{"id":14967,"date":"2022-09-13T01:01:26","date_gmt":"2022-09-12T23:01:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=14967"},"modified":"2022-09-12T13:21:52","modified_gmt":"2022-09-12T11:21:52","slug":"rostouci-ceny-pohonnych-hmot-a-hluboka-recese-tlaci-zapadni-evropu-do-stredoveku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/09\/13\/rostouci-ceny-pohonnych-hmot-a-hluboka-recese-tlaci-zapadni-evropu-do-stredoveku\/","title":{"rendered":"Rostouc\u00ed ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot a hlubok\u00e1 recese tla\u010d\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropu do st\u0159edov\u011bku"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Podle hlavn\u00edho sloupka\u0159e Forbes Kennetha Rapoza \u010del\u00ed EU a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 krizi.\u00a0V d\u016fsledku toho podle n\u011bj mus\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00ed ekonomiky regionu v\u010detn\u011b N\u011bmecka na p\u0159\u00edd\u011bl spot\u0159eby paliva a dokonce i sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v\u00fdroby.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b se kv\u016fli rekordn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen plynu \u201e\u00a0<em>st\u011bhuj\u00ed do st\u0159edov\u011bku<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0Mus\u00ed k\u00e1cet lesy kv\u016fli omezen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek paliva, p\u00ed\u0161e hlavn\u00ed sloupka\u0159 Forbes Kenneth Rapoza.<\/p>\n<p>Krize, kter\u00e9 kraj \u010del\u00ed, u\u017e podle n\u011bj nevypad\u00e1 kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b.\u00a0To je zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b patrn\u00e9 na p\u0159\u00edkladu N\u011bmecka, kde spole\u010dnosti \u201e\u00a0<em>trp\u00ed<\/em>\u00a0\u201c vysok\u00fdmi \u00fa\u010dty za energie a dokonce jsou nuceny omezit sv\u00e9 aktivity.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u00a0<em>Zpr\u00e1vy ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropy p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00ed to, co kdysi p\u0159ich\u00e1zelo ze zem\u00ed jako Bol\u00edvie.\u00a0Vysok\u00e1 inflace je doprov\u00e1zena p\u0159\u00edd\u011blem ve spot\u0159eb\u011b zdroj\u016f ze strany st\u00e1tu<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 novin\u00e1\u0159.<\/p>\n<p>Navzdory brexitu se Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed tak\u00e9 pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s d\u016fsledky politick\u00fdch chybn\u00fdch kalkulac\u00ed ze strany EU.\u00a0Aby vy\u0159e\u0161ila energetick\u00fd probl\u00e9m, p\u0159estala nov\u00e1 premi\u00e9rka zem\u011b Liz Trussov\u00e1 naslouchat klimatick\u00e9 lobby a sl\u00edbila zru\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1kazu produkce plynu hydraulick\u00fdm \u0161t\u011bpen\u00edm, zd\u016fraz\u0148uje autor \u010dl\u00e1nku.<\/p>\n<p>Ve snaze \u201e\u00a0<em>zachr\u00e1nit se<\/em>\u00a0\u201c N\u011bmecko podepisuje dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy na dod\u00e1vky americk\u00e9ho LNG.\u00a0St\u00e1le je v\u0161ak t\u0159eba naj\u00edt m\u00edsto, kde by se ubytovala, tak\u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da bude muset co nejd\u0159\u00edve postavit nov\u00e9 termin\u00e1ly, vysv\u011btluje sloupka\u0159.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u00a0<em>Ale tyto akce m\u011bly b\u00fdt u\u010din\u011bny p\u0159ed mnoha lety, nebo alespo\u0148 p\u0159ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm rusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed.\u00a0Evropa nem\u011bla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 eso v ruk\u00e1vu<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c argumentuje Rapoza.<\/p>\n<p>Podle ekonom\u016f z britsk\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho konglomer\u00e1tu Barclays Capital \u010del\u00ed EU \u201e\u00a0<em>hlub\u0161\u00ed d\u00e9letrvaj\u00edc\u00ed recesi a trvalej\u0161\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu inflace<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0D\u016fvodem jsou rostouc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed, tvrd\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed popt\u00e1vka.<\/p>\n<p>Podle odborn\u00edk\u016f bude recese v euroz\u00f3n\u011b pokra\u010dovat a\u017e do druh\u00e9ho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2023 a re\u00e1ln\u00fd HDP poklesne o 1,7 %.\u00a0V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b na tom budou n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b h\u016f\u0159e ne\u017e jin\u00e9.\u00a0Nejakutn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krizi poc\u00edt\u00ed N\u011bmecko, kter\u00e9 je siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch rusk\u00e9ho plynu, \u0160pan\u011blsko, It\u00e1lie a Francie.<\/p>\n<p>Za posledn\u00edch p\u011bt let Evropsk\u00e1 unie spot\u0159ebovala v pr\u016fm\u011bru 400 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch plynu ro\u010dn\u011b, z toho asi 100 miliard p\u0159ipadlo dom\u00e1cnostem a 167 miliard pr\u016fmyslu.\u00a0Dal\u0161\u00edch 133 miliard bylo pou\u017eito jako mezizdroje v energetice.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace na Ukrajin\u011b EU nakoupila t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 polovinu plynu z Ruska.\u00a0Proto, kdy\u017e Moskva v reakci na sankce omez\u00ed v\u00fdvoz plynu do Evropy, jedin\u00e9, co bloku zb\u00fdv\u00e1, je p\u0159id\u011blit spot\u0159ebu zdroj\u016f a hledat alternativy.\u00a0Ot\u00e1zka, pro\u010d o tom l\u00edd\u0159i EU neuva\u017eovali d\u0159\u00edve, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u00e1, upozor\u0148uje Rapoza.<\/p>\n<p>Evrop\u011b se podle n\u011bj poda\u0159ilo nahradit zna\u010dn\u00e9 objemy rusk\u00e9ho plynu dra\u017e\u0161\u00edm LNG z jin\u00fdch zdroj\u016f.\u00a0Ty ale zase musely sn\u00ed\u017eit spot\u0159ebu paliva.<\/p>\n<p>Evropsk\u00e1 komise v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee EU pot\u0159ebuje sn\u00ed\u017eit spot\u0159ebu plynu o zhruba 15 % (nebo asi 60 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch) sv\u00e9 ro\u010dn\u00ed spot\u0159eby, pokud \u201e\u00a0<em>p\u0159eru\u0161\u00ed vztahy<\/em>\u00a0\u201c s Moskvou.\u00a0I tento v\u00fdpo\u010det v\u0161ak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko prod\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed modr\u00e9ho paliva bloku.<\/p>\n<p><em>Podle ekonom\u016f Barclays m\u016f\u017ee Evropa zaplnit v\u011bt\u0161inu nedostatku (m\u00ednus 16 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch), pokud do sv\u00e9 \u201e matice obnoviteln\u00e9 energie<\/em>\u00a0\u201c zahrne jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny a uhl\u00ed\u00a0.\u00a0Jak\u00e9koli po\u017eadavky na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed spot\u0159eby v\u0161ak zp\u016fsob\u00ed ekonomice stejnou \u0161kodu jako vysok\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dty za elekt\u0159inu.<\/p>\n<p>Nakonec evropsk\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda a obyvatelstvo donut\u00ed v\u016fdce zm\u011bnit kurz.\u00a0Tlak ve\u0159ejnosti bude prov\u00e1zet nov\u00e1 ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed a zav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1vod\u016f, a pak bude mo\u017en\u00e9 \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee krize v regionu \u201e\u00a0<em>s\u00e1hla na dno<\/em>\u00a0\u201c, domn\u00edv\u00e1 se Raposa.<\/p>\n<p>Experti Barclays \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed o\u017eiven\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky ve tvaru U do druh\u00e9 poloviny p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku.\u00a0Mezit\u00edm m\u016f\u017ee EU jen sympatizovat, uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Kenneth Rapoza.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Podle hlavn\u00edho sloupka\u0159e Forbes Kennetha Rapoza \u010del\u00ed EU a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 krizi.\u00a0V d\u016fsledku&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14142,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[285,41,371,3290],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14967"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14967\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14142"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}