{"id":20541,"date":"2022-12-31T10:58:21","date_gmt":"2022-12-31T09:58:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=20541"},"modified":"2022-12-31T10:58:21","modified_gmt":"2022-12-31T09:58:21","slug":"v-usa-popsali-pet-scenaru-zacatku-treti-svetove-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/12\/31\/v-usa-popsali-pet-scenaru-zacatku-treti-svetove-valky\/","title":{"rendered":"V USA popsali p\u011bt sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f za\u010d\u00e1tku t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Port\u00e1l 19fortyfive uvedl p\u011bt pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v roce 2023<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobnost nov\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se do roku 2023 zna\u010dn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila, a zap\u0159\u00ed\u010dinit ji mohou ukrajinsk\u00e1 krize, Tchaj-wan, konflikt mezi \u0158eckem a Tureckem, situace na Korejsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b nebo vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed n\u00e1roky Indie a \u010c\u00edny, napsal odborn\u00edk v bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed sf\u00e9\u0159e Robert Farley ve sv\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku pro 19fortyfive.<\/p>\n

\u201eV roce 2022 p\u0159istoupil sv\u011bt k v\u00e1lce mezi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi velmocemi bl\u00ed\u017e, ne\u017e kdykoli jindy po ukon\u010den\u00ed studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky,\u201c podotkl.<\/p>\n

Podle n\u00e1zoru autora, nehled\u011b na m\u00e1lo pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho st\u0159etu NATO s Ruskem v konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b, eskalace je st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b mo\u017en\u00e1. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, kdy\u017e \u201ejedna ze stran\u201c p\u0159istoup\u00ed na riskantn\u00ed kroky, m\u016f\u017ee se situace p\u0159em\u011bnit na t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku, domn\u00edv\u00e1 se Farley.<\/p>\n

V Moskv\u011b nejednou zd\u016fraznili, \u017ee Rusko nikdy neodm\u00edtalo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ukrajinou. Prezident RF Vladimir Putin podot\u00fdkal, \u017ee Moskva se sna\u017e\u00ed nikoli rozt\u00e1\u010det setrva\u010dn\u00edk ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu, ale ukon\u010dit ho. Z\u00e1pad naopak st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji mluv\u00ed o nutnosti pro Kyjev pokra\u010dovat v bojov\u00fdch akc\u00edch, a tak\u00e9 dod\u00e1v\u00e1 mu zbran\u011b a cvi\u010d\u00ed OS Ukrajiny na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. Rozpory mezi Washingtonem a Pekingem v ot\u00e1zce statusu Tchaj-wanu tak\u00e9 vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed obavy, dodal odborn\u00edk. Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru ka\u017ed\u00fd konflikt v tomto regionu p\u0159ivede nevyhnutn\u011b k v\u00e1lce sv\u011btov\u00fdch velmoc\u00ed kv\u016fli velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9mu zapojen\u00ed USA a Japonska.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed konflikt, o n\u011bm\u017e se v \u010dl\u00e1nku zmi\u0148uje, se dot\u00fdk\u00e1 dvou \u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00ed NATO \u2013 Turecka a \u0158ecka. Farley p\u0159itom upozor\u0148uje na to, \u017ee i kdy\u017e se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt jen m\u00e1lo pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee jeden spojenec v NATO za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed otev\u0159en\u011b na druh\u00e9ho, v minulosti tyto konflikty nejednou postavily ob\u011b zem\u011b na hranici v\u00e1lky, a n\u011bkdy i za tuto hranici, nehled\u011b na z\u00e1vazky p\u0159ed alianc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V \u010dl\u00e1nku se rovn\u011b\u017e podot\u00fdk\u00e1, \u017ee se v posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch nap\u011bt\u00ed na Korejsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b neust\u00e1le zvy\u0161ovalo, co\u017e tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee podle jeho n\u00e1zoru p\u0159er\u016fst v ni\u010divou v\u00e1lku za pou\u017eit\u00ed jak konven\u010dn\u00edch, tak i jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n

P\u00e1t\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 p\u0159er\u016fst\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00edch rozpor\u016f mezi Indi\u00ed a \u010c\u00ednou v rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 akce s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi n\u00e1sledky. Odborn\u00edk to pova\u017euje za m\u00e1lo pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, nevylu\u010duje v\u0161ak podobn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj.<\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b transformace kter\u00e9hokoliv z t\u011bchto konflikt\u016f ve sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku v roce 2023 se nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt v dan\u00e9m okam\u017eiku pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, napsal v z\u00e1v\u011bru Farley.<\/p>\n

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Port\u00e1l 19fortyfive uvedl p\u011bt pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v roce 2023 Pravd\u011bpodobnost…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1632,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[39,22,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20541"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20541"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20541\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1632"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20541"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20541"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20541"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}