{"id":16163,"date":"2022-10-03T17:36:12","date_gmt":"2022-10-03T15:36:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=16163"},"modified":"2022-10-03T17:39:27","modified_gmt":"2022-10-03T15:39:27","slug":"jiri-paroubek-prohra-hnuti-ano-v-senatnich-volbach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/10\/03\/jiri-paroubek-prohra-hnuti-ano-v-senatnich-volbach\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Prohra hnut\u00ed ANO v sen\u00e1tn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Jak to hezky vyj\u00e1d\u0159il Josef \u0160vejk: \u201eNap\u0159ed nep\u0159\u00edtele poraz\u00edme, potom po\u0159\u00e1d a po\u0159\u00e1d za n\u00edm a nakonec nesta\u010d\u00edme sami ut\u00edkat\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden oslavovalo hnut\u00ed ANO v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v komun\u00e1ln\u00edch volb\u00e1ch. Bylo v komun\u00e1ln\u00edch volb\u00e1ch \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve v\u0161ech velk\u00fdch a v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch m\u011bstech. A proto bylo, co do po\u010dtu odevzdan\u00fdch hlas\u016f z politick\u00fdch stran nej\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

To, co se ov\u0161em hnut\u00ed ANO zejm\u00e9na povedlo v t\u00e9 lok\u00e1ln\u00ed a m\u011bstsk\u00e9 politice, je, \u017ee skon\u010dila doba jeho politick\u00e9 ostrakizace. Vzpome\u0148me si, \u017ee je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed \u010dty\u0159mi lety, po komun\u00e1ln\u00edch volb\u00e1ch, \u201ezaveden\u00e9\u201c politick\u00e9 strany necht\u011bly na m\u00edstn\u00ed \u00farovni utv\u00e1\u0159et s hnut\u00edm ANO povolebn\u00ed radni\u010dn\u00ed koalice a hnut\u00ed se tak nedost\u00e1valo do rad zastupitelstev.<\/p>\n

Nejtypi\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem toho se stalo Brno, v n\u011bm\u017e p\u0159ed \u010dty\u0159mi lety hnut\u00ed ANO zv\u00edt\u011bzilo, a jeho kandid\u00e1t se nejen nestal prim\u00e1torem, ale on se nestal ani \u010dlenem m\u011bstsk\u00e9 rady a ANO str\u00e1vilo cel\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159i roky v opozici. A takov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f byly des\u00edtky.<\/p>\n

Dnes je ANO v jin\u00e9 situaci. Lid\u00e9 se v zastupitelstvech \u201eo\u0165ukali\u201c, zjistili, \u017ee k sob\u011b maj\u00ed bl\u00edzko \u010di daleko a \u017ee mohou \u010di naopak nemohou spolupracovat. A pokud bude A. Babi\u0161 trp\u011bliv\u00fd, u\u017e za dva a nejpozd\u011bji za \u010dty\u0159i roky bude m\u00edt hnut\u00ed ANO dostatek vyprofilovan\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f pro sen\u00e1tn\u00ed volby. A v\u00fdsledek voleb m\u016f\u017ee dopadnout \u00fapln\u011b jinak ne\u017e tentokr\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

V podobn\u00e9 situaci byla ostatn\u011b i soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokracie v roce 2006, kdy v\u00fdznamn\u011bji pronikla do komun\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky (z\u00edskala prim\u00e1tora jak v Ostrav\u011b, tak v Brn\u011b a zastoupen\u00ed v rad\u00e1ch mnoha \u010desk\u00fdch a moravsk\u00fdch m\u011bst) a v letech 2008 \u2013 2012 p\u0159edstavila celou \u201ebaterii\u201c zaj\u00edmav\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f pro sen\u00e1tn\u00ed volby. A v sen\u00e1tn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch slavn\u011b v\u00edt\u011bzila.<\/p>\n

M\u00e9dia se dnes vracej\u00ed k \u201eoran\u017eov\u00e9 tsunami\u201c v roce 2008 a celkem nep\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b vzpom\u00ednaj\u00ed na ten \u00fadajn\u011b hlavn\u00ed d\u016fvod tehdej\u0161\u00edho grandi\u00f3zn\u00edho \u00fasp\u011bchu soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokracie (z\u00edskala 23 sen\u00e1tor\u016f z 27 kandiduj\u00edc\u00edch), kter\u00fd se pr\u00fd op\u00edral o boj proti poplatk\u016fm u l\u00e9ka\u0159e. Marketing tehdej\u0161\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokracie byl tvo\u0159en v z\u00e1sad\u011b na v\u011bdeck\u00e9m z\u00e1klad\u011b. Vych\u00e1zel z pom\u011brn\u011b exaktn\u00edch a pravideln\u011b prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch sociologick\u00fdch anal\u00fdz. Krom\u011b boje proti poplatk\u016fm ve zdravotnictv\u00ed (ty ostatn\u00ed poplatky ve zdravotnictv\u00ed byly podobn\u011b hloup\u00e9 jako ten poplatek za n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu l\u00e9ka\u0159e) byl velk\u00fdm t\u00e9matem boj proti um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Brdech, 50 km od Prahy. 70 a\u017e 80% ob\u010dan\u016f bylo proti um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed ciz\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny na na\u0161em \u00fazem\u00ed. Krom\u011b toho vl\u00e1da M. Topol\u00e1nka d\u011blala pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u011b obrovsk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 chyby, kde sta\u010dilo jen sed\u011bt \u2013 jak \u0159\u00edkal n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edseda \u010cSSD Ji\u0159\u00ed Hor\u00e1k \u2013 se sv\u011b\u0161en\u00fdma rukama a \u010dekat.<\/p>\n

A pokud se toto (ne)\u010dek\u00e1n\u00ed spojilo je\u0161t\u011b s aktivn\u00edmi ataky na nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed programov\u00e9 chyby Topol\u00e1nkovy vl\u00e1dy, mohly b\u00fdt vyhl\u00e1\u0161eny krajsk\u00e9 a sen\u00e1tn\u00ed volby soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokraci\u00ed jako referendum o vl\u00e1d\u011b.<\/p>\n

P\u0159i v\u0161\u00ed \u00fact\u011b k hnut\u00ed ANO a kvalit\u011b jeho dlouhodob\u00e9ho marketingu, mus\u00edm \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee tentokr\u00e1t nem\u011blo ani dobou strategii, ani dobrou taktiku veden\u00ed politick\u00e9ho boje. Tak p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm si A. Babi\u0161 nechal vnutit boji\u0161t\u011b. T\u00edm se stal volebn\u00ed obvod Jihlava s celkem pevn\u011b usazen\u00fdm kandid\u00e1tem ODS, Vystr\u010dilem. Pokud by A. Babi\u0161 opravdu cht\u011bl porazit Vystr\u010dila, rozhodn\u011b by se nepustil do experimentu s kontroverzn\u00ed kandidaturou Jany Nagyov\u00e9, ale nab\u00eddl by kandidaturu b\u00fdval\u00e9mu popul\u00e1rn\u00edmu hejtmanovi kraje Vyso\u010dina, B\u011bhounkovi. Jsem p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee B\u011bhounek by si Vystr\u010dila ve volb\u00e1ch str\u010dil do kapsy u vesti\u010dky. A to bez velk\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed… A. Babi\u0161ovi \u0161lo o n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho. Cht\u011bl zjistit, jak ve\u0159ejnost p\u0159\u00edjme kauzu \u010cap\u00ed hn\u00edzdo, projedn\u00e1vanou moment\u00e1ln\u011b u soudu. Pokud by Nagyov\u00e1 zv\u00edt\u011bzila, byl by to dobr\u00fd sign\u00e1l i pro jeho prezidentskou kandidaturu….<\/p>\n

Je \u0161koda, \u017ee marketingov\u00ed experti, kter\u00e9 ANO m\u00e1, neporadili \u0161\u00e9fovi hnut\u00ed, aby alespo\u0148 v t\u00fddnu mezi prvn\u00edm a druh\u00fdm kolem sen\u00e1tn\u00edch voleb nechodil do soudn\u00ed s\u00edn\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00e9mu soudn\u00e9mu \u010dlov\u011bku, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt jasn\u00e9, \u017ee na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed zah\u00e1jen\u00ed soudn\u00edho procesu s A. Babi\u0161em t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed volbami bylo politick\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm, maj\u00edc\u00edm za c\u00edl \u0161\u00e9fa hnut\u00ed ANO dekoncentrovat a po\u0161kodit. A po\u0161kodit tak cel\u00e9 hnut\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Je nesporn\u00e9, \u017ee ANO p\u0159ich\u00e1zelo dlouhodob\u011b s n\u00e1m\u011bty na \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed inflace a energetick\u00e9 krize rychleji a s realisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi n\u00e1m\u011bty a n\u00e1vrhy ne\u017eli koalice Spolu. Ale toho podstatn\u00e9ho se voli\u010di nedo\u010dkali. Marketingov\u00ed experti m\u011bli sv\u00e9mu \u0161\u00e9fovi doporu\u010dit, aby se op\u0159el o tu v\u011bt\u0161inu ve\u0159ejnosti, kter\u00e1 chce j\u00edt p\u0159i \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed energetick\u00e9 krize ma\u010farskou cestou. P\u0159itom A. Babi\u0161 a V. Orb\u00e1n jsou osobn\u00edmi p\u0159\u00e1teli. Nebyl by jist\u011b probl\u00e9m, kdyby A. Babi\u0161 ve\u0159ejn\u011b \u0159ekl, \u017ee bude hledat nejlevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dostupn\u00fd plyn a ropu po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. V\u017edy\u0165 podle pr\u016fzkumu Kantar CZ p\u0159ed p\u00e1r t\u00fddny zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9mu si v\u011bt\u0161ina \u010desk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f p\u0159eje (49%:43%, kte\u0159\u00ed si to nep\u0159ej\u00ed) p\u0159\u00edmo jednat o cen\u011b a dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch energetick\u00fdch surovin s Moskvou. To, \u017ee by to vyvolalo hysterick\u00e9 \u00fatoky \u010desk\u00e9 pravice, kter\u00e1 zemi dovedla do dne\u0161n\u00ed krizov\u00e9 situace (jsme st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b JEN na po\u010d\u00e1tku ob\u0159\u00ed krize, kter\u00e1 n\u00e1m hroz\u00ed), je jasn\u00e9. Ale bez politick\u00e9 odvahy nelze zv\u00edt\u011bzit.<\/p>\n

Varuj\u00edc\u00edm sign\u00e1lem pro celou politickou t\u0159\u00eddu je ale n\u00edzk\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dast v druh\u00e9m kole sen\u00e1tn\u00edch voleb. V roce 2008 byla \u00fa\u010dast voli\u010d\u016f t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 30%. V tomto roce necel\u00fdch 19,5%.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b hnut\u00ed ANO nem\u011blo t\u00e9mata takov\u00e9ho kalibru, kter\u00e1 by vyvolala ve spole\u010dnosti pot\u0159ebu zdeptat pravicovou vl\u00e1du v druh\u00e9m kole sen\u00e1tn\u00edch voleb. V\u00edce ne\u017e 80% voli\u010d\u016fm \u2013 ob\u010dan\u016fm to bylo \u00fapln\u011b fuk.<\/p>\n

ANO prost\u011b nep\u0159i\u0161lo s nov\u00fdm paradigmatem \u010desk\u00e9 politiky. A to je p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou jeho por\u00e1\u017eky v sen\u00e1tn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch, kdy celkov\u011b z\u00edskalo pouh\u00e9 t\u0159i mand\u00e1ty. P\u0159itom v p\u011bti volebn\u00edch obvodech prohr\u00e1lo velmi t\u011bsn\u011b (z toho ve dvou obvodech se jednalo o spole\u010dn\u00e9ho kandid\u00e1ta s \u010cSSD). Zv\u00edt\u011bzila jednozna\u010dn\u011b pravicov\u00e1 koalice SPOLU. Nejv\u00edce mand\u00e1t\u016f z\u00edskala ODS (8), d\u00e1le KDU-\u010cSL (7), TOP 09 (3) a STAN s jedn\u00edm mand\u00e1tem. Pokud to pro ANO byly \u0161patn\u00e9 volby, tak pro hnut\u00ed STAN to byl naprost\u00fd debakl. Hnut\u00ed STAN obhajovalo 6 mand\u00e1t\u016f a z\u00edskalo pouh\u00fd jeden mand\u00e1t. Nepochybn\u011b se projevilo to, \u017ee STAN byl pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1n seri\u00e1lem trapn\u00fdch kauz, jeho\u017e vyvrcholen\u00edm byla kauza Dozimetr, kter\u00e1 prokazuje propojen\u00ed tohoto hnut\u00ed s organizovan\u00fdm zlo\u010dinem.<\/p>\n

Hnut\u00ed STAN sice neodch\u00e1z\u00ed z politick\u00e9 sc\u00e9ny zcela. Jeho klub v Sen\u00e1tu je st\u00e1le velmi siln\u00fd, ale pokud bude STAN pokra\u010dovat v sou\u010dasn\u00fdch chyb\u00e1ch, dopadne podobn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem jako soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokracie. Ztrat\u00ed postupn\u011b d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost i voli\u010de.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledek ve druh\u00e9m kole sen\u00e1tn\u00edch voleb a tak\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky pravice ve dvou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch \u010desk\u00fdch m\u011bstech, v Praze a Brn\u011b, jist\u011b povedou vl\u00e1du a vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politiky k nerozumn\u00e9mu z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee jsou vlastn\u011b mist\u0159i sv\u011bta a \u017ee nemus\u00ed nic na sv\u00e9 politice m\u011bnit. To, co hroz\u00ed tuto zimu je jednak ob\u0159\u00ed zdra\u017een\u00ed v\u0161ech energi\u00ed, plynem po\u010d\u00ednaje, p\u0159es elektrickou energii a teplem kon\u010de. To bude ekonomick\u00fd knock-out pro \u0159adu \u010desk\u00fdch dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zni\u010den\u00ed t\u0159\u00ed ze \u010dty\u0159 \u201etrubek\u201c plynovodu Nordstream 1 a 2, m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159iv\u00e9st u\u017e v lednu celou zemi k situaci, \u017ee bude m\u00edt nedostatek plynu jak pro pr\u016fmysl, tak pro dom\u00e1cnosti. Nechci takovou situaci ani domyslet.<\/p>\n

A b\u011bhem podzimu budou pokra\u010dovat masov\u00e9 demonstrace organizovan\u00e9 neparlamentn\u00ed opozic\u00ed a odbor\u00e1\u0159i a d\u016fv\u011bra ve vl\u00e1du bude padat k historick\u00fdm minim\u016fm. Je ot\u00e1zkou, jak se za takov\u00e9 situace d\u00e1 vl\u00e1dnout zemi pln\u00e9 milion\u016f stresovan\u00fdch a na\u0161tvan\u00fdch lid\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jak to hezky vyj\u00e1d\u0159il Josef \u0160vejk: \u201eNap\u0159ed nep\u0159\u00edtele poraz\u00edme, potom po\u0159\u00e1d a po\u0159\u00e1d za n\u00edm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[159,126,29,164,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16163"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16163\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}