{"id":17185,"date":"2022-10-24T01:00:57","date_gmt":"2022-10-23T23:00:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=17185"},"modified":"2022-10-23T17:28:07","modified_gmt":"2022-10-23T15:28:07","slug":"putinuv-konecny-uder-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/10\/24\/putinuv-konecny-uder-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin\u016fv kone\u010dn\u00fd \u00fader Ukrajin\u011b!"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

P\u0159ed ka\u017edou ofenz\u00edvou je nutn\u00e9 shrom\u00e1\u017edit z\u00e1soby a dopravit je na boji\u0161t\u011b. Jak jsme odhalili \u2013 Rusko za\u010dalo pos\u00edlat z\u00e1soby do sklad\u016f soused\u00edc\u00edch s boji\u0161t\u011bm tempem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e na po\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho roku.\u00a0Jenom paliva pro tanky a letadla odeslalo minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc Rusko do sv\u00fdch guberni\u00ed soused\u00edc\u00edch s Ukrajinou p\u0159es 220 000 tun<\/a>, a to je dokonce v\u00edce ne\u017e v b\u0159eznu 2022, kdy byly boje nejintenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Proto\u017ee nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed boje nedosahuj\u00ed intenzity jarn\u00edch boj\u016f u Kyjeva, Charkova i Mariupolu, je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Putin chyst\u00e1 z\u00e1soby na ofenz\u00edvu mechanizovan\u00fdch uskupen\u00ed. V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze se proto pod\u00edv\u00e1me bl\u00ed\u017ee na to, co Putin Ukrajinc\u016fm chyst\u00e1 za p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Po\u010d\u00e1tkem \u00fanora jsme p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee Putin za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed p\u0159es \u010cernobyl na Kyjev, a dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky povede tak, aby obsazoval ukrajinsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny. S progn\u00f3zou jsme se nem\u00fdlili. Nyn\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1me,\u00a0\u017ee Putin za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed z B\u011bloruska ve sm\u011brech<\/a>\u00a0Ovru\u010d-Korosten-\u017ditomir, Dubrovitza-Sarny-Rivne-Ternopil, Dubrovitza-Rafalivka-Oko\u0148sk-Luck-Brody.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd \u00fatok provedou mobilizac\u00ed dopl\u0148ovan\u00e9 mechanizovan\u00e9 elitn\u00ed jednotky jako t\u0159eba 27. samostatn\u00e1 gardov\u00e1 motost\u0159eleck\u00e1 brig\u00e1da 1. tankov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy,\u00a0kter\u00e9 byly m\u011bs\u00edc p\u0159ed ukrajinsk\u00fdm \u00fatokem<\/a>\u00a0na Izjum sta\u017eeny do Ruska k p\u0159ezbrojen\u00ed a dopln\u011bn\u00ed. Tyto jednotky, kter\u00e9 na ja\u0159e \u00fato\u010dily v nemobilizovan\u00fdch sestav\u00e1ch (1 a\u017e 2 pluky, bez t\u0159et\u00edho praporu)\u00a0se nyn\u00ed dopl\u0148uj\u00ed mobilizac\u00ed na pln\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 stavy<\/a>\u00a0(3 pluky se v\u0161emi prapory). Sou\u010dasn\u011b s t\u00edm byli v \u0159ad\u011b diviz\u00ed a brig\u00e1d 1. tankov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 \u00fatok op\u011bt povede vym\u011bn\u011bni velitel\u00e9. Jarn\u00ed \u00fatok na Kyjev ztroskotal d\u00edky n\u00edzk\u00e9mu napln\u011bn\u00ed \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch jednotek p\u011bchotou. Putinova mobilizace tento nedostatek napravuje.<\/p>\n

Ministr obrany \u0160ojgu tyto sta\u017een\u00e9 jednotky intenzivn\u011b od z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed dopl\u0148uje nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed technikou<\/a>. Podle informac\u00ed m\u011bli Rusov\u00e9 jen letos vyrobit 2000 kus\u016f nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, a ty se nedod\u00e1vaj\u00ed na boji\u0161t\u011b, ale v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ezbrojovan\u00fdm \u00fatvar\u016fm.\u00a0 Jednotky jsou p\u0159ezbrojov\u00e1ny na T-90M Proryv. Tento nov\u00fd tank, je konstruov\u00e1n tak, aby byla jeho pos\u00e1dka chr\u00e1n\u011bna p\u0159ed \u00fa\u010dinky st\u0159el Javelin vnit\u0159n\u00edmi z\u00e1st\u011bnami z kevlaru a n\u00e1boje jsou odd\u011blen\u00e9 v samostatn\u00e9 \u201ckrabici\u201d za v\u011b\u017e\u00ed, tak\u017ee p\u0159i jejich v\u00fdbuchu, nezni\u010d\u00ed cel\u00fd tank i s pos\u00e1dkou, jak je typick\u00e9 pro ostatn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 tanky.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

7<\/p>\n

C\u00edlem o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 zimn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvy je \u00fatokem z B\u011bloruska p\u0159e\u0159ezat z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 vedou\u00a0 z Polska, p\u0159es Lvov do centr\u00e1ln\u00edch oblast\u00ed Ukrajiny kolem Kyjeva. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee v d\u016fsledku \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho \u00fatoku se ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00e1 mezi Kyjevem a Charkovem, na Donbase i okolo Chersonu do n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f zhrout\u00ed, proto\u017ee prost\u011b nebude m\u00edt \u010d\u00edm bojovat. Podle americk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho experta na vojenskou logistiku Davise, ani \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 osvobozen\u00ed Chersonu nen\u00ed cesta k ukrajinsk\u00e9mu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, proto\u017ee Rusko u\u017e p\u0159esn\u00fdmi \u00fadery zni\u010dilo ve\u0161kerou schopnost Ukrajiny vyr\u00e1b\u011bt zbran\u011b a munici, a z\u00e1soby pro v\u00e1lku, a Ukrajina je nyn\u00ed v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch v\u0161eho, co jej\u00ed arm\u00e1da i ob\u010dan\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed, p\u0159es koridory Polsko-Lvov-Luck-Kyjev. Vy\u0159azen\u00edm tohoto z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed nastane kritick\u00e1 situace v ukrajinsk\u00e9m z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed, a dal\u0161\u00ed logistick\u00e9 trasy z Rumunska a Slovenska nemaj\u00ed pot\u0159ebnou kapacitu, a Ma\u010farsko sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed pro z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy uzav\u0159elo, a Moldavsko nem\u00e1 kapacity a nav\u00edc \u010del\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 vzpou\u0159e vlastn\u00edch obyvatel. Podle v\u0161ech p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed je nyn\u00ed v Moldavsku situace, \u017ee by p\u0159i volb\u00e1ch Rusku naklon\u011bn\u00ed politici p\u0159ev\u00e1lcovali vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed proz\u00e1padn\u00ed Kliku, a ano n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Pekarov\u00e9-Adamov\u00e9 u Sandu na tom nic nezm\u011bnila.<\/p>\n

Podplukovn\u00edk US-Army ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Davis rad\u00ed Ukrajinc\u016fm<\/a>, aby okam\u017eit\u011b st\u00e1hli sv\u00e9 jednotky z Donbasu a od Chersonu a Kyjeva k obran\u011b severn\u00ed hranice s B\u011bloruskem, jinak Rusov\u00e9 tudy proraz\u00ed a obsad\u00ed hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy Ukrajiny. Podle Davise, ani sta\u017een\u00ed ke Kyjevu nemus\u00ed Ukrajinu zachr\u00e1nit, proto\u017ee Rus\u016fm otev\u00edr\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enosti postupu pod\u00e9l v\u00fdchodn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru, kter\u00e9 by vedly k obsazen\u00ed cel\u00e9 v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

V\u010dera v sobotu 22. \u0159\u00edjna\u00a0provedly Rusov\u00e9 zat\u00edm nejni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fadery proti Ukrajinsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 soustav\u011b<\/a>, a sama Ukrajina p\u0159iznala, \u017ee se jej\u00ed elektrick\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 hroutit. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Putin mobilizoval pouze 300 tis\u00edc mu\u017e\u016f, bude moci do ofenz\u00edvy ze severu na jih nasadit maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 200 tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f. To je sice 4 kr\u00e1t v\u00edce ne\u017e na ja\u0159e, ale k obsazen\u00ed velk\u00fdch m\u011bst a st\u0159e\u017een\u00ed z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch tras to st\u00e1le nesta\u010d\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e1 proto Putin chce p\u0159esn\u00fdmi \u00fadery rozvr\u00e1tit ve\u0161ker\u00e9 z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u011bst elekt\u0159inou, vodou i teplem, proto\u017ee t\u00edm zlikviduje i v\u00fdrobu a distribuci potravin, a vyvol\u00e1 novou masivn\u00ed uprchlickou vlnu. Na \u00fazem\u00ed takto zbaven\u00e9m obyvatel se diverzanti obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b maskuj\u00ed jako civilist\u00e9, a i dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bst je pro \u00fato\u010dn\u00edka jednodu\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

K ofenz\u00edv\u011b u\u017e mo\u017en\u00e1 ani nedojde, proto\u017ee \u0161kody zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 drony a raketami na ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomice za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed podlamovat mor\u00e1lku k odporu. Pokud Zelensky rychle nenajde zp\u016fsob jak zabr\u00e1nit ka\u017edodenn\u00edm rusk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na elektr\u00e1rny a energetiku, brzy tuhle v\u00e1lku prohraje. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbrojn\u00ed arsen\u00e1ly jsou ji\u017e nav\u00edc pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9.\u00a0Polsko u\u017e dodalo Ukrajin\u011b 50 z 90 samohybn\u00fdch houfnic Krab, kter\u00e9 od roku 2008 do sou\u010dasnosti vyrobilo<\/a>. Obdobn\u00e1 je situace i v dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch NATO. Rusk\u00e1 zbrojn\u00ed v\u00fdroba u\u017e jede od lo\u0148ska na plno, kde\u017eto v\u00fdroba v zem\u00edch NATO se teprve rozj\u00ed\u017ed\u00ed. Rusko tedy vyhl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed rok 2023 s nad\u011bjemi, \u017ee rozdrt\u00ed Ukrajinu. Zda k tomu bude sta\u010dit Putinovi mobilizovat 300 tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f, a nebo zda mu zase nebudou sta\u010dit jako na ja\u0159e se uk\u00e1\u017ee.<\/p>\n

\"Nen\u00ed<\/p>\n

Podle elitn\u00edho polsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la Romana Polko<\/a>\u00a0jsou nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na energetickou infrastrukturu \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 a sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o tom, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 umn\u011b p\u0159izp\u016fsobili svoji taktiku veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky tomu, aby s co nejmen\u0161\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami dos\u00e1hli co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho efektu, a nikoli tomu, \u017ee Rus\u016fm doch\u00e1z\u00ed munice a zbran\u011b pro pozemn\u00ed bitvy, jak tvrd\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia. Podle gener\u00e1la Polka se Rusov\u00e9 soust\u0159ed\u00ed v\u00edce na leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky, ne\u017e na pozemn\u00ed bitvy. (Foto. Gener\u00e1l Roman Polko,\u00a0zdroj FB-Roman Polko<\/a>)<\/p>\n

N\u00e1m zb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e dr\u017eet palce m\u00edru.\u00a0Ostatn\u011b jak zjistil ned\u00e1vn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, p\u0159es 75% N\u011bmc\u016f si mysl\u00ed,<\/a>\u00a0\u017ee Rusko pro Evropu nep\u0159edstavuje \u017e\u00e1dnou, a nebo jen velmi malou hrozbu.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159ed ka\u017edou ofenz\u00edvou je nutn\u00e9 shrom\u00e1\u017edit z\u00e1soby a dopravit je na boji\u0161t\u011b. Jak jsme odhalili…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14729,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,29,102,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17185"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17185\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14729"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}