{"id":14966,"date":"2022-09-13T01:00:23","date_gmt":"2022-09-12T23:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=14966"},"modified":"2022-09-12T13:14:26","modified_gmt":"2022-09-12T11:14:26","slug":"nemecky-profesor-usa-se-chteji-dostat-z-ekonomicke-krize-rozpoutanim-valky-ve-stredu-evropy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/09\/13\/nemecky-profesor-usa-se-chteji-dostat-z-ekonomicke-krize-rozpoutanim-valky-ve-stredu-evropy\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u011bmeck\u00fd profesor: USA se cht\u011bj\u00ed dostat z ekonomick\u00e9 krize rozpout\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00e1lky ve st\u0159edu Evropy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ekonomick\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi v N\u011bmecku zn\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l chmurn\u011bji, p\u00ed\u0161e profesor ekonomie Christian Kreis na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten.\u00a0Zemi hroz\u00ed zb\u00edda\u010den\u00ed a deindustrializace, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e nejv\u00edce jsou posti\u017eeny mal\u00e9 a st\u0159edn\u00ed podniky.\u00a0Jsou ale tac\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed z toho, co se d\u011bje, t\u011b\u017e\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na Ameri\u010dan\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed v Evrop\u011b z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b rozpout\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00e1lku a sna\u017e\u00ed se tak \u0159e\u0161it sv\u00e9 probl\u00e9my s dluhy a nadprodukc\u00ed, vysv\u011btluje expert.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 denn\u011b p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed smutn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o ekonomick\u00e9 situaci v N\u011bmecku, p\u00ed\u0161e profesor ekonomie Christian Kreis na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten.\u00a0Odborn\u00edci varuj\u00ed, \u017ee N\u011bmci zchudnou v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 20\u201330 %, v zemi zav\u0159ou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 podniky a za\u010dne deindustrializace.\u00a0N\u011bmecko se dostalo do \u201e\u00a0cenov\u00e9 pasti<\/em>\u00a0\u201c, n\u00e1klady na elekt\u0159inu a plyn jsou na n\u011bmeck\u00e9m trhu mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e na americk\u00fdch a asijsk\u00fdch trz\u00edch.\u00a0Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zdra\u017een\u00ed v\u0161ak teprve p\u0159ijde, a tak to z hlediska konkurenceschopnosti pro N\u011bmecko nen\u00ed dobr\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Nejh\u016f\u0159e se situace vyv\u00edj\u00ed u mal\u00fdch a pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch podnik\u016f, pokra\u010duje Krejs.\u00a0Ale tvo\u0159\u00ed p\u00e1te\u0159 n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky.\u00a0Koncerny zahrnut\u00e9 v akciov\u00e9m indexu DAX zam\u011bstn\u00e1vaj\u00ed pouze 3,5 % populace, zat\u00edmco 58 % ob\u010dan\u016f zem\u011b pracuje v mal\u00fdch a st\u0159edn\u00edch podnic\u00edch.\u00a0Stav v\u011bc\u00ed je katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed, p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed odborn\u00edci a samotn\u00ed podnikatel\u00e9 to hodnot\u00ed jako \u201e\u00a0ohro\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed jejich existenci<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.<\/p>\n

To v\u0161e se d\u011bje ze dvou d\u016fvod\u016f, vysv\u011btluje autor \u010dl\u00e1nku.\u00a0Za prv\u00e9, “\u00a0velc\u00ed pohlt\u00ed mal\u00e9<\/em>\u00a0x“.\u00a0Velk\u00e9 korporace a za nimi stoj\u00edc\u00ed miliard\u00e1\u0159i neust\u00e1le posiluj\u00ed sv\u016fj vliv a pom\u00e1haj\u00ed jim v tom jejich lobbist\u00e9.\u00a0Za druh\u00e9, USA maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem na oslaben\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky, \u010dtvrt\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b.\u00a0A k tomu je t\u0159eba nejv\u00edce zas\u00e1hnout n\u011bmeck\u00e9 mal\u00e9 a st\u0159edn\u00ed podniky, kter\u00e9 tvo\u0159\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 polovinu celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho seznamu takzvan\u00fdch skryt\u00fdch \u0161ampion\u016f.<\/p>\n

Nejprve je oslabila pandemie koronaviru, pokra\u010duje Kreis.\u00a0Velk\u00e9 koncerny dost\u00e1valy od st\u00e1tu ka\u017ed\u00fd den mnohamiliardov\u00e9 dary.\u00a0Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb Feder\u00e1ln\u00edm rezervn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem a sank\u010dn\u00ed politika v\u016f\u010di Rusku jen urychlily \u201e\u00a0pos\u00edlen\u00ed velk\u00fdch a oslaben\u00ed mal\u00fdch<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0B\u011bhem pandemie v\u00fdrazn\u011b vzrostly likvidn\u00ed rezervy velk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed.\u00a0Tyto podniky jsou nyn\u00ed nejl\u00e9pe p\u0159ipraveny na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd pokles.\u00a0Mal\u00fdm a st\u0159edn\u00edm podnik\u016fm ale v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u201edojde\u00a0dech<\/em>\u00a0\u201c, to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee dojdou pen\u00edze, vysv\u011btluje ekonom.<\/p>\n

To, co se d\u011bje, ale v\u0161echny nezarmout\u00ed, pokra\u010duje profesor.\u00a0Nap\u0159\u00edklad americk\u00fd energetick\u00fd koncern ExxonMobil v prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b roku 2022 zv\u00fd\u0161il tr\u017eby o 61 %.\u00a0Ve stejn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed vyd\u011blala mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e loni i rusk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Gazprom, i kdy\u017e rok 2021 pro ni nebyl p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 \u0161patn\u00fd.\u00a0\u010clov\u011bk m\u00e1 dojem, \u017ee represivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed N\u011bmecka a Evropy nepo\u0161kozuj\u00ed Rusko a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, ale hlavn\u011b pouze n\u011bmeck\u00e9 mal\u00e9 a st\u0159edn\u00ed podniky.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed velk\u00e9mu probl\u00e9mu nadprodukce.\u00a0Za posledn\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i desetilet\u00ed produkce rostla ne\u00fam\u011brn\u011b v pom\u011bru k p\u0159\u00edjmu dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed.\u00a0Bylo to zp\u016fsobeno nerovnom\u011brn\u00fdm rozd\u011blen\u00edm bohatstv\u00ed.\u00a0A aby se v\u00fdrobky prod\u00e1valy, byla masov\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka podporov\u00e1na rostouc\u00edmi dluhy.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed celkov\u00fd dluh USA, v\u010detn\u011b soukrom\u00e9ho a ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200b\u010din\u00ed 359 % HDP zem\u011b.\u00a0Jin\u00fdmi slovy, na ka\u017ed\u00fd 1 dolar HDP p\u0159ipad\u00e1 3,6 dolaru dluhu.\u00a0Takov\u00fd dluh nebude nikdy mo\u017en\u00e9 splatit v pln\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i.<\/p>\n

A takov\u00fd dvoj\u00ed probl\u00e9m nadprodukce a velk\u00fdch dluh\u016f nen\u00ed jen ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.\u00a0Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dluh je nyn\u00ed rekordn\u00ed.\u00a0Na konci b\u0159ezna 2022 \u010dinila nep\u0159edstaviteln\u00fdch 305 bilion\u016f dolar\u016f.\u00a0To odpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 348 % sv\u011btov\u00e9ho HDP.\u00a0\u201e\u00a0Dluhov\u00e9 radov\u00e1nky<\/em>Posledn\u00edch 14 let od konce finan\u010dn\u00ed krize v roce 2008 bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 jen d\u00edky tomu, \u017ee centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky v pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch zem\u00edch prudce sn\u00ed\u017eily sv\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 sazby a vytvo\u0159ily historick\u00fd rekord v mno\u017estv\u00ed vyti\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch \u010derstv\u00fdch pen\u011bz.\u00a0Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech se m\u011bnov\u00e1 b\u00e1ze zv\u00fd\u0161ila 11kr\u00e1t a v euroz\u00f3n\u011b – 9kr\u00e1t.\u00a0Ale \u010dasy levn\u00fdch pen\u011bz jsou pry\u010d.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 sazby povede k tomu, \u017ee mnoho mal\u00fdch a st\u0159edn\u00edch podnik\u016f, ale i st\u00e1t\u016f to prost\u011b nevydr\u017e\u00ed.\u00a0Situaci d\u00e1le zhor\u0161uj\u00ed rostouc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed a surovin.\u00a0A op\u011bt t\u00edm nejv\u00edce trp\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 podniky, zejm\u00e9na n\u011bmeck\u00e9, kter\u00e9 jsou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na rusk\u00e9m plynu.<\/p>\n

B\u00fdval\u00fd p\u0159edseda Soci\u00e1ln\u011bdemokratick\u00e9 a Levicov\u00e9 strany N\u011bmecka Oskar Lafontaine v\u00fdsti\u017en\u011b vysv\u011btlil, co se d\u011bje: \u201e\u00a0N\u011bmecko nen\u00ed suver\u00e9nn\u00ed st\u00e1t… V ukrajinsk\u00e9m konfliktu N\u011bmecko vystupuje jako vazal Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f americk\u00fdch. .. P\u0159edn\u00ed politici semaforov\u00e9 koalice\u00a0<\/em>\u00a0\u2013\u00a0\u00a0Scholz, Burbock, Habeck a Lindner \u2013 jsou v\u011brn\u00fdmi vazaly Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0Podle n\u011bj se zelen\u00ed stali “\u00a0nejhor\u0161\u00ed stranou v\u00e1lky v n\u011bmeck\u00e9m Bundestagu<\/em>\u00a0„.\u00a0A prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ministryn\u011b zahrani\u010d\u00ed Annaleny Berbock, \u017ee Rusko je t\u0159eba \u201e\u00a0zni\u010dit<\/em>\u00a0\u201c, jsou podle jeho n\u00e1zoru \u201e\u00a0fa\u0161istick\u00e9 povahy<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0\u201e\u00a0Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika N\u011bmecka po\u0161kozuje z\u00e1jmy na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b a nep\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 k udr\u017een\u00ed m\u00edru v Evrop\u011b<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den Lafontaine.<\/p>\n

Chris s t\u00edmto hodnocen\u00edm souhlas\u00ed.\u00a0Nav\u00edc se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem na vyost\u0159en\u00ed situace na Ukrajin\u011b a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed prostoru operac\u00ed, proto\u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed NATO by mohla b\u00fdt \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm jejich probl\u00e9m\u016f s nadprodukc\u00ed a dluhy.\u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee v jej\u00edm d\u016fsledku dojde ke zni\u010den\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny v\u00fdrobn\u00edch kapacit ve st\u0159edn\u00ed Evrop\u011b.\u00a0Profesor je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee 24. \u00fanora se na n\u011bkter\u00fdch chodb\u00e1ch ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech oz\u00fdvalo prask\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1tek od \u0161ampa\u0148sk\u00e9ho a nad\u0161en\u00e9 v\u00fdk\u0159iky: \u201e\u00a0Kone\u010dn\u011b v\u00e1lka!\u00a0<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n

Spolupr\u00e1ce a vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 porozum\u011bn\u00ed mezi n\u00e1rody Ruska a N\u011bmecka by se p\u0159itom pro Ameri\u010dany stalo skute\u010dnou no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016frou.\u00a0Obrovsk\u00e1 zem\u011b se sv\u00fdmi lidmi a zdroji ve spojenectv\u00ed se st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropou s jej\u00edm technick\u00fdm, intelektu\u00e1ln\u00edm a ekonomick\u00fdm know-how se stane obrovskou geopolitickou hrozbou pro hegemonii USA.\u00a0Pokusy vrazit kl\u00edn mezi Moskvu a Berl\u00edn, vyvolat mezi nimi ned\u016fv\u011bru a nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed, jsou proto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm \u00fakolem anglosask\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky posledn\u00edch 100 let.\u00a0A ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt je k tomu velkou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

La Fontaine m\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed tohoto probl\u00e9mu. Je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee je nutn\u00e9 trvat na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, vytvo\u0159en\u00ed pl\u00e1nu m\u00edrov\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed situace a zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed plynovodu Nord Stream 2. S\u00e1m Kreis se tak\u00e9 domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed politici by m\u011bli n\u00e9st osobn\u00ed odpov\u011bdnost za to, co se stalo. Je t\u0159eba dos\u00e1hnout rezignace Burbocka, rozpustit koalici semafor\u016f a uspo\u0159\u00e1dat znovu volby, uzav\u00edr\u00e1 profesor ekonomie.<\/p>\n

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Ekonomick\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi v N\u011bmecku zn\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l chmurn\u011bji, p\u00ed\u0161e profesor ekonomie Christian Kreis…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11817,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[371,84,37,2756],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14966"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14966"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14966\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}