{"id":22029,"date":"2023-02-01T01:01:11","date_gmt":"2023-02-01T00:01:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=22029"},"modified":"2023-01-31T16:56:47","modified_gmt":"2023-01-31T15:56:47","slug":"zacala-treti-svetova-valka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/02\/01\/zacala-treti-svetova-valka\/","title":{"rendered":"Za\u010dala t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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To je v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, kterou by investo\u0159i m\u011bli v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zv\u00e1\u017eit.\u00a0\u0158ada analytik\u016f a koment\u00e1tor\u016f varovala, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b by se mohla vymknout kontrole a p\u0159er\u016fst ve t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Variac\u00ed na toto t\u00e9ma je, \u017ee v\u00e1lka by mohla eskalovat do jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s pou\u017eit\u00edm taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.\u00a0V\u011bt\u0161ina ukazuje prstem na Rusko jako na stranu, kter\u00e1 v zoufalstv\u00ed kv\u016fli ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 kampani na Ukrajin\u011b zah\u00e1j\u00ed jadern\u00fd \u00fader.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti je tomu naopak.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 ta\u017een\u00ed neztroskotalo (je n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f pozastaveno a \u010dek\u00e1 na vhodn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro zimn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu).\u00a0V mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch, co\u017e je v podstat\u011b proukrajinsk\u00e1 propaganda, o tom jen tak nesly\u0161\u00edte.<\/span><\/p>\n

A strana, kter\u00e1 nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bji pou\u017eije jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b jako prvn\u00ed, jsou USA, aby si zachr\u00e1nily tv\u00e1\u0159 a destabilizovaly Rusko, kdy\u017e je Ukrajina na pokraji kolapsu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kontrola reality<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoho lid\u00ed tomu t\u011b\u017eko v\u011b\u0159\u00ed.\u00a0Bylo jim \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee Putin je s\u00e1m \u010f\u00e1bel a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b chce zni\u010dit sv\u011bt.\u00a0R\u00e1di si mysl\u00edme, \u017ee v modern\u00ed dob\u011b jsme kultivovan\u00ed a u\u017e nepropad\u00e1me propagand\u011b.\u00a0Bohu\u017eel tomu tak nen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktem je, \u017ee od 6. do 9. srpna 1945 vedly USA jedinou jadernou v\u00e1lku v historii a byla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1.\u00a0Nechci se zde pou\u0161t\u011bt do mor\u00e1lky v\u011bci, tak \u010di onak.\u00a0Jsem jen objektivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 tak \u010di onak, dal\u0161\u00ed jadernou v\u00e1lku nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9 zvl\u00e1dnout a rovnala by se t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.\u00a0To se scvrk\u00e1v\u00e1 na to sam\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale m\u016fj n\u00e1zor je jin\u00fd.\u00a0Nejde o to, \u017ee bychom mohli sm\u011b\u0159ovat ke t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, jde o to, \u017ee u\u017e tam jsme.\u00a0Ot\u00e1zka, kdy v\u00e1lky obecn\u011b a sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed a kon\u010d\u00ed, nen\u00ed tak p\u0159\u00edmo\u010dar\u00e1, jak se mnoz\u00ed domn\u00edvaj\u00ed.\u00a0Existuje pro to mnoho p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy ofici\u00e1ln\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka?\u00a0Je to komplikovan\u00e9<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy za\u010dala prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka?\u00a0Existovalo mnoho p\u0159edch\u016fdc\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b Agadirsk\u00e9 krize v Maroku (1911), italsko-tureck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky (1911-12) a balk\u00e1nsk\u00fdch v\u00e1lek (1912-1913).<\/span><\/p>\n

Je evidentn\u00ed, \u017ee ji\u017e v roce 1911 byla prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ve f\u00e1zi odpo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esn\u011bji \u0159e\u010deno, za\u010dala prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka atent\u00e1tem na arciv\u00e9vodu Franti\u0161ka Ferdinanda 28. \u010dervna 1914?\u00a0T\u00edm, \u017ee Rakousko-Uhersko vyhl\u00e1silo 28. \u010dervence 1914 v\u00e1lku Srbsku?\u00a0S n\u011bmeck\u00fdm vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm v\u00e1lky Rusku 1. srpna 1914?<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktem je, \u017ee za\u010d\u00e1tek prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky (tehdy naz\u00fdvan\u00e9 Velk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka) byl \u0159adou chyb.\u00a0Krom\u011b ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch chyb bylo mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vstoupily do prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a\u017e 6. dubna 1917.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konec prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky byl tak\u00e9 pr\u016f\u0161vih.\u00a0V\u011bt\u0161ina student\u016f uv\u00e1d\u00ed jako den konce v\u00e1lky 11. listopad 1918.\u00a0To nen\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b spr\u00e1vn\u00e9.\u00a0Toho dne bylo podeps\u00e1no p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a st\u0159elba ustala.\u00a0Ale p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed je p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, ne m\u00edrov\u00e1 smlouva.\u00a0Skute\u010dn\u00e1 Versaillesk\u00e1 smlouva, kter\u00e1 ukon\u010dila v\u00e1lku, byla podeps\u00e1na 28. \u010dervna 1919.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed nic nov\u00e9ho, \u017ee se hranice mezi za\u010d\u00e1tkem a koncem v\u00e1lky st\u00edraj\u00ed.\u00a0Korejsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka skon\u010dila p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm podepsan\u00fdm 27. \u010dervence 1953, ale technicky st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed u konce;\u00a0nikdy nebyla m\u00edrov\u00e1 smlouva.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejzaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpadem (a nejv\u00edce relevantn\u00edm pro v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b) je za\u010d\u00e1tek druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy skute\u010dn\u011b za\u010dala druh\u00e1 sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina Ameri\u010dan\u016f to reflexivn\u011b datuje k 7. prosinci 1941, kdy Japonsko za\u00fato\u010dilo na Pearl Harbor.\u00a0To je spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 datum pro vstup USA, ale v\u00e1lka samoz\u0159ejm\u011b za\u010dala 1. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 1939, kdy N\u011bmecko napadlo Polsko.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a Francie vyhl\u00e1sily v\u00e1lku N\u011bmecku 3. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale za\u010dala druh\u00e1 sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ve skute\u010dnosti mnohem d\u0159\u00edve?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Japonsko napadlo Mand\u017eusko 18. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 1931.\u00a0Zavedli tam loutkov\u00fd re\u017eim zvan\u00fd Manchukuo, veden\u00fd c\u00edsa\u0159em Puyim (proslul\u00fdm \u201eposledn\u00edm c\u00edsa\u0159em\u201c \u010c\u00edny a potomkem dynastie \u010cching).\u00a0N\u00e1sledovala japonsk\u00e1 invaze do \u010c\u00edny v roce 1937 a d\u011bsiv\u00e9 zn\u00e1siln\u011bn\u00ed Nanjingu v prosinci 1937.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee evropsk\u00e1 a tichomo\u0159sk\u00e1 d\u011bji\u0161t\u011b druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky byla odli\u0161n\u00e1 a geograficky odd\u011blen\u00e1, ale lze alespo\u0148 tvrdit, \u017ee druh\u00e1 sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka za\u010dala v \u010c\u00edn\u011b v roce 1931 nebo nejpozd\u011bji v roce 1937.\u00a0K tomuto n\u00e1zoru se p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nelze zapomenout na \u0161pan\u011blskou ob\u010danskou v\u00e1lku (1936-1939), b\u011bhem n\u00ed\u017e N\u011bmecko bombardovalo Guernicu, Rusko financovalo Lidovou frontu a \u017eold\u00e1ci vytvo\u0159ili mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed brig\u00e1dy, v\u010detn\u011b americk\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy Abrahama Lincolna.\u00a0Pod\u00edvan\u00e1, ve kter\u00e9 USA a Rusko bojovaly s N\u011bmeckem na \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b, byla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou uk\u00e1zkou druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Modern\u00ed paralelu nab\u00edz\u00ed p\u0159\u00edliv zahrani\u010dn\u00edch bojovn\u00edk\u016f do v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Argument pro za\u010d\u00e1tek t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee argumenty pro nejasn\u00e9 za\u010d\u00e1tky a konce v\u00e1lek jsou jasn\u00e9.\u00a0Co vzhledem k situaci na Ukrajin\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed pro to, \u017ee t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ji\u017e za\u010dala?<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00edm bodem je po\u010det p\u0159\u00edmo zapojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f.\u00a0Je nesmysln\u00e9 nazna\u010dovat, \u017ee \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO fand\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b ze strany.\u00a0Tyto zem\u011b se p\u0159\u00edmo pod\u00edlej\u00ed na poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed zbran\u00ed, zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed, pen\u011bz, munice a pozemn\u00edch sil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pol\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci operuj\u00ed jako \u017eold\u00e1ci v ukrajinsk\u00fdch uniform\u00e1ch.\u00a0Americk\u00e9 a britsk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edly na Ukrajin\u011b poskytuj\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace, v\u00fdcvik zbran\u00ed a logistickou pomoc.\u00a0(Tyto speci\u00e1ln\u00ed jednotky jsou \u010dasto naj\u00edm\u00e1ny jako dodavatel\u00e9 CIA a MI6, aby zakryli sv\u00e9 vazby na americk\u00e9 a britsk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby).<\/span><\/p>\n

Polsko a Litva dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b pokro\u010dil\u00e9 tanky Leopard.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed se tak\u00e9 chyst\u00e1 dodat sv\u016fj nejpokro\u010dilej\u0161\u00ed tank \u2013 Challenger II.\u00a0USA dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed bojov\u00e1 vozidla Bradley a obrn\u011bn\u00e1 vozidla Stryker.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA tak\u00e9 dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed HIMARS (d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo) a protiraketov\u00e9 baterie Patriot.\u00a0Z\u00e1pad dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b munici, hotovost, drony, satelitn\u00ed sn\u00edmky, sign\u00e1ln\u00ed zpravodajstv\u00ed (SIGINT) a lidskou inteligenci (HUMINT).<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko nen\u00ed h\u00e1kliv\u00e9, pokud jde o verbov\u00e1n\u00ed spojenc\u016f a \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f.\u00a0Na front\u011b u Soledaru a Bakhmutu byla nasazena soukrom\u00e1 \u017eold\u00e1ck\u00e1 arm\u00e1da Wagner Group.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko dost\u00e1v\u00e1 drony z Turecka a \u00cdr\u00e1nu.\u00a0P\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00ed bojovn\u00edci ze S\u00fdrie.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna poskytuje finan\u010dn\u00ed podporu a nab\u00edz\u00ed technologie, kter\u00e9 Rusku pomohou vybudovat zbran\u011b a pokra\u010dovat v raketov\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nahoru po eskala\u010dn\u00edm \u017eeb\u0159\u00edku<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Fyzick\u00e9 poty\u010dky propukly v Polsku (chybn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 st\u0159ela), B\u011blorusku (tak\u00e9 chybn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 st\u0159ela), Rusku (\u00fatoky dron\u016f na leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Rusku bl\u00edzk\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi) a N\u011bmecku (sabot\u00e1\u017e ropovod\u016f Nord Stream).\u00a0Do\u0161lo i k n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm bitv\u00e1m na \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b existuje dlouh\u00fd seznam zem\u00ed podporuj\u00edc\u00edch Ukrajinu \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed na finan\u010dn\u00edch a ekonomick\u00fdch sankc\u00edch uvalen\u00fdch USA a EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezi zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsou nyn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo zapojen\u00e9 do v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se zbran\u011bmi, pen\u011bzi, zpravodajsk\u00fdmi slu\u017ebami, \u017eold\u00e1ky nebo finan\u010dn\u00edmi sankcemi, pat\u0159\u00ed USA, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, N\u011bmecko, Francie, Polsko, Litva, Kanada, Austr\u00e1lie, Ukrajina, Rusko, \u010c\u00edna, S\u00fdrie, \u00cdr\u00e1n, Turecko. , Japonsko, Rumunsko, B\u011blorusko a Moldavsko.\u00a0Tyto zem\u011b pokr\u00fdvaj\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i kontinenty.\u00a0Ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky jsou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u00a0Pokud toto nen\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, pak nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, co to je.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je tady.\u00a0Mo\u017en\u00e1 je to bl\u00ed\u017e etap\u011b z roku 1937 ne\u017e etap\u011b z roku 1941. Doufejme, \u017ee se status uchyt\u00ed.\u00a0Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro investory je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, \u017ee tato v\u00e1lka nen\u00ed bl\u00edzko konce.\u00a0Je mnohem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed, pokud jde o posti\u017een\u00e9 zem\u011b, finan\u010dn\u00ed sankce a kinetickou v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed eskalace jadern\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny je re\u00e1ln\u00e9 a st\u00e1le roste.\u00a0Budou zastaveni, ne\u017e bude p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b?<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

To je v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, kterou by investo\u0159i m\u011bli v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zv\u00e1\u017eit.\u00a0\u0158ada analytik\u016f a koment\u00e1tor\u016f varovala, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22030,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,29,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22029"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22029"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22029\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22030"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22029"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22029"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22029"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}