{"id":22641,"date":"2023-02-10T05:45:48","date_gmt":"2023-02-10T04:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=22641"},"modified":"2023-02-10T05:45:48","modified_gmt":"2023-02-10T04:45:48","slug":"andrew-korybko-protiruske-sankce-zapadu-ucinily-indii-nepostradatelnou-pro-globalni-trh-s-energii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/02\/10\/andrew-korybko-protiruske-sankce-zapadu-ucinily-indii-nepostradatelnou-pro-globalni-trh-s-energii\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Protirusk\u00e9 sankce Z\u00e1padu u\u010dinily Indii nepostradatelnou pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trh s energi\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Bylo obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 vysv\u011btlit koncem minul\u00e9ho roku, pro\u010d USA znateln\u011b za\u010daly sni\u017eovat tlak na Indii, aby se distancovala od Ruska, ale v t\u00e9 dob\u011b se m\u011blo za to, \u017ee to bylo jednodu\u0161e opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 uzn\u00e1n\u00ed geostrategick\u00e9 reality a bylo to d\u011bl\u00e1no z d\u016fvodu pragmatismu, aby si zachovaly svou strategick\u00e9 vazby. Nyn\u00ed se v\u0161ak zd\u00e1, \u017ee nepostradateln\u00e1 role Indie na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm energetick\u00e9m trhu jako prost\u0159edn\u00edka p\u0159i usnad\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed nyn\u00ed tabuizovan\u00e9ho rusko-z\u00e1padn\u00edho obchodu s energi\u00ed hr\u00e1la roli v rekalibraci politiky USA.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Indick\u00e1 m\u00e9dia\u00a0v polovin\u011b ledna odhalila\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee jejich zem\u011b zpracov\u00e1vala a reexportovala zlevn\u011bnou ruskou ropu na Z\u00e1pad, v\u010detn\u011b USA, v kroku, kter\u00fd zdiskreditoval ducha\u00a0protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed tohoto de facto\u00a0nov\u00e9ho bloku studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky .\u00a0<\/a>V\u011bt\u0161ina pozorovatel\u016f tyto zpr\u00e1vy opr\u00e1\u0161ila, proto\u017ee \u0161ly proti jejich sv\u011bton\u00e1zoru, kde se pova\u017eovalo za samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee\u00a0Zlat\u00e1\u00a0<\/a>miliarda Z\u00e1padu veden\u00e1 USA\u00a0<\/a>nikdy nezm\u00edrn\u00ed tlak na Rusko t\u00edm, \u017ee Indie bude prost\u0159edn\u00edkem v jejich obchodu s ropou.<\/p>\n

Podle experta citovan\u00e9ho agenturou Bloomberg ve sv\u00e9 nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b nazvan\u00e9 \u201e\u00a0Nov\u00e1 mapa ropy: Jak Indie prom\u011b\u0148uje Rusko na palivo Z\u00e1padu\u00a0<\/a>\u201c je \u201eochota Indie koupit v\u00edce rusk\u00e9 ropy s v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed slevou rysem, nikoli chybou v pl\u00e1n z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed uvalit ekonomickou bolest na Putina, ani\u017e by ji uvalil na sebe.\u00a0Jin\u00fd citoval, \u017ee \u201eameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ministerstva financ\u00ed maj\u00ed dva hlavn\u00ed c\u00edle: udr\u017eet dob\u0159e z\u00e1soben\u00fd trh a p\u0159ipravit Rusko o p\u0159\u00edjmy z ropy\u201c.<\/p>\n

Tento dal\u0161\u00ed expert dodal, \u017ee \u201ejsou si v\u011bdomi toho, \u017ee indick\u00e9 a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 rafinerie mohou z\u00edskat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mar\u017ee n\u00e1kupem zlevn\u011bn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ropy a exportem produkt\u016f za tr\u017en\u00ed ceny.\u00a0Jsou s t\u00edm v pohod\u011b.“\u00a0Tento n\u00e1hled od Bloombergu, kter\u00fd je vysoce uzn\u00e1v\u00e1n jako jeden z p\u0159edn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch odbyti\u0161\u0165, zcela posouv\u00e1 paradigma, jeho\u017e prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm pozorovatel\u00e9 interpretuj\u00ed energetick\u00fd rozm\u011br protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed Zlat\u00e9 miliardy.<\/p>\n

\u201eOfici\u00e1ln\u00ed vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed\u201c a\u017e do t\u00e9to chv\u00edle bylo, \u017ee jejich c\u00edlem bylo zbankrotovat Kreml v nad\u011bji, \u017ee okam\u017eit\u011b zastav\u00ed svou prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci\u00a0<\/a>a mo\u017en\u00e1 dokonce \u201e\u00a0balkanizuje\u00a0<\/a>\u201c, pokud k\u00fd\u017een\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd kolaps katalyzuje nekontrolovateln\u00e9 spole\u010densko-politick\u00e9 procesy jako v pozdn\u00ed 80. l\u00e9ta 20. stolet\u00ed.\u00a0The New York Times\u00a0ned\u00e1vno p\u0159ipustil\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee protirusk\u00e9 sankce selhaly, nicm\u00e9n\u011b pouk\u00e1zal na seri\u00f3zn\u00ed d\u016fkazy, \u017ee ekonomika tohoto c\u00edlen\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu p\u0159estala klesat a dokonce za\u010dala r\u016fst.<\/p>\n

Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 t\u011bmto \u201epoliticky nepohodln\u00fdm\u201c fakt\u016fm bylo tedy mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159i zp\u011btn\u00e9m pohledu p\u0159edv\u00eddat, \u017ee \u201eofici\u00e1ln\u00ed vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed\u201c se bude muset komplexn\u011bji zm\u011bnit ve snaze o zlatou miliardu \u201ezachr\u00e1nit tv\u00e1\u0159\u201c p\u0159ed sv\u00fdmi lidmi, ergo nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek Bloombergu konec tohoto \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Ve\u0159ejnost je nyn\u00ed podn\u011bcov\u00e1na my\u0161lenkou, \u017ee sankce nikdy nem\u011bly za c\u00edl zruinovat Kreml, zastavit jeho speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci nebo \u201ebalkanizovat\u201c Rusko, ale jen nahlodat trochu jeho p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f.<\/p>\n

Realita je takov\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdsledek, o kter\u00e9m informovala agentura Bloomberg, je skute\u010dn\u011b \u201echybou\u201c a ne \u201efunkc\u00ed\u201c, jak tvrd\u00ed ve zp\u011btn\u00e9m pohledu ze zoufalstv\u00ed revidovat historii z d\u016fvod\u016f m\u011bkk\u00e9 s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 jsou ve vlastn\u00edm z\u00e1jmu.\u00a0Zlat\u00e1 miliarda pln\u011b nep\u0159edpov\u00eddala trval\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky sv\u00fdch sankc\u00ed, proto\u017ee\u00a0naivn\u011b pova\u017eovali za samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee okam\u017eit\u011b zbankrotuj\u00ed Kreml, zastav\u00ed jeho speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci a n\u00e1sledn\u011b \u201ebalkanizuj\u00ed\u201c Rusko, co\u017e se nakonec nestalo.<\/p>\n

Nemohou v\u0161ak zru\u0161it sv\u00e1 jednostrann\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 omezen\u00ed, proto\u017ee by to pro Rusko bylo bezprecedentn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed m\u011bkk\u00e9 s\u00edly, a proto za\u010dali roz\u0161i\u0159ovat tykadla po cel\u00e9m trhu, aby prozkoumali alternativn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed pro zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed spolehlivosti jejich dovozu, i kdy\u017e za p\u0159\u00edplatek.\u00a0Indick\u00e1\u00a0pragmatick\u00e1 politika principi\u00e1ln\u00ed neutrality\u00a0<\/a>v\u016f\u010di\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9mu\u00a0<\/a>konfliktu\u00a0<\/a>v pln\u00e9m rozporu s po\u017eadavky USA na \u201eizolaci\u201c Ruska skon\u010dila v tomto kontextu pro Z\u00e1pad ne\u00famysln\u00fdm darem z nebes.<\/p>\n

Pokud by tato\u00a0celosv\u011btov\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e1\u00a0<\/a>velmoc nezv\u00fd\u0161ila n\u00e1kup rusk\u00e9 ropy do takov\u00e9 m\u00edry, jakou u\u010dinila, aby odolala syst\u00e9mov\u00fdm ot\u0159es\u016fm zp\u016fsoben\u00fdm sankcemi Z\u00e1padu a kter\u00e9 destabilizovaly des\u00edtky dal\u0161\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu, pak by nedoch\u00e1zelo k p\u0159ebyte\u010dn\u00fdm z\u00e1sob\u00e1m. pro reexport.\u00a0Pot\u00e9, co jim pomohli splnit jejich pot\u0159eby, co\u017e nebylo sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9ho \u201ehlavn\u00edho pl\u00e1nu 5D \u0161achu\u201c mezi Indi\u00ed a Z\u00e1padem, ale organick\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem toho, jak se ud\u00e1losti vyv\u00edjely, sn\u00ed\u017eili sv\u016fj tlak na to jako protihodnotu.<\/p>\n

Bylo obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 vysv\u011btlit koncem minul\u00e9ho roku, pro\u010d USA znateln\u011b za\u010daly sni\u017eovat tlak na Indii, aby se distancovala od Ruska, ale v t\u00e9 dob\u011b se m\u011blo za to, \u017ee to bylo jednodu\u0161e opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 uzn\u00e1n\u00ed geostrategick\u00e9 reality a bylo to d\u011bl\u00e1no z d\u016fvodu pragmatismu, aby si zachovaly svou strategick\u00e9 vazby.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed se v\u0161ak zd\u00e1, \u017ee nepostradateln\u00e1 role Indie na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm energetick\u00e9m trhu jako prost\u0159edn\u00edka p\u0159i usnad\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed nyn\u00ed tabuizovan\u00e9ho rusko-z\u00e1padn\u00edho obchodu s energi\u00ed hr\u00e1la roli v rekalibraci politiky USA.<\/p>\n

Z tohoto n\u00e1hledu lze usoudit, \u017ee Indii se poda\u0159ilo nejen odolat z\u00e1padn\u00edmu tlaku veden\u00e9mu USA v\u016f\u010di jej\u00edm vztah\u016fm s Ruskem, ale tak\u00e9 nev\u011bdomky nakonec prok\u00e1zala laskavost zlat\u00e9 miliard\u011b v tomto procesu t\u00edm, \u017ee se um\u00edstila pozici zajistit spolehlivost jejich dovozu energie.\u00a0Toto pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed hovo\u0159\u00ed o jeho nov\u011b nalezen\u00e9 \u00faloze kr\u00e1le v nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, kter\u00e1 mu bude prop\u016fj\u010dovat\u00a0st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv\u00a0<\/a>v r\u00e1mci\u00a0glob\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 transformace\u00a0<\/a>, \u010d\u00edm d\u00e9le bude tento boj pokra\u010dovat.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko<\/a><\/p>\n

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___________________<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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Bylo obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 vysv\u011btlit koncem minul\u00e9ho roku, pro\u010d USA znateln\u011b za\u010daly sni\u017eovat tlak na Indii, aby…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22642,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,285,79,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}