{"id":18700,"date":"2022-11-24T05:33:36","date_gmt":"2022-11-24T04:33:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=18700"},"modified":"2022-11-24T05:33:36","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T04:33:36","slug":"putin-zuctuje-s-ukrajinou-neuprosna-data-ukazuji-ze-je-tesne-pred-dosazenim-sveho-cile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/11\/24\/putin-zuctuje-s-ukrajinou-neuprosna-data-ukazuji-ze-je-tesne-pred-dosazenim-sveho-cile\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin z\u00fa\u010dtuje s Ukrajinou. Ne\u00faprosn\u00e1 data ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee je t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed dosa\u017een\u00edm sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle."},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Putinova strategie, kterou jsme u\u017e v l\u00e9t\u011b p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bli, se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke kritick\u00e9mu bodu.\u00a0V\u010dera 23. listopadu odp\u00e1lilo Rusko salvu raket na elektr\u00e1rny<\/a>, a Ukrajinu postihl masivn\u00ed v\u00fdpadek z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed elekt\u0159inou. Cel\u00e1 m\u011bsta i oblasti jsou bez elekt\u0159iny. Kl\u00ed\u010dem k pochopen\u00ed, \u010deho chce Putin sv\u00fdm bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm rozvod\u016f elekt\u0159iny dos\u00e1hnout,\u00a0jsou analytick\u00e1 data Ukrajinsk\u00e9 spot\u0159eby elekt\u0159iny<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Za posledn\u00ed roky m\u00edru Ukrajina spot\u0159ebovala v zim\u011b pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b 20 GWh elekt\u0159iny denn\u011b (od poloviny listopadu do konce b\u0159ezna), a po zbytek roku si vysta\u010dila se spot\u0159ebou ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 15 GWh. Rozd\u00edl 5 GWh denn\u00ed spot\u0159eby je d\u00e1n pot\u0159ebou zimn\u00edho vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed, a del\u0161\u00ed doby, kdy je nutno sv\u00edtit.<\/p>\n

Od leto\u0161n\u00edho 5. kv\u011btna je cel\u00e1 Ukrajina schopna produkovat maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 10 GWh elekt\u0159iny denn\u011b. A tato spot\u0159eba elekt\u0159iny byla trval\u00e1, a byla zp\u016fsobena odpojen\u00edm zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti pr\u016fmyslu.<\/p>\n

Pro leto\u0161n\u00ed zimn\u00ed obdob\u00ed (od poloviny listopadu do konce b\u0159ezna) pot\u0159ebuje Ukrajina generovat minim\u00e1ln\u011b 15 GWh elekt\u0159iny, ale m\u00edsto zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed produkce, je jej\u00ed distribuce rusk\u00fdmi \u00fatoky trvale sni\u017eov\u00e1na, a s ka\u017ed\u00fdm dal\u0161\u00edm \u00fatokem dojde ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed schopnosti Ukrajiny rozv\u00e1d\u011bt elekt\u0159inu do m\u011bst.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina je tak v zoufal\u00e9 situaci, a to p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1 u\u017e i starosta Kyjeva Kli\u010dko<\/a>. Proti \u00fader\u016fm rusk\u00fdch raket neexistuje obrana. Jak sama Ukrajina p\u0159iznala, u\u017e ztr\u00e1c\u00ed schopnost \u00fadery po\u0161kozen\u00e9 rozvody elekt\u0159iny opravovat.<\/p>\n

Putin je p\u0159ed t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed spln\u011bn\u00edm z\u00e1kladn\u00edho c\u00edle sv\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f \u2013 zastaven\u00ed cel\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, a zastaven\u00edm v\u0161eho \u017eivota ve m\u011bstech. Bez elekt\u0159iny nefunguj\u00ed, ani pek\u00e1rny, ani vod\u00e1rny, ani tepl\u00e1rny, ani \u010disti\u010dky odpadn\u00edch vod, a mohli bychom pokra\u010dovat. V zim\u011b jsou d\u016fsledky je\u0161t\u011b d\u011bsiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. P\u0159edstavte si jen, \u017ee jste star\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk, a \u017eijete v p\u00e1t\u00e9m pat\u0159e panelov\u00e9ho domu, ve kter\u00e9m nebude jezdit v\u00fdtah.<\/p>\n

Zelensk\u00fd sice chyst\u00e1 nouzov\u00e9 nap\u00e1jen\u00ed elektro-gener\u00e1tory, jen\u017ee to spot\u0159ebuje enormn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky ropn\u00fdch paliv, a vyrob\u00ed jen nepatrn\u00fd zlomek elekt\u0159iny. T\u00edm se daj\u00ed udr\u017eet v chodu maxim\u00e1ln\u011b nemocnice a policejn\u00ed stanice.<\/p>\n

\u017de je situace Kyjeva zoufal\u00e1,\u00a0sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dost polsk\u00e9ho ministra obrany Mariusze Blaszczaka<\/a>, kter\u00fd po\u017e\u00e1dal N\u011bmecko, aby protiraketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my Patriot, nerozm\u00edstilo v Polsku, ale p\u0159\u00edmo na Ukrajin\u011b! Syst\u00e9m Patriot ov\u0161em nen\u00ed schopen sest\u0159elovat rusk\u00e9 hypersonick\u00e9 rakety, a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b sv\u00e9ho rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, by se okam\u017eit\u011b stal ter\u010dem protiradarov\u00fdch st\u0159el Ruska.<\/p>\n

V \u010cesku analytik Mikuleck\u00fd, b\u00fdval\u00fd poradce ministra obrany,\u00a0p\u0159i\u0161el s \u0161\u00edlen\u00fdm n\u00e1padem z\u0159\u00eddit na Ukrajin\u011b bezletovou z\u00f3nu<\/a>. Rusk\u00e1 letadla ov\u0161em do hloubky ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed nel\u00e9taj\u00ed, ale z bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 vzd\u00e1lenosti na Ukrajinu odpaluj\u00ed sv\u00e9 d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 rakety. A dal\u0161\u00ed rakety na Ukrajinu p\u00e1l\u00ed lo\u010fstvo a pozemn\u00ed s\u00edly. Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na, by vlastn\u011b musela b\u00fdt bez-raketov\u00e1 z\u00f3na. A pro jej\u00ed z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, by se vojska NATO musela p\u0159em\u00edstit na Ukrajinu, aby ji mohla chr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed raketov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky. Sama by se t\u00edm ov\u0161em vystavila rusk\u00fdm raketov\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm v z\u00f3n\u011b v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho konfliktu a nebyla by ani schopna rusk\u00e1 letadla sest\u0159elovat, proto\u017ee ty nad Kyjev nel\u00e9taj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Putin by si p\u0159i p\u0159esunu NATO ke Kyjevu, zamnul ruce, proto\u017ee by mohl beztrestn\u011b raketami bombardovat vojska NATO rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00e1 u Kyjeva, a ta by mu nemohlo u\u0161kodit. NATO by pak nem\u011blo jinou volbu, ne\u017e s ostudou odt\u00e1hnout do bezpe\u010d\u00ed, a nebo p\u0159\u00edmo vstoupit do v\u00e1lky, a riskovat jadernou p\u0159est\u0159elku s Ruskem, p\u0159i kter\u00e9 by byla z\u0159ejm\u011b pro v\u00fdstrahu USA, aby se do toho nepletly, smetena cel\u00e1 St\u0159edn\u00ed Evropa.<\/p>\n

Pokud n\u011bkdo vym\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed takov\u00e9to \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, jak z\u0159\u00eddit na Ukrajin\u011b bezletovou z\u00f3nu, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee m\u00e1 strach, \u017ee se Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim\u00a0 pod Putinov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky leto\u0161n\u00ed zimu zhrout\u00ed. Je t\u0159eba za ka\u017edou cenu, zabr\u00e1nit eskalaci konfliktu, tak jak n\u011bkter\u00e9 hork\u00e9 hlavy pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed. Proto dr\u017eme m\u00edru \u0161ance.<\/p>\n

V\u0161ichni, kdo papou\u0161kuj\u00ed fr\u00e1zi, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b jsou lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e rusk\u00e9,\u00a0doporu\u010duji tento \u010dl\u00e1nek n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho Bildu<\/a>. Podle n\u011bj se u\u017e v\u0161echny n\u011bmeck\u00e9 obrn\u011bn\u00e9 super-houfnice, kter\u00e9 Ukrajina dostala, rozbily. Proto\u017ee Ukrajinci s nimi moc \u010dasto st\u0159\u00edleli. Obdobn\u011b pr\u00fd u\u017e dopadaj\u00ed i slavn\u00e9 raketomety HIMARS.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Putinova strategie, kterou jsme u\u017e v l\u00e9t\u011b p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bli, se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke kritick\u00e9mu bodu.\u00a0V\u010dera 23. listopadu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11214,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,102,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18700"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18700\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11214"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}