{"id":15783,"date":"2022-09-28T01:08:05","date_gmt":"2022-09-27T23:08:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=15783"},"modified":"2022-09-27T18:45:43","modified_gmt":"2022-09-27T16:45:43","slug":"larry-c-johnson-rozejde-se-evropa-se-spojenymi-staty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/09\/28\/larry-c-johnson-rozejde-se-evropa-se-spojenymi-staty\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry C. Johnson: Rozejde se Evropa se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dostal jsem skv\u011bl\u00fd dotaz od n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00fd je shodou okolnost\u00ed tak\u00e9 novin\u00e1\u0159.\u00a0Zeptal se: „Jak\u00fd by byl jeden zp\u016fsob a jak\u00e9 by to m\u011blo praktick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky, kdyby se Evropa obecn\u011b a N\u011bmecko konkr\u00e9tn\u011b roze\u0161ly s USA a na\u0161ly evropsk\u00fd m\u00edr a ekonomick\u00fd r\u00e1mec zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed Rusko?“<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zbab\u011bl\u00e9 kr\u010den\u00ed projevovan\u00e9 N\u011bmeckem, Franci\u00ed a Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed p\u0159i jejich v\u00e1\u0161niv\u00e9m schvalov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 konfrontace s Ruskem je nyn\u00ed u konce.\u00a0Navzdory neust\u00e1l\u00fdm bombastick\u00fdm hrozb\u00e1m vyzbrojit Ukrajinu, dokud se Rusko nezhrout\u00ed, ekonomick\u00e1 realita zas\u00e1hne Evropany jako mraziv\u00e1 sprcha z hasi\u010dsk\u00e9 hadice.\u00a0Rychl\u00e1 inflace, zejm\u00e9na v energetick\u00e9m sektoru, nut\u00ed tov\u00e1rny a spole\u010dnosti zav\u00edrat sv\u00e9 provozy.\u00a0Deindustrializace Evropy, zejm\u00e9na N\u011bmecka a Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed, za\u010dala.\u00a0N\u011bmeck\u00e9 ocel\u00e1rny se zav\u00edraj\u00ed, n\u011bmeck\u00e9 pek\u00e1rny se sna\u017e\u00ed vymyslet, jak zaplatit rostouc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dty za elekt\u0159inu a p\u0159itom je\u0161t\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bt chl\u00e9b a precl\u00edky,\u00a0a n\u011bmeck\u00fd v\u00fdrobce toaletn\u00edho pap\u00edru Hakle GmbH podal n\u00e1vrh na vlastn\u00ed insolven\u010dn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.\u00a0Pokud nem\u00e1te bidet nebo kbel\u00edk pln\u00fd p\u00edsku, toaletn\u00ed pap\u00edr je nutnost\u00ed.\u00a0Infla\u010dn\u00ed spir\u00e1la m\u016f\u017ee znamenat, \u017ee jednoho dne bude levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ut\u0159\u00edt si zadek 100eurovou bankovkou ne\u017e t\u0159emi listy Hakle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e1 situace v ka\u017ed\u00e9 ze zem\u00ed tedy vytvo\u0159\u00ed obrovsk\u00fd vnitropolitick\u00fd tlak na p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 v sou\u010dasnosti hajluj\u00ed Ukrajinu a nad\u00e1vaj\u00ed na Rusko, aby p\u0159ehodnotily svou politiku.\u00a0V\u00e1lka mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou ji\u017e vytvo\u0159ila zna\u010dn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly mezi \u010dleny EU, Ma\u010farsko odm\u00edtlo uvalit na Rusko dal\u0161\u00ed sankce.\u00a0Chladn\u00ed, hladov\u00ed voli\u010di budou st\u00e1le v\u00edce rozho\u0159\u010deni t\u00edm, \u017ee na Ukrajinu proud\u00ed miliony dolar\u016f, zat\u00edmco deprivace se mno\u017e\u00ed od Berl\u00edna po Lond\u00fdn.<\/span><\/p>\n

Propast mezi Evropou a Ruskem je \u0161irok\u00e1 a Rusko nem\u00e1 n\u00e1ladu ur\u00e1\u017eet v\u0161echno rusk\u00e9, kr\u00e1st rusk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky a napom\u00e1hat teroristick\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na brzy nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ob\u010dany Chersonsk\u00e9, Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed, Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti. Evrop\u011b odpustit.\u00a0Rusko dr\u017e\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd trumf \u2013 m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it dod\u00e1vky plynu a ropy, kter\u00e9 jsou nezbytn\u00e9 pro revitalizaci evropsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu a vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed.\u00a0Ale nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee to Rusko ud\u011bl\u00e1 bez n\u011b\u010deho na opl\u00e1tku.\u00a0Co by to mohlo b\u00fdt?<\/span><\/p>\n

Co kdyby se Evropa roze\u0161la s NATO?\u00a0Nebo, jednodu\u0161eji \u0159e\u010deno, rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed NATO.\u00a0Evropa dosud podl\u00e9hala iluzi, \u017ee Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee ekonomicky fungovat bez evropsk\u00e9ho trhu.\u00a0Posledn\u00edch \u0161est m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee opak je pravdou \u2013 bez kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f je Evropa mrtvou ekonomikou kr\u00e1\u010dej\u00edc\u00ed nah\u00e1 do mraziv\u00e9 zimy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dva nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u00ed partne\u0159i Evropy jsou \u010c\u00edna a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9.\u00a0Evropa m\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed deficit s \u010c\u00ednou.\u00a0Pokud bude \u010c\u00edna po\u017eadovat platby v dolarech m\u00edsto v eurech, budou infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky na Evropu eskalovat.\u00a0A pro\u010d?\u00a0Proto\u017ee hodnota americk\u00e9ho dolaru oproti euru a britsk\u00e9 lib\u0159e prudce vzrostla.\u00a0Budou muset utratit v\u00edce eur na n\u00e1kup dolar\u016f, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee obchodn\u00ed deficit s \u010c\u00ednou se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b prohloub\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty je p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00e1.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jsou v deficitu s Evropou, kter\u00e1 zase hospoda\u0159ila s p\u0159ebytkem.\u00a0Tento p\u0159ebytek zmiz\u00ed nebo se alespo\u0148 drasticky zmen\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Schopnost N\u011bmecka vyv\u00e1\u017eet produkty do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f se zhor\u0161\u00ed kv\u016fli sm\u011bnn\u00e9mu kurzu dolaru a zav\u0159en\u00ed nebo omezov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch tov\u00e1ren.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud nenastane z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00fd obrat \u2013 tj. zmiz\u00ed inflace a vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed se energetick\u00e1 krize \u2013 bude se situace v Evrop\u011b nad\u00e1le zhor\u0161ovat.\u00a0Historie tohoto druhu ekonomick\u00e9ho ot\u0159esu je poseta mrtvolami politik\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed trvali na prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed politik po\u0161kozuj\u00edc\u00edch jejich voli\u010de.\u00a0Ne\u00fasp\u011bch V\u00fdmarsk\u00e9 republiky v N\u011bmecku otev\u0159el cestu k n\u00e1stupu Adolfa Hitlera k moci.\u00a0Netvrd\u00edm, \u017ee nov\u00fd Hitler je v k\u0159\u00eddlech, ale v\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee moc, kterou nyn\u00ed Zelen\u00ed v Evrop\u011b maj\u00ed, bude omezena nebo dokonce zni\u010dena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u010del\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed hroz\u00edc\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 katastrof\u011b.\u00a0Zhroucen\u00ed akciov\u00e9ho trhu, kter\u00fd od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku klesl o v\u00edce ne\u017e 20 %, bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pokra\u010dovat.\u00a0Navzdory tomu, \u017ee Bidenova administrativa vehementn\u011b trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 recese neexistuje, zn\u00e1mky recese p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na na trhu s bydlen\u00edm.\u00a0Zhor\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se ekonomick\u00e1 situace v\u0161ak zat\u00edm nesta\u010d\u00ed k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed pot\u0159ebn\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho tlaku na propagandistick\u00e9 americk\u00e9 voli\u010de, aby se zdr\u017eeli miliardov\u00e9 pomoci pro Ukrajinu.\u00a0Velk\u00fd stagfla\u010dn\u00ed \u0161ok nebo kolaps ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy by v\u0161ak mohly tento kalkul zm\u011bnit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 a Evropa hraj\u00ed vysokou pokerovou hru s Ruskem.\u00a0Maj\u00ed v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 \u017eetony na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 bu\u010f poraz\u00ed Rusko, nebo p\u0159inut\u00ed Rusko k jednac\u00edmu stolu, a na Putinovi, kter\u00fd se s kloboukem v ruce na b\u0159i\u0161e plaz\u00ed p\u0159ed z\u00e1padn\u00edmi p\u00e1ny pros\u00edc\u00edmi o pomoc.\u00a0To je \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed.\u00a0Ale v temn\u00fdch koutech Washingtonu je mnoho politik\u016f a v\u011bdc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed t\u00e9to fantazii pevn\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko poker nehraje.\u00a0Rusko hraje \u0161achy a hraje se dob\u0159e.\u00a0Rostouc\u00ed obchodn\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9 vazby Ruska s \u010c\u00ednou, \u00cdr\u00e1nem, Indi\u00ed a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem, Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a Braz\u00edli\u00ed posiluj\u00ed, nikoli oslabuj\u00ed, Putinovu pozici.\u00a0P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fd kolaps Ukrajiny v d\u016fsledku zni\u010den\u00e9 ekonomiky a\/nebo por\u00e1\u017eek na bitevn\u00edm poli by byl pro NATO a obecn\u011bji pro Evropu v\u00edc ne\u017e jen \u010dern\u00fdm okem.\u00a0Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b by to zni\u010dilo raison d’\u00eatre NATO.\u00a0To zase polo\u017e\u00ed z\u00e1klady pro sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s Ruskem bez Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bk kolosu USA se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci.\u00a0Str\u00fd\u010dek Sam u\u017e nebude m\u00edt na vod\u00edtku sme\u010dku \u0161t\u011bkaj\u00edc\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch jork\u0161\u00edr\u016f, pudl\u00edk\u016f a jezev\u010d\u00edk\u016f.\u00a0Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee jsme na pokraji nov\u00e9ho multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du, kter\u00fd kone\u010dn\u011b rozbije d\u011bdictv\u00ed evropsk\u00e9ho kolonialismu a americk\u00e9ho imperialismu.\u00a0Garland Nixon moud\u0159e poznamenal: „Gener\u00e1l Winter je na pochodu.“<\/span><\/p>\n

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Dostal jsem skv\u011bl\u00fd dotaz od n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00fd je shodou okolnost\u00ed tak\u00e9 novin\u00e1\u0159.\u00a0Zeptal se: „Jak\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10403,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,371,39,1496,22,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15783"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15783"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15783\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15784,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15783\/revisions\/15784"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10403"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}