{"id":18447,"date":"2022-11-19T01:09:54","date_gmt":"2022-11-19T00:09:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=18447"},"modified":"2022-11-18T20:18:09","modified_gmt":"2022-11-18T19:18:09","slug":"zdenek-koudelka-cernochova-jako-hotzendorf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/11\/19\/zdenek-koudelka-cernochova-jako-hotzendorf\/","title":{"rendered":"Zden\u011bk Koudelka: \u010cernochov\u00e1 jako H\u00f6tzendorf"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Dopad ukrajinsk\u00e9 rakety v\u00a0Polsku uk\u00e1zal, jak jsou n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed politici ochotni zav\u00e9st zemi do v\u00e1lky. P\u0159ipomn\u011blo to za\u010d\u00e1tek prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.\u00a0V\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b 1914 se ocitla Evropa ve velk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, ani\u017e by to na ja\u0159e lid\u00e9 \u010dekali. To byl rozd\u00edl od za\u010d\u00e1tku druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 byla mnoh\u00fdmi o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1na v\u00a0d\u016fsledku postupn\u00fdch krok\u016f N\u011bmecka.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sarajevsk\u00fd atent\u00e1t byl mimo\u0159\u00e1dnou ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, ale bylo v\u00edce atent\u00e1t\u016f, ani\u017e vedly k\u00a0v\u00e1lce. To, \u017ee v\u00e1lka nastala, bylo d\u016fsledkem vyu\u017eit\u00ed atent\u00e1tu lidmi tou\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi dostat st\u00e1t do v\u00e1lky. V\u00a0jejich \u010dele st\u00e1l n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu c\u00edsa\u0159sk\u00e9 a\u00a0kr\u00e1lovsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy Franz Conrad von H\u00f6tzendorf, kter\u00fd dlouhodob\u011b po\u017eadoval preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti Srbsku. Zabit\u00ed n\u00e1sledn\u00edka tr\u016fnu p\u0159ijal jako z\u00e1minku k\u00a0v\u00e1lce. Proto v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 strana vyhrotila Srbsku dan\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edch\u00e1zelo v\u00e1lce, by\u0165 Srbsko z\u00a010 po\u017eadavk\u016f odm\u00edtlo jen jeden a\u00a0to mo\u017enost rakousko-uhersk\u00fdch org\u00e1n\u016f vy\u0161et\u0159ovat \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edky atent\u00e1tu na srbsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. V\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 strana prezentovala atent\u00e1t jako nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd akt srbsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. Av\u0161ak Srbsko v\u00e1lku s\u00a0Rakouskem necht\u011blo, za atent\u00e1tem nest\u00e1la srbsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da a\u00a0srbsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Nikola Pa\u0161i\u0107 se sna\u017eil atent\u00e1tu zabr\u00e1nit, kdy\u017e se dozv\u011bd\u011bl o\u00a0jeho p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b srbskou organizac\u00ed \u010cern\u00e1 ruka. Nakonec za Pa\u0161i\u0107ovy vl\u00e1dy byl v\u00a0roce 1917 popraven p\u0159edstavitel srbsk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby Dragutin Dimitrijevi\u0107 zapleten\u00fd do p\u0159\u00edpravy atent\u00e1tu (roku 1953 jej rehabilitovala komunistick\u00e1 jugosl\u00e1vsk\u00e1 justice).<\/p>\n<p>Zaslepenost H\u00f6tzendorfa vedla k\u00a0v\u00e1lce, kter\u00e1 zni\u010dila rakouskou v\u00e1le\u010dnickou kliku, monarchii a\u00a0znamenala i\u00a0profesn\u00ed p\u00e1d samotn\u00e9ho H\u00f6tzendorfa. Podm\u00ednkou v\u00e1lky v\u0161ak bylo, \u017ee v\u00e1le\u010dnick\u00e1 strana v\u00a0Rakousku na\u0161la podporovatele v\u00a0siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm spojenci N\u011bmecku, kde c\u00edsa\u0159 Vil\u00e9m II. v\u00a0touze po\u00a0sv\u011btovl\u00e1d\u011b rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem rakousk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161tv\u00e1\u010de podpo\u0159il.<\/p>\n<p>Tyto ud\u00e1losti lze porovnat s\u00a0rykem po\u00a0v\u00e1lce, kter\u00fd od na\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnick\u00e9 strany zazn\u011bl po\u00a0\u00fadajn\u00e9m rusk\u00e9m \u00fatoku na Polsko. Pra\u017esk\u00fdm H\u00f6tzendorfem se stala ministryn\u011b obrany Jana \u010cernochov\u00e1, kv\u016fli n\u00ed\u017e by se m\u011bla funkce p\u0159ejmenovat na ministryni v\u00e1lky. \u010cernochov\u00e1 zve\u0159ejnila le\u017e o\u00a0tom, \u017ee Rusko za\u00fato\u010dilo na Polsko. \u010cernochov\u00e1 na twitteru 15.\u00a011.\u00a02022, 21.15\u00a0h uvedla, \u017ee je prok\u00e1zan\u00fd dopad rusk\u00fdch raket na polsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a\u00a0\u017ee to nesm\u00ed z\u016fstat bez odezvy. Ov\u0161em raketu vyp\u00e1lila Ukrajina. To, \u017ee \u010dlenov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy l\u017eou, nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9. Nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 je, \u017ee l\u017eou i\u00a0za cenu zata\u017een\u00ed st\u00e1tu do v\u00e1lky. O\u00a0\u00fatoku na Rusko na\u0161e vl\u00e1da nerozhoduje, to by musely posv\u011btit USA. A\u00a0zde Joseph Biden odm\u00edtl sehr\u00e1t roli Vil\u00e9ma II. Naopak pop\u0159el zpr\u00e1vu o\u00a0tom, \u017ee raketu vyp\u00e1lilo Rusko, a\u00a0uvedl, \u017ee ji vyp\u00e1lila Ukrajina. Pokud Polsko bude cht\u00edt od\u0161kodn\u011bn\u00ed, na kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo, mus\u00ed jej cht\u00edt po\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159i v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m konfliktu nelze vylou\u010dit, \u017ee bude zasa\u017eeno i\u00a0\u00fazem\u00ed t\u0159et\u00edho st\u00e1tu \u010di\u00a0c\u00edl chr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fd mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vem. NATO se p\u0159i\u00a0v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m \u00fatoku na Jugosl\u00e1vii na ja\u0159e 1999 poda\u0159ilo zas\u00e1hnout raketou d\u016fm v\u00a0bulharsk\u00e9 Sofii a\u00a0vybombardovat \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 velvyslanectv\u00ed v\u00a0B\u011blehrad\u011b. Byla to jeho chyba, ale Bulharsko, ani \u010c\u00edna nereagovaly recipro\u010dn\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm \u00fatokem. Je nutn\u00e9 odli\u0161it \u00famysln\u00fd \u00fatok od ne\u00famysln\u00e9 chyby, kter\u00e9 se m\u016f\u017ee dopustit ka\u017ed\u00e1 bojuj\u00edc\u00ed strana. Kv\u016fli chyb\u011b nerozto\u010d\u00edme po\u017e\u00e1r t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n<p>Le\u017e je politick\u00fd n\u00e1stroj. Le\u017e o\u00a0ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch zbran\u00edch hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed slou\u017eila k\u00a0od\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed \u00fatoku USA na Ir\u00e1k za druh\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu v\u00a0roce 2003. Ale USA z\u00e1rove\u0148 respektuj\u00ed vojenskou z\u00e1sadu, \u017ee neza\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. \u010cernochov\u00e1 to nezm\u011bn\u00ed. Je to v\u0161ak pou\u010den\u00edm pro n\u00e1s v\u0161echny.<\/p>\n<p>Fialova vl\u00e1d m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo vl\u00e1dnout, proto\u017ee usp\u011bla v\u00a0posledn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch, ale nem\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161inovou podporu voli\u010d\u016f. Kdyby n\u00e1s cht\u011bla hn\u00e1t do v\u00e1lky, ur\u010dit\u011b by neprob\u00edhala nad\u0161en\u00e1 mobilizace jako v\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 1938, snad jen voli\u010di ODS, STAN a\u00a0TOP by rukovali s\u00a0nad\u0161en\u00edm, pro zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st obyvatel by to nebyla jejich v\u00e1lka. Pokud se nechceme dostat do v\u00e1lky, stejn\u011b jako na\u0161i p\u0159edci v\u00a0roce 1914, mus\u00edme b\u00fdt ostra\u017eit\u00ed, abychom nemuseli, obdobn\u011b jako oni, zp\u00edvat:\u00a0<em>\u201e\u010cerven\u00fd \u0161\u00e1te\u010dku, kolem se to\u010d, my jdeme na Rusa, nev\u00edme pro\u010d.\u201c<\/em>. M\u00edr m\u00e1 hodnotu a\u00a0je dobr\u00e9 za n\u011bj bojovat a\u00a0d\u00e1t vl\u00e1d\u011b najevo, \u017ee hn\u00e1t st\u00e1t do v\u00e1lky proti v\u016fli lidu m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee skon\u010d\u00ed jako H\u00f6tzendorf.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Zden\u011bk Koudelka<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6154\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/zdenek-koudelka.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"280\" height=\"210\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dopad ukrajinsk\u00e9 rakety v\u00a0Polsku uk\u00e1zal, jak jsou n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed politici ochotni zav\u00e9st zemi do v\u00e1lky. P\u0159ipomn\u011blo&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18448,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[2854,29,349,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18447"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18447"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18447\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18449,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18447\/revisions\/18449"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18448"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}