{"id":19579,"date":"2022-12-13T01:03:00","date_gmt":"2022-12-13T00:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=19579"},"modified":"2022-12-12T15:50:39","modified_gmt":"2022-12-12T14:50:39","slug":"putin-neblafuje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/12\/13\/putin-neblafuje\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin neblafuje"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b byla v posledn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zastavena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale tato pauza se ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci, proto\u017ee Rusko p\u0159ipravuje sv\u016fj dal\u0161\u00ed krok.\u00a0Dnes se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na to, co bude d\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n

A tady je vod\u00edtko: Mohli bychom se dostat do velmi nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1ze.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za prv\u00e9, situaci na Ukrajin\u011b lze nejl\u00e9pe ch\u00e1pat jako sout\u011b\u017e mezi reprezentac\u00ed a realitou.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z toho, co sly\u0161\u00edte z mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed, B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu, Pentagonu a ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch zdroj\u016f ve Spojen\u00e9m kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed, Francii, N\u011bmecku a \u00fast\u0159ed\u00ed EU a NATO v Bruselu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle zpr\u00e1vy ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly (AFU) odrazily rusk\u00e9 jednotky a znovu dobyly Cherson, kter\u00fd se strategicky nach\u00e1z\u00ed na \u0159ece Dn\u011bpr, hlavn\u00ed kyjevsk\u00e9 br\u00e1n\u011b do \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto z\u00e1loh se tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko je na \u00fastupu, rusk\u00e9 jednotky jsou demoralizovan\u00e9, Putinovi hroz\u00ed nahrazen\u00ed a \u00fapln\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ukrajiny je jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh je pak pou\u017eit jako z\u00e1klad pro zv\u00fd\u0161enou finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoc USA (p\u0159es 60 miliard dolar\u016f a st\u00e1le v\u00edce) a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed \u010dleny NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Narativ vs. realita<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Jak jsem v\u0161ak ned\u00e1vno vysv\u011btlil, situace na boji\u0161ti na Ukrajin\u011b je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zcela v rozporu se z\u00e1padn\u00edm vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e je pravda, \u017ee Ukrajina ned\u00e1vno postupovala na v\u00fdchod, byla proti lehce br\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm pozic\u00edm na otev\u0159en\u00e9m ter\u00e9nu nebo v jeho bl\u00edzkosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

O ukrajinsk\u00e9m znovuz\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed Chersonu se toho psalo hodn\u011b, ale Rusko pova\u017eovalo toto m\u011bsto za m\u00e1lo strategick\u00e9.\u00a0M\u00edsto pl\u00fdtv\u00e1n\u00ed zdroji bojem o m\u011bsto ustoupil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusov\u00e9 tak\u00e9 postoupili Ukrajinc\u016fm otev\u0159enou zemi, kter\u00e1 se pozd\u011bji stala boji\u0161t\u011bm rusk\u00e9ho d\u011blost\u0159electva.\u00a0Toto je realita, kterou v\u00e1m nikdo ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Slovy vyslou\u017eil\u00e9ho plukovn\u00edka americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy Douglase Macgregora:<\/span><\/p>\n

Bidenova administrativa se v demokratick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti opakovan\u011b dopou\u0161t\u00ed neodpustiteln\u00e9ho h\u0159\u00edchu skr\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed pravdy p\u0159ed americk\u00fdm lidem: Na rozd\u00edl od vyobrazen\u00ed \u201eukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9ho v z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch, kter\u00e1 blokuj\u00ed jakoukoli informaci, kter\u00e1 mu odporuje, tuto v\u00e1lku vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 Ukrajina. ne a ne to vyhr\u00e1t.\u00a0M\u011bs\u00edce t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t v d\u016fsledku nekone\u010dn\u00e9 s\u00e9rie nesmysln\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na ruskou obranu na jihu Ukrajiny nebezpe\u010dn\u011b oslabily ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Rusko se p\u0159ipravuje spustit kladivo<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm se Rusko p\u0159ipravuje na masivn\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mobilizace 300 000 mu\u017e\u016f byla dokon\u010dena a v\u00edce ne\u017e 180 000 t\u011bchto voj\u00e1k\u016f je nyn\u00ed um\u00edst\u011bno v bojov\u00fdch formac\u00edch za rusk\u00fdmi liniemi.\u00a0Zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch 120 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f doraz\u00ed zanedlouho.\u00a0To zvy\u0161uje celkovou ruskou s\u00edlu na asi 30 diviz\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Znovu, plukovn\u00edk Macgregor:<\/span><\/p>\n

Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e1 f\u00e1ze konfliktu poskytne pohled na vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly a jejich budouc\u00ed schopnosti… Po\u010det voj\u00e1k\u016f st\u00e1le roste, ale ji\u017e nyn\u00ed zahrnuj\u00ed 1000 raketov\u00fdch d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, tis\u00edce taktick\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el, \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el a drony a 5 000 bojov\u00fdch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, v\u010detn\u011b nejm\u00e9n\u011b 1 500 tank\u016f, stovky pilotovan\u00fdch letadel s pevn\u00fdmi k\u0159\u00eddly, vrtuln\u00edky a bombard\u00e9ry.\u00a0Tyto nov\u00e9 s\u00edly maj\u00ed s ruskou arm\u00e1dou, kter\u00e1 vstoupila do konfliktu p\u0159ed dev\u00edti m\u011bs\u00edci, 24. \u00fanora 2022, pram\u00e1lo spole\u010dn\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Po\u010det voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b se mezit\u00edm kv\u016fli vysok\u00fdm ob\u011btem a p\u0159epracovanosti prudce zmen\u0161il.<\/span><\/p>\n

No a co?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud by byla nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed protiofenz\u00edva \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1, Rusko by z\u00edskalo kontrolu nad cel\u00fdm pob\u0159e\u017e\u00edm od Azovsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a\u017e po \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e.\u00a0Rusko by nav\u00edc z\u00edskalo kontrolu nad \u0159ekou Dn\u011bpr, kter\u00e1 odd\u011bluje z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st Ukrajiny od v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a spojuje Kyjev s \u010cern\u00fdm mo\u0159em.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina by z\u016fstala jako zbyte\u010dn\u00fd st\u00e1t mezi Kyjevem a Lvovem.\u00a0T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 a technologick\u00e9 kapacity b\u00fdval\u00e9 Ukrajiny, stejn\u011b jako p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed zdroje, by byly pod kontrolou Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zda se to v\u0161e poda\u0159\u00ed, se teprve uvid\u00ed.\u00a0Ale ur\u010dit\u011b to p\u0159ijde a situace bude je\u0161t\u011b n\u00e1siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a chaoti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka: st\u00e1ly by USA a sledovaly, jak Rusko vojensky poraz\u00ed Ukrajinu?\u00a0Budou se anga\u017eovat p\u0159\u00edmo zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd by mohl riskovat skute\u010dn\u00fd konflikt s Ruskem?<\/span><\/p>\n

Koneckonc\u016f, USA v podstat\u011b vedou z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku proti Rusku.\u00a0Pro USA je Ukrajina jen prost\u0159edkem k dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edle.\u00a0USA vynalo\u017eily zna\u010dn\u00e9 prost\u0159edky na por\u00e1\u017eku Ruska a rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed by d\u00e1le nahlodalo d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost USA ve sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed eskalace je tedy velk\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed riziko jadern\u00e9 konfrontace od kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V z\u00e1vislosti na tom, jak se ud\u00e1losti vyvinou, m\u016f\u017ee sv\u011bt \u010delit nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozb\u011b jadern\u00e9 konfrontace od kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize.\u00a0Omezen\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je re\u00e1lnou mo\u017enost\u00ed v nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 budoucnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d to \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m?<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 elity zah\u00e1jily psychologick\u00e9 operace (psyops) zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na Putina s pou\u017eit\u00edm jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed jako n\u00e1vnady.\u00a0Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Putin vyhro\u017eoval pou\u017eit\u00edm taktick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b a mo\u017en\u00e1 i v dal\u0161\u00edch \u010d\u00e1stech v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropy.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je le\u017e;\u00a0Putin to nikdy ne\u0159ekl.\u00a0Na dotaz Putin i premi\u00e9r Dmitrij Medved\u011bv uvedli, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fatoku by se Rusko br\u00e1nilo v\u0161emi nezbytn\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, v\u010detn\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9ho pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.\u00a0To nen\u00ed nic nov\u00e9ho.\u00a0To byla od po\u010d\u00e1tku 50. let rusk\u00e1, konkr\u00e9tn\u011bji sov\u011btsk\u00e1 politika.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato le\u017e o Putinov\u00fdch z\u00e1m\u011brech se rychle stala dal\u0161\u00edm psychopatem o operaci \u201epod fale\u0161nou vlajkou\u201c.\u00a0To zahrnuje zinscenov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fatoku maskovan\u00e9ho tak, aby vypadal jako nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd \u00fatok, abyste ospravedlnili \u201eodvetn\u00fd \u00fader\u201c, kter\u00fd jste celou dobu pl\u00e1novali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, \u201e\u0161pinav\u00e9 bomby\u201c a fale\u0161n\u00e9 vlajky<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00ed dob\u011b se narativ, \u017ee Putin pou\u017eije jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b nebo provede operaci pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou, p\u0159etavil v podobn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh: Putin by pou\u017eil \u201e\u0161pinavou bombu\u201c.\u00a0Putin by skute\u010dn\u011b odp\u00e1lil \u0161pinavou bombu a pak by obvinil Ukrajince a Ameri\u010dany.\u00a0\u0160pinav\u00e1 bomba nen\u00ed jadern\u00e1 zbra\u0148, ale pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 radioaktivn\u00ed materi\u00e1l zabalen\u00fd v konven\u010dn\u00edch v\u00fdbu\u0161nin\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159i detonaci je radioaktivn\u00ed materi\u00e1l rozpt\u00fdlen a m\u016f\u017ee otr\u00e1vit nebo zab\u00edt bl\u00edzk\u00e9 lidi a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 zv\u00ed\u0159ata.\u00a0To je srovnateln\u00e9 s t\u00edm, co se stalo v \u010cernobylu v roce 1986.\u00a0Roztaven\u00ed v tom jadern\u00e9m reaktoru byla nehoda, ne bomba.\u00a0Ale \u00fa\u010dinky \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed radioaktivn\u00edho materi\u00e1lu byly podobn\u00e9 jako u \u0161pinav\u00e9 bomby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusov\u00e9 nebyli \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed tro\u0161ka\u0159i, kontrovali tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee USA nebo Ukrajina odp\u00e1l\u00ed \u0161pinavou bombu pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou a pak obvin\u00ed Rusy z eskalace z\u00e1padn\u00ed anga\u017eovanosti na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b ob\u011b strany varuj\u00ed, \u017ee druh\u00e1 strana odp\u00e1l\u00ed \u0161pinavou bombu pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou, aby ospravedlnila svou vlastn\u00ed p\u0159edem pl\u00e1novanou eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud by \u0161pinav\u00e1 bomba skute\u010dn\u011b vybuchla, bude ka\u017ed\u00e1 strana obvi\u0148ovat druhou a pravda bude ob\u011bt\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Putin neblafuje<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

T\u011b\u017eko \u0159\u00edct, co bude d\u00e1l.\u00a0Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Rusko pou\u017eije taktickou jadernou zbra\u0148.\u00a0Rusko by mohlo odp\u00e1lit \u0161pinavou bombu a svalit vinu na Ukrajinu.\u00a0USA by mohly nasadit taktickou jadernou zbra\u0148, pokud budou m\u00edt podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee se to Rusko chyst\u00e1 ud\u011blat \u2013 p\u0159\u00edklad v\u00fdhody prvn\u00edho \u00faderu.\u00a0USA by mohly odp\u00e1lit \u0161pinavou bombu a obvinit Rusko v klasick\u00e9 operaci pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bez ohledu na to nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011bt, \u017ee sm\u011b\u0159ujeme k jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00edme tak\u00e9, \u017ee Putin neblafuje.\u00a0Kdy\u017e George W. Bush nastolil ot\u00e1zku vstupu Ukrajiny do NATO, Putin napadl Gruzii.\u00a0Kdy\u017e Obama provedl v Kyjev\u011b pu\u010d proti prorusk\u00e9mu prezidentovi, Putin anektoval Krym.\u00a0Kdy\u017e dal Biden zelenou k ukrajinsk\u00e9mu \u00fatoku na Donbas, Putin napadl Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

I zde plat\u00ed: Putin neblafuje.\u00a0Bylo by velkou chybou v\u011b\u0159it opaku.\u00a0Kr\u00e1\u010d\u00edme po cest\u011b, kter\u00e1 by potenci\u00e1ln\u011b mohla v\u00e9st k Armagedonu.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b byla v posledn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zastavena. Ale tato pauza se ch\u00fdl\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18128,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[102,26,40,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19579"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19579"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19579\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19579"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19579"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}