{"id":21832,"date":"2023-01-28T06:21:03","date_gmt":"2023-01-28T05:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=21832"},"modified":"2023-01-28T06:21:03","modified_gmt":"2023-01-28T05:21:03","slug":"jaroslav-stefec-kracime-k-mobilizaci-a-jaderne-katastrofe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/01\/28\/jaroslav-stefec-kracime-k-mobilizaci-a-jaderne-katastrofe\/","title":{"rendered":"Jaroslav \u0160tefec: Kr\u00e1\u010d\u00edme k mobilizaci a jadern\u00e9 katastrof\u011b?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Pozorn\u011b sleduji fra\u0161ku nazvanou \u201esamospasiteln\u00e9 tanky pro Ukrajinu\u201c, v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e pan Zelenskij a\u00a0\u010dlenov\u00e9 jeho kabinetu unisono vz\u00fdvali Z\u00e1pad, aby mu dodal tato bojov\u00e1 vozidla a\u00a0vyhro\u017eovali, \u017ee bez nich bude Ukrajina jistojist\u011b pora\u017eena a\u00a0\u201ehordy z\u00a0v\u00fdchodu\u201c zaplav\u00ed Evropu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem tohoto divadeln\u00edho p\u0159edstaven\u00ed byly form\u00e1ln\u00ed obstrukce n\u011bmeck\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy d\u00e1t tomuto v\u00fdvozu zelenou. Pot\u0159ebovala si toti\u017e alespo\u0148 navenek zachovat tv\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159ed sv\u00fdmi skute\u010dn\u00e9 pozice N\u011bmecka v\u00a0Evrop\u011b neznal\u00fdmi voli\u010di.<\/p>\n

Divadlo pro n\u011bmeck\u00e9 da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky skon\u010dilo p\u0159ed dv\u011bma dny, kdy n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da \u201epod tlakem spojenc\u016f\u201c souhlasila jak s\u00a0v\u00fdvozem n\u011bmeck\u00fdch tank\u016f Leopard 2, tak tank\u016f tohoto typu z\u00a0v\u00fdzbroje Polska, Finska a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed. Ukrajina tak vedle 12 britsk\u00fdch Challenger\u016f a\u00a031 americk\u00fdch tank\u016f Abrams nejstar\u0161\u00edho typu z\u00a0poloviny 80.\u00a0let dostane kolem stovky tank\u016f Leopard r\u016fzn\u00fdch verz\u00ed, od 2A2 po\u00a02A5. Pod\u00edvejme se na tento \u201edar\u201c podrobn\u011bji.<\/p>\n

Z vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska se u\u017e na prvn\u00ed pohled jedn\u00e1 o\u00a0naprosto nesmysln\u00fd krok. To, co se chyst\u00e1 \u201ekolektivn\u00ed z\u00e1pad\u201c dodat na Ukrajinu, nejsou \u201emodern\u00ed\u201c tanky, ale star\u00e9 stroje, poch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed v\u00a0lep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b z\u00a0po\u010d\u00e1tku 90.\u00a0let. Obrovsk\u00e1 r\u016fznorodost dodan\u00fdch typ\u016f a\u00a0verz\u00ed vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed u\u017e tak chaotick\u00e9mu logistick\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy dal\u0161\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 probl\u00e9my se z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00edm munic\u00ed, n\u00e1hradn\u00edmi d\u00edly a\u00a0p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kvalitn\u00edm palivem, kter\u00e9ho tito \u201ebumbrdl\u00ed\u010dci\u201c spot\u0159ebuj\u00ed podstatn\u011b v\u00edce, ne\u017e daleko leh\u010d\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9 sov\u011btsk\u00e9 a\u00a0proti nim aktu\u00e1ln\u011b stoj\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 stroje. Nav\u00edc, na rozd\u00edl od sov\u011btsk\u00fdch\/rusk\u00fdch tank\u016f, z\u00e1padn\u00ed stroje vy\u017eaduj\u00ed \u010dty\u0159\u010dlenn\u00e9 os\u00e1dky.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem je v\u00fdcvik os\u00e1dek a\u00a0zvl\u00e1dnut\u00ed nasazen\u00ed nov\u011b nabyt\u00fdch stroj\u016f v\u00a0boji ze strany velitel\u016f \u00fatvar\u016f a\u00a0jednotek. Lid\u00e9, b\u00fdval\u00ed voj\u00e1ci a\u00a0m\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed tuto techniku velmi dob\u0159e znaj\u00ed a\u00a0dokonce s\u00a0n\u00ed i\u00a0bojovali, se shoduj\u00ed na tom, \u017ee v\u00fdcvik os\u00e1dky tanku Leopard 2 trv\u00e1 minim\u00e1ln\u011b jeden rok a\u00a0u\u00a0tanku Abrams a\u00a0Challenger je\u0161t\u011b o\u00a0p\u016fl roku v\u00edce. Taktika jejich nasazen\u00ed je v\u00fdznamn\u011b odli\u0161n\u00e1 od taktiky, dosud pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 ukrajinskou arm\u00e1dou, a\u00a0vy\u017eaduje mimo jin\u00e9 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 absolutn\u00ed vzdu\u0161nou p\u0159evahu. Co\u017e o\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9m letectvu v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b rozhodn\u011b tvrdit nelze. Stejn\u011b tak nelze \u010dekat, \u017ee by se ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed velitel\u00e9 \u201ez\u00e1zra\u010dn\u011b\u201c nau\u010dili b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f tyto tanky efektivn\u011b nasazovat.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b dod\u00e1n\u00edm uveden\u00fdch tank\u016f na Ukrajinu nav\u00edc hodn\u011b riskuj\u00ed, a\u00a0to hned dvakr\u00e1t. Prvn\u00ed hrozbou je rozbit\u00ed m\u00fdtu o\u00a0p\u0159evaze dodan\u00fdch stroj\u016f nad ruskou vojenskou technikou. Z\u00e1b\u011bry na des\u00edtky ho\u0159\u00edc\u00edch Leopard\u016f a\u00a0zni\u010den\u00e9 Abramsy a\u00a0Challengery mohou toti\u017e zas\u00edt sem\u00ednko pochybnost\u00ed o\u00a0jejich skute\u010dn\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 efektivit\u011b do srdc\u00ed jejich u\u017eivatel\u016f a\u00a0(to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm) do pen\u011b\u017eenek potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1kazn\u00edk\u016f. A\u00a0druh\u00e1 hrozba? Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se nau\u010d\u00ed s\u00a0t\u011bmito stroji \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b bojovat, nau\u010d\u00ed se vyu\u017e\u00edvat jejich slabiny a\u00a0samoz\u0159ejm\u011b z\u00edsk\u00e1 i\u00a0informace o\u00a0pou\u017eit\u00fdch technologi\u00edch. Nemluv\u011b o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed hrozb\u011b, kterou by p\u0159ineslo nasazen\u00ed munice s\u00a0ochuzen\u00fdm uranem. Rusk\u00e1 strana dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee by to pova\u017eovala za pou\u017eit\u00ed \u201e\u0161pinav\u00e9\u201c jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b se v\u0161emi z\u00a0toho plynouc\u00edmi d\u016fsledky.<\/p>\n

Co tedy vede z\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1ty k\u00a0tomuto kroku? V\u00a0prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b to ukazuje, \u017ee Ukrajina (a\u00a0v\u00a0jej\u00edm zastoupen\u00ed cel\u00e9 NATO) je v\u00a0zoufal\u00e9 situaci. I\u00a0p\u0159es ob\u0159\u00ed zbrojn\u00ed a\u00a0finan\u010dn\u00ed dotace je ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da definitivn\u011b v\u00a0defenziv\u011b. Nen\u00ed schopna nahrazovat ztr\u00e1ty vojensk\u00e9 techniky, a\u00a0u\u017e v\u016fbec ne ztr\u00e1ty zku\u0161en\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, schopn\u00fdch ji ovl\u00e1dat. Rusk\u00e1 federace a\u00a0jej\u00ed arm\u00e1da se uk\u00e1zaly b\u00fdt daleko tvrd\u0161\u00edm o\u0159\u00ed\u0161kem, ne\u017e USA a\u00a0st\u00e1ty NATO o\u010dek\u00e1valy. Pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed proto za ka\u017edou cenu z\u00edskat \u010das na p\u0159\u00edpravu dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace konfliktu, kterou u\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nic men\u0161\u00edho, ne\u017e p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 konfrontace s\u00a0ruskou arm\u00e1dou. A\u00a0pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed tak\u00e9 impuls k\u00a0jej\u00edmu zah\u00e1jen\u00ed. Pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0n\u011bm by z\u00e1padn\u00ed tanky teoreticky mohly sehr\u00e1t ur\u010ditou roli.<\/p>\n

Jeden jedin\u00fd pokus o\u00a0ofenzivu, v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e by byly tyto stroje nasazeny jako jednor\u00e1zov\u00fd spot\u0159ebn\u00ed materi\u00e1l (proto\u017ee v\u00a0t\u00e9to skladb\u011b a\u00a0po\u010dtech s\u00a0nimi nelze nic jin\u00e9ho podniknout), by mohl poslou\u017eit po\u00a0jeho definitivn\u00ed por\u00e1\u017ece k\u00a0politick\u00e9mu zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed \u201evysly\u0161en\u00ed zoufal\u00fdch proseb\u201c ukrajinsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed o\u00a0p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd vojensk\u00fd z\u00e1sah Aliance. Jen\u017ee to by znamenalo v\u00e1lku s\u00a0Ruskou federac\u00ed, prakticky okam\u017eit\u011b vedenou s\u00a0pou\u017eit\u00edm taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Rusk\u00e1 strana, kter\u00e1 si je dob\u0159e v\u011bdoma relativn\u00ed slabosti konven\u010dn\u00edch sil, se t\u00edm nijak netaj\u00ed. Jak z\u00a0toho ven?<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd vstup do konfliktu se toti\u017e nechyst\u00e1 na p\u016fdorysu NATO, ale prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm jeho v\u00fdchodn\u00edch a\u00a0pobaltsk\u00fdch \u010dlen\u016f, sesypan\u00fdch dohromady pod hlavi\u010dkou tak zvan\u00e9ho \u201eKyjevsk\u00e9ho paktu\u201c. Co to znamen\u00e1?<\/p>\n

\u201eStar\u00fdm\u201c \u010dlen\u016fm NATO a\u00a0t\u00edm i\u00a0alianci jako celku to umo\u017en\u00ed \u201ez\u016fstat stranou\u201c a\u00a0t\u00edhu v\u00e1lky, ztr\u00e1t a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f ponese jen tato \u201eliga zoufalc\u016f\u201c. Kam bohu\u017eel pat\u0159\u00ed i\u00a0\u010cR.<\/p>\n

Co to pro n\u00e1s m\u016f\u017ee v\u00a0bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti znamenat, lze do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry odvodit z\u00a0aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho d\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0Polsku, na Slovensku a\u00a0v\u00a0pobaltsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch. Hodn\u011b napov\u00eddaj\u00ed i\u00a0kroky \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 se ov\u0161em i\u00a0v\u00a0tomto pro \u010cR a\u00a0Evropu zlomov\u00e9m okam\u017eiku u\u017e tradi\u010dn\u011b chov\u00e1 jako parti\u010dka amat\u00e9rsk\u00fdch ka\u0161p\u00e1rk\u016f, hraj\u00edc\u00edch si na velk\u00e9 politiky. I\u00a0p\u0159es zoufalou snahu zaoce\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1pov\u011bdy p\u0159edv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed jen ubohou \u0161m\u00edru bez n\u00e1boje a\u00a0jasn\u00e9ho d\u011bje.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edprava \u010desk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti na st\u00e1le otev\u0159en\u011bji chystanou mobilizaci, vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed \u010desk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f na zahrani\u010dn\u00ed \u201ev\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 mise\u201c a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edtomnost ciz\u00edch vojsk na \u00fazem\u00ed \u010cR formou podivuhodn\u00fdch vystoupen\u00ed pan\u00ed, kter\u00e1 si \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 ministryn\u011b obrany, na t\u00e9ma \u201edobrovoln\u00e9 registrace\u201c potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch branc\u016f, nebo komick\u00e9ho v\u00fdstupu s\u00a0\u201eleopard\u00edkem\u201c V\u00e1lkem by byla snad i\u00a0sm\u011b\u0161n\u00e1, kdyby nebyla doprov\u00e1zena otev\u0159en\u00fdmi pokusy o\u00a0zm\u011bnu \u00fastavy, p\u0159\u00edpravou na tvrd\u00e9 zneu\u017eit\u00ed pandemick\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f, nebo st\u00e1le drsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm omezov\u00e1n\u00edm svobody slova.<\/p>\n

A co vystoupen\u00ed p\u00e1na, kter\u00fd hraje roli n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu tak zvan\u00e9 Arm\u00e1dy \u010desk\u00e9 republiky? Jeho \u201evoj\u00e1cky otev\u0159en\u00e1\u201c slova o\u00a0tom, \u017ee se bude p\u0159i\u00a0v\u00fdstavb\u011b A\u010cR \u0159\u00eddit zad\u00e1n\u00edm politik\u016f, nebo prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o\u00a0nutnosti v\u00fdb\u011brov\u00e9 mobilizace by m\u011bla p\u0159im\u011bt \u010desk\u00e9 ob\u010dany velmi pozorn\u011b sledovat, co se vlastn\u011b chyst\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da tak d\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le otev\u0159en\u011bji najevo pohrd\u00e1n\u00ed nejen \u010desk\u00fdmi z\u00e1kony, ale i\u00a0Chartou OSN, a\u00a0dokonce i\u00a0samotnou Severoatlantickou smlouvou, kter\u00e1 v\u00a0JEDIN\u00c9M z\u00e1vazn\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku 1 zavazuje v\u0161echny signat\u00e1\u0159e<\/p>\n

\u201e \u2026 jak je uvedeno v\u00a0Chart\u011b OSN, urovn\u00e1vat ve\u0161ker\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed spory, v\u00a0nich\u017e mohou b\u00fdt \u00fa\u010dastny, m\u00edrov\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky tak, aby nebyl ohro\u017een mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u00edr, bezpe\u010dnost a\u00a0spravedlnost, a\u00a0zdr\u017eet se ve sv\u00fdch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztaz\u00edch hrozby silou nebo pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly jak\u00fdmkoli zp\u016fsobem neslu\u010diteln\u00fdm s\u00a0c\u00edli OSN.\u201c<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Naproti tomu a\u017e fanaticky vz\u00fdv\u00e1 nez\u00e1vazn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek \u010d\u00edslo 5, kter\u00fd signat\u00e1\u0159e nezavazuje k\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu automatick\u00e9mu vstupu do v\u00e1lky, a\u00a0u\u017e v\u016fbec ne kv\u016fli ne\u010dlenovi aliance. Prav\u00ed se v\u00a0n\u011bm:<\/p>\n

\u201eSMLUVN\u00cd STRANY se dohodly, \u017ee ozbrojen\u00fd \u00fatok PROTI JEDN\u00c9 NEBO V\u00cdCE Z\u00a0NICH v\u00a0Evrop\u011b nebo v\u00a0Severn\u00ed Americe bude pova\u017eov\u00e1n za \u00fatok proti v\u0161em, a\u00a0proto se dohodly, \u017ee dojde-li k\u00a0takov\u00e9mu ozbrojen\u00e9mu \u00fatoku, ka\u017ed\u00e1 z\u00a0nich, uplat\u0148uj\u00edc pr\u00e1vo na individu\u00e1ln\u00ed nebo kolektivn\u00ed sebeobranu uznan\u00e9 \u010dl\u00e1nkem 51 Charty OSN, pom\u016f\u017ee smluvn\u00ed stran\u011b nebo stran\u00e1m takto napaden\u00fdm t\u00edm, \u017ee neprodlen\u011b podnikne sama a\u00a0v\u00a0sou\u010dinnosti s\u00a0ostatn\u00edmi stranami TAKOVOU AKCI, JAKOU BUDE POVA\u017dOVAT ZA NUTNOU, v\u010detn\u011b pou\u017eit\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly, s\u00a0c\u00edlem obnovit a\u00a0zachovat bezpe\u010dnost severoatlantick\u00e9ho prostoru. Ka\u017ed\u00fd takov\u00fd \u00fatok a\u00a0ve\u0161ker\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed u\u010din\u011bn\u00e1 v\u00a0jeho d\u016fsledku BUDOU NEPRODLEN\u011a OZN\u00c1MENA RAD\u011a BEZPE\u010cNOSTI. Tato opat\u0159en\u00ed budou ukon\u010dena, jakmile Rada bezpe\u010dnosti P\u0158IJME OPAT\u0158EN\u00cd NUTN\u00c1 PRO OBNOVEN\u00cd A\u00a0ZACHOV\u00c1N\u00cd MEZIN\u00c1RODN\u00cdHO M\u00cdRU A\u00a0BEZPE\u010cNOSTI.\u201c<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Nez\u00e1vaznost tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku si vym\u00ednily samotn\u00e9 USA, kter\u00e9 rozhodn\u011b nehodlaj\u00ed bojovat v\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, z\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e jim neplynou p\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 zisky, a\u00a0kter\u00e1 naopak hroz\u00ed nenahraditeln\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami. Pokud se \u010cR velmi rychle neza\u010dne \u0159\u00eddit jejich p\u0159\u00edkladem, m\u016f\u017ee se velmi brzy naplnit zn\u00e1m\u00e9 proroctv\u00ed ze Star\u00fdch pov\u011bst\u00ed \u010desk\u00fdch, v\u00a0n\u011bm\u017e vozka p\u0159i\u00a0p\u0159ejezdu zbytku Karlova mostu uk\u00e1\u017ee bi\u010dem kolem sebe a\u00a0\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 sv\u00e9mu synkovi:<\/p>\n

\u201eZde st\u00e1lo kdysi m\u011bsto Praha, jeho\u017e sl\u00e1va hv\u011bzd se dot\u00fdkala\u201c.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Autor\u00a0 plk. v. v. Ing.\u00a0Jaroslav \u0160tefec<\/strong>, zdroj:\u00a0FB<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pozorn\u011b sleduji fra\u0161ku nazvanou \u201esamospasiteln\u00e9 tanky pro Ukrajinu\u201c, v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e pan Zelenskij a\u00a0\u010dlenov\u00e9 jeho kabinetu unisono…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12849,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,3416,29,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21832"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21832"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21832\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12849"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}