{"id":16521,"date":"2022-10-11T03:18:07","date_gmt":"2022-10-11T01:18:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=16521"},"modified":"2022-10-11T03:18:07","modified_gmt":"2022-10-11T01:18:07","slug":"ukrajinska-pomsta-zapadu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/10\/11\/ukrajinska-pomsta-zapadu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukrajinsk\u00e1 pomsta Z\u00e1padu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud se pom\u011br sil na Ukrajin\u011b op\u011bt posune, jeho dozvuky ovlivn\u00ed jednotu samotn\u00e9ho projektu EU<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Vektorov\u00e1 politika na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159idala do 222 dn\u016f star\u00e9ho konfliktu nov\u00e9 dimenze.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obvykle by ve\u0161ker\u00e9 konfliktn\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011blo skon\u010dit, kdy\u017e je nastolena nov\u00e1 rovnov\u00e1ha moci.\u00a0Ale \u201erovnov\u00e1ha sil\u201c neskon\u010d\u00ed, dokud nebude skute\u010dn\u011b dosa\u017eeno rovnov\u00e1hy \u2013 a existuje dostatek d\u016fkaz\u016f, \u017ee Ukrajina je na pokraji dal\u0161\u00edho \u201evyva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ratifikace anexe \u010dty\u0159 region\u016f Ukrajiny (Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky, Chersonsk\u00e9 a Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 oblasti) ruskou dumou a p\u0159ijet\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed novou dynamiku a bude n\u011bjakou dobu trvat, ne\u017e se vytvo\u0159\u00ed vytvo\u0159it na Ukrajin\u011b novou rovnov\u00e1hu sil na zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm se tak\u00e9 fenomen\u00e1ln\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed.\u00a0Prohlubov\u00e1n\u00ed energetick\u00e9 krize v Evrop\u011b po sabot\u00e1\u017ei plynovod\u016f Nord Stream se m\u011bn\u00ed ve v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd rozpor.\u00a0Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak to lze sladit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vznik\u00e1 tak slo\u017eit\u00e1 situace, proto\u017ee to v\u0161e se tak\u00e9 d\u011bje na pozad\u00ed masivn\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho nahromad\u011bn\u00ed kolem Ukrajiny v Charkovsk\u00e9 oblasti a ji\u017en\u00ed oblasti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, s dlouh\u00fdmi rusk\u00fdmi zbrojn\u00edmi konvoji \u00fadajn\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edmi na Krym.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e9 hranice Ruska<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1valo se, \u017ee Duma v pond\u011bl\u00ed jednomysln\u011b ratifikuje p\u0159istoupen\u00ed \u010dty\u0159 region\u016f k Rusku, p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fd z\u00e1kon v \u00fater\u00fd \u0159\u00e1dn\u011b ratifikovala Rada federace (horn\u00ed komora parlamentu) a dokumenty dnes m\u016f\u017ee schv\u00e1lit i prezident Putin, pot\u00e9 bude vstoupit v platnost.\u00a0Tedy \u017ee od 5. \u0159\u00edjna se anektovan\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed stanou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee Duma schv\u00e1lila vl\u00e1dn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy na vymezen\u00ed hranic nov\u00fdch region\u016f na z\u00e1klad\u011b vymezen\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 \u201eexistovala v den jejich vzniku a p\u0159istoupen\u00ed k Rusku\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9 smlouvy stanov\u00ed, \u017ee hranice soused\u00edc\u00ed s \u00fazem\u00edm ciz\u00edho st\u00e1tu budou novou st\u00e1tn\u00ed hranic\u00ed Ruska.\u00a0Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, v t\u011bchto regionech se obnovuj\u00ed star\u00e9 hranice ze sov\u011btsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stanoven\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edch hranic Ruska m\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed d\u016fsledky.\u00a0V oblastech Donbass a Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed existuj\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 oblasti, kter\u00e9 jsou st\u00e1le pod kontrolou ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.\u00a0M\u011bsto Liman v Don\u011bck\u00e9 republice dobyly ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly teprve p\u0159ed t\u0159emi dny.\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1jezdy v Chersonu pokra\u010duj\u00ed.\u00a0Jsou hl\u00e1\u0161eny t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 boje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Moskva m\u00e1 p\u0159ed sebou je\u0161t\u011b dlouhou cestu, aby dostala pod kontrolu \u201eokupovan\u00e9\u201c oblasti, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve pat\u0159ily Don\u011bcku a Lugansku.\u00a0Oblast Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed (kter\u00e1 je shodou okolnost\u00ed tak\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dovou pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblast\u00ed na Azovsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed toho, co Rusov\u00e9 historicky naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed \u201eNovorossija\u201c), je dal\u0161\u00ed prioritou, kde samotn\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto oblasti je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed pod ruskou kontrolou.<\/span><\/p>\n

NE z NATO<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V nastal\u00e9 situaci ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj form\u00e1ln\u011b a rychle po\u017e\u00e1dal o \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v NATO, ale b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin aliance hodila na \u017e\u00e1dost chladnou vodu s t\u00edm, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli rozhodnut\u00ed bude vy\u017eadovat podporu v\u0161ech 30 \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Signalizuje, \u017ee k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 intervenci NATO na Ukrajin\u011b nedojde.\u00a0Moskva to vezme na v\u011bdom\u00ed.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 \u201ep\u0159em\u00fd\u0161len\u00ed nahlas\u201c o pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed splnilo sv\u016fj \u00fa\u010del.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sch\u016fzka americk\u00e9ho poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Jakea Sullivana s vedouc\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e Andriy Yermakem v ned\u011bli v Istanbulu byla sp\u00ed\u0161e nen\u00e1padnou z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed.\u00a0B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm uvedl, \u017ee Sullivan sl\u00edbil Washingtonu neochv\u011bjnou podporu suverenity a \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti Ukrajiny a projednal s Jermakem situaci v jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rn\u011b Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed a pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci Ukrajiny s OSN na v\u00fdvozu potravin do cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n

V pond\u011bln\u00ed v\u00fdzv\u011b prezidenta Joea Bidena Zelenskyjovi v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b byl zm\u00edn\u011bn nov\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pomoci z Washingtonu v hodnot\u011b 625 milion\u016f dolar\u016f, kter\u00fd zahrnuje dal\u0161\u00ed zbran\u011b a vybaven\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b HIMARS, d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f a munice a obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel.\u00a0Biden \u201esl\u00edbil, \u017ee bude nad\u00e1le podporovat Ukrajinu, zat\u00edmco se bude br\u00e1nit rusk\u00e9 agresi tak dlouho, jak to bude nutn\u00e9\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozd\u011bji americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Antony Blinken uvedl, \u017ee posledn\u00ed dod\u00e1vka pomoci zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed celkov\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na vojenskou pomoc USA Ukrajin\u011b na v\u00edce ne\u017e 17,5 miliardy dolar\u016f.\u00a0„Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj… jen posiluje na\u0161e odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed,“ uvedl Blinken v \u00fatern\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0„Budeme i nad\u00e1le st\u00e1t p\u0159i lidu Ukrajiny.“<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eSchopnosti, kter\u00e9 dod\u00e1v\u00e1me, jsou pe\u010dliv\u011b kalibrov\u00e1ny tak, aby p\u0159inesly co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rozd\u00edl na boji\u0161ti a pos\u00edlily pozici Ukrajiny u jednac\u00edho stolu, kdy\u017e nastane spr\u00e1vn\u00fd \u010das,\u201c dodal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Revize rusk\u00e9 strategie<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Na druhou stranu rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 velen\u00ed bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b muset znovu nastavit parametry vojensk\u00fdch speci\u00e1ln\u00edch operac\u00ed, proto\u017ee jeho ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly budou nap\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b chr\u00e1nit \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvost a suverenitu zem\u011b.\u00a0Jakou podobu bude m\u00edt, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Doposud bylo skute\u010dn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 nasazen\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 100 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f.\u00a0V\u011bt\u0161ina boj\u016f byla vedena skupinami domobrany, jako jsou bojovn\u00edci z Donbasu a \u010ce\u010denska a skupina Wagner slo\u017een\u00e1 z b\u00fdval\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f speci\u00e1ln\u00edch slu\u017eeb a dal\u0161\u00edch dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f z Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Narukov\u00e1n\u00ed 300 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f s p\u0159edchoz\u00edmi vojensk\u00fdmi zku\u0161enostmi jist\u011b naklon\u00ed vojenskou rovnov\u00e1hu ve prosp\u011bch Ruska.\u00a0Ministr obrany Sergej \u0160ojgu uvedl, \u017ee se dobrovoln\u011b p\u0159ihl\u00e1silo dal\u0161\u00edch 70 000 mu\u017e\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se celkov\u00e1 s\u00edla dodate\u010dn\u00fdch sil zv\u00fd\u0161ila na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 370 000.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed je to obrovsk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst.\u00a0Abychom z\u00edskali p\u0159edstavu o proporc\u00edch, na vrcholu v\u00e1lky ve Vietnamu bylo nasazen\u00ed USA kolem p\u016fl milionu voj\u00e1k\u016f.\u00a0Rusko bude m\u00edt poprv\u00e9 obrovskou po\u010detn\u00ed p\u0159evahu nad ukrajinsk\u00fdmi ozbrojen\u00fdmi silami.\u00a0Je proto docela dob\u0159e p\u0159edstaviteln\u00e9, \u017ee se star\u00fd vzorec \u201edrcen\u00ed\u201c ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil zm\u011bn\u00ed a c\u00edlem bude rychl\u00e9 a r\u00e1zn\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozhodnut\u00ed USA z\u0159\u00eddit velitelsk\u00e9 centrum mimo Ukrajinu (v N\u011bmecku) z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na velitelsk\u00e1 centra v Kyjev\u011b a jinde s mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm nasazen\u00edm vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch sil, jako je tomu v S\u00fdrii.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti nov\u00fd velitel Z\u00e1padn\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho okruhu, gener\u00e1lporu\u010d\u00edk Roman Berdnikov, d\u0159\u00edve vedl ruskou intervenci v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vojen\u0161t\u00ed experti p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed, \u017ee jakmile podzimn\u00ed de\u0161t\u011b ustoup\u00ed zim\u011b a p\u016fda ztvrdne, rusk\u00e9 operace zes\u00edl\u00ed.\u00a0V posledn\u00ed dob\u011b se v Rusku oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed hlasy, kter\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka se vle\u010de bez \u010dasov\u00e9ho r\u00e1mce.\u00a0Toto se m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, rychle se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed bod, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu, z n\u011bho\u017e Rusku nezbude nic jin\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bne\u017e tla\u010dit na zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Kyjev\u011b a vydl\u00e1\u017edit cestu pro zcela nov\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed, set\u0159\u00e1st ne\u0159estn\u00e9 anglo-americk\u00e9 sev\u0159en\u00ed a p\u0159ipraven je vyrovnat se s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kafkovsk\u00fd moment<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee se v\u0161ak pozornost v Evrop\u011b st\u00e1le v\u00edce soust\u0159ed\u00ed na ekonomickou krizi, s hroz\u00edc\u00ed dvoucifernou inflac\u00ed a reces\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a politick\u00e9 nepokoje na cel\u00e9m kontinentu.\u00a0Rostouc\u00ed nespokojenost ve\u0159ejnosti se ji\u017e v mnoha evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch m\u011bn\u00ed v protesty.\u00a0S p\u0159\u00edchodem zimy m\u016f\u017ee krize jen zes\u00edlit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lze si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee zm\u011bna sentimentu p\u0159im\u011bje evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, aby se zam\u011b\u0159ily na sv\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed probl\u00e9my, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby se hrnuly do ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Nejhorliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zast\u00e1ncem v\u00e1lky s Ruskem s otev\u0159en\u00fdm koncem je Brit\u00e1nie, ale i Lond\u00fdn su\u017euj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed masivn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 (a politick\u00e9) krize.\u00a0Premi\u00e9rka Liz Trussov\u00e1 bojuje o politick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.\u00a0Konzervativci fakticky ztratili sv\u016fj mand\u00e1t vl\u00e1dnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1 situace N\u011bmecka<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

St\u0159edoprav\u00fd opozi\u010dn\u00ed blok CDU\/CSU v n\u011bmeck\u00e9m Bundestagu op\u011bt zablokoval n\u00e1vrh vyz\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed vl\u00e1du, aby \u201eokam\u017eit\u011b\u201c povolila v\u00fdvoz n\u011bmeck\u00fdch hlavn\u00edch bojov\u00fdch tank\u016f a obrn\u011bn\u00fdch transport\u00e9r\u016f na Ukrajinu.\u00a0Politico uvedl: „Hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch zbran\u00ed v Bundestagu by riskovalo odhalen\u00ed fat\u00e1ln\u00edch trhlin v jednot\u011b vl\u00e1dy a mohlo by dokonce v\u00e9st k por\u00e1\u017ece (kancl\u00e9\u0159e Olafa) Scholze v parlamentu.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b se n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech tak\u00e9 c\u00edtila vystavena rostouc\u00edmu tlaku sv\u00fdch v\u00fdchodoevropsk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f, aby drasticky zv\u00fd\u0161ila rozsah a povahu vojensk\u00e9 podpory Berl\u00edna pro Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vlivn\u00fd magaz\u00edn Foreign Policy ve Washingtonu minul\u00fd t\u00fdden napsal: \u201eV o\u010d\u00edch berl\u00ednsk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f NATO ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, zejm\u00e9na zem\u00ed soused\u00edc\u00edch s Ruskem, si N\u011bmecko, evropsk\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 a politick\u00e1 velmoc, nevede ani zdaleka dost.\u00a0A \u010d\u00edm d\u00e9le bude odkl\u00e1dat, t\u00edm v\u00edce riskuje dlouhodobou diplomatickou roztr\u017eku s t\u011bmito v\u00fdchodn\u00edmi spojenci.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory t\u00e9to taktice n\u00e1tlaku pr\u016fzkumy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee zat\u00edmco Ukrajinu obecn\u011b podporuje asi 70 procent N\u011bmc\u016f, pouze 35 procent podporuje zv\u00fd\u0161enou vojenskou podporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to situaci sabot\u00e1\u017e plynovodu Nord Stream zapad\u00e1 do energetick\u00e9 krize v Evrop\u011b a ohro\u017euje evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b \u201edeindustrializac\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zejm\u00e9na pro N\u011bmecko je ekonomick\u00fd model zem\u011b zam\u011b\u0159en na dostupnost bohat\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek plynu z Ruska prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dlouhodob\u00fdch smluv za n\u00edzk\u00e9 ceny prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm plynovod\u016f.\u00a0Sabot\u00e1\u017e Nord Stream m\u00e1 zjevn\u011b monument\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jist\u011b, kdokoli sp\u00e1chal tento teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok, moud\u0159e spo\u010d\u00edtal, \u017ee rusk\u00fd plyn by do Evropy v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nem\u011bl proudit.\u00a0Ve Washingtonu se neust\u00e1le ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee by mohlo doj\u00edt k n\u011bmecko-rusk\u00e9mu sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed, pokud budou obnoveny energetick\u00e9 vazby.\u00a0Americk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti nyn\u00ed tak\u00e9 dosahuj\u00ed obrovsk\u00fdch zisk\u016f na evropsk\u00e9m energetick\u00e9m trhu t\u00edm, \u017ee prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn za p\u011btin\u00e1sobek a\u017e \u0161estin\u00e1sobek dom\u00e1c\u00ed ceny v USA m\u00edsto za cenu Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prevence rusko-n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Aby toho nebylo m\u00e1lo, Evropa pot\u0159ebuje energetickou bezpe\u010dnost v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m a st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m horizontu, ani\u017e by z\u00e1rove\u0148 zni\u010dila klimatick\u00e9 c\u00edle.\u00a0Znamen\u00e1 to zv\u00fd\u0161enou geopolitickou citlivost.\u00a0Jde o to, \u017ee evropsk\u00fd spo\u0159\u00e1dan\u00fd energetick\u00fd p\u0159echod od fosiln\u00edch paliv nutn\u011b pot\u0159ebuje rusk\u00fd plyn a byl postaven na d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee bude existovat levn\u00fd a hojn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nad\u00e1le doufala, \u017ee Nord Stream bude nakonec katalyz\u00e1torem k zacelen\u00ed trhliny v n\u011bmecko-rusk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch vazb\u00e1ch.\u00a0Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee rusk\u00fd energetick\u00fd gigant Gazprom v pond\u011bl\u00ed evropsk\u00fdm odb\u011bratel\u016fm plynu navrhl, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st po\u0161kozen\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b Nord Stream by mohla pokra\u010dovat v p\u0159eprav\u011b paliva \u2013 ale pouze po nov\u011b vybudovan\u00e9m Nord Stream 2.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nord Stream 1 je prakticky zni\u010den<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Gazpromu na jeho telegramov\u00e9m \u00fa\u010dtu uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee jeden ze t\u0159\u00ed plynovod\u016f Nord Stream 2 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nedot\u010den a plyn\u00e1rensk\u00fd gigant sn\u00ed\u017eil tlak, aby zkontroloval, zda nen\u00ed spojen\u00ed po\u0161kozeno a zda nedo\u0161lo k \u00faniku.\u00a0Nord Stream 2 m\u00e1 p\u0159epravn\u00ed kapacitu 55 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch ro\u010dn\u011b, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jej\u00ed linka B by mohla p\u0159es Baltsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e do N\u011bmecka dodat a\u017e 27,5 miliardy metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nord Stream 2 v\u0161ak pot\u0159ebuje povolen\u00ed EU, co\u017e je vzhledem k nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi Bruselem a Moskvou problematick\u00e9.\u00a0Toto nap\u011bt\u00ed by mohlo eskalovat, pokud EU podpo\u0159\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed G7 pod veden\u00edm USA o zaveden\u00ed cenov\u00e9ho stropu na ruskou ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je jist\u011b tak\u00e9 kalkul Washingtonu \u2013 p\u0159ichytit N\u011bmecko a udr\u017eet Rusko mimo.\u00a0Washington pron\u00e1sleduje stra\u0161idlo, \u017ee Berl\u00edn by mohl ztratit z\u00e1jem o v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Vzestup atlanticist\u016f v patrech moci v Berl\u00edn\u011b v posledn\u00edch letech \u2013 a jejich spojen\u00ed se zlomysln\u011b rusofobn\u00edmi byrokraty EU v Bruselu \u2013 zat\u00edm hr\u00e1ly ve prosp\u011bch Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

EU prakticky skon\u010dila<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ale zem\u011b se chv\u011bje, jak uk\u00e1zal dramatick\u00fd obrat v politice ve \u0160v\u00e9dsku a It\u00e1lii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nepodce\u0148ujte \u201emelounov\u00fd efekt\u201c.\u00a0Pointa je, \u017ee krajn\u00ed pravice m\u00e1 v dob\u00e1ch nejistoty a ekonomick\u00fdch pot\u00ed\u017e\u00ed voli\u010d\u016fm v\u017edy co nab\u00eddnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 ve Francii je prezident Macron nehybn\u00fd, postr\u00e1d\u00e1 parlamentn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu k p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1kon\u016f a je utahov\u00e1n s\u00e9riov\u00fdmi krizemi.\u00a0Ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii finan\u010dn\u00ed krize vyvolan\u00e1 rozpo\u010dtem kancl\u00e9\u0159e Kwasi Kwarteng z\u00e1sadn\u011b ukazuje nedostatek \u017eivotaschopn\u00fdch alternativn\u00edch ekonomick\u00fdch model\u016f.\u00a0Sterling je ve voln\u00e9m p\u00e1du.\u00a0Dv\u011bma po sob\u011b jdouc\u00edm vl\u00e1d\u00e1m konzervativc\u016f se nepoda\u0159ilo vyvinout post-brexitov\u00fd model, zat\u00edmco labourist\u00e9 Brexit nikdy necht\u011bli.\u00a0Trussova vl\u00e1da<\/span>
\nje posledn\u00ed \u0161anc\u00ed, jak skute\u010dn\u011b prosadit brexit, ale nikdo nezadr\u017euje dech.\u00a0A pak, potopa – ud\u00e1losti se zvrhnou.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee pro t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed mocensk\u00e1 centra v euroz\u00f3n\u011b a Brit\u00e1nii je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 uniknout ze star\u00e9ho, um\u00edraj\u00edc\u00edho pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho sv\u011bta 20. s\u00edly na Ukrajin\u011b, navzdory vychlouba\u010dn\u00fdm pr\u00e1v\u016fm Bidenovy administrativy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nev\u011b\u0159te st\u0159ede\u010dn\u00edmu inaugura\u010dn\u00edmu summitu Evropsk\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho spole\u010denstv\u00ed (EPC) v Praze, na kter\u00e9m se sejdou l\u00edd\u0159i 27 \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f EU a a\u017e 17 ne\u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00ed EU \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b Brit\u00e1nie, Turecko, Severn\u00ed Makedonie, \u010cern\u00e1 Hora, Alb\u00e1nie, Srbsko, Kosovo, Bosna a<\/span>
\nHercegovina, Gruzie, Ukrajina, Moldavsko, Norsko, \u0160v\u00fdcarsko, Island, Lichten\u0161tejnsko, Arm\u00e9nie, \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n a Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jasnou pravdou je, \u017ee projekt evropsk\u00e9 integrace skon\u010dil.\u00a0Jak\u00fdkoli pokus o jeho prosazen\u00ed vyvol\u00e1 n\u00e1silnou reakci.\u00a0P\u0159i zp\u011btn\u00e9m pohledu tedy rozchod s Ruskem zah\u00e1jil novou geopolitickou situaci v Evrop\u011b a odhalil bruselsk\u00fd hlavolam ohledn\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed EU.\u00a0EPC nen\u00ed nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e skryt\u00fd francouzsk\u00fd trik, jak zpomalit skute\u010dn\u00e9 \u010dlenstv\u00ed zem\u00ed v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy a Balk\u00e1nu v EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Summit EPC na Pra\u017esk\u00e9m hrad\u011b jen podtrhuje, \u017ee jde o kafkovsk\u00fd moment v evropsk\u00e9 politice.\u00a0Je to pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e1 pomsta Evrop\u011b za cynick\u00fd, n\u00e1siln\u00fd p\u0159evrat v roce 2014, kter\u00fd p\u0159eru\u0161il pupe\u010dn\u00ed \u0161\u0148\u016fru s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud se pom\u011br sil na Ukrajin\u011b op\u011bt posune, jeho dozvuky ovlivn\u00ed jednotu samotn\u00e9ho projektu EU…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16522,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,39,122,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16521"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16521"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16521\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16522"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16521"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16521"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16521"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}