{"id":20105,"date":"2022-12-22T05:44:40","date_gmt":"2022-12-22T04:44:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=20105"},"modified":"2022-12-22T05:44:40","modified_gmt":"2022-12-22T04:44:40","slug":"rakety-patriot-a-jejich-moznosti-jak-zastavit-putina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/12\/22\/rakety-patriot-a-jejich-moznosti-jak-zastavit-putina\/","title":{"rendered":"Rakety Patriot a jejich mo\u017enosti, jak zastavit Putina"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

P\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny, na slavnostn\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed k uct\u011bn\u00ed hrdin\u016f, gubern\u00e1tor Moskvy Vorobjev \u0159ekl:\u00a0Hrdina Ruska Osokin padl, kdy\u017e plnil bojov\u00fd \u00fakol osvobodit Hostomel<\/em><\/a>.\u00a0Hrdina Ruska Osokin byl major elitn\u00edch v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159\u016f a spole\u010dn\u011b\u00a0se 12 spolubojovn\u00edky hrdinn\u011b padl p\u0159i jarn\u00ed bitv\u011b o leti\u0161t\u011b Hostomel u Kyjeva<\/a>. P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh jak\u00fdch byste v dne\u0161n\u00edm Rusku napo\u010d\u00edtaly stovky. P\u0159esto zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed \u2013\u00a0gubern\u00e1tor Moskvy Vorobjev<\/a>\u00a0pou\u017eil term\u00edn\u00a0osvobozen\u00ed<\/em>\u00a0pro oblast Kyjeva! Zd\u00e1 se tak, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 opravdu chu\u0165 obsadit Kyjev, jak hl\u00e1s\u00ed i Ukrajinci. A na v\u017edy, jak p\u0159iznal gubern\u00e1tor Moskvy. My se tedy na rusk\u00e9 mo\u017enosti obsadit Kyjev v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch n\u011bkolika anal\u00fdz\u00e1ch d\u016fkladn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159\u00edme.<\/p>\n

Dnes se pod\u00edv\u00e1me, na to, jak US rakety Patriot, pro kter\u00e9 si Zelensky p\u0159ijel osobn\u011b do Washingtonu, zam\u00edchaj\u00ed s rusk\u00fdmi kartami.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. V\u0161echny sou\u010dasn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my Patriot jsou zastaral\u00e9, a nejsou schopn\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b bojovat proti pomalu let\u00edc\u00edm c\u00edl\u016fm v mal\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161ce \u2013 dron\u016fm Shahed, a proti hypersonick\u00fdm raket\u00e1m, a\u0165 u\u017e balistick\u00fdm, nebo s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu. Radar sou\u010dasn\u00fdch Patriot\u016f m\u00e1 zorn\u00e9 pole pouze 120 stup\u0148\u016f, jen\u017ee rusk\u00e9 rakety r\u00e1dy \u00fato\u010d\u00ed zezadu, po t\u00e9, co c\u00edl oblet\u00ed mimo palebn\u00fd dosah PVO.\u00a0Prvn\u00edch \u0161est nov\u00fdch radar\u016f LTAMDS, kter\u00e9 tyto probl\u00e9my \u0159e\u0161\u00ed, bude v prototypov\u00e9 s\u00e9rii p\u0159ed\u00e1no americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b teprve v lednu 2023 ke zkou\u0161k\u00e1m.<\/a><\/li>\n
  2. USA letos, i po zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed produkce, vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed denn\u011b asi 1,37 rakety Patriot PAC-3-MSE, ale aby dos\u00e1hly t\u00e9to kapacity,\u00a0musely v roce 2020 zah\u00e1jit v\u00fdstavbu nov\u00e9 tov\u00e1rny na jejich v\u00fdrobu, a ta byla spu\u0161t\u011bna letos v l\u00e9t\u011b<\/a>. USA uzav\u0159ely loni kontrakt na v\u00fdrobu 3100 raket PAC-3-MSE od roku 2022 do roku 2035 jen pro vlastn\u00ed pot\u0159ebu USA. 0,6 denn\u00ed produkce raket,\u00a0 je tak spot\u0159ebov\u00e1no samotnou arm\u00e1dou USA, a vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee star\u0161\u00ed verze raket Patriot nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed sest\u0159elovat modern\u00ed rusk\u00e9 rakety, m\u011bla by tato \u010d\u00e1st produkce z\u016fstat vyhrazena pro pot\u0159eby obrany USA.\u00a0Za 3100 raket PAC-3-MSE utratily USA celkem 18,5 miliardy USD<\/a>. Cena jedn\u00e9 rakety tak \u010din\u00ed 5 milion\u016f dolar\u016f. Star\u0161\u00ed rakety se prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed i za 1 milion dolar\u016f, ale jsou dobr\u00e9 leda tak k sest\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed l\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch popelnic typu Sadd\u00e1movy rakety SCUD. (N\u00edzk\u00e1 rychlost, balistick\u00e1 dr\u00e1ha bez zm\u011bny letov\u00e9 trajektorie).<\/li>\n
  3. Syst\u00e9m Patriot m\u00e1 zna\u010dnou nev\u00fdhodu<\/a>\u00a0ve schopnosti pou\u017e\u00edvat sv\u00e9 radary pouze ve v\u00fdse\u010di 120 stup\u0148\u016f. Modern\u00ed rusk\u00e9 rakety \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na c\u00edl i tak, \u017ee jej oblet\u00ed mimo palebn\u00fd dosah syst\u00e9mu Patriot PAC-3-MSE (60km), a za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na n\u011bj z mrtv\u00fdch \u00fahl\u016f. Dosah star\u0161\u00edch raket PAC-3 je 40km, a PAC-2 je 20km. Na jednu bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se raketu mus\u00ed Patriot vyst\u0159elit nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2 rakety, aby dos\u00e1hnul 80% jistoty pravd\u011bpodobnosti sest\u0159elu.<\/li>\n
  4. Hlavn\u00edm soupe\u0159em Patriot\u016f na Ukrajinsk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti bude modern\u00ed rusk\u00e1 podzvukov\u00e1 st\u0159ela Kh-101, kter\u00e1 m\u011bn\u00ed trajektorii sv\u00e9ho letu, nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b man\u00e9vruje, um\u00ed l\u00e9tat t\u011bsn\u011b nad zem\u00ed, je velmi t\u011b\u017eko detekovateln\u00e1 radary, a d\u00edky sv\u00e9mu doletu 2500 km dok\u00e1\u017ee na c\u00edl \u00fato\u010dit ze v\u0161ech stran, a to bu\u010f pomoc\u00ed 450kg v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9 hlavice a nebo jadernou hlavic\u00ed.<\/li>\n
  5. Rusko nyn\u00ed produkuje podle US analytik\u016f a\u017e 0,85 \u00fadern\u00e9 rakety vzduch zem\u011b Kh-101 denn\u011b<\/a>, p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou 0,24. Rusko p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou nakoupilo obrovsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby z\u00e1padn\u00edch elektronick\u00fdch sou\u010d\u00e1stek, kter\u00e9 k v\u00fdrob\u011b pot\u0159ebuje KH-101 pot\u0159ebuje, a tak se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdroba je zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 na n\u011bkolik let, a \u017ee v\u00fdroba pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b poroste, proto\u017ee v\u00fdrobce Kh-101 nab\u00edral v l\u00e9t\u011b stovky zam\u011bstnanc\u016f. Celkov\u00e1 v\u00fdroba rusk\u00fdch raket proti pozemn\u00edm c\u00edl\u016fm. Celkov\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 produkce nestrategick\u00fdch vysoce p\u0159esn\u00fdch raket a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el s doletem p\u0159es 1000 km proti pozemn\u00edm c\u00edl\u016fm se odhaduje na 2,36 denn\u011b. (Vypo\u010dteno kombinac\u00ed \u00fadaj\u016f od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la rozv\u011bdky Vadima Sibitsk\u00e9ho<\/a>\u00a0 a\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e9ho ministra obrany Olega Reznikova<\/a>) Skute\u010dn\u00e1 produkce bude z\u0159ejm\u011b je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee podle \u0161\u00e9fa ukrajinsk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky Rusko produkci letos je\u0161t\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ilo.<\/li>\n
  6. Rusko podle pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 unik\u00e1tn\u00ed \u010d\u00edseln\u00fd syst\u00e9m k\u00f3dov\u00e1n\u00ed raket, a ze zbytk\u016f \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed raket nalezen\u00fdch na Ukrajin\u011b se poda\u0159ilo analytik\u016fm zjistit, \u017ee Rusko st\u0159\u00edl\u00ed na c\u00edle hlavn\u011b nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rakety, z \u010deho\u017e se usuzuje, \u017ee star\u00e9 rakety s namontovan\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi hlavicemi, m\u00e1 st\u00e1le p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 proti NATO. (M\u00e9dia z toho ov\u0161em vyvozuj\u00ed, \u017ee Rus\u016fm doch\u00e1zej\u00ed rakety.)<\/li>\n
  7. M\u016fj obl\u00edben\u00fd ji\u017eansk\u00fd gener\u00e1l James Longstreet varoval gener\u00e1la Lee u\u017e v roce 1863 p\u0159ed bitvou u Gettysburgu, \u017ee kdy\u017e v bitv\u011b jsou matematick\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty palebn\u00e9 s\u00edly ve V\u00e1\u0161 zna\u010dn\u00fd neprosp\u011bch, nem\u016f\u017eete j\u00ed vyhr\u00e1t. V\u00fdsledek bitvy mu dal za pravdu. Matematicky mus\u00ed Kyjev na jednu ruskou raketu Kh-101 vyst\u0159elit dv\u011b rakety PAC-3 MSE Patriot, aby dos\u00e1hnul 80% pravd\u011bpodobnosti sest\u0159elen\u00ed. Denn\u00ed spot\u0159eba raket proti rusk\u00e9 denn\u00ed v\u00fdrob\u011b je tak 1,70, ale cel\u00e1 US v\u00fdroba je jen 1,37 denn\u011b!<\/li>\n
  8. Rusko nav\u00edc \u00fato\u010d\u00ed v hejnech raket. Ty zahrnuj\u00ed, jak rakety, kter\u00e9 jsou PAC-3 MSE nesest\u0159eliteln\u00e9 (Kin\u017e\u00e1l, Onyx, Iskander), obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b sest\u0159eliteln\u00e9 (Kh-101, a star\u0161\u00ed rakety t\u0159\u00eddy Kh), a tak\u0159ka nezachytiteln\u00e9 (Ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony). Vzhledem k naprost\u00e9mu vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 PVO o prost\u0159edky sov\u011btsk\u00e9, \u010di rusk\u00e9 produkce (S-300 typicky), mus\u00ed na tyto c\u00edle za\u010d\u00edt p\u00e1lit rakety Patriot, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd jin\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd syst\u00e9m podobn\u00e9ho dosahu NATO nevlastn\u00ed.<\/li>\n
  9. Podle Iana Williamse z Projektu protiraketov\u00e9 obrany ve St\u0159edisku strategick\u00fdch a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch studi\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0je probl\u00e9mem syst\u00e9mu Patriot skute\u010dnost, \u017ee m\u00e1 omezenou v\u00fdse\u010d radaru a nem\u016f\u017ee tak bojovat s modern\u00edmi k\u0159i\u017euj\u00edc\u00edm raketami a drony, a je ur\u010den hlavn\u011b k obran\u011b proti balistick\u00fdm raket\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 Rusko proti Ukrajin\u011b kupodivu tak\u0159ka nepou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1. Podle Williamse by jen pro nejnutn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pokryt\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho boji\u0161t\u011b bylo t\u0159eba des\u00edtek bateri\u00ed raket Patriot. Jen\u017ee tyto baterie jsou na Z\u00e1pad\u011b extr\u00e9mn\u011b nedostatkov\u00fdm zbo\u017e\u00edm, a rakety se dokonce vyva\u017euj\u00ed zlatem. USA ani nedok\u00e1zaly z\u00e1sobovat raketami Saudskou Ar\u00e1bii v boji proti ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdm dron\u016fm vypou\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdm Jemensk\u00fdmi domorodci H\u00fatii. Bude tedy zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, jak budou USA z\u00e1sobovat Ukrajinu v boji proti rusk\u00e9mu gigantu.<\/li>\n
  10. Dod\u00e1vky ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dron\u016f se odhaduj\u00ed a\u017e na 300 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. S jejich sest\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00edm m\u011bly star\u0161\u00ed verze Patriot probl\u00e9my v Saudsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed salva 300 dron\u016f Shahed-136 m\u00e1 n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cenu 6 milion\u016f USD<\/a>. Proti 300 Shahed\u016fm bude ale muset Ukrajina vyp\u00e1lit m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b 600 st\u0159el PAC-3-MSE za 3 miliardy USD. A dal\u0161\u00ed stovky raket PAC-3-MSE bude muset vyp\u00e1lit na rakety Kh-101, Kin\u017e\u00e1l, Onyx, a dokonce i na rakety S-300. Jak se zjistilo na Ukrajin\u011b, raketa PVO rusk\u00e9ho komplexu S-300 m\u016f\u017ee \u00fato\u010dit i na pozemn\u00ed c\u00edle, a\u00a0Rusko m\u00e1 pr\u00fd v z\u00e1loze n\u00edzk\u00e9 desetitis\u00edce t\u011bchto raket<\/a>, kter\u00e9 postupn\u011b nahrazuje modern\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi raketami.<\/li>\n
  11. Rusk\u00fd \u00fatok raketovou salvou tak p\u0159edstavuje podle posledn\u00edch zku\u0161enost\u00ed 75 a\u017e 150 r\u016fzn\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f vyp\u00e1len\u00fdch na vybran\u00e9 c\u00edle tak, aby na n\u011b \u00fato\u010dily najednou, a z r\u016fzn\u00fdch stran a v\u00fd\u0161ek. Baterie Patriot\u00a0bez LTAMDS<\/a>\u00a0je schopna v\u00e9st palbu pouze na 8 c\u00edl\u016f z\u00e1rove\u0148, ale v\u0161echny mus\u00ed p\u0159il\u00e9tat ve v\u00fdse\u010di 120 stup\u0148\u016f a po balistick\u00e9 trajektorii. Jinak \u00fa\u010dinnost Patriot\u016f prudce kles\u00e1.<\/li>\n
  12. Matematika je ne\u00faprosn\u00e1. Proti denn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 produkci raket 2,36,\u00a0 a denn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 kapacit\u011b \u00fatok\u016f ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi drony 5 a\u017e 10, mus\u00ed Ukrajina vyp\u00e1lit nejm\u00e9n\u011b 14,72 raket Patriot, aby odrazila alespo\u0148 polovinu rusk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku. Produkce raket Patriot je jen 1,37 denn\u011b, a z\u00e1soby tak\u0159ka nejsou. P\u0159i velikosti Ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed tak mohou Patrioty \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b chr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed rusk\u00fdmi raketov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky nanejv\u00fd\u0161 n\u011bkter\u00e1 velitelsk\u00e1 doupata, sklady, a dv\u011b a\u017e t\u0159i elektr\u00e1rny.<\/li>\n
  13. Syst\u00e9m Patriot v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee odradit Rusy od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed bombardovac\u00ed kampan\u011b,\u00a0kterou jsme p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bli v MAP-1540<\/a>, a t\u00edm uchr\u00e1nit Ukrajinu od tot\u00e1ln\u00ed devastace infrastruktury. Pokud si Zelensk\u00fd zase nevyst\u0159\u00edl\u00ed v\u0161echny darovan\u00e9 Patrioty na ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony, jak u\u017e to ud\u011blal se sv\u00fdmi raketami, aby se mohl po ve\u010derech chlubit, jak\u00fd je ostrost\u0159elec. Ale bude Patrioty dr\u017eet skryt\u00e9 v z\u00e1loze proti rusk\u00e9mu letectvu. Uk\u00e1\u017ee se, zda rusk\u00e9 protiradarov\u00e9 st\u0159ely dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zlikvidovat radary Patriot\u016f d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e rakety Patriot sest\u0159el\u00ed \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e1 letadla, a nebo se uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee se Putin neodv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zah\u00e1jit bombardovac\u00ed kampa\u0148.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    P\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny, na slavnostn\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed k uct\u011bn\u00ed hrdin\u016f, gubern\u00e1tor Moskvy Vorobjev \u0159ekl:\u00a0Hrdina Ruska Osokin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18976,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,2215,102,349],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20105"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20105\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18976"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}