{"id":22390,"date":"2023-02-06T07:23:33","date_gmt":"2023-02-06T06:23:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=22390"},"modified":"2023-02-06T07:44:30","modified_gmt":"2023-02-06T06:44:30","slug":"manazer-hedgeoveho-fondu-se-pripravuje-na-udalost-cerne-labute-ktera-vyvola-ekonomicky-krach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/02\/06\/manazer-hedgeoveho-fondu-se-pripravuje-na-udalost-cerne-labute-ktera-vyvola-ekonomicky-krach\/","title":{"rendered":"Mana\u017eer hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu se p\u0159ipravuje na ud\u00e1lost \u201e\u010dern\u00e9 labut\u011b\u201c, kter\u00e1 vyvol\u00e1 ekonomick\u00fd krach"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>P\u0159edn\u00ed mana\u017eer hedgeov\u00fdch fond\u016f Mark Spitznagel u\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee americkou, ne-li celosv\u011btovou ekonomiku, \u010dek\u00e1 obrovsk\u00e1 korekce.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ud\u00e1lost \u201e\u010dern\u00e9 labut\u011b\u201c je takov\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 nedoz\u00edrn\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt.\u00a0Takovou ud\u00e1lost\u00ed byl nap\u0159\u00edklad krach na burze v New Yorku, kter\u00fd odstartoval Velkou hospod\u00e1\u0159skou krizi v letech 1929-33.<\/p>\n<p>A up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, bubny t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky bij\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem st\u00e1le hlasit\u011bji, proto m\u00e1 smysl p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee Mark Spitznagel v\u00ed, o \u010dem mluv\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/black-swan-manager-preps-for-financial-mega-tinderbox-timebomb-11675177877\">\u010cl\u00e1nek<\/a>\u00a0publikovan\u00fd v\u00a0<em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em>\u00a0(WSJ) popisuje Spitznagal\u016fv investi\u010dn\u00ed styl jako neortodoxn\u00ed, ale velmi \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>V \u010dl\u00e1nku se uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee jeho firma\u00a0<em>Universa Investments<\/em>\u00a0b\u011b\u017en\u011b produkovala \u00fa\u017easn\u00e9 ro\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdnosy z n\u011bkdy nepatrn\u00fdch investic, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v relativn\u011b kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b vyprodukovala troj- a\u017e p\u011btin\u00e1sobek p\u016fvodn\u00ed hodnoty.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eNap\u0159\u00edklad, kdy\u017e pandemie covidu rozhodila glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trhy na frak, jeho v\u00fdnosy byly v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2020 odhadem 4 000%.\u00a0Fond tak\u00e9 vyd\u011blal 1 miliardu americk\u00fdch dolar\u016f za jedin\u00fd den v roce 2015 b\u011bhem takzvan\u00e9ho \u201eFlash Crash\u201c (rapidn\u00edho krachu),\u201c<\/em>\u00a0informoval WSJ, jako by cht\u011bl zd\u016fraznit fakt, \u017ee Spitznagel je stejn\u011b nekonven\u010dn\u00ed jako \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Zkr\u00e1tka Spitznagel v\u00ed, o \u010dem mluv\u00ed, a proto je jeho p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f o nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm katastrofick\u00e9m kolapsu je\u0161t\u011b v\u011brohodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>WSJ d\u00e1le poznamenal:<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><em>\u201eInvesto\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed ho sleduj\u00ed, v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee jeho jedin\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f, kterou sly\u0161eli mnohokr\u00e1t za v\u00edce ne\u017e desetilet\u00ed, je, \u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m se nach\u00e1z\u00ed na prahu v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti.\u00a0V nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm dopise to naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201eobjektivn\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010dasovanou bombou ve finan\u010dn\u00ed historii \u2013 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e na konci 20. let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b s podobn\u00fdmi tr\u017en\u00edmi d\u016fsledky.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Destrukce ve stylu Velk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krize je mo\u017en\u00e1, ale pan Spitznagel nenab\u00edz\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u010dasov\u00fd horizont a nazna\u010duje, \u017ee v\u011bdom\u00e9 odsouv\u00e1n\u00ed krachu p\u0159isp\u011blo k jeho p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 z\u00e1va\u017enosti.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Analogie, kterou pou\u017eil v minulosti, je ta, \u017ee hasi\u010di m\u011bnov\u00fdch a fisk\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f byli p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 horliv\u00ed p\u0159i likvidaci finan\u010dn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e v\u0161ak ve skute\u010dnosti p\u0159ipravili p\u016fdu pro mnohon\u00e1sobn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nekontrolovateln\u00fd po\u017e\u00e1r.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Den\u00edk WSJ ve sv\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku pokra\u010doval:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eP\u0159i t\u011bchto apokalyptick\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00edch lze d\u016fsledn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bchladn\u011b matematick\u00e9ho mana\u017eera hedgeov\u00fdch fond\u016f podez\u0159\u00edvat, \u017ee umo\u017e\u0148uje sv\u00fdm politick\u00fdm n\u00e1zor\u016fm ovliv\u0148ovat sv\u016fj \u00fasudek.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Je toti\u017e \u00fazce spojen s b\u00fdval\u00fdm prezidentsk\u00fdm kandid\u00e1tem Ronem Paulem, kter\u00fd se sna\u017eil o zru\u0161en\u00ed Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rezervn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu a obnoven\u00ed zlat\u00e9ho standardu a kter\u00fd podobn\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy hl\u00e1s\u00e1 u\u017e desetilet\u00ed.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Jak ve zdrav\u00ed p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt p\u0159\u00edchoz\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed bou\u0159i<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>V \u010dl\u00e1nku se d\u00e1le uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee pro investory existuj\u00ed mo\u017enosti, jak by mohli p\u0159ekonat p\u0159\u00edchoz\u00ed bou\u0159i.<\/p>\n<p>Doporu\u010duje vlo\u017eit v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed pen\u011bz do zlata a st\u0159\u00edbra a n\u00e1kup n\u011bkter\u00fdch akci\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou nyn\u00ed levn\u00e9 a jejich dr\u017een\u00ed a\u017e do obdob\u00ed po katastrof\u011b, kdy budou m\u00edt neskute\u010dnou hodnotu.\u00a0<em>(Pozn\u00e1mka redakce: Takov\u00e9 akce je v\u0161ak obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 naj\u00edt, proto\u017ee p\u0159i krachu klesnou t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny akcie).<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Tyto strategie v\u0161ak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed, \u017ee po katastrof\u011b p\u0159ijde n\u00e1vrat k norm\u00e1lu, a tady je situace nejist\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Proto\u017ee jsme lid\u00e9, m\u00e1me tendenci v\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee bez ohledu na to, jak \u0161patn\u00e1 je situace, kdy to nejhor\u0161\u00ed pomine, v\u011bci budou takov\u00e9, jak\u00e9 byly d\u0159\u00edve.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159edstavte si, \u017ee jste Ukrajinec, kter\u00fd se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt ruskou invazi.\u00a0V\u011bt\u0161ina Ukrajinc\u016f si pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mysl\u00ed, \u017ee po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky a destrukce p\u0159ijde obdob\u00ed obnovy a n\u00e1vratu \u017eivota do toho, co bylo p\u0159ed vp\u00e1dem rusk\u00fdch vojsk do zem\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Ale co kdy\u017e Ukrajina p\u0159ehraje?\u00a0\u017divot se u\u017e nikdy nevr\u00e1t\u00ed do \u201enorm\u00e1lu\u201c, kter\u00fd byl p\u0159ed invaz\u00ed.\u00a0A tot\u00e9\u017e by mohlo platit pro\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.badatel.net\/covidova-tyrania-nebola-nikdy-o-zdravi-ale-o-peniazoch-a-oddialeni-krachu-globalneho-financneho-systemu\/\">ekonomickou apokalypsu<\/a>\u00a0, kterou Spitznagel p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud bude ekonomick\u00fd kolaps USA (a stejn\u011b tak i Evropy) syst\u00e9mov\u00fd a katastrofick\u00fd, mo\u017en\u00e1 u\u017e nez\u016fstanou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ani Evropa na obnovu.\u00a0U\u017e nikdy nic nebude \u201estejn\u00e9\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Je to proto, \u017ee ten, kdo se chop\u00ed moci po kolapsu, nepochybn\u011b zavede mnohem jinou formu vl\u00e1dy a vybuduje \u00fapln\u011b jinou spole\u010dnost, ne\u017e na jakou jsme zvykl\u00ed \u2013 takovou, kter\u00e1 nen\u00ed shov\u00edvav\u00e1, nen\u00ed svobodn\u00e1 a nev\u00e1\u017e\u00ed si svobody a individualismu.<\/p>\n<p>Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nejlep\u0161\u00ed rada, kterou by n\u011bkdo mohl d\u00e1t v tomto bod\u011b, je tato: Ud\u011blejte si po\u0159\u00e1dek ve sv\u00fdch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech, zachra\u0148te, co se d\u00e1, a p\u0159it\u00e1hn\u011bte sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1tele k sob\u011b.\u00a0Budete je pot\u0159ebovat.<\/p>\n<p>Autor JD Heyes, Zdroj:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.naturalnews.com\/2023-02-03-black-swan-financial-manager-preparing-for-mega-tinderbox-timebomb-event.html\">naturalnews.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-19187 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1133\" height=\"136\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO.jpg 699w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1133px) 100vw, 1133px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159edn\u00ed mana\u017eer hedgeov\u00fdch fond\u016f Mark Spitznagel u\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee americkou, ne-li celosv\u011btovou ekonomiku,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22391,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[4386,59,683,2888],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22390"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22390\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}