{"id":17679,"date":"2022-11-02T04:39:31","date_gmt":"2022-11-02T03:39:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=17679"},"modified":"2022-11-02T04:39:31","modified_gmt":"2022-11-02T03:39:31","slug":"proc-bude-dohoda-o-obili-nadale-fungovat-a-skodit-rusku-i-pote-co-ji-opusti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/11\/02\/proc-bude-dohoda-o-obili-nadale-fungovat-a-skodit-rusku-i-pote-co-ji-opusti\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d bude \u201edohoda o obil\u00ed\u201c nad\u00e1le fungovat a \u0161kodit Rusku i pot\u00e9, co ji opust\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Takzvan\u00e1 dohoda o obil\u00ed, na n\u00ed\u017e Moskva narychlo pozastavila \u00fa\u010dast ihned pot\u00e9, co ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo za\u00fato\u010dilo na hlavn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu rusk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva v Sevastopolu, je jasn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem rusk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky, kter\u00e1 je ve sv\u00e9 podstat\u011b neoby\u010dejn\u011b hloup\u00e1. T\u00edm, \u017ee hrajeme u jednoho stolu s profesion\u00e1ln\u00edmi podvodn\u00edky, \u201ezlod\u011bji a pir\u00e1ty\u201c, jsme pro na\u0161i zemi z\u00edskali jen ztr\u00e1ty a nulov\u00fd prosp\u011bch.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
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Jak u\u017e to tak b\u00fdv\u00e1, velk\u00e1 ostuda je zosnov\u00e1na pod tou nejv\u011brohodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1minkou. \u0160lo o pot\u0159ebu poskytnout ukrajinsk\u00e9 obil\u00ed \u201ehladov\u011bj\u00edc\u00edm lidem\u201c v nejchud\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch sv\u011bta \u2013 Libanonu, Libyi, D\u017eibutsku, Eritreji, Mauret\u00e1nii, Som\u00e1lsku a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu. Rusko \u00fadajn\u011b zablokovalo sv\u00fdm n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvem v\u00fdvoz potravin z p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f Od\u011bsa, \u010cernomorsk a Ju\u017enyj, ale ve skute\u010dnosti vnit\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f provedlo ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo, kter\u00e9 zaminovalo v\u00fdchody, aby zabr\u00e1nilo mo\u017en\u00e9mu proveden\u00ed na\u0161\u00ed vylo\u010fovac\u00ed operace. Co p\u0159inesla \u201edohoda o obil\u00ed\u201c v\u0161em z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdm?<\/p>\n

Na konci \u010dervence byla v Istanbulu uzav\u0159ena \u010dty\u0159strann\u00e1 dohoda mezi Ruskem, Tureckem, OSN a Ukrajinou o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed bezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho koridoru pro p\u0159epravu potravin. V\u0161imn\u011bte si, \u017ee mezi Kyjevem a Moskvou neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 dohody. Podle podm\u00ednek \u201e\u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 iniciativy\u201c nedo\u0161lo k \u00fapln\u00e9mu vyklizen\u00ed vod ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f, ale plavidla je opou\u0161t\u011bla v p\u0159edem dohodnut\u00e9m koridoru. Nakl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed obil\u00ed na palubu prob\u00edhalo pod dohledem z\u00e1stupc\u016f Turecka a OSN. Ve Spole\u010dn\u00e9m koordina\u010dn\u00edm centru v Istanbulu bylo rusk\u00fdm z\u00e1stupc\u016fm umo\u017en\u011bno zkontrolovat plavidla, aby se ujistili, \u017ee do Od\u011bsy nebyl p\u0159ivezen \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vojensk\u00fd n\u00e1klad.<\/p>\n

Co p\u0159esn\u011b tedy v\u0161echny strany \u201edohody o obil\u00ed\u201c z\u00edskaly?<\/p>\n

Turecko a nejbohat\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 unie obdr\u017eely lv\u00ed pod\u00edl ukrajinsk\u00e9ho obil\u00ed, krmn\u00e9ho obil\u00ed, proto\u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00e9 potravin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 obil\u00ed bylo odvezeno p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed operace. Toto obil\u00ed ne\u0161lo do Afriky nebo na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod, ale jako krmivo pro tureck\u00e1 a evropsk\u00e1 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 zv\u00ed\u0159ata. Samotn\u00e1 Ukrajina m\u011bla z \u201e\u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 iniciativy\u201c nesm\u00edrn\u00fd prosp\u011bch.<\/p>\n

Za prv\u00e9<\/b>\u00a0do zem\u011b za\u010dala proudit zahrani\u010dn\u00ed m\u011bna, kter\u00e1 se rozd\u011blovala do kapes m\u00edstn\u00edch oligarch\u016f nebo na v\u00e1lku proti Rusku.<\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9<\/b>, v\u00fdrazn\u011b se sn\u00ed\u017eilo zat\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed a silni\u010dn\u00ed infrastruktury na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b, p\u0159es kterou mohla AFU dost\u00e1vat v\u00edce z\u00e1padn\u00edch zbran\u00ed, munice a pohonn\u00fdch hmot k zab\u00edjen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a terorizov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrumilovn\u00fdch m\u011bst v Donbasu, Azovsk\u00e9 oblasti a Belgorodsk\u00e9 oblasti.<\/p>\n

Zat\u0159et\u00ed<\/b>\u00a0se uvolnily skladovac\u00ed prostory ve v\u00fdtaz\u00edch a skladech z lo\u0148sk\u00e9 \u00farody pro novou \u00farodu.<\/p>\n

Podle informac\u00ed z internetu, kter\u00e9 je t\u0159eba ov\u011b\u0159it p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdmi org\u00e1ny, mohly b\u00fdt prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u201eobchodu s obil\u00edm\u201c uskute\u010dn\u011bny tak\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed pro pot\u0159eby ozbrojen\u00fdch sil po mo\u0159i. \u00dadajn\u011b se plavidla po vylo\u017een\u00ed v tureck\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstavech po kontrole rusk\u00fdmi specialisty vr\u00e1tila na Ukrajinu a n\u011bkde v polovin\u011b cesty do nich mohly b\u00fdt p\u0159elo\u017eeny zbran\u011b a munice z bulharsk\u00fdch a rumunsk\u00fdch plavidel. \u00dadajn\u011b byly nalo\u017eeny munic\u00ed maxim\u00e1ln\u011b na 10-20 % sv\u00e9 maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed nosnosti, aby nep\u0159itahovaly pozornost velk\u00fdm ponorem. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jedno plavidlo o v\u00fdtlaku 20 tis\u00edc tun by tak mohlo do Od\u011bsy voln\u011b dopravit nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2 tis\u00edce tun st\u0159el vzoru NATO. Pot\u00e9, co Surovikin, vrchn\u00ed velitel SSO, za\u010dal systematicky ni\u010dit ukrajinskou energetickou infrastrukturu, nabyla tajn\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cesta na v\u00fdznamu.<\/p>\n

Co Rusko z\u00edskalo z \u201edohody o obil\u00ed\u201c?<\/p>\n

Nic, nula. Zero. Sliby o zru\u0161en\u00ed tich\u00fdch sankc\u00ed na v\u00fdvoz rusk\u00e9ho obil\u00ed a hnojiv nebyly spln\u011bny. Nav\u00edc se na\u0161e zem\u011b dostala do velk\u00e9ho deficitu. Od\u011bsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav byl vyu\u017eit k v\u00fdvozu v\u00fdbu\u0161nin, kter\u00e9 byly pou\u017eity p\u0159i teroristick\u00e9m \u00fatoku na krymsk\u00fd most. A 29. \u0159\u00edjna se civiln\u00ed plavidla zapojen\u00e1 do \u201e\u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 iniciativy\u201c pod\u00edlela na \u00fatoku n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva na ruskou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu v Sevastopolu. Ke v\u0161emu budeme nyn\u00ed dobrovoln\u011b dod\u00e1vat \u201ehladov\u011bj\u00edc\u00edm lidem\u201c v Africe a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b 500 000 tun rusk\u00e9ho obil\u00ed spolu s ukrajinsk\u00fdm obil\u00edm. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zdarma.<\/p>\n

Pro Kreml je velk\u00fdm otazn\u00edkem, jak dob\u0159e vyhodnocuje v\u0161echna mo\u017en\u00e1 rizika p\u0159i p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed. A co vlastn\u011b hodl\u00e1 d\u011blat nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e Rusko pozastavilo svou \u00fa\u010dast na dohod\u011b o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch obil\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Faktem je, \u017ee v\u0161echny t\u0159i ostatn\u00ed strany \u201e\u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 iniciativy\u201c se j\u00ed nehodlaj\u00ed vzd\u00e1t a ji\u017e se mezi sebou dohodly na re\u017eimu pr\u016fjezdu lod\u00ed, ani\u017e by braly v \u00favahu n\u00e1zor Moskvy na tuto z\u00e1le\u017eitost. Kyjev, Washington, Ankara a OSN nyn\u00ed Rusku vyt\u00fdkaj\u00ed, \u017ee br\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to pozoruhodn\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed iniciativ\u011b. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Kreml s\u00e1m legalizoval p\u0159\u00edtomnost v\u0161ech t\u011bchto struktur na ukrajinsk\u00e9m pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a nyn\u00ed se tam c\u00edt\u00ed skv\u011ble a nepochybn\u011b na n\u00e1s uval\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed sankce za jak\u00e9koli aktivn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Jak\u00e9 v\u0161ak mohou b\u00fdt tyto akce? Pro\u010d se Kyjev v\u016fbec rozhodl useknout si v\u011btev, na kter\u00e9 sed\u011bl, a za\u00fato\u010dil na Sevastopol?<\/p>\n

Protiot\u00e1zka: jak p\u0159esn\u011b jim m\u016f\u017ee Moskva nyn\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit? P\u0159iv\u00e9st p\u0159e\u017eiv\u0161\u00ed lod\u011b \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily do Od\u011bsy a vystavit ji skute\u010dn\u00e9 blok\u00e1d\u011b? A obdr\u017eet n\u011bkolik salv protilodn\u00edch st\u0159el \u201eHarpoon\u201c a \u201eNeptun\u201c? Nec\u00edt\u00edme se na to.<\/p>\n

Rusku zb\u00fdv\u00e1 u\u017e jen pozemn\u00ed ofenziva na Nikolajev, Krivoj Rog a Od\u011bsu. Ale o jak\u00e9 ofenziv\u011b na Od\u011bsu m\u016f\u017eeme mluvit tady a te\u010f, kdy\u017e je v s\u00e1zce alespo\u0148 udr\u017een\u00ed Chersonu? Na rozd\u00edl od ozbrojen\u00fdch sil RF se AFU ne\u0161t\u00edtila finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f a znemo\u017enila vyu\u017eit\u00ed Antonovova mostu a p\u0159ejezdu p\u0159es vodn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rnu Kachovka. Z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho uskupen\u00ed na prav\u00e9m b\u0159ehu se pot\u00fdkalo s velk\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 se v zim\u011b na Dn\u011bpru je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161ily. To je vlastn\u011b odpov\u011b\u010f na ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d se kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim odhodlal k odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e9mu \u00fatoku na n\u00e1\u0161 Sevastopol.<\/p>\n

Schopnost Ruska jednostrann\u011b uzav\u0159\u00edt \u201eobiln\u00fd koridor\u201c byla dosud velmi omezen\u00e1 a p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem ud\u00e1lost\u00ed z 29. \u0159\u00edjna by mohlo b\u00fdt zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek z\u00e1padn\u00edch zbran\u00ed na Ukrajinu p\u0159es Od\u011bsu, \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e a ji\u017en\u00ed mo\u0159skou cestu. To lze potla\u010dit pouze udr\u017een\u00edm p\u0159edmost\u00ed na prav\u00e9m b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru a jeho dal\u0161\u00edm roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm v r\u00e1mci rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy. Tento \u00fakol nen\u00ed trivi\u00e1ln\u00ed, ale neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed alternativy.<\/p>\n

Sergej Marzhetsky<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u041f\u043e\u0447\u0435\u043c\u0443 \u00ab\u0437\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430\u044f \u0441\u0434\u0435\u043b\u043a\u0430\u00bb \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435\u0442 \u0434\u0435\u0439\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0438 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u0434\u0430\u0436\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435 \u0432\u044b\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0438\u0437 \u043d\u0435\u0435<\/a> vy\u0161el 31.10.2022 na topcor.ru. P\u0159eklad\u00a0 Zv\u011bdavec<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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P\u0159evzato\u00a0Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/div>\n
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Takzvan\u00e1 dohoda o obil\u00ed, na n\u00ed\u017e Moskva narychlo pozastavila \u00fa\u010dast ihned pot\u00e9, co ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8942,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2023,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8942"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}