{"id":19704,"date":"2022-12-15T01:12:45","date_gmt":"2022-12-15T00:12:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=19704"},"modified":"2022-12-14T18:23:06","modified_gmt":"2022-12-14T17:23:06","slug":"s-novou-frontou-do-jakych-konfliktu-chteji-usa-zatahnout-rusko-v-roce-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/12\/15\/s-novou-frontou-do-jakych-konfliktu-chteji-usa-zatahnout-rusko-v-roce-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"S novou frontou: do jak\u00fdch konflikt\u016f cht\u011bj\u00ed USA zat\u00e1hnout Rusko v roce 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Odborn\u00edci p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast Rusk\u00e9 federace v roce 2023 v konfliktech v S\u00fdrii, Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ne\u00fasp\u011bch projektu Ukrajina donut\u00ed Ameri\u010dany hledat nov\u00e9 body zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed a oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 se 100% pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed pokus\u00ed zat\u00e1hnout Rusko do dal\u0161\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho konfliktu.\u00a0Tento n\u00e1zor sd\u00edlej\u00ed experti dotazovan\u00ed 5-tv.ru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00edm \u201eproducent\u016fm\u201c krvav\u00e9 akce na Ukrajin\u011b je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee tamn\u00ed ud\u00e1losti neprob\u00edhaly podle jejich sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e a p\u016fvodn\u00ed pl\u00e1n nebude mo\u017en\u00e9 uskute\u010dnit.\u00a0\u00dakol geopolitick\u00e9ho zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska v\u0161ak nebyl zru\u0161en, tak\u017ee je nutn\u00e9 jej zapojit do nov\u00fdch ob\u010dansk\u00fdch nepokoj\u016f a st\u00e1tn\u00edho p\u0159evratu, a to jak na jeho samotn\u00fdch hranic\u00edch, tak daleko za nimi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed na \u0159ad\u011b jsou S\u00fdrie a Tchaj-wan<\/span><\/h3>\n

Jen jeden ze vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch region\u016f, ve kter\u00fdch m\u00e1 Rusko z\u00e1jmy, kter\u00e9 se chystaj\u00ed vzplanout, analytici naz\u00fdvali S\u00fdrii.\u00a0Situace je tam doslova na pokraji konfrontace mezi tureckou arm\u00e1dou a Stranou kurdsk\u00fdch pracuj\u00edc\u00edch, \u0159ekl vojensk\u00fd expert Jurij Knutov.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eRusko zauj\u00edm\u00e1 v tomto konfliktu neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed pozici, ale ml\u010dky podporuje Turecko, proto\u017ee Kurdov\u00e9 jsou spojenci Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0Proto ve skute\u010dnosti Turecko vyv\u00edj\u00ed tlak na Ameri\u010dany,<\/span><\/em> \u201cvysv\u011btlil.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Knutov z\u00e1rove\u0148 vylou\u010dil rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace v S\u00fdrii.\u00a0Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru v\u0161ak existuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed dva potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed konflikty, do kter\u00fdch se m\u016f\u017ee Rusko nep\u0159\u00edmo zapojit.\u00a0Jedn\u00edm z nich je konfrontace mezi \u010c\u00ednou, s n\u00ed\u017e Rusko nav\u00e1zalo p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed a \u00fazkou spolupr\u00e1ci, a Tchaj-wanem, podporovan\u00fdm Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eAmeri\u010dan\u00e9 i \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 jsou proti\u00a0<\/span>v\u00e1lce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, ale sparring, kter\u00fd nyn\u00ed prob\u00edh\u00e1, m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e1hodou v\u00e9st ke konfliktu.\u00a0M\u016f\u017ee se st\u00e1t n\u011bco nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bco zp\u016fsob\u00ed bojov\u00fd st\u0159et.\u00a0Pravd\u011bpodobnost nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e1, ale je,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0komentoval Knutov.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka v zastoupen\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nezapom\u00ednejte ani na \u00cdr\u00e1n, se kter\u00fdm Rusko v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b tak\u00e9 aktivn\u011b rozv\u00edj\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci v r\u016fzn\u00fdch oblastech.\u00a0Expert upozornil na r\u00e9toriku Washingtonu ohledn\u011b Teher\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd je st\u00e1le hroziv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Dosp\u011blo to do bodu, kdy Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ohla\u0161uj\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd \u00fader taktick\u00fdmi\u00a0<\/span>jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na podniky, kde \u00cdr\u00e1n podle Ameri\u010dan\u016f obohacuje uran a p\u0159ipravuje v\u00fdrobu vlastn\u00edho jadern\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Ne samotn\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9, ale Izrael se mohou t\u00e9to operace z\u00fa\u010dastnit, ale v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b to m\u016f\u017ee zp\u016fsobit v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd konflikt v regionu,“<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl Knutov.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mimochodem, analytik poznamenal, \u017ee v\u0161echny akce Ameri\u010dan\u016f nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdch st\u0159et\u016f budou bojovat v zastoupen\u00ed.\u00a0Pr\u00e1v\u011b za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem vytvo\u0159ili AUKUS, tripartitn\u00ed vojenskou alianci s Austr\u00e1li\u00ed a Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed, a nyn\u00ed tvo\u0159\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 bloky s Japonskem a Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreou.\u00a0Knutov tedy uzav\u00edr\u00e1, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty shroma\u017e\u010fuj\u00ed koalici, kter\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky o Tchaj-wan vstoup\u00ed do p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho st\u0159etu s \u010cLR nam\u00edsto Ameri\u010dan\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00edlem je syst\u00e9mov\u00e1 destabilizace<\/span><\/h3>\n

Vyhasl\u00e1 nebo doutnaj\u00edc\u00ed centra konfrontace p\u0159\u00edmo pod\u00e9l perimetru Ruska se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed pokus\u00ed nafouknout p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm.\u00a0Nav\u00edc Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a jejich m\u00edstn\u00ed a evrop\u0161t\u00ed komplicov\u00e9 ji\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nich \u201evyvolali\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePokud jde \u0159ekn\u011bme o St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii a Zakavkazsko, procesy tam samoz\u0159ejm\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed a jsou extr\u00e9mn\u011b alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed.\u00a0Jde o pokus o p\u0159evrat v Kazachst\u00e1nu v lednu 2022, kter\u00fd podn\u00edtil konflikt na t\u00e1d\u017eicko-kyrgyzsk\u00e9 hranici a rozmrazil karaba\u0161sk\u00fd konflikt za aktivn\u00ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010dasti.\u00a0Mo\u017en\u00e9 je i rozmra\u017een\u00ed konfliktu v Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed, kde je nasazena omezen\u00e1 skupina rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 politolog Alexej Martynov.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 vid\u00ed jako sv\u016fj \u00fakol vytvo\u0159it \u0159et\u011bzec konflikt\u016f pod\u00e9l rusk\u00fdch hranic, aby kolem n\u011bj nastolili syst\u00e9movou politickou destabilizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eLogika je takov\u00e1, \u017ee b\u011bh\u00e1te s k\u00fdblem z jednoho konce na druh\u00fd, nem\u00e1te \u010das to v\u0161echno uhasit, utr\u00e1cejte \u010das,\u00a0<\/span>pen\u00edze<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, zdroje, zat\u00edmco inici\u00e1to\u0159i t\u00e9to situace se p\u0159esunou na jinou \u00farove\u0148 socio- ekonomickou strukturu, hry na jinou \u00farove\u0148,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c vysv\u011btlil politolog.<\/span><\/p>\n

Boji\u0161t\u011b \u2013 Arktida<\/span><\/h3>\n

Podobn\u00fd n\u00e1zor vyj\u00e1d\u0159il i Martynov\u016fv kolega Andrey Koshkin.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se podle politologa sna\u017e\u00ed kolem Ruska vytvo\u0159it konfliktn\u00ed z\u00f3nu, kter\u00e1 by odklonila jeho zdroje a vytvo\u0159ila pot\u00ed\u017ee p\u0159i budov\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch a diplomatick\u00fdch vztah\u016f, zasahovala do obchodu s energi\u00ed a zbran\u011bmi a tak d\u00e1le.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem podle experta Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zvol\u00ed taktiku paraleln\u00ed organizace a stimulace mnoha konflikt\u016f, kter\u00e9 se budou li\u0161it v z\u00e1vislosti na intenzit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed strategick\u00fd vektor zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska na Arktidu a ud\u011blaj\u00ed to mnohem rychleji, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, v\u011b\u0159\u00ed Koshkin.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eTyto projekty jsou vytv\u00e1\u0159eny \u201etov\u00e1rnou na my\u0161lenky\u201c korporace RAND, kter\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00fd rok vyd\u00e1v\u00e1 doporu\u010den\u00ed, jak pokra\u010dovat v zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 konfiguraci,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0poznamenal politolog.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Navrhl tak\u00e9, \u017ee USA pou\u017eij\u00ed osv\u011bd\u010denou strategii k o\u017eiven\u00ed dlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00edch konflikt\u016f pod\u00e9l rusk\u00fdch hranic, aby je oslabily a potla\u010dily.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJe t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 z ni\u010deho nic vytvo\u0159it \u00fapln\u011b nov\u00e9.\u00a0Star\u00e9 r\u00e1ny se otev\u00edraj\u00ed mnohem snadn\u011bji.\u00a0Kdy\u017e otev\u0159ete ty star\u00e9, u\u017e v\u00edte, co, kde a jak pote\u010de krev.\u00a0Pro\u010d tedy vytv\u00e1\u0159et nov\u00e1 centra, kdy\u017e m\u016f\u017eete vytvo\u0159it konfliktn\u00ed situaci ve st\u00e1tech St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie?\u00a0Technologie je zn\u00e1m\u00e1, v\u00ed se, jakou kvalitu a jak\u00e9 zdroje je t\u0159eba vybrat, je zn\u00e1ma v\u00fd\u0161e financ\u00ed, \u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0shrnul analytik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve 5-tv.ru uvedl, \u017ee N\u011bmecko hovo\u0159ilo o\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>aktivn\u00ed podpo\u0159e<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b od jeho sam\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00e1tku v roce 2014 po Euromajdanu.<\/span><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Odborn\u00edci p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast Rusk\u00e9 federace v roce 2023 v konfliktech v S\u00fdrii, Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed a St\u0159edn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17333,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[220,122,716,22,276,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19704"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19704"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19704\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17333"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}