{"id":22319,"date":"2023-02-05T00:58:10","date_gmt":"2023-02-04T23:58:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=22319"},"modified":"2023-02-04T19:42:48","modified_gmt":"2023-02-04T18:42:48","slug":"prave-jsme-byli-svedky-ekonomickeho-znameni-ktere-nebylo-videt-od-vrcholu-velke-hospodarske-krize-v-roce-1932","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/02\/05\/prave-jsme-byli-svedky-ekonomickeho-znameni-ktere-nebylo-videt-od-vrcholu-velke-hospodarske-krize-v-roce-1932\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u00e1v\u011b jsme byli sv\u011bdky ekonomick\u00e9ho znamen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nebylo vid\u011bt od vrcholu Velk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krize v roce 1932"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ekonomick\u00e1 situace je mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e lid\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed, abyste v\u011b\u0159ili.\u00a0Za posledn\u00ed rok ceny rostly mnohem rychleji ne\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina na\u0161ich p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f.\u00a0V d\u016fsledku toho se na\u0161e \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 rapidn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eila.\u00a0Americk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti zji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed, \u017ee je st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vyj\u00edt s pen\u011bzi do m\u011bs\u00edce, a jak uvid\u00edte n\u00ed\u017ee, v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etina v\u0161ech dosp\u011bl\u00fdch v USA v sou\u010dasnosti spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na to, \u017ee jejich rodi\u010de zaplat\u00ed alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1st jejich \u00fa\u010dt\u016f.\u00a0Je\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, co se d\u011bje se skute\u010dn\u00fdm disponibiln\u00edm p\u0159\u00edjmem.\u00a0Podle Fox Business nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1va o HDP uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee pokles re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho disponibiln\u00edho p\u0159\u00edjmu, kter\u00fd jsme vid\u011bli v roce 2022, je nejprud\u0161\u00ed zaznamenan\u00fd od roku 1932…<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nejznepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed informac\u00ed ze zpr\u00e1vy o HDP je prudk\u00fd pokles re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho disponibiln\u00edho p\u0159\u00edjmu, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 v roce 2022 klesnout o v\u00edce ne\u017e 1 bilion dolar\u016f.\u00a0Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, toto je druh\u00fd nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed procentn\u00ed pokles re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho disponibiln\u00edho p\u0159\u00edjmu v\u0161ech dob, p\u0159ekon\u00e1n pouze rokem 1932, nejhor\u0161\u00edm rokem Velk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krize.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

P\u0159em\u00fd\u0161lejte o tom chv\u00edli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Naposledy re\u00e1ln\u00fd disponibiln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjem tak rychle klesl doslova na vrcholu Velk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krize.<\/span><\/p>\n

A jak se na\u0161e p\u0159\u00edjmy zu\u017euj\u00ed, st\u00e1le v\u00edce Ameri\u010dan\u016f zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 za sv\u00fdmi \u00fa\u010dty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mimo jin\u00e9 procento dlu\u017en\u00edk\u016f s rizikov\u00fdmi hypot\u00e9kami, kte\u0159\u00ed se opo\u017e\u010fuj\u00ed se spl\u00e1tkami alespo\u0148 60 dn\u00ed, vzrostlo na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 od roku 2008\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle agentury Fitch Ratings se v prosinci procento hypote\u010dn\u00edch dlu\u017en\u00edk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed byli po splatnosti alespo\u0148 60 dn\u00ed po splatnosti, zv\u00fd\u0161ilo na 5,67 %, co\u017e je prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst ze sedmilet\u00e9ho minima 2,58 % v dubnu 2021.\u00a0To je nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl Ameri\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed se pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed se sazbami za auta od finan\u010dn\u00ed krize v roce 2008.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

U\u017e te\u010f za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tsunami garnishment\u016f, jak\u00e9 jsme vid\u011bli od \u201eVelk\u00e9 recese\u201c a v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch se to bude jen zhor\u0161ovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017dena v San Antoniu, kter\u00e1 v\u011bd\u011bla, \u017ee jej\u00ed vozidlo m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt kdykoli odebr\u00e1no, se rozhodla, \u017ee ukryt\u00ed vozidla je prozat\u00edm nejlep\u0161\u00ed strategi\u00ed…<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pro n\u011bkter\u00e9 je jedinou lekc\u00ed pokus oklamat vymaha\u010de dluh\u016f: st\u011b\u017e\u00ed nejlep\u0161\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e1 strategie.\u00a0Stejn\u011b jako Zhea Zarecor ze San Antonia, kter\u00e1 se v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1vat se sv\u00fdm v\u011b\u0159itelem, aby zabr\u00e1nil zabaven\u00ed jej\u00edho 2013 Honda Fit.\u00a0Mezit\u00edm ho schov\u00e1.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Tato 53let\u00e1 \u017eena, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b studuje bakal\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd titul v oboru informa\u010dn\u00edch technologi\u00ed (a bere si velkou p\u016fj\u010dku na vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u011bla d\u011blat p\u0159ed 35 lety), se s n\u00ed d\u011bl\u00ed o m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed \u00fa\u010det za auto \u2013 asi 178 dolar\u016f. spolubydl\u00edc\u00ed.\u00a0Jen\u017ee pak spolubydl\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159i\u0161el o pr\u00e1ci, a jak rostly ceny potravin a dal\u0161\u00edch nezbytnost\u00ed, prost\u011b nebylo dost pen\u011bz na splacen\u00ed auta.<\/span><\/cite>Zarecor se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ivyd\u011blat si zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edmi pracemi, jako je sekret\u00e1\u0159ka a \u00fa\u010dast na studi\u00edch medic\u00edny, ale \u010dasto se c\u00edt\u00ed beznad\u011bjn\u011b, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1.\u00a0„Na\u0161e pen\u00edze nejdou tak daleko jako d\u0159\u00edv,“ \u0159ekla.\u00a0\u201eNevid\u00edm pokles cen, tak\u017ee jedinou \u00falevu vid\u00edm, kdy\u017e dostuduji.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Bohu\u017eel v\u011bt\u0161ina zem\u011b v tuto chv\u00edli sotva vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak jsem nast\u00ednil v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku, ned\u00e1vn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee 57 procent Ameri\u010dan\u016f si pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit ani 1 000 dolar\u016f na mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti.<\/span><\/p>\n

A dal\u0161\u00ed pr\u016fzkum zjistil, \u017ee neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdch 35 procent v\u0161ech dosp\u011bl\u00fdch v USA st\u00e1le spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na m\u00e1mu a t\u00e1tu, \u017ee zaplat\u00ed alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1st \u00fa\u010dt\u016f…<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etina dosp\u011bl\u00fdch (35 %) p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee je\u0161t\u011b mus\u00ed zaplatit alespo\u0148 jeden \u00fa\u010det od sv\u00fdch rodi\u010d\u016f.\u00a0Podle nov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu mezi 2000 Ameri\u010dany jsou hlavn\u00edmi t\u0159emi v\u00fddaji, kter\u00e9 jejich rodi\u010de st\u00e1le plat\u00ed, n\u00e1jem (19 %), potraviny (19 %) a energie (16 %).\u00a0T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dtvrtina (24 %) mileni\u00e1l\u016f tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jim n\u00e1jem plat\u00ed rodi\u010de.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Je situace opravdu tak \u0161patn\u00e1?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bohu\u017eel, ekonomick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky se budou v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch jen zhor\u0161ovat, proto\u017ee st\u00e1le v\u00edce Ameri\u010dan\u016f p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed o pr\u00e1ci.<\/span><\/p>\n

V pond\u011bl\u00ed jsem se s velkou l\u00edtost\u00ed dozv\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee elektronick\u00fd gigant Philips propust\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch 6000 pracovn\u00edk\u016f…<\/span><\/p>\n

Philips v pond\u011bl\u00ed ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee zru\u0161\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch 6 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, aby zv\u00fd\u0161il ziskovost.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Ke zru\u0161en\u00ed pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst dojde v pr\u016fb\u011bhu p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dvou let, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e prvn\u00edch 3000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst m\u00e1 b\u00fdt zru\u0161eno letos, uvedl v pond\u011bl\u00ed nizozemsk\u00fd v\u00fdrobce spot\u0159ebn\u00ed elektroniky a l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed.\u00a0Ve sv\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b o zisku spole\u010dnost uvedla, \u017ee v roce 2022 utrp\u011bla \u010distou ztr\u00e1tu 1,6 miliardy eur po \u010dist\u00e9m zisku 3,3 miliardy eur v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

A tak\u00e9 se uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee jedna z m\u00fdch obl\u00edben\u00fdch hra\u010dk\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed se rozhodla propustit asi \u201e15 % sv\u00fdch glob\u00e1ln\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f na pln\u00fd \u00favazek\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mohl bych v seznamu pokra\u010dovat, pokud chcete.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti bych mohl sv\u00e9 \u010dl\u00e1nky ka\u017ed\u00fd den plnit p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy o propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vstoupili jsme do velmi bolestiv\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho poklesu a v\u00fdznamn\u00fd ekonom z Wall Street varuje, \u017ee pln\u00fd dopad t\u00e9to krize poc\u00edt\u00ed a\u017e ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku 2023…<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle jednoho ekonoma z Wall Street bude hroz\u00edc\u00ed recese v tomto roce p\u0159ipom\u00ednat sp\u00ed\u0161e 70. l\u00e9ta ne\u017e propad v letech 2008-2007.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eLid\u00e9 se p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 soust\u0159ed\u00ed na roky 2008 a 2020.\u00a0Tohle je sp\u00ed\u0161 jako 1973, 74 a 2021,\u201c \u0159ekla Nancy Lazarov\u00e1, hlavn\u00ed ekonomka Piper Sandler, v pond\u011bln\u00edm po\u0159adu Mornings with Maria.<\/span><\/cite>Lazar p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee pln\u00e9 dopady recese se projev\u00ed ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku 2023, kdy\u017e se projev\u00ed zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 efekty zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rezervn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Vlastn\u011b by bylo \u00fa\u017easn\u00e9, kdyby se jejich zd\u00e1nliv\u011b chmurn\u00e1 progn\u00f3za naplnila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee si nemysl\u00edm, \u017ee bychom sm\u011b\u0159ovali k propadu, jak\u00fd jsme za\u017eili na za\u010d\u00e1tku 70. let.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sp\u00ed\u0161e vid\u00edm nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zn\u00e1mky, kter\u00e9 nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee jsme ve velmi ran\u00fdch f\u00e1z\u00edch ekonomick\u00e9ho ekvivalentu Velk\u00e9 jedni\u010dky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee to bude letos hodn\u011b t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 a mysl\u00edm, \u017ee dlouhodob\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky jsou je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na\u0161i politici n\u00e1s ujistili, \u017ee v\u0161e bude v po\u0159\u00e1dku a p\u0159itom zaplav\u00ed syst\u00e9m pen\u011bzi a zinscenuj\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dluhovou explozi v historii lidstva.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed nastal den z\u00fa\u010dtov\u00e1n\u00ed a my poneseme d\u016fsledky jejich velmi po\u0161etil\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Ekonomick\u00e1 situace je mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e lid\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed, abyste v\u011b\u0159ili.\u00a0Za posledn\u00ed rok ceny rostly mnohem…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22320,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,45,371,601,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22319"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22319"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22319\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22321,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22319\/revisions\/22321"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22320"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22319"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22319"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22319"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}