{"id":18212,"date":"2022-11-15T01:07:21","date_gmt":"2022-11-15T00:07:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=18212"},"modified":"2022-11-14T18:32:19","modified_gmt":"2022-11-14T17:32:19","slug":"jiri-paroubek-hra-na-slepou-babu-aneb-preference-kantar-cz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/11\/15\/jiri-paroubek-hra-na-slepou-babu-aneb-preference-kantar-cz\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Hra na slepou b\u00e1bu, aneb preference Kantar CZ"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 televize je nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1strojem vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politiky a z\u00e1jm\u016f na\u0161ich nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch p\u0159\u00e1tel. V dob\u011b, kdy vl\u00e1da kup\u00ed chybu na chybu, \u0159e\u0161\u00ed, tak, \u017ee ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9my s vysokou inflac\u00ed a s nekontrolovateln\u00fdm r\u016fstem cen energi\u00ed z m\u011bs\u00edce na m\u011bs\u00edc, podle pr\u016fzkumu Kantar CZ pro \u010cT rostou razantn\u011b preference vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran a naopak klesaj\u00ed preference t\u011bch opozi\u010dn\u00edch.<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159itom ANO neud\u011blalo \u017e\u00e1dnou kardin\u00e1ln\u00ed politickou chybu a p\u0159esto podle agentury Kantar CZ, m\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00ed preference politick\u00fdch stran jeho volebn\u00ed preference poklesly ze z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fdch 29,5% na \u0159\u00edjnov\u00fdch 26,5%.<\/p>\n

Naopak vl\u00e1dn\u00ed ODS, zat\u011b\u017ekan\u00e1 tolika nesmysln\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dn\u00edmi rozhodnut\u00edmi, kter\u00e1 podpo\u0159ila rozvoj drahoty a energetickou krizi, zaznamenala vzr\u016fst preferenc\u00ed, tedy podle Kantar CZ, ze z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fdch 18% na \u0159\u00edjnov\u00fdch 21,5%.<\/p>\n

Opozi\u010dn\u00ed SPD pokleslo mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b z 11,5 na 11% preferenc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Naopak preference vl\u00e1dn\u00edch Pir\u00e1t\u016f, tedy zcela neviditeln\u00e9 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany, vzrostly ze z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fdch 9% na 11,5%. No prost\u011b \u00fa\u017easn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Hnut\u00ed STAN zaznamenalo pokles z 7,5% na 6% preferenc\u00ed v m\u011bs\u00edci \u0159\u00edjnu. Ale pokud bychom vzali porovn\u00e1n\u00ed preferenc\u00ed hypotetick\u00fdch koalic, tedy podle agentury Kantar CZ, byla by to pro opozici u\u010din\u011bn\u00e1 katastrofa.<\/p>\n

Hnut\u00ed ANO by poklesly preference ze z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fdch 31,5 na \u0159\u00edjnov\u00fdch 28%. Opozi\u010dn\u00ed SPD by ztratila mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b 0,5% (pokles z 12% na 11%).<\/p>\n

Potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed (a nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1) koalice Pir\u00e1t\u016f a Starost\u016f by zaznamenala r\u016fst z 12% v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed na 14% preferenc\u00ed v \u0159\u00edjnu.<\/p>\n

A triumfuj\u00edc\u00ed koalice SPOLU by zaznamenala vzestup preferenc\u00ed z 28,5% na 31,5%.<\/p>\n

Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, v t\u00e9to h\u0159e \u010d\u00edsel, proto\u017ee jinak odhady preferenc\u00ed podle Kantar CZ nelze jinak nazvat, by utrp\u011bla opozice velkou politickou por\u00e1\u017eku. A sou\u010dasn\u00e9 koali\u010dn\u00ed strany by v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed sn\u011bmovn\u011b svou pozici z\u0159ejm\u011b je\u0161t\u011b pos\u00edlily.<\/p>\n

Z mimoparlamentn\u00edch stran by vlastn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z formac\u00ed nem\u011bla \u0161anci se propracovat do nov\u00e9 poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b voleb, je\u017e by se uskute\u010dnily v \u0159\u00edjnu t. r., nebo\u0165 vlastn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z t\u011bchto stran (P\u0159\u00edsaha, \u010cSSD, KS\u010cM, Zelen\u00ed) se nep\u0159ibli\u017euje dramaticky k hranici volitelnosti 5%.<\/p>\n

Bez zaj\u00edmavosti nejsou ani v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy ve volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00edch t\u011bchto neparlamentn\u00edch stran. Uvedu jen 2 p\u0159\u00edklady. P\u0159\u00edsaha v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed zaznamenala 4% preferenc\u00ed, v \u0159\u00edjnu je to huben\u00fdch 2,5%.<\/p>\n

\u010cSSD naopak zaznamenala vzestup v tabulce preferenc\u00ed z 2,5% preferenc\u00ed na 4%. Podobn\u00fdch anom\u00e1li\u00ed, velice nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f je v tabulce preferenc\u00ed cel\u00e1 \u0159ada.<\/p>\n

V preferenc\u00edch podle Kantar CZ v m\u011bs\u00edci \u0159\u00edjnu doch\u00e1z\u00ed k takov\u00fdm diametr\u00e1ln\u00edm zm\u011bn\u00e1m a zvrat\u016fm v neprosp\u011bch sou\u010dasn\u00e9 opozice a naopak ve prosp\u011bch preferenc\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran a\u017e je to nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b jakoby n\u011bkdo v pozad\u00ed m\u011bl z\u00e1jem fortifikovat pozici vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran v nastupuj\u00edc\u00ed hlubok\u00e9 krizi a recesi.<\/p>\n

A je\u0161t\u011b uvedu jeden p\u0159\u00edklad ze souvisej\u00edc\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu, kdy se po t\u0159ech m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch ptal Kantar CZ ob\u010dan\u016f, jak se d\u00edvaj\u00ed na eventu\u00e1ln\u00ed mo\u017enost p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu. Pokud v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 48% ob\u010dan\u016f m\u011blo n\u00e1zor, \u017ee je pot\u0159eba s Ruskem o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch a cen\u00e1ch dod\u00e1vek jednat a 43% bylo proti. Te\u010f je to trochu jinak. 48% je proti jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem a \u201ejen\u201c 47% je pro takov\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. A to v\u0161e v situaci, kdy na ob\u010dany dol\u00e9haj\u00ed informace o zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edch se cen\u00e1ch anebo tak\u00e9 o mo\u017enosti \u00fapln\u00e9 v\u00fdluky dod\u00e1vek zemn\u00edho plynu z Ruska.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b tato \u010d\u00edsla agentury Kantar CZ nemaj\u00ed logiku. Maj\u00ed logiku z jedin\u00e9ho hlediska, a to je marketingov\u00e9 a propagandistick\u00e9. Jinak se tomu \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u201e\u010desk\u00fdm\u201c slovem manipulace.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cesk\u00e1 televize je nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1strojem vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politiky a z\u00e1jm\u016f na\u0161ich nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch p\u0159\u00e1tel. V dob\u011b,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2343,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,3797,96],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18212"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18212"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18212\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}