdmi \u010ceskou televiz\u00ed.<\/strong><\/div>\n
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Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden jsem se ve sv\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku zab\u00fdval v\u00fdplodem agentury Data Collect pro \u010cT a dnes se mus\u00edm zab\u00fdvat v\u00fdtvorem agentury Kantar CZ. U v\u00fdsledk\u016f v\u00fdzkum\u016f obou t\u011bchto agentur pro v\u00fdzkum ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se ov\u0161em chovaj\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e jako vlivov\u00e9 agentury sv\u00e9ho druhu, jsou z\u0159ejm\u00e9 tyto dva z\u00e1kladn\u00ed rysy:<\/p>\n

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  1. \u00a0 \u00a0Trvale rostouc\u00ed volebn\u00ed preference obou pravost\u0159edov\u00fdch volebn\u00edch koalic (v kv\u011btnu ov\u0161em ji\u017e i v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci Kantar CZ z\u0159ejm\u011b do\u0161li na hranice mo\u017en\u00e9ho a proto uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee koalice Pir\u00e1t\u016f a STAN sn\u00ed\u017eila o 1% ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0dubnem sv\u00e9 preference a koalice Spolu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 na sv\u00fdch)<\/li>\n
  2. \u00a0Trv\u00e1 pokles volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed obou vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran, tedy hnut\u00ed ANO o 1% a soc. dem. rovn\u011b\u017e o 1%.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Kantar CZ ov\u0161em je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed s\u00a0nov\u00fdm senza\u010dn\u00edm zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm, a sice \u017ee P\u0159\u00edsaha Roberta \u0160lachty se ji\u017e dostala na hranici volitelnosti 5% a tedy, \u017ee z\u00a0volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed 2,5% v\u00a0dubnu se skokem neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b dostala na 5% preferenc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

    V\u00a0politice je mnoh\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e9. Ale v\u00a0situaci, kdy P\u0159\u00edsaha vede okrajovou volebn\u00ed kampa\u0148 v\u00a0men\u0161\u00edch obc\u00edch, s\u00a0pom\u011brn\u011b mal\u00fdm faktick\u00fdm z\u00e1b\u011brem na voli\u010de v medi\u00edch, se nemohu zbavit dojmu, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o mystifikaci a snahu um\u011ble vytvo\u0159it \u201e\u010dern\u00e9ho kon\u011b\u201c voleb pr\u00e1v\u011b z\u00a0P\u0159\u00edsahy. Tak, jako se to povedlo nap\u0159. ve volb\u00e1ch v\u00a0roce 2010 z\u00a0V\u011bc\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch anebo v\u00a0roce 2006 ze strany Zelen\u00fdch.<\/p>\n

    Nepochybuji o tom, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st \u010desk\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f je vzdy n\u00e1chyln\u00e1 se st\u00e1le zklam\u00e1vat v\u00a0zaveden\u00fdch i ned\u00e1vno vznikl\u00fdch politick\u00fdch stran\u00e1ch, ale r\u016fst vlastn\u011b neexistuj\u00edc\u00edho organiza\u010dn\u00edho subjektu z\u00a02,5% na 5% voli\u010dsk\u00e9 podpory je opravdu mysteri\u00f3zn\u00edm politick\u00fdm in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00edm. A stejn\u011b takov\u00fdm politick\u00fdm in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00edm je hra hran\u00e1\u00a0 ob\u011bma agenturami se soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokraci\u00ed. B\u011bhem jednoho m\u011bs\u00edce \u00fadajn\u011b ztratila t\u0159etinu sv\u00e9 podpory (z\u00a04% na 3%). I to je t\u011b\u017eko uv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo.<\/p>\n

    Sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed podpory u hnut\u00ed ANO z\u00a021% na 20%, tak tomu snad lze uv\u011b\u0159it. Konec konc\u016f vy\u00fast\u011bn\u00ed kauzy Vrb\u011btice de facto v omezen\u00ed diplomatick\u00fdch styk\u016f s\u00a0Ruskem na minimum, nepochybn\u011b mohlo zas\u00e1hnout levicov\u00e9 voli\u010de hnut\u00ed ANO, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u011bli v\u017edy sp\u00ed\u0161e prorusk\u00e9 sympatie.<\/p>\n

    Podle agentury Median z minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne se u\u017e ov\u0161em pozice obou vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran sp\u00ed\u0161e stabilizuj\u00ed a posiluj\u00ed s\u00a0ohledem na \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 zvl\u00e1dnut\u00ed boje s\u00a0pandemi\u00ed a \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 zvl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed vakcina\u010dn\u00ed operace.<\/p>\n

    Zd\u00e1 se tedy, \u017ee zmno\u017een\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00fdch agentur, pracuj\u00edc\u00edch pro \u010cT z\u00a0jedn\u00e9 na dv\u011b je jen trikem, jak dodat zd\u00e1n\u00ed objektivity de facto shodn\u00fdm volebn\u00edm odhad\u016fm, kter\u00e9 ob\u011b tyto agentury (Kantar CZ a Data Collect) jak p\u0159es kop\u00edr\u00e1k produkuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

    Ukazuje se, \u017ee veden\u00ed \u010cT a zpravodajstv\u00ed \u010cT jasn\u011b slou\u017e\u00ed ve volebn\u00edm boji, kter\u00fd ji\u017e \u0159adu m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f prob\u00edh\u00e1, z\u00e1jm\u016fm obou koalic pravost\u0159edov\u00fdch stran. Je to nekorektn\u00ed a ka\u017ed\u00fd rozumn\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk, kter\u00fd si zachoval alespo\u0148 zd\u00e1n\u00ed objektivity, mus\u00ed uznat, \u017ee to takhle d\u00e1l nejde. A postupn\u011b dovolovan\u00e1 Rada \u010cesk\u00e9 televize by m\u011bla prov\u00e9st, i s\u00a0ohledem na velk\u00e9 st\u0159ety z\u00e1jm\u016f gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159editele, co nejrychleji zm\u011bnu v\u00a0\u010dele \u010cesk\u00e9 televize, kter\u00e1 se zm\u011bnila na nejost\u0159ej\u0161\u00edho protivl\u00e1dn\u00edho kritika. Co\u017e ov\u0161em zcela pop\u00edr\u00e1 jej\u00ed ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed charakter.<\/p>\n

    Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    \n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Ji\u017e podruh\u00e9 v kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b za sebou se zab\u00fdv\u00e1m pr\u016fzkumy \u00fa\u010delov\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fdmi pro \u010cT, speci\u00e1ln\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2343,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[47,29,96,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2341"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2341"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2341"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2341"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}