{"id":15207,"date":"2022-09-17T01:08:08","date_gmt":"2022-09-16T23:08:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=15207"},"modified":"2022-09-16T18:38:00","modified_gmt":"2022-09-16T16:38:00","slug":"vedci-modelovali-prubeh-a-dusledky-jaderne-valky-mezi-ruskem-a-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/09\/17\/vedci-modelovali-prubeh-a-dusledky-jaderne-valky-mezi-ruskem-a-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u011bdci modelovali pr\u016fb\u011bh a d\u016fsledky jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi Ruskem a NATO"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Ruskem a zem\u011bmi NATO bude m\u00edt \u201enep\u0159edstaviteln\u00e9\u201c d\u016fsledky pro \u017eivot na Zemi, p\u00ed\u0161e sloupka\u0159 \u010dasopisu Newsweek.\u00a0Ameri\u010dt\u00ed v\u011bdci modelovali pr\u016fb\u011bh ud\u00e1lost\u00ed s mo\u017enou vojenskou konfrontac\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma stranami a do\u0161li k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee ud\u00e1losti by mohly prob\u00edhat podle nejhor\u0161\u00edho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e.\u00a0Mezi o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky glob\u00e1ln\u00ed termonukle\u00e1rn\u00ed v\u00e1lky pat\u0159\u00ed smrt v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011bti miliard lid\u00ed a jadern\u00e1 zima.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V\u011bdci z Princetonsk\u00e9 univerzity modelovali pr\u016fb\u011bh v\u00e1lky mezi Ruskem a NATO a do\u0161li k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee vojensk\u00fd konflikt v pln\u00e9m rozsahu by se mohl odehr\u00e1t podle hrozn\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00fd by b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin vedl ke smrti milion\u016f lid\u00ed na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. .\u00a0\u010cty\u0159minutov\u00fd audiovizu\u00e1ln\u00ed segment nazvan\u00fd\u00a0<em>\u201ePl\u00e1n A\u201c<\/em>\u00a0vyvolal podle Newsweek nov\u00fd z\u00e1jem od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Zat\u00edmco nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin zajde tak daleko, \u017ee pou\u017eije jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, eskalace konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b vyvolala vlnu diskus\u00ed o mo\u017en\u00e9m vypuknut\u00ed jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.\u00a0<em>\u201ePokud lze soudit, jde o nejv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krizi s potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm jadern\u00fdm rozm\u011brem zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed Rusko a NATO od konce studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, i kdy\u017e je riziko jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky st\u00e1le pova\u017eov\u00e1no za \u201emal\u00e9\u201c, jak tvrd\u00ed mnoz\u00ed analytici<\/em>\u00a0. \u201c \u0159ekl Newsweku Alex Glazer, jeden z tv\u016frc\u016f\u00a0<em>\u201ePl\u00e1nu A\u201c<\/em>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<p>Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e za\u010dala ukrajinsk\u00e1 krize, Rusko a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty opustily dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy o kontrole jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, za\u010daly vyv\u00edjet nov\u00e9 typy strategick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily okruh okolnost\u00ed, za kter\u00fdch lze tyto zbran\u011b pou\u017e\u00edt.\u00a0Simulace\u00a0<em>\u201ePl\u00e1nu A\u201c<\/em>\u00a0je k dispozici jako video na YouTube.\u00a0Jeho \u00fa\u010delem je pouk\u00e1zat\u00a0<em>na \u201epotenci\u00e1ln\u011b katastrofick\u00e9\u201c<\/em> d\u016fsledky jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi Ruskem a NATO.\u00a0Po po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edm n\u00e1r\u016fstu z\u00e1jmu o video se sledovanost videa p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nezvedla a\u017e do konce \u00fanora 2022, kdy rusk\u00fd prezident nazna\u010dil mo\u017en\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, \u0159ekl Glazer.\u00a0Od t\u00e9 doby z\u00edskal simul\u00e1tor v\u00edce ne\u017e milion zhl\u00e9dnut\u00ed, p\u00ed\u0161e Newsweek.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"PLAN A\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2jy3JU-ORpo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Simulace za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 v kontextu konven\u010dn\u00edho konfliktu \u2013 Rusko vyp\u00e1l\u00ed varovn\u00fd v\u00fdst\u0159el z vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny u Kaliningradu ve snaze zastavit postup americk\u00fdch sil. Pak NATO vr\u00e1t\u00ed \u00fader taktick\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi ze vzduchu. Jadern\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny v Evrop\u011b rychle naberou na s\u00edle pot\u00e9, co Rusko odp\u00e1l\u00ed 300 hlavic z letadel a raket kr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho doletu, aby zas\u00e1hlo z\u00e1kladny NATO a postupuj\u00edc\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 s\u00edly. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st evropsk\u00e9ho kontinentu bude zni\u010dena, NATO odp\u00e1l\u00ed asi 600 pozemn\u00edch a podvodn\u00edch raket na rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 s\u00edly. Zat\u00edmco polet\u00ed sm\u011brem k c\u00edl\u016fm, rusk\u00e1 strana po\u0161le sv\u00e9 hlavice sm\u011brem k USA z odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, vozidel a ponorek, hl\u00e1s\u00ed pozorovatel\u00e9 Newsweeku.<\/p>\n<p>V z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi konfliktu Rusko a NATO vz\u00e1jemn\u011b za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na 30 nejlidnat\u011bj\u0161\u00edch m\u011bst a ekonomick\u00fdch center, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ka\u017ed\u00fd pou\u017eije 5-10 jadern\u00fdch hlavic, v z\u00e1vislosti na po\u010dtu obyvatel.\u00a0Pot\u00e9 se schopnost stran v\u00e9st glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed na nulu, poznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed noviny.<\/p>\n<p>Podle Glasera lze glob\u00e1ln\u00ed termonukle\u00e1rn\u00ed v\u00e1lku takov\u00e9ho rozsahu jist\u011b pova\u017eovat za\u00a0<em>&#8222;nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159<\/em>\u00a0&#8220; .\u00a0<em>&#8222;Jakmile byl p\u0159ekro\u010den jadern\u00fd pr\u00e1h, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 zabr\u00e1nit eskalaci na tot\u00e1ln\u00ed jadernou v\u00e1lku\u00a0se zni\u010den\u00edm m\u011bst a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch center, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo nep\u0159\u00edteli v zotaven\u00ed,&#8220;<\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl v\u011bdec podle Newsweeku. .<\/p>\n<p>Za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee jadern\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna z\u016fstane\u00a0<em>\u201eomezen\u00e1\u201c<\/em>\u00a0a druh\u00e1 strana ustoup\u00ed nebo provede odvetu pouze konven\u010dn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi, bude na osoby s rozhodovac\u00ed pravomoc\u00ed vyv\u00edjen obrovsk\u00fd tlak, aby\u00a0<em>\u201eodvetili\u201c<\/em>\u00a0a zbavili protivn\u00edka v\u00fdhody, p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed sloupka\u0159i Newsweeku.<\/p>\n<p>\u00da\u010dinky jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na \u017eivot na Zemi by byly podle Glasera\u00a0<em>\u201enep\u0159edstaviteln\u00e9\u201c<\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<em>\u201eKrom\u011b okam\u017eit\u00fdch \u0161kod a ekonomick\u00e9ho a soci\u00e1ln\u00edho kolapsu dojde k jadern\u00e9 zim\u011b, kter\u00e1 katastrofu je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161\u00ed<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c \u0159ekl s odkazem na jednu studii, kter\u00e1 uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee v\u00edce ne\u017e 5 miliard lid\u00ed nakonec zem\u0159e v d\u016fsledku jadern\u00e9ho konfliktu. mezi USA a Ruskem..\u00a0<em>&#8222;Necht\u011bl bych spekulovat, jak dlouho bude trvat, ne\u017e se lidstvo vzpamatuje<\/em>\u00a0,&#8220; shrnul Glaser, uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Newsweek.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>_______________________________________________<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/09\/13\/skandal-v-spd-kontroversni-a-pravomocne-odsouzeny-tomas-jarolim-na-kandidatce-teplicke-spd\/\">\u010ct\u011bte zde: Pravomocn\u011b odsouzen\u00fd Tom\u00e1\u0161 Jarol\u00edm na kandid\u00e1tce SPD<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Ruskem a zem\u011bmi NATO bude m\u00edt \u201enep\u0159edstaviteln\u00e9\u201c d\u016fsledky pro \u017eivot na Zemi,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15209,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1652,39,22,40,3340],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15207"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15207"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15207\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15208,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15207\/revisions\/15208"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15209"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}