{"id":19668,"date":"2022-12-14T05:43:08","date_gmt":"2022-12-14T04:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=19668"},"modified":"2022-12-14T05:43:08","modified_gmt":"2022-12-14T04:43:08","slug":"ceska-i-slovenska-vlada-se-zarucily-za-dluhy-ukrajiny-u-bankeru-co-z-toho-plyne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/12\/14\/ceska-i-slovenska-vlada-se-zarucily-za-dluhy-ukrajiny-u-bankeru-co-z-toho-plyne\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010cesk\u00e1 i Slovensk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se zaru\u010dily za dluhy Ukrajiny u bank\u00e9\u0159\u016f! Co z toho plyne?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u010cesk\u00e1 republika bude ru\u010dit majetkem za Ukrajinsk\u00fd dluh soukrom\u00fdm bank\u00e1m, a bude po dobu n\u011bkolika let m\u00edsto Ukrajiny spl\u00e1cet \u00faroky z tohoto ukrajinsk\u00e9ho dluhu soukrom\u00fdm z\u00e1padn\u00edm bank\u00e1m. Tento z\u00e1vazek podepsala p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny v Bruselu Fialova vl\u00e1da, a jej\u00ed ministr financ\u00ed Zbyn\u011bk Stanjura byl za tento \u010din dokonce\u00a0odm\u011bn\u011bn portr\u00e9tn\u00ed fotografi\u00ed na \u010deln\u00ed stran\u011b bruselsk\u00e9ho ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o p\u016fj\u010dce 18 miliard EUR<\/a>\u00a0(450 miliard CZK) Ukrajin\u011b. Slov\u00e1ci maj\u00ed sm\u016flu, jejich vl\u00e1da to podepsala tak\u00e9. V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze si celou p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b, u kter\u00e9 budeme spl\u00e1cet \u00faroky, a ru\u010dit, \u017ee ji Ukrajina splat\u00ed, podrobn\u011b rozebereme.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina pot\u0159ebuje 5 miliard EUR m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, aby se nezhroutila, proto pot\u0159ebuje zna\u010dn\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky. Jen\u017ee\u00a0\u00fav\u011brov\u00fd rating Ukrajiny je CC<\/a>\u00a0(Fitch), co\u017e znamen\u00e1:\u00a0vysok\u00e9 \u00fav\u011brov\u00e9 riziko, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b dojde k nesplacen\u00ed dluhu,\u00a0<\/em><\/a>a p\u0159i tomto ratingu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 soukrom\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed banka Ukrajin\u011b nep\u016fj\u010d\u00ed ani vindru.<\/p>\n

Aby se Ukrajina nezhroutila, vymysleli Brusel a Stanjura\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed fintu<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 zem\u011b EU se za spl\u00e1cen\u00ed Ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky u bank\u00e9\u0159\u016f p\u00edsemn\u011b zaru\u010d\u00ed, a budou za Ukrajinu spl\u00e1cet tak\u00e9 \u00faroky z p\u016fj\u010dky.\u00a0\u00a0Bank\u00e9\u0159i tak nenesou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 riziko, a 18 miliard EUR Ukrajin\u011b r\u00e1di p\u016fj\u010d\u00ed, a proto\u017ee se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed na mastn\u00e9 \u00faroky i z \u010desk\u00fdch a slovensk\u00fdch kapes, a maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 jistotu, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nutnosti, kdy\u017e jim Ukrajina dluh nesplat\u00ed, zabav\u00ed tak\u00e9 \u010desk\u00e9 (slovensk\u00e9) lesy, elektr\u00e1rny, nemocnice a dal\u0161\u00ed zbyl\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00ed majetek, a prodaj\u00ed ho v dra\u017eb\u011b. Pro bank\u00e9\u0159e je to skv\u011bl\u00fd obchod, pro \u010cechy a Slov\u00e1ky katastrofa!<\/p>\n

V modern\u00ed ekonomice plat\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00fd\u0161e spl\u00e1tek st\u00e1tn\u00edch dluh\u016f roste s inflac\u00ed. (Viz.\u00a0Materi\u00e1l \u010cNB, kter\u00fd toto na\u0161e tvrzen\u00ed potvrzuje<\/a>.)\u00a0Dnes je nav\u00edc inflace vysok\u00e1, a tak by i p\u016fj\u010dka Ukrajin\u011b m\u011bla m\u00edt vysok\u00fd startovn\u00ed \u00farok.<\/p>\n

O tom, \u017ee Ukrajina nebude schopn\u00e1 spl\u00e1cet sv\u016fj dluh, jsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni nejen bank\u00e9\u0159i (Fitch \u2013 CC), kte\u0159\u00ed varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed p\u016fj\u010dkami Ukrajin\u011b, ale i MMF se s\u00eddlem ve Washingtonu. Ten pov\u011b\u0159il sv\u00e9ho experta Gavina Graye, aby provedl ve dnech 11. a\u017e 22. listopadu inspekci Ukrajiny, a\u00a0pan Gray po ukon\u010den\u00ed inspek\u010dn\u00edch pohovor\u016f do Washingtonu ohl\u00e1sil<\/a>:\u00a0V\u00e1lka m\u00e1 nad\u00e1le zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a ekonomick\u00fd dopad na Ukrajinu. To zahrnuje zna\u010dnou smrt civilist\u016f, p\u0159es\u00eddlen\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etiny populace prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm migrace nebo vnit\u0159n\u00edho vys\u00eddlen\u00ed, a kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161kody na infrastruktu\u0159e a v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacit\u011b. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e1 aktivita se stabilizuje v roce 2023 s r\u016fstem na \u00farovni 1 procenta podle z\u00e1kladn\u00edho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e po leto\u0161n\u00edm poklesu o 33 procent.\u00a0O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee inflace z\u016fstane v pr\u016fm\u011bru zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 kolem 25 procent.\u00a0<\/em>S pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lkou bude Ukrajina i nad\u00e1le vy\u017eadovat zna\u010dn\u00e9 vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed, aby zajistila dostate\u010dn\u00e9 zdroje pro z\u00e1kladn\u00ed funkce st\u00e1tu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zachovala ekonomickou stabilitu<\/em>.<\/p>\n

25. \u0159\u00edjna leto\u0161n\u00edho roku, \u0161\u00e9fka MMF<\/a>,\u00a0Kristalina Georgieva<\/a>, (mimochodem prosazen\u00e1 S\u00f6rosem), ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee Ukrajina bude pot\u0159ebovat 5 miliard USD m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b po cel\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 MMF klasifikuje ve sv\u00fdch dokumentech jako\u00a0recovery phase. Recovery phase\u00a0<\/em>je p\u0159itom MMF klasifikovan\u00e1 jako obdob\u00ed trvaj\u00edc\u00ed 2 a\u017e 5 let. (Zde.Str.6<\/a>) P\u0159i\u010dem\u017e z kontextu jej\u00edho proslovu ze 25. \u0159\u00edjna leto\u0161n\u00edho roku vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee\u00a0recovery phase<\/em>\u00a0nast\u00e1v\u00e1, a\u017e po ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, a nebo po jej\u00edm zakonzervov\u00e1n\u00ed do latentn\u00edho stavu jako v letech 2015-2020.<\/p>\n

479 miliard USD (12 bilion\u016f CZK, 170% cel\u00e9ho HDP \u010ceska za rok 2021, 240% HDP Ukrajiny 2021! 2,7% HDP cel\u00e9 EU)\u00a0bude podle Kristaliny Georgievov\u00e9 pot\u0159ebovat Ukrajina na svou pov\u00e1le\u010dnou rekonstrukci!<\/a>\u00a0Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed. Cel\u00fd Marshall\u016fv pl\u00e1n pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 rekonstrukce\u00a0Evropy realizovan\u00fd v letech 1948-52 m\u011bl hodnotu<\/a>\u00a013,3 miliardy USD,\u00a0tedy pouh\u00e9 1,2% HDP USA v letech 48-52<\/a>! Z t\u011bchto \u010d\u00edsel je naprosto jasn\u00e9, \u017ee nen\u00ed v sil\u00e1ch sou\u010dasn\u00e9 EU, ani USA, kter\u00e9 se pot\u00e1c\u00ed v krizi zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 politikou Green Deal, a jen s obt\u00ed\u017eemi jejich ekonomiky konkuruj\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu vzestupu, aby sumu 479 miliard USD Ukrajin\u011b poskytly, bez toho, aby do\u0161lo k masov\u00e9mu zb\u00edda\u010den\u00ed obyvatel EU i USA. T\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161, \u017ee k t\u00e9to sum\u011b je t\u0159eba zapo\u010d\u00edtat ji\u017e vy\u010dlen\u011bn\u00e9 prost\u0159edky za leto\u0161n\u00ed rok, kter\u00e9 dosahuj\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b 50 miliard USD a EUR.<\/p>\n

Na z\u00e1v\u011br listopadov\u00e9 inspekce na Ukrajin\u011b MMF na\u0159\u00eddil Ukrajin\u011b dv\u011b z\u00e1kladn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 zv\u00fd\u0161it v\u00fdb\u011br dan\u00ed na p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dnou \u00farove\u0148 a zv\u00fd\u0161it \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby z dom\u00e1c\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch operac\u00ed. Tento tlak bank\u00e9\u0159\u016f na Ukrajinu, aby vy\u017ed\u00edmala ze sv\u00fdch obyvatel ka\u017edou h\u0159ivnu, kterou je\u0161t\u011b maj\u00ed, vytvo\u0159\u00ed brzy situaci, kdy si budou moci Ukrajinci vybrat \u017eivot v b\u00edd\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b, a nebo slu\u0161n\u00fd \u017eivot v Evrop\u011b. Ukrajina tak p\u0159ijde o\u00a0 miliony obyvatel v produktivn\u00edm v\u011bku, a zbytek populace nebude schopen vytvo\u0159it ani p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 HDP 200 miliard dolar\u016f. T\u00edm se Ukrajina dostane na \u00farove\u0148 300% zadlu\u017een\u00ed v pom\u011bru k HDP, a nutn\u011b zkrachuje. EU a USA nezbude, ne\u017e p\u0159evz\u00edt dluhy Ukrajiny a zaplatit je, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1 drastick\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b v USA i EU, inflaci a dal\u0161\u00ed Drahotu.<\/p>\n

Tento pohyb Ukrajinc\u016f na v\u00fdchod, vyvol\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u00fd nedostatek byt\u016f a pracovn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed v \u010cesku i na Slovensku, kter\u00fd bude nav\u00edc kulminovat v dob\u011b kulminace energetick\u00e9 krize a krize zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 ztr\u00e1tou obchodn\u00edch trh\u016f EU v Africe, Americe i Asii ve prosp\u011bch USA a hlavn\u011b \u010c\u00edny. Celou b\u00eddu nav\u00edc umocn\u00ed politika Green Deal, kter\u00e1 pot\u0159ebuje je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed investice, ne\u017e rekonstrukce Ukrajiny. Dal\u0161\u00ed pen\u00edze ze soci\u00e1ln\u00edch transfer\u016f ve prosp\u011bch chud\u00fdch obyvatel EU sebere i rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 zbrojn\u00ed v\u00fdroba, kter\u00e1 se chyst\u00e1. Dojde tak z\u0159ejm\u011b k soci\u00e1ln\u00edm bou\u0159\u00edm, dramatick\u00e9mu poklesu porodnosti, a v \u0159ad\u011b z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed z\u0159ejm\u011b i k n\u00e1rodnostn\u00edm a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdm t\u0159enic\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1dy \u010ceska I Slovenska by si tak m\u011bli uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee jedin\u011b v\u010dasn\u00fd m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b, a p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e1 azylov\u00e1 politika, jsou jedinou mo\u017enou cestou ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9 krize.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cesk\u00e1 republika bude ru\u010dit majetkem za Ukrajinsk\u00fd dluh soukrom\u00fdm bank\u00e1m, a bude po dobu n\u011bkolika…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9668,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1181,26,99,4025],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19668"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19668"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19668\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9668"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}