{"id":19397,"date":"2022-12-09T01:09:06","date_gmt":"2022-12-09T00:09:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=19397"},"modified":"2022-12-08T17:28:43","modified_gmt":"2022-12-08T16:28:43","slug":"putin-ma-zasoby-munice-na-valku-do-roku-2026-zapadni-media-se-opajeji-marnou-vizi-ze-rusku-dojde-munice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/12\/09\/putin-ma-zasoby-munice-na-valku-do-roku-2026-zapadni-media-se-opajeji-marnou-vizi-ze-rusku-dojde-munice\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin m\u00e1 z\u00e1soby munice na v\u00e1lku do roku 2026. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia se op\u00e1jej\u00ed marnou viz\u00ed, \u017ee Rusku dojde munice."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>V \u010cesk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch se za\u010daly<a href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/valka-na-ukrajine-rusku-dochazi-delostrelecka-munice-tajne-ji-dovazi-z-kldr-40413418\">\u00a0objevovat zaru\u010den\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee Rus\u016fm doch\u00e1z\u00ed munice<\/a>, a \u017ee Ukrajina d\u00edky z\u00e1silk\u00e1m munice ze zem\u00ed NATO,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/valka-na-ukrajine-rusove-ztraceji-svou-jedinou-efektivni-prevahu-dochazi-jim-munice-40416254\">brzy Rusy poraz\u00ed<\/a>. V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze se proto pod\u00edv\u00e1me, jak na tom Rusko s munic\u00ed ve skute\u010dnosti je.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/jamestown.org\/program\/ukrainian-strikes-cause-moscow-to-re-think-munitions-supply-and-logistics-part-two\/\">Rusko m\u00e1 na Ukrajin\u011b nasazeno na front\u011b 2600 d\u011bl a raketomet\u016f r\u00e1\u017ee nad 122 mm<\/a>, a Ukrajinci tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee na n\u011b Rusov\u00e9 vyp\u00e1l\u00ed 60 tis\u00edc ran denn\u011b, kde\u017eto Ukrajinci na Rusy jen 6 tis\u00edc. Vzhledem ke zn\u00e1m\u00e9mu po\u010dtu rusk\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f na boji\u0161ti\u00a0 (d\u011bla: 400 kus\u016f 122mm, 1200 kus\u016f 155mm, 33 kus\u016f 203mm, raketomety: Grad 800, Uragan 133, Torn\u00e1do 66), kter\u00fd pomoc\u00ed satelit\u016f spo\u010d\u00edtala CIA p\u0159edstavuje celkov\u00e1 v\u00e1ha ve\u0161ker\u00e9 ka\u017edodenn\u011b vyp\u00e1len\u00e9 munice 4 900 tun denn\u011b p\u0159i 20 ran\u00e1ch na ka\u017edou hlave\u0148. Celkem 67 580 za den. A to p\u0159edstavuje ro\u010dn\u00ed spot\u0159ebu Ruska 1 788 782 tun munice!<\/p>\n<p>Rusk\u00e9 \u00fadaje o z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice jsou od roku 2014 ( od obsazen\u00ed Krymu) tajn\u00e9.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/arsenal-otechestva.ru\/article\/157-hranenie-i-utilizaciya-boepripasov\">P\u0159edt\u00edm bylo ov\u0161em zve\u0159ejn\u011bno<\/a>, \u017ee v roce 2012 m\u011bla rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ve skladech 2 miliony tun d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice, kter\u00e1 byla nov\u00e1 a nem\u011bla pro\u0161lou \u017eivotnost. \u017de v letech 2010-2014 Rusko zlikvidovalo 8 milion\u016f tun star\u00e9 munice po SSSR. A \u017ee Rusko objednalo v roce 2013 sto tis\u00edc tun d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice za 4,5 miliardy rubl\u016f.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/jamestown.org\/program\/russia-struggles-to-maintain-munition-stocks-part-one\/\">Z \u00fadaj\u016f zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fdch v roce 2016 se v\u00ed, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdrobci rusk\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 a raketometn\u00e9 munice utr\u017eily v roce 2016 celkem 48,5 miliardy rubl\u016f<\/a>, a to tedy odpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159i zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed indexu inflace a indexu specifick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu cen zbran\u00ed vyroben\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9\u00a0 munice za 36 miliard rubl\u016f v cen\u00e1ch roku 2013, tedy v\u00fdrob\u011b a\u017e 800 tis\u00edc tun munice v roce 2016. \u010c\u00e1st z t\u011bchto tr\u017eeb za munici byla ur\u010dit\u011b za munici ur\u010denou na export, na munici pou\u017eitou ve v\u00e1lce v S\u00fdrii, a zejm\u00e9na na v\u00fdvoj a v\u00fdrobu drah\u00e9 p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 munice. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b z tr\u017eeb muni\u010dn\u00edch z\u00e1vod\u016f v Tule a \u010celjabinsku za rok 2016 jasn\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko je schopno vyr\u00e1b\u011bt asi 300 tis\u00edc tun d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice v m\u00edrov\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>Rusk\u00e1 spot\u0159eba munice, o kterou se op\u00edraj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u00fdpo\u010dty dokazuj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee Rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b brzy dojde munice je evidentn\u011b chybn\u00e1.<a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.cz\/books?id=8urEDgAAQBAJ&amp;pg=PA392&amp;lpg=PA392&amp;dq=Allies+was+11+million+tons+of+artillery+ammunition.&amp;source=bl&amp;ots=MyZFAphuPA&amp;sig=ACfU3U0bFpPm7K9SGvFJ_PQs9_Tl4c2nwA&amp;hl=en&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjew-u41ej7AhV7QPEDHUf5C_AQ6AF6BAgjEAM#v=onepage&amp;q=Allies%20was%2011%20million%20tons%20of%20artillery%20ammunition.&amp;f=false\">\u00a0Za prv\u00e9: Cel\u00e1 britsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da vyst\u0159\u00edlela za 1. sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky 5 milion\u016f tun d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice<\/a>\u00a0(1914-1918), ov\u0161em ze zhruba 20 tis\u00edci d\u011bl. Spot\u0159eba cel\u00e9 britsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy tak \u010dinila 1,25 milionu tun ro\u010dn\u011b, ov\u0161em p\u0159i nasazen\u00ed 3 milion\u016f voj\u00e1k\u016f na front\u00e1ch ve Francii a Turecku, z nich\u017e 750 tis\u00edc bylo d\u011blost\u0159elc\u016f! Za druh\u00e9: Rusko-Ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt je zna\u010dn\u011b men\u0161\u00edho rozsahu a v\u00fdpo\u010dty zalo\u017een\u00e9\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nv.ua\/ukr\/ukraine\/events\/skilki-ukrajina-otrimala-ozbroyennya-vid-zahodu-50249835.html\">na ukrajinsk\u00fdch tvrzen\u00edch o 60 tis\u00edc\u00edch vyst\u0159elen\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch gran\u00e1tech denn\u011b jsou dal\u0161\u00ed kyjevskou propagandou<\/a>, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 za c\u00edl, z\u00edskat pro Ukrajinu zbran\u011b a munici.<\/p>\n<p>Mnohem p\u0159esn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed odhad spot\u0159eby munice r\u00e1\u017ee 152\/155 mm na Ukrajinsk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti zve\u0159ejnila britsk\u00e1 rozv\u011bdka (RUSI).\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ik.imagekit.io\/po8th4g4eqj\/prod\/special-report-202207-ukraine-final-web.pdf\">Podle tohoto odhadu Rusov\u00e9 vyst\u0159el\u00ed 20 000 ran 152 mm denn\u011b a Ukrajinci 6000 ran 152\/155mm<\/a>. (Viz. Str.6) Rusk\u00e1 spot\u0159eba se podle tohoto odhadu RUSI sn\u00ed\u017eila na pouh\u00fdch 62,5% spot\u0159eby munice, kterou Z\u00e1padu hl\u00e1sil Kyjev. A Rusko tak spot\u0159ebuje za rok u\u017e jen 1 117 988 tun munice. Jeliko\u017e m\u00edrov\u00e1 produkce rusk\u00e9 munice je zhruba 300 tis\u00edc tun, bude v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 nejm\u00e9n\u011b 600 tis\u00edc tun. Jeliko\u017e m\u011blo Rusko p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou uskladn\u011bno nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2 miliony tun munice, je p\u0159i spot\u0159eb\u011b 1,1 milionu tun ro\u010dn\u011b a v\u00fdrob\u011b 0,6 milionu tun munice schopno v\u00e1l\u010dit v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 intenzit\u011b 4 roky! Tedy do 24, \u00fanora 2026!<\/p>\n<p>Nav\u00edc Rusko dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed munici ze Severn\u00ed Koreje, z Ir\u00e1nu, i z B\u011bloruska. Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jde o r\u00e1\u017ei 122 mm, kter\u00e1 se v Rusku u\u017e nevyr\u00e1b\u011bla, a d\u011bla m\u011bla b\u00fdt vy\u0159azena.<\/p>\n<p>Nebude to tedy Rusko komu dojde munice, ale nebudou to ani USA, NATO a Ukrajina. Rusko st\u0159\u00edl\u00ed denn\u011b 20 tis\u00edc ran r\u00e1\u017ee 152 mm, a to p\u0159edstavuje ro\u010dn\u00ed spot\u0159ebu 7 300 000 gran\u00e1t\u016f. USA byly schopny dodat Ukrajin\u011b do listopadu 2022 jen 1 milion gran\u00e1t\u016f 155 mm, a u\u017e hl\u00e1s\u00ed, \u017ee maj\u00ed pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 sklady a (zat\u00edm) nest\u00edhaj\u00ed vyr\u00e1b\u011bt. Ukrajina podle RUSI st\u0159\u00edl\u00ed 6000 gran\u00e1t\u016f denn\u011b, a na to pot\u0159ebuje 2 190 000 gran\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.grid.news\/story\/global\/2022\/11\/29\/ukraine-has-an-insatiable-need-for-ammunition-but-the-us-doesnt-have-an-endless-supply\/\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee nen\u00ed schopna, d\u00edky rusk\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm na elektrickou s\u00ed\u0165 a tov\u00e1rny munici vyr\u00e1b\u011bt, je odk\u00e1zan\u00e1 na dod\u00e1vky z NATO. To m\u00e1 ale u\u017e pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 sklady, a v\u00fdrobu teprve rozj\u00ed\u017ed\u00ed<\/a>. US nyn\u00ed, po letn\u00edm rozjezdu v\u00fdroby,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/swodki\/200216\">vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed u\u017e s ro\u010dn\u00ed kapacitou 5 100 000 gran\u00e1t\u016f 155mm<\/a>, od jara 2023 maj\u00ed vyr\u00e1b\u011bt 7 300 000, a v roce 2025 dos\u00e1hnout v\u00fdroby celkem 14 600 000 gran\u00e1t\u016f 155mm ro\u010dn\u011b. Je tedy jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Pentagon m\u00edr nepl\u00e1nuje! Jen v\u00fdroba US-gran\u00e1t\u016f 155mm bude v roce 2025 st\u00e1t 44 miliard USD (1 bilion korun, polovinu st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu \u010ceska!). P\u0159ipravte si pen\u011b\u017eenky, v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b bude po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b drah\u00e1!<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1v\u011br na\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdzy tak dopad\u00e1 p\u0159esn\u011b obr\u00e1cen\u011b \u2013 Rusku munice nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed, doch\u00e1z\u00ed munice Ukrajin\u011b. N\u00e1\u010deln\u00edci a politici NATO by se tak m\u011bli p\u0159estat op\u00e1jet vizemi snadn\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad Ruskem, a za\u010d\u00edt p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let, zda se v\u016fbec vyplat\u00ed po sob\u011b st\u0159\u00edlet \u2013<a href=\"https:\/\/mezha.media\/en\/2022\/08\/02\/the-next-aid-package-from-the-united-states-has-been-announced\/\">\u00a0jeden US gran\u00e1t 155 mm stoj\u00ed 2000 USD<\/a>, jeden Rusk\u00fd gran\u00e1t 152mm stoj\u00ed 796 USD. Celkem Ukrajina vyp\u00e1l\u00ed letos na Rusy z d\u011bl 152\/155 mm 4,4 miliardy USD, a Rusov\u00e9 na Ukrajince z d\u011bl 152mm 5,9 miliardy USD. Pokud jen ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00fd vyst\u0159elen\u00fd gran\u00e1t r\u00e1\u017e\u00ed 155\/152 mm zabije \u2013 zem\u0159e dohromady 94 900 voj\u00e1k\u016f. A ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00fd gran\u00e1t zabije, takov\u00e9 jsou historick\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti. Op\u011bt se tak potvrdilo, co jsme u\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1te tvrdili \u2013 budou statis\u00edce padl\u00fdch!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/map-1532-putin-ma-zasoby-munice-na-valku-do-roku-2026-zapadni-media-se-opajeji-marnou-vizi-ze-rusku-dojde-munice\/\">Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-19187 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"144\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO-300x36.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1-PRO.jpg 699w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V \u010cesk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch se za\u010daly\u00a0objevovat zaru\u010den\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee Rus\u016fm doch\u00e1z\u00ed munice, a \u017ee Ukrajina d\u00edky&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13477,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,29,2365,102],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19397"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19397"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19397\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13477"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19397"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19397"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19397"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}